2016 Electoral College

Cuomo vs Perry - Vermont [3 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2012-11-06 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2014-10-17 19:27 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Cuomo vs Perry National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Cuomo Perry
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterCuomoPerryMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

66.6%

31.0%

DEM
by 35.6%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:15

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

67.5%

30.5%

DEM
by 37.0%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-06 03:15

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

58.9%

38.8%

DEM
by 20.1%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:14

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

50.6%

40.7%

DEM
by 9.9%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 11:09

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

53.4%

31.1%

DEM
by 22.3%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-18 15:47

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterCuomoPerryMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

46.1%

30.4%

DEM
by 15.7%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 07:03

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

47.6%

51.1%

REP
by 3.5%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 20:04

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

40.8%

57.9%

REP
by 17.1%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 07:12

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

38.4%

44.4%

REP
by 6.0%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:27

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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