Election 2016 is done! Trump won! Everybody is surprised! So of course we have a super-long election wrap up! Darryl joins Sam and Ivan to discuss the Election Graphs and Horsesass electoral college models, what went right, what went wrong, and what we can learn for next time. Then all three discuss the reaction to and ramifications of Trump’s victory. For maybe the last time for a few years, it is an all election, all politics show!
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Show Details:
Recorded 2016-11-11
Length this week – 2:24:32
- (0:00:10-1:05:00) Polling Post Mortem
- Surprise!
- Darryl’s Final Projections
- Suspicious Polls
- Where polls went wrong
- Sources of poll uncertainty
- Last minute Trump surge?
- Actually very very close
- National polls
- Sam’s post mortem
- Problems with the odds
- Turnout
- (1:06:10-2:24:12) The Aftermath
- Our reactions
- Reactions from the right
- Trump’s appeal to the white working class
- Clinton’s weaknesses
- Republican Obstruction strategy
- Would Sanders have won?
- Should Democrats obstruct?
- The Republican agenda
- Anti-Trump protests
- Which Trump do we get?
- Future of the parties
- Bold Predictions
- Calling Trump voters racist
- Radicalization
The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.
Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)
Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)
Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)
Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.
Contains discussion of things that will be in my wrap up once MI is called -> Curmudgeon’s Corner: Under the Thumb https://t.co/zdabsz1CzT
RT @ElectionGraphs: Contains discussion of things that will be in my wrap up once MI is called -> Curmudgeon’s Corner: Under the Thumb http…
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Re: Trump voters “oh shit” moment if Clinton was elected. We’re going to war with Russia. We’re going to get nuked.
Re: Protests. The real problem is that the current protests are generating too much undirected noise. A clear signal of disapproval cannot get through in this environment. It makes protesting specific decisions impossible.
Re: Change in media. Wikileaks information has revealed a great deal of collusion between the Hillary campaign and many media outlets. Without that influence on the media, they’ve dropped a lot of the more tenuous talking points, such as the blatantly political sexual assault allegations.
Re: What Trump is actually going to do. No idea, which is why we need to have viable protest methods on hand.