2016 Electoral College

Comparison of Best Polled Candidate Combinations in North Carolina [15 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-05 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 10:24 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

State: History Shown in Graph: 

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Clinton Trump
43.8% 44.4%
 
Trump up by 0.6%
(Weak Trump)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 3.9 weeks.

Clinton vs Trump North Carolina Details

Clinton Bush
44.1% 43.6%
 
Clinton up by 0.5%
(Weak Clinton)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 1.1 years.

Clinton vs Bush North Carolina Details

Clinton Cruz
44.0% 42.6%
 
Clinton up by 1.5%
(Weak Clinton)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 8.7 months.

Clinton vs Cruz North Carolina Details

Clinton Rubio
42.3% 47.6%
 
Rubio up by 5.3%
(Strong Rubio)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 10.1 months.

Clinton vs Rubio North Carolina Details

Clinton Huckabee
44.0% 47.0%
 
Huckabee up by 3.0%
(Weak Huckabee)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 1.5 years.

Clinton vs Huckabee North Carolina Details

 

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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