This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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October 2016
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@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-09-30 (UTC)

  • 00:00:33 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 2.1% in CO -> Clinton by 1.3% in NH https://t.co/vCXlGsW9Hm
  • 00:08:24 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NJ from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 37.55% to Trump 35.87% https://t.co/0wiBvKLGYc
  • 00:08:29 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NJ from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 37.55% to Trump 35.87% to Johnson 7.41%
  • 00:08:42 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NJ has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/0wiBvKLGYc
  • 00:20:42 Retweeted @democrat2theend 00:19:35 @ElecCollPolls How can that be? Good NC poll for Clinton came out today. in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 00:24:00 .@democrat2theend Just added the weekly Google poll. T+8.8% in NC. It is outlier but pulls avg fr weak C 2 weak T. https://t.co/7rkZKjUvLI in reply to democrat2theend
  • 01:24:35 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NM from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 37.92% to Trump 26.02% https://t.co/TPq6RUkA21
  • 01:24:40 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NM from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 37.92% to Trump 26.02% to Johnson 17.40%
  • 01:24:54 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NM has moved from Weak Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/TPq6RUCbqB
  • 01:35:08 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 205 to Trump 333 -> Clinton 210 to Trump 328 https://t.co/TGKgUNfP7j
  • 01:37:45 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NV from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 33.96% to Trump 34.44% https://t.co/S1IuUth90x
  • 01:37:50 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NV from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 33.96% to Trump 34.44% to Johnson 9.94%
  • 01:41:53 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NY from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 42.53% to Trump 29.40% https://t.co/fYI6zK5efd
  • 01:41:58 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NY from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 42.53% to Trump 29.40% to Johnson 5.10%
  • 02:17:38 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OH from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 31.94% to Trump 35.09% https://t.co/4ZxlokWQed
  • 02:17:43 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OH from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 31.94% to Trump 35.09% to Johnson 8.69%
  • 02:17:54 Clinton vs Trump state category change: OH has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump https://t.co/4ZxlokWQed
  • 02:30:36 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 290 to Trump 248 -> Clinton 272 to Trump 266 https://t.co/Qr7V83qCob
  • 03:04:54 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OK from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 22.59% to Trump 35.91% https://t.co/INoXxG0NHV
  • 03:04:59 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OK from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 22.59% to Trump 35.91% to Johnson 14.24%
  • 03:23:47 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OR from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 44.09% to Trump 28.75% https://t.co/gwxVEwwi26
  • 03:23:52 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OR from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 44.09% to Trump 28.75% to Johnson 6.08%
  • 03:27:34 Poll Added: Google w/3P in PA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 35.11% to Trump 35.75% https://t.co/rTQDv9JEtz
  • 03:27:39 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in PA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 35.11% to Trump 35.75% to Johnson 8.86%
  • 03:32:12 Poll Added: Google w/3P in RI from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 42.37% to Trump 22.99% https://t.co/BzqLl3OG81
  • 03:32:17 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in RI from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 42.37% to Trump 22.99% to Johnson 6.31%
  • 03:35:21 Poll Added: Google w/3P in SC from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 28.30% to Trump 45.73% https://t.co/EntAk0NsBG
  • 03:35:26 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in SC from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 28.30% to Trump 45.73% to Johnson 5.09%
  • 03:43:09 Poll Added: Google w/3P in SD from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 29.11% to Trump 31.07% https://t.co/xuDE4PJANp
  • 03:43:14 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in SD from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 29.11% to Trump 31.07% to Johnson 11.86%
  • 03:46:13 Poll Added: Google w/3P in TN from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 25.38% to Trump 47.70% https://t.co/O6DbmvPzEP
  • 03:46:18 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in TN from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 25.38% to Trump 47.70% to Johnson 7.02%
  • 03:49:34 Poll Added: Google w/3P in TX from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 29.93% to Trump 42.10% https://t.co/h1Gga62ohC
  • 03:49:39 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in TX from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 29.93% to Trump 42.10% to Johnson 7.62%
  • 03:56:02 Poll Added: Google w/3P in UT from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 21.91% to Trump 32.40% https://t.co/oSgfYm9rLv
  • 03:56:07 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in UT from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 21.91% to Trump 32.40% to Johnson 16.75%
  • 03:59:31 Poll Added: Google w/3P in VA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 40.36% to Trump 32.04% https://t.co/zHRXpBRoNh
  • 03:59:36 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in VA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 40.36% to Trump 32.04% to Johnson 7.92%
  • 03:59:48 Clinton vs Trump state category change: VA has moved from Weak Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/zHRXpBRoNh
  • 04:10:13 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 210 to Trump 328 -> Clinton 223 to Trump 315 https://t.co/ndOaOAouvj
  • 04:19:06 Poll Added: Google w/3P in VT from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 48.29% to Trump 28.19% https://t.co/mWfQPLPRns
  • 04:19:11 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in VT from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 48.29% to Trump 28.19% to Johnson 0.00%
  • 04:21:44 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 42.92% to Trump 25.27% https://t.co/F7q74gcnrQ
  • 04:21:49 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 42.92% to Trump 25.27% to Johnson 9.78%
  • 04:22:04 Clinton vs Trump state category change: WA has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton https://t.co/F7q74gcnrQ
  • 04:25:30 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WI from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 40.71% to Trump 27.62% https://t.co/36kVDc9aCZ
  • 04:25:35 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WI from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 40.71% to Trump 27.62% to Johnson 6.85%
  • 04:28:26 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WV from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 30.64% to Trump 40.30% https://t.co/D98HYcggJm
  • 04:28:31 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WV from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 30.64% to Trump 40.30% to Johnson 6.76%
  • 04:32:44 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WY from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 17.78% to Trump 45.91% https://t.co/5CufnXxFWQ
  • 04:32:49 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WY from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-26 – Clinton 17.78% to Trump 45.91% to Johnson 11.77%
  • 04:47:53 Poll Added: Remington w/3P in MO from 2016-09-26 to 2016-09-27 – Clinton 39% to Trump 49% https://t.co/er6MtrNRg8
  • 04:47:58 Full 3P results: Remington w/3P in MO from 2016-09-26 to 2016-09-27 – Clinton 39% to Trump 49% to Johnson 5%
  • 04:48:10 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MO has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump https://t.co/er6MtrNRg8
  • 04:58:12 Poll Added: Mitchell [2] in MI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-27 – Clinton 49% to Trump 44% https://t.co/NZn2grfJgi
  • 04:59:41 Poll Added: Mitchell w/4P [2] in MI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-27 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% https://t.co/CGqKwRekp0
  • 04:59:46 Full 4P results: Mitchell w/4P [2] in MI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-09-27 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% to Johnson 8% to Stein 1%
  • 05:10:19 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 363 to Trump 175 -> Clinton 373 to Trump 165 https://t.co/Atp0dvVHrl
  • 06:44:33 Done with another round of poll updates. 50 states + DC. Notable changes in KS/NM/MO/ME-All and tipping pt. @ElectionGraphs blog post later.
  • 16:39:27 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 16:39:19 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Poll Churn (mostly pre-debate) https://t.co/ry1Rgk5s2v

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