Archives: June 2008

Sun 29 Jun 2008

Hersh on Iran

Another Seymour Hersh piece. They are always somewhat controversial, and many people always dispute the facts. Personally, I don't have any idea how much of his pieces are really true, what is exaggeration, what is someone feeding Hersh what they want him to say to push one agenda or another, etc... But regardless, these articles are always very interesting.

And if even 10% of it is true... shudder. Well... 204 days, 16 hours left to go. Regardless who wins in November, they can't be worse than this bunch.

Preparing the Battlefield
(Seymour Hersh, The New Yorker, 29 Jun 2008)

ate last year, Congress agreed to a request from President Bush to fund a major escalation of covert operations against Iran, according to current and former military, intelligence, and congressional sources. These operations, for which the President sought up to four hundred million dollars, were described in a Presidential Finding signed by Bush, and are designed to destabilize the country’s religious leadership. The covert activities involve support of the minority Ahwazi Arab and Baluchi groups and other dissident organizations. They also include gathering intelligence about Iran’s suspected nuclear-weapons program.
It is long, but worth reading in full.


Abulsme - Sun, 29 Jun 2008, 17:51:10 PDT
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Curmudgeon's Corner: Shoot the Economy

Sam and Ivan talk about:

  • Supremes on Guantanamo
  • Afghanistan and Iraq
  • Supremes on Guns
  • Evolving Constitution
  • FISA Issues
  • The Economy
  • Garfield Minus Garfield
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Abulsme - Sun, 29 Jun 2008, 04:15:59 PDT
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Sat 28 Jun 2008

Roscoe and the Hose


Abulsme - Sat, 28 Jun 2008, 14:38:58 PDT
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Improved AbulCam Timelapses

I've made the timelapse "previous day" video on the AbulCam larger than it used to be. I also upped the compression and moved the actual timelapse files off my iMac and up to the server, so actual download times should be less. Now, it still takes multiple minutes (it took me just under 5 minutes when I just tried) for the timelapse to fully download and start playing, but that is actually better than it sometimes used to be. Anyway, improved timelapse. That is all.


Abulsme - Sat, 28 Jun 2008, 12:39:54 PDT
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Fri 27 Jun 2008

Electoral College: MN strengthens for Obama, KS weakens for McCain



Still just good news for Obama and bad news for McCain. This time around Minnesota moves from "Weak Obama" to "Strong Obama" while Kansas moves from "Strong McCain" to "Weak McCain". This may tempt Obama to try to make McCain defend Kansas. And it means McCain shouldn't even bother with Minnesota.

The summary doesn't change though, as none of this effects the inventory of swing states.

Current Summary:

McCain Best Case - McCain 303, Obama 235
Obama Best Case - Obama 378, McCain 160

If everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) - Obama 293, McCain 245


Abulsme - Fri, 27 Jun 2008, 00:59:27 PDT
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Wed 25 Jun 2008

An Ancestor

I haven't yet gotten to him as I gradually expand my Genealogy information, and in fact I believe I am missing one piece of information that I would need to definitively link myself... the final link confirming that the oldest Brandon ancestor I can find is actually the son of this guy... but I've heard family lore that indeed, #6 on this list is an ancestor of mine:

7 Famous Executioners
(Sami, ty.rannosaur.us, 22 Jun 2008)

6) Richard Brandon

The English were always very picky about who could become an executioner. It had to be someone from a family of executioners that knew how to kill someone quickly but also knew how to vamp for the crowd. Brandon was one of the most famous Common Hangmen of London and became the yardstick against which other English executioners (even Albert Pierrepoint) were measured. He was extremely proud of his ability to sever a head with a single blow, something that was very popular with the crowds - and appreciated by people getting executed - since it generally took a few chops for the average executioner to get through. He refined this skill after years of practice on cats and dogs. He is best known for executing King Charles I, but did so under heavy disguise out of fear of retaliation.
(via Neatorama)


Abulsme - Wed, 25 Jun 2008, 09:35:52 PDT
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Electoral College: Michigan Flips to Obama



Obama's bounce continues as Michigan moves from Leaning McCain to Leaning Obama. Obama's lead is less than 5% of course, so it is still a swing state.

Current Summary:

McCain Best Case - McCain 303, Obama 235
Obama Best Case - Obama 378, McCain 160

If everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) - Obama 293, McCain 245

That "if everybody gets their leans" set of numbers is getting more unbalanced. Obama now leads in that metric by more than he ever has since March 8th when we first had polling in all 50 states. His lead is however still not as big as the lead McCain had in that metric in mid-May, and that evaporated after only a couple of weeks. The polls are very fickle things.


Abulsme - Wed, 25 Jun 2008, 00:19:16 PDT
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Where Did Everybody Go?


Abulsme - Wed, 25 Jun 2008, 00:16:32 PDT
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Tue 24 Jun 2008

Torn on Firefox

OK, I was all excited about Firefox 3 when it first came out. I've been using it for a bit. There are a bunch of features that I really like. But I am getting frustrated by a handful of things Safari does better. And I am feeling like it is slower. Dunno. I'm wavering. I may try going back for a bit and see if I then miss Firefox...


Abulsme - Tue, 24 Jun 2008, 22:11:09 PDT
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Mon 23 Jun 2008

Curmudgeon's Corner: Always More to Do

Sam talks about:

  • Congressional Power and FISA
  • Backups are Fun
  • Weekend Yardwork
  • The Joy of Time Management
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Abulsme - Mon, 23 Jun 2008, 12:02:14 PDT
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Sat 21 Jun 2008

Electoral College: New Hampshire Flips to Obama



Trends in the last few days just have not been favorable to McCain. And today just continues that. A new poll flips New Hampshire from Leaning McCain to Leaning Obama. Obama's lead is under 5% though, so New Hampshire is still a swing state.

Current Summary:

McCain Best Case - McCain 303, Obama 235
Obama Best Case - Obama 378, McCain 160

And if everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) - Obama 276, McCain 262


Abulsme - Sat, 21 Jun 2008, 00:23:41 PDT
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Fri 20 Jun 2008

That FISA Thing

I pretty much agree with the EFF 100% on this, so I'll just repeat their statement on Friday's events:

House Falls Down on the Job
(Hugh D'Andrade, EFF, 20 Jun 2008)

The House of Representatives today has fallen down on the job. By passing the FISA Amendments Act (293-129, with 105 Democrats in favor), they voted to give this lame duck President an undeserved parting gift by passing immunity for telcoms that helped the President violate the Constitution by participating in the NSA's massive and illegal spying program.

While Speaker Pelosi and President Bush describe it as a "balanced bill" with "bipartisan support," the millions of Americans whose privacy rights have been violated by the President's illegal spying program seem to have been left out of the equation.

Senator Bond's gloating statement to the New York Times showed the true picture: "I think the White House got a better deal than even they had hoped to get." The Washington Post wrote that the bill "hands President Bush one of the last major legislative victories he is likely to achieve." And the San Francisco Chronicle, writing from Speaker Pelosi's home district, called the vote "weak, timid, spineless."

To say that EFF is disappointed in the House Leadership's support for this bill is an understatement. Speaker Pelosi and Majority Leader Hoyer, so vocal in their opposition to telecom immunity last March, capitulated to a dangerous "compromise" that gives the telecoms and the Bush Administration what they have been demanding for over a year: Protection from court cases that threaten to uncover the extent of the President's illegal spying program.

Many Democrats stood up for the rule of law, and they deserve our thanks. Senators Conyers and Nadler have been consistent and vocal in their staunch opposition to immunity. Senator Feingold has spoken out as well, saying that the bill "is not a compromise, it is a capitulation."

Republican Senator Arlen Specter has shown himself more supportive of the rule of law than Speaker Pelosi on this issue: "I am opposed to the proposed legislation because it does not require a judicial determination that what the telephone companies have done in the past is constitutional. It is totally insufficient to grant immunity for the telephone companies’ prior conduct based merely on the written assurance from the administration that the spying was legal."

As the fight moves to the Senate, we now look to Senators Leahy, Dodd and Feingold to lead the opposition to the immunity provisions in the Senate version of the bill. Contact your Senators now and tell them to stand strong.
I will add that I am highly disappointed in Obama's statement on this issue. It either shows that Obama agrees with an expansive view of what proper executive surveillance power should be, or that he has a complete lack of spine. Either way, it is a big negative for me. Not like McCain would be better on this. and I'm not sure what Bob Barr is saying on this these days, but I don't think I'd trust him.

Sigh.


Abulsme - Fri, 20 Jun 2008, 21:16:15 PDT
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Thu 19 Jun 2008

Electoral College: Georgia Weakens for McCain



More bad news for McCain. His lead in Georgia now slips below 10% putting Georgia into the "Weak McCain" category. Georgia still isn't a swing state. But it is getting closer.

The summary stays the same though:

McCain Best Case - McCain 303, Obama 235
Obama Best Case - Obama 378, McCain 160

And if everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) - Obama 272, McCain 266


Abulsme - Thu, 19 Jun 2008, 23:46:00 PDT
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DVD: Stardust

Last weekend it was time for an Amy Netflix movie. (Once again damn you Netflix!) Her movie this time was Stardust. I had never even heard of it, so I had no idea what to expect.

And it was, well... odd... and that meant I kind of liked it. It had a little fantasy magic thing going on. With your standard sort of predictable setup with the hero thrown in with a girl and at first they don't like each other, but eventually... well, you know.

And there were ghosts, and a flying ship, witches... and a falling star that is really a girl... and it was all very tongue in cheek and funny.

Oh yeah, and Robert De Niro dancing around in women's clothes. There is something to be said about any movie that has that. I'm not sure exactly what, but something.

It was a cute movie. Entertaining. Light hearted. I little bizzare. Not taking itself seriously at all. But fun.

This is one of the types of movies I tend to like. So thumbs up and all of that.

And all three of us watched it together. Which is always good.


Abulsme - Thu, 19 Jun 2008, 19:29:15 PDT
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Electoral College: Bad News for McCain in Florida and Wisconsin



In terms of state by state polls, this is a very bad day for John McCain.

First of all, Wisconsin strengthens for Obama. Obama's lead is now more than 5%, taking Wisconsin out of the swing state category. McCain may still be able to bring these 10 electoral votes back into play, but it would take work.

Second, and a bigger deal, Florida weakens for McCain. His lead there is now under 5%. That is 27 more electoral votes off the list McCain can feel pretty good about and into the "fully in play" category.

Current Summary:

McCain Best Case - McCain 303, Obama 235
Obama Best Case - Obama 378, McCain 160

And if everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) - Obama 272, McCain 266

The "everybody gets their leans" numbers still remain incredibly close. But the best case scenarios are getting more and more unbalanced. Obama's best case is now getting into landslide territory. McCain's best case is just barely more than squeaking out a victory by a margin of a couple of states.

There are 140 electoral votes now in the "leaning" category that can easily go either way.

Assuming Obama gets all his strong and weak states and DC, that gives him 238 electoral votes. Which is 32 electoral votes from the win. That is only 23% of the electoral votes in the swing category. He only needs any two of Florida, Ohio, Michigan or North Carolina in order to do that. Two out of 12 swing states. (Or instead he could get a bunch of the smaller states...).

By contrast, if McCain gets all his strong and weak states, he only has 160 electoral votes. He needs a full 110 electoral votes from the swing states to win. That is 79% of the swing state electoral votes. From the big state side of things that means McCain would need all of these: Florida, Ohio, Michigan, North Carolina, Virginia, Indiana and Missouri. Eight of the 12 swing states.

A lot of Obama's gains in the last few weeks can be attributed to a "bounce" from clinching the nomination. If the trend continues, and McCain doesn't manage to fight back a bit, and Obama manages to flip a few more states in his direction and out of the swing state category... we might actually end up with McCain's best case scenario being a loss...

...or Obama may start to peak and then things get closer again.

It is still early. Anything can happen. But the recent poll results are ones that the McCain camp should be very worried about. They have some work to do.


Abulsme - Thu, 19 Jun 2008, 00:13:26 PDT
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Wed 18 Jun 2008

EyeWing



I have no idea if Spore itself will be fun at all, but the Spore Creature Creator was good for a couple hours of goofing around yesterday. Fun stuff. I've just loaded the free trial so far (on both my computer and Amy's) but the paid version is actually somewhat tempting. You get more choices of eyes and legs and mouths and stuff. :-)


Abulsme - Wed, 18 Jun 2008, 22:48:21 PDT
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Damn You Netflix, Damn You

I got an email about this from Netflix at 0:16 UTC today, but was actually going to wait for tomorrow to blog about it, but since it is hitting Gizmodo already...

Here is the the email Netflix sent out:

Important News Regarding Netflix Profiles

Dear Samuel,

We wanted to let you know we will be eliminating Profiles, the feature that allowed you to set up separate DVD Queues under one account, effective September 1, 2008.

Each additional Profile Queue will be unavailable after September 1, 2008. Before then, we recommend you consolidate any of your Profile Queues to your main account Queue or print them out.

While it may be disappointing to see Profiles go away, this change will help us continue to improve the Netflix website for all our customers.

If you have any questions, please go to http://www.netflix.com/Help?p_faqid=3962 or call us anytime at 1 (888) 638-3549. We apologize for any inconvenience.

- The Netflix Team
All I can say is that this is bullshit. Profiles are a critical part of how we use Netflix. Each member of the family has their own queue which they manage separately. (Plus we have one extra queue for other stuff.) We each return our DVDs when we want and get our new DVDs. We have it set so that while I have the 4 disks at a time plan, each profile gets one disk at a time. This makes it easy for each of us to get what we want without having to worry about reconciling our queues into one single list. As far as I can see, to get the same effect in the future we would have to actually have four separate accounts, billed separately, at no doubt a higher total monthly rate.

The economics of Netflix at this point are barely worth it at the rate we actually watch DVDs. With this change we would either have to move everything to one queue, with all the additional confusion and complexity that would add, or we would have to pay a lot more for separate accounts. This is likely to make Netflix no longer an attractive option.

If they don't reverse this decision before the feature is scheduled to go away, I can easily see us canceling our Netflix account. It just would not make sense any more.

I'd be willing to pay a little more monthly to keep this feature (although not four separate accounts more)... please Netflix, figure out a way to keep this. Or we may well have to say goodbye.


Abulsme - Wed, 18 Jun 2008, 21:27:45 PDT
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Death of an iSight



My external iSight seems to have died. On Monday at 2:18 UTC my webcam spontaneously flipped from the external iSight to the internal. At 7:40 UTC I switched it back to the external after unplugging it and plugging it back in. At 11:01 UTC it started showing video artifacts. It got worse and worse until at 12:56 UTC the video signal died completely. I found it and switched it to the internal iSight at 15:19 UTC, where it has stayed ever since.

The video above is the timelapse of that fateful day.

I didn't get a chance to see if I could get the external working again until just now. No luck at all.

This blows, as even though I don't do it often, I like to keep the internal iSight free for video iChat and such. Plus the external camera is more flexible as to where I can point it, and I like to change it up for the AbulCam.

So I go looking for what a new iSight costs these days. Can't find any in the online Apple store. None directly from Amazon either, although some third parties have them at way high prices. There are rumors of an iSight HD coming soon, but nothing out yet. I've also wanted a 802.11 wireless webcam for awhile, so that I could put the thing further from my computer, but those still cost too much to be worth it really. Plus since my usecase is non-standard, I never feel like I know for sure if it will work for the way I want to use it until I try it.

I suppose I could go buy a cheap $25 external webcam. Dunno.

For now, I guess the AbulCam stays on the internal iSight. But I won't want that to be a long term solution.


Abulsme - Wed, 18 Jun 2008, 20:42:12 PDT
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Curmudgeonly Note #2

We talked a bit on the podcast about how to interpret general election polls. With Ivan saying they were meaningless at this stage because they weren't good predictors of the election results, and me saying they did matter because they reflect the state of the race NOW.

The analogy I should have used was that of a sports event. The score at any given time in the game does NOT tell you with any certainty who will win. It is an indicator. If one team is way ahead, then the other team would have to do something really extraordinary to win... and they probably won't, but they might... but fundamentally the score in the middle of the game does not tell you who will win, it tells you the state of the game NOW. And that is not irrelevant or meaningless... it just tells you something different.

This is how general election polls should be interpreted. Not as predictors of the winner at the end of the game (the election) but rather as a snapshot of where things are RIGHT NOW. Which is different.

And of course, looking at national popular vote polls *is* irrelevant. That is not the game that is being played. The game being played is the electoral college. You need to look at state by state polls only. The national popular vote DOES NOT MATTER.


Abulsme - Wed, 18 Jun 2008, 10:34:04 PDT
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Curmudgeonly Note #1

Although in the show we determined that Ivan probably listened to the original version of last week's show, in reality he listened to the fixed version. And it still sucked.

In this week's show I still have a few issues. Before exporting to MP3 it sounds OK, but as an MP3 Ivan's got some ringing on his voice that is annoying. And I'm already late putting this out, so I'm not going to delay another day to try to adjust it more.

We'll continue to try to improve this stuff in future weeks. We need to get it so both Ivan and I sound decent consistently, and we're not quite there yet. But it isn't horrible I don't think. Not like last week's first version.


Abulsme - Wed, 18 Jun 2008, 10:30:58 PDT
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Curmudgeon's Corner: Mr Wolf Mr Wolf Mr Wolf

Sam and Ivan talk about:

  • Last Week's Show
  • Forwarded Political Email
  • Sick Steve Jobs
  • New iPhones
  • End of the Primaries Redux
  • General Election Polling
  • McCain's Bad Speech
  • Town Halls and Debates
  • Tim Russert
  • Old Politics and New
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Abulsme - Wed, 18 Jun 2008, 10:15:21 PDT
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Kindled

I wasn't planning on even considering buying one for awhile. Until they were cheaper. Until there was a bigger selection of books. Maybe until there was a second revision. But Brandy has been kind of laid up lately... so over the weekend I ordered her a Kindle. It arrived yesterday. We'll see how this goes, it will be an interesting trial. Of course, I also bought Brandy five actual physical books over the weekend, so it may be a few days until she actually tires it in earnest.

For me, I think I'll want one once I can look at the list of the last 10 books I read and have more than 50% of them available on Kindle. That is not quite yet. Right now only three of the last 10 books I've read are there. But I'm sure that ratio will improve over time.


Abulsme - Wed, 18 Jun 2008, 09:55:16 PDT
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Electoral College: MN weakens for Obama, NC weakens for McCain



Two category changes today.

First, Minnesota slips from a "Strong Obama" state to a "Weak Obama" state. Still in Obama's column, still not a "leaning" swing state, but now with a small enough lead (less than 10%) that McCain might want to consider putting resources there to try to put it into play.

Second, and probably more significant at this point, North Carolina moves from "Weak McCain" to "Leaning McCain"... putting the state very much into play as a potential swing state and improving Obama's best case scenario.

Current Summary:

McCain Best Case - McCain 313, Obama 225
Obama Best Case - Obama 351, McCain 187

And if everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) - Obama 272, McCain 266

There were also additional new polls yesterday that got quite a bit of blogger coverage showing positive trends for Obama, most notably in Ohio and Florida. I am not ignoring these. My "last five poll" averages simply did not have either one of these move to a new category based on those new polls. Both states are near the edge of a category boundary though, so if new polls confirm what today's polls show, they may flip soon. But that will all depend on what the next polls in those states show.

The same was true of North Carolina before today. There was blog talk for a couple weeks now about how it might be a swing state now based on one or two polls. I did not shift the category until there were enough polls so that the 5 poll average showed a McCain lead of less than 5%.


Abulsme - Wed, 18 Jun 2008, 08:54:44 PDT
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New Firefox

For a long time Firefox has been my browser on Windows. But on Macs I have stuck with Safari. On my Mac I just liked it better, even though Firefox had some things I missed in Safari. Some of that probably just had to do with the skin and it "looking right". (And yes, I know I could have skinned it or tried Camino or whatnot.) But in any case, with Firefox 3 being released in final form yesterday, I went ahead and tried it again. Within a few minutes I had decided to change default browsers. It is quite good. If you haven't yet, head on over to Firefox's site to download it. Very worth it.

There are still a few things I like better in Safari, like the form button shapes, the find function, and resizable text boxes. Overall though, Firefox just has enough little things to make it worth it. (Better URL autocomplete, selectable search box, extensions, etc.)

I'll give Safari another shot next time they push a major update to it. Snow Leopard maybe?

Or maybe something will really frustrate me about Firefox in the next few days and I'll go back early. But right now I'm doubting that.


Abulsme - Wed, 18 Jun 2008, 07:39:55 PDT
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Tue 17 Jun 2008

Thank You Eurisko

Found by looking at referrers to my site today:

Abulsme Blog
(Eurisko97, A Transitional Phase, 17 Jun 2008)

I am impressed with Abulsme's tracking of the election. I've been reading him since the democratic nomination process, since he was making clear, unbalanced, reality based analysis of the results. The impression I'm getting from his website is that this election is definitely not in the bag. Believe it or not, it seems like it is just as close as the last one. If Obama got all his leans, and McCain got all his leans, and DC when to McCain... we'd have a 269-269 electoral tie.
Glad you like it! I'll try to keep it up through the elections!


Abulsme - Tue, 17 Jun 2008, 17:44:43 PDT
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Mon 16 Jun 2008

Electoral College: Nevada flips to McCain



Today's update includes a new poll which moves Nevada from "Leaning Obama" to "Leaning McCain". The state is of course still in the "Leaning" category which means it is really too close to call. But now McCain has the slight edge.

Current Summary:

McCain Best Case - McCain 313, Obama 225
Obama Best Case - Obama 336, McCain 202

And if everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) - Obama 272, McCain 266

Do you see how close that is? Wow. Close. Actually, if everybody got their leans, but DC (where we still have no polls) went for McCain, we'd have a 269-269 electoral college tie. Which would be awesome.

Of course, the odds of McCain winning DC are probably about the same as me spontaneously quantum tunneling to the moon. So I don't think we have to worry about that. :-)


Abulsme - Mon, 16 Jun 2008, 09:59:32 PDT
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Sat 14 Jun 2008

A Little Mom Bio

Looks like she made her local paper.

Pastor taught in Africa
(Sandra Baer, Dayton Daily News, 12 Jun 2008)

The Rev. Ruth M. Brandon of Bellbrook traveled far and wide before moving to Bellbrook, where she lives and serves as an Association Minister for the Southwest Ohio Northern Kentucky Association Ohio Conference of the United Church of Christ.

An Ohio native, Brandon was born in Greenville, but moved to Vermont with her mother and two brothers following the death of her father, who was also a minister.

...


Abulsme - Sat, 14 Jun 2008, 16:26:31 PDT
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Fri 13 Jun 2008

Firetruck



Brandy does not want me to say why, but we had a firetruck at our house a few hours ago. Everything and everybody will be fine though. It may take a little while though.


Abulsme - Fri, 13 Jun 2008, 22:20:04 PDT
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Russert Dead

Wow, that one was out of the blue.

NBC's Tim Russert dead at 58
(NBC News and MSNBC)

WASHINGTON - Tim Russert, NBC News’ Washington bureau chief and the moderator of “Meet the Press,” died Friday after collapsing in the bureau, NBC News said Friday. He was 58.

Russert was recording voiceovers for Sunday’s “Meet the Press” program when he collapsed, the network said. No details were immediately available.


Abulsme - Fri, 13 Jun 2008, 12:46:49 PDT
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ChChChChanges

A little over half an hour ago, I dropped Amy off at school for the last day of 7th grade. It is a short day. Brandy will pick her up and she will be home by noon. At will also be the last day at Eastside Prep. This makes me sad, but as I've talked about before this year was a rocky year. The school, which had been a wonderful place for us in 6th grade, had just not lived up to expectations in 7th grade. Too much of the time it felt like we (and Amy) were in conflict with the school rather than feeling like the school was really doing their best to act in the best interests of Amy. Conflict over things that should have been no-brainers and obvious or at least easily resolved, which instead became soul-sucking battles. Things got a lot better in the third trimester when we had Amy switched back to the advisor she had in 6th grade who we liked a lot, rather than the advisor Amy had most of the year who Amy just never really got along with. The little things make a huge difference. But it was too late. A lot of the trust and faith we had in the school was already gone. And Amy and Brandy had already fallen in love with a new school.

In the fall Amy will be attending Chrysalis. As is probably obvious just from the name, it is a much less traditional program than EPS. Lots of one on one classes. (All math classes for instance, are always one on one.) In general class size is much smaller than the 30 that is typical in a public school, or even the 15 or so that was normal at EPS. Classes tend to be more like 6 students. And they put an emphasis on matching the right students to the right teachers (and classmates) to ensure a good match in personality, learning style, etc. There is also a lot of emphasis on flexibility. In classes where the student is ahead and going quickly (in Amy's case Math for instance) they enable that. In cases where the student needs some extra pushing (in Amy's case study skills) they spend extra time on that. Things like that. There are some bits that I'm worried might be a bit wishy washy and allow the students to slack a bit in some cases, but we shall see.

In the mean time, we just got a call from Amy, extremely upset, because she hadn't gotten her yearbook when they were handed out today. They say we never submitted the form and paid and all that. Of course we had in fact done those things. Brandy is now rushing to the school to try to resolve the issue and make sure Amy has a yearbook that her friends can sign and such.

As if we needed it, final proof we made the right decision.


Abulsme - Fri, 13 Jun 2008, 08:21:25 PDT
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Electoral College: MA, NJ go Strong for Obama



New polls push Obama's leads in both Massachusetts and New Jersey to more than 10%. This basically means these states are not only not in play, but are probably not even worth McCain putting time, effort and money into trying to put them back in play.

Current Summary:

McCain Best Case - McCain 313, Obama 225
Obama Best Case - Obama 336, McCain 202

And if everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) - Obama 277, McCain 261


Abulsme - Fri, 13 Jun 2008, 06:59:36 PDT
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Thu 12 Jun 2008

Home Again

I'm home again. Exhausted though. Some day I'll learn to book at least one additional day off after my flight gets me home. Arriving well after midnight, then getting up in the morning to go to work sucks. Plus I need to be in early because my work laptop started blue screening on boot about half way through the time I was gone, so I need to take it straight to the place that deals with that sort of thing so I can have a functional machine before the work day really starts. Bleh. I just want to be asleep right now.


Abulsme - Thu, 12 Jun 2008, 06:16:22 PDT
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Tue 10 Jun 2008

Late Delegates



I wasn't sure if CNN would be doing more updates of their delegate counts, but indeed they have. In today's update, Obama gains 43 delegates while Clinton loses 30. There are 131 Democratic delegates still unaccounted for.



And there were updates on the Republican side too. 58 more delegates for McCain, 16 for Romney and 3 for Huckabee. There are 221 Republican delegates still unaccounted for.


Abulsme - Tue, 10 Jun 2008, 21:49:40 PDT
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Cynthia's Graduation


Abulsme - Tue, 10 Jun 2008, 14:08:57 PDT
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Mon 09 Jun 2008

Volumes Fixed

The most recent Curmudgeon's Corner is now fixed. Well, it ain't a masterpiece, but it is a lot better than it was.

If anybody tried to listen and gave up because it was unlistenable, force your podcast catching software to download it again and you should be good to go. Apologies for the problem.

For anybody who cares, the issue is with Garage Band's Autonormalize option, which is supposed to BOOST the volume to a normalized level if the highest volume in your audio is lower than full volume. For whatever reason, it instead decided to dampen the volume. And for that matter just completely ignore the differing volumes I'd put on different tracks, the filters I had in place, etc. I turned that off and the results were once what I actually heard while editing in Garage Band.

Now, having said that, there was still an issue with my voice quality in the second half, as when I dropped Cynthia and went solo, unbenounced to me it stopped using my headset mic and started using the built in mic. But I knew that already when I was editing.

I'd always basically trusted in the past though that what I heard in Garage Band was basically what would be in the output once I exported. Guess I shouldn't trust that. Bleh.

Also, let me just say, trying to troubleshoot and adjust things in Garage Band over a slow VNC connection from the other side of the continent from my desktop is a major pain. This is something I will try to avoid in the future.


Abulsme - Mon, 9 Jun 2008, 23:20:01 PDT
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Electoral College: South Carolina Strengthens for McCain



A new poll in South Carolina... only the second poll there so far this election season... moves McCain's lead in South Carolina to more than 5%. This moves it from my "Lean McCain" category to "Weak McCain" and takes it out of the swing state category.

Current Summary:

McCain Best Case - McCain 313, Obama 225
Obama Best Case - Obama 336, McCain 202

And if everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) - Obama 277, McCain 261


Abulsme - Mon, 9 Jun 2008, 23:02:33 PDT
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Volumes

I have now confirmed in two independant ways that the volumes in the Curmudgeon's Corner I published yesterday are all screwed up and it is pretty much unlistenable. It sounded fine before I hit the "Save to MP3" button in Garage Band, so I'm not sure what is up. I didn't realize something was wrong until I was airborne. I'm not at home, so I'm not sure how much I'll be able to do, but in a few hours I'll try to see if I can figure out something I can do remotely to fix and republish it. Sorry for any inconvenience.


Abulsme - Mon, 9 Jun 2008, 16:27:01 PDT
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Sun 08 Jun 2008

Curmudgeon's Corner: From One Phase to Another

Sam and Cynthia talk about:

  • Approaching Graduation
  • Keeping in Touch
  • Getting ready for College
  • Leaving Home
  • Clinton's Drop Out
  • Government and Bureaucracy
  • Libertarian for Obama?
  • New iPhone?
  • Not Much Else
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Abulsme - Sun, 8 Jun 2008, 18:13:41 PDT
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Selecting Seats

I've "selected my seat" a bunch of different times for my flight Monday, but it keeps getting reset. I set them all when I first booked the tickets a few weeks ago. I selected again about a week ago. And I go now to double check the exact time of my flight and all, and two out of my four legs are reset again. Grrr.... here I go again. Less good seats to choose from now of course. And I bet when I actually get to the airport, I'll have to select my seats yet again. Grrr...


Abulsme - Sun, 8 Jun 2008, 09:09:00 PDT
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Sat 07 Jun 2008

DVD: Doctor Who: The Invasion: Disk 2

Time for another old Doctor Who. This time it was time for the second disk of The Invasion. We has watched the first disk back in March.

The second disk is much like the first. Slow and plodding, with not much happening, and those things happening at a glacial pace. There is never a significant sense of menace. And the ending is very anti-climactic.

I thought I'd heard some people point to this as a particularly good Second Doctor story, but I must admit I just don't get it if so. I've certainly seen others I like more. This one was just... long.

The first disk had the novelty of a few of the episodes being animated, because only the audio from the original episodes had survived, so they animated it to let you be able to watch a whole story. That was interesting, although it didn't help the pacing obviously.

The second disk had no animation in it, so it was just kind of there.

Oh well. Next!


Abulsme - Sat, 7 Jun 2008, 23:57:01 PDT
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A Duff in Seattle



My old college neighbor Jay was in town. A little over 24 hours ago Amy and I met him for dinner. I think it had been between 10 and 11 years since the last time I saw him. It was good to briefly catch up. :-)


Abulsme - Sat, 7 Jun 2008, 18:45:25 PDT
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All Hands 8


Abulsme - Sat, 7 Jun 2008, 13:58:00 PDT
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Electoral College: Missouri Weakens for McCain



New polls have Missouri weakening from being a "Weak McCain" state to being a "Leaning McCain" state... meaning McCain is ahead by less than 5% based on the last five polls in the state. This puts the state in play as a potential swing state and improves Obama's "best case" scenario.

Current Summary:

McCain Best Case - McCain 313, Obama 225
Obama Best Case - Obama 344, McCain 194

And if everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) - Obama 277, McCain 261


Abulsme - Sat, 7 Jun 2008, 13:39:12 PDT
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Thu 05 Jun 2008

Final Round of MT, SD Updates



The final four delegates for Montana and South Dakota are now determined. Clinton got three of them, Obama got one. That brings the final results to Clinton 16, Obama 15. I had expected Clinton 14, Obama 17 based on the polls. So Clinton out-performed expectations one final time. Of course, it didn't matter.

In today's update Obama also picks up one more superdelegate (a bit late there dude).

Total for today, Clinton 3, Obama 2.

I expect at this point CNN will get less aggressive about making sure their totals are up to date and correct as additional superdelegates endorse, and as some existing delegates start shifting to Obama. When they do give updates, if they give updates, I will continue to post them. There are still quite a few delegates unaccounted for on both the Republican and Democratic sides. I hope they continue to track until everything is fully settled, and strive to have numbers as we approach the convention that approximate the actual final roll call vote, but I'm not sure they will bother.

Oh well.


Abulsme - Thu, 5 Jun 2008, 07:16:37 PDT
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Wed 04 Jun 2008

And on the Drop Out

Oh yeah... I was still at work when I got my CNN Breaking News alert on my phone about Clinton's plans to officially suspend her campaign this weekend.... So I didn't post anything at the time.

Not much new to comment other than thank goodness. As much fun as it would be to watch her stretch this out, it is better this way.

Now we'll see just how she does it and if she manages to actually undo any of the damage she has been doing lately.


Abulsme - Wed, 4 Jun 2008, 21:56:21 PDT
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Town Halls

McCain challenged Obama to one on one town halls again yesterday. He first suggested the idea a couple of weeks ago. It the time Obama said it sounded interesting. Yesterday his campaign basically said we'll think about it in a few weeks.

Obama should not just accept McCain's proposal as is without any modifications, but they SHOULD do the town hall thing together. Maybe not ten, but more than one too.

This would be awesome. I hope the two campaigns can work it out.


Abulsme - Wed, 4 Jun 2008, 20:31:31 PDT
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First Round of MT, SD Updates



As we all know, the main news since the last update is that Obama passed the magic number to clinch the nomination, absent major catastrophe between now and the convention. But there were actual primary results too.

27 of the 31 delegates from Montana and South Dakota have now been determined. So far Obama has gotten 14 of them and Clinton has gotten 13 of them. With 4 delegates left to be determined.

In the mean time though Obama also got 59... that is FIFTY NINE... superdelegate endorsements yesterday. And Clinton lost 7 superdelegates to Obama. Obama also got 7 Edwards delegates who switched over.

Net for the day: Obama up 80, Clinton up 6, Edwards down 7. Obama only needed 42 delegates to win, so there we go.

New stats:

Delegate count is: Obama 2156, Clinton 1923, Edwards 6

In percent terms that is: Obama 52.8%, Clinton 47.1%, Edwards 0.1%

2118 delegates were needed to win.

There are 149 delegates yet to be determined.

I just want to take this opportunity to say that the 149 superdelegates who have not yet declared are a bunch of spineless cowards. They all know who they liked, and they have all known for a long time. I've heard all the reasons for waiting, but they are all bullshit. All of these people should have declared long ago.

In any case, with Obama past the magic number, if Clinton really wanted to continue to dispute this, she would need to A) Keep fighting to try to get full representation for Florida and Michigan, and reverse the allocation the rules committee gave to Michigan and B) Start convincing a LOT of superdelegates who have declared for Obama to change their minds.

There is no way either of those two things would be successful to a large enough degree to change the results though. So if she does go on, there is no possible positive result, just mischief.


Abulsme - Wed, 4 Jun 2008, 08:05:57 PDT
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Tue 03 Jun 2008

DVD: Sin City

Last weekend, right after we watched Indy in the theaters, we watched the DVD of the week. Now, I've been pushing really hard to make the weekly movie really a weekly movie, but after doing a theater movie immediately followed by a DVD at home, I'm thinking maybe on weekends where we actually go to the theater maybe we can skip the DVD.

Anyway, it was time for an Amy Netflix movie, but Amy's Netflix movie was a sequel to a movie I hadn't seen, so it was disqualified. And then she watched it on her own before movie night, so it was doubly disqualified. Any way, that meant we went with the second choice, which was Brandy's Netflix movie, which was Sin City.

What can I say. It was odd. It was disturbing. But it was strangely compelling. I am mystified to say that I think I actually liked it. It had my attention the entire movie. In part because I felt like I had to pay close attention to understand what the hell was going on... and even then I'm not sure I actually did ever really understand. But it pulled me in and kept me.

And did I mention it was odd? It was done in a very highly-stylized comic book sort of look. Which just added to the effect. This movie wouldn't have worked at all if it was done "normally" I think. But matching the style of the comic book... sorry... graphic novel it is based on worked very well for it I think.

Anyway, I didn't expect to be really interested in this or like this at all, but I did. Weird. But I liked it in a curious can't stop looking at the bizarre thing you almost stepped on in the sidewalk sort of way, not in the way you get when there was a really compelling story that resonates emotionally.


Abulsme - Tue, 3 Jun 2008, 20:22:43 PDT
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This is our Moment, This is our Time

Just watched Obama's speech. Watched most of McCain's earlier.

He's going to wipe the floor with McCain. Just sayin'.


Abulsme - Tue, 3 Jun 2008, 19:39:19 PDT
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Fighting On?

She does realize that if she makes a nuisance of herself at this point the only two possible results are weakening Obama for the general election (perhaps making him lose) and destroying her own future in the Senate and the Democratic party, right? She realizes it, right? It won't set her up for 2012 or anything. It just won't.


Abulsme - Tue, 3 Jun 2008, 19:05:42 PDT
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Tooting Time

I'm 2 out of 2 so far in my original pre-Iowa predictions.

One more prediction to go. Will it be 3 for 3?


Abulsme - Tue, 3 Jun 2008, 18:55:07 PDT
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The Map at the Starting Line



There have been a bunch of these coming out in the last few days, but here is mine based on my Electoral College Prediction pages, which use the last five polls in each state based on pollster.com data. In this map the "Leaning" states for both candidates (with leads under 5%) are shown as "Undecided". All states where a candidate is "weak" or "strong" in my classification (leads over 5%) are colored for their candidate.

Bottom line, the race at the moment is too close to call, with enough undecided states to easily make either candidate win depending on which way those leaning states end up going.

But we knew that already, didn't we?


Abulsme - Tue, 3 Jun 2008, 18:51:09 PDT
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No Decisions Tonight

But maybe tomorrow...


Abulsme - Tue, 3 Jun 2008, 18:49:21 PDT
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Clinton's Popular Vote

She's bringing up the bogus popular vote argument (she only wins if you don't count some caucus states). And she is going through all the reasons she (still) thinks she is the best candidate. Is she really going to keep pushing this forward? Really?

Well, now she's talking more about issues than about herself.

I wonder just how much trouble she will make over the next few weeks.

Hopefully she will just go away. But I know that is wishful thinking.


Abulsme - Tue, 3 Jun 2008, 18:38:07 PDT
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Obama Clinches the Nomination

As the polls close in South Dakota, Obama goes over the top.

Clinton may or may not officially give up and endorse him today, but it is now finally time to press the play button on this:



(Note: If you are reading this in an RSS reader, you may need to click through to the actual post to see the widget and press play. :-) )


Abulsme - Tue, 3 Jun 2008, 18:00:38 PDT
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Just a Few Minutes

Polls start closing in less than 8 minutes.

Obama only needs 4 delegates by CNN's count.

It is so exciting!


Abulsme - Tue, 3 Jun 2008, 17:52:17 PDT
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Ten

Obama is now 10 delegates away as per CNN. If the rate we have seen over the past few hours continues, he will clinch this before the polls even close in Montana and South Dakota. He needed 42 when I posted 9 hours ago.


Abulsme - Tue, 3 Jun 2008, 15:52:52 PDT
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Electoral College: Washington gets Stronger for Obama



New polls push Obama's lead in Washington State over 10% moving it from the "weak" category to "strong".

Just as a review, "leaning" states are ones where the lead is less than 5%, so they are very actively in play as swing states. "Weak" states are ones where the lead is between 5% and 10%... they are not really currently in play, but there is the possibility that events or heavy campaigning might put those states back into the game as we go on. "Strong" states are ones where one candidate has a lead of greater than 10%... meaning absent major changes in the state of the race, those states are "safe" and are very unlikely to be actively "in play"... absent, of course, very major changes.

We do have many months until the election. These charts and graphs and numbers really should NOT be viewed as a prediction of the actual election results. We are too far out. They should be viewed as a snapshot of the state of the campaign RIGHT NOW. And looking at the historical charts you can try to look for trends as time goes on. But we do have a LONG WAY until the actual election.

Current Summary:

McCain Best Case - McCain 313, Obama 225
Obama Best Case - Obama 333, McCain 205

And if everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) - Obama 277, McCain 261


Abulsme - Tue, 3 Jun 2008, 08:31:28 PDT
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Delegates before the Final Primaries



Eight more superdelegates today. Six for Obama, Two for Clinton.

So the new statistics:

Delegate count is: Obama 2076, Clinton 1917, Edwards 13

In percent terms that is: Obama 51.8%, Clinton 47.9%, Edwards 0.3%

2118 delegates are needed to win.

There are 228 delegates yet to be determined.

Obama needs 42 more delegates to win.

Clinton needs 201 more delegates to win.

In percentage terms, that means:

Obama needs 18.4% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 22.9% before PR.)

Clinton needs 88.2% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 82.3% before PR.)

After two days, Puerto Rico and a bunch of superdelegates have already completely erased the benefit (in terms of percent of remaining delegates needed) that Clinton got from the Rules and Bylaws Committee over the weekend.

Based on the recent (limited) polls, I expect Obama to get 17 more pledged delegates out of Montana and South Carolina. (Compared to 14 for Clinton, not that it matters.)

That means that Obama needs about 25 more superdelegates to endorse to clinch the nomination.

There are lots of rumors swirling today about various blocks of supers intending to endorse Obama right after polls close tonight. None of these have been officially confirmed of course. Obama really wants to be able to wrap this up tonight and declare victory. If they keep trickling in during the day and then there is a bunch of them right as the polls close, he may be able to do this.

Or, he could be in the awkward situation of still being a few delegates short, with everybody knowing that he will get there... but not tonight.

We shall see. But this may well be over in less than 24 hours.

Well, at least in terms of Obama having the number of delegates he needs.

Who knows if Hillary will actually admit defeat and drop out or not. Or if instead she does that "suspend her campaign while reserving the right to make trouble between now and the convention" option.

First polls close in about 11 hours. Woo!


Abulsme - Tue, 3 Jun 2008, 06:56:58 PDT
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Mon 02 Jun 2008

Cinema: Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull

So, Sunday Amy wanted to go to a movie with some friends from school. She went to the new Narnia movie. Brandy and I decided to go to a movie ourselves while the kids did their movie. We went to the new Indiana Jones.

Now, this was a bit of a dilemma for me, as I wasn't actually sure if I'd ever seen the second one. But in the end I decided to go.

Now, I think I actually have seen fully the first and third ones at some point along the line. Probably on TV, not in the theaters, and probably in edited for TV 4:3 versions. But I saw them, I guess. Just not sure I ever managed the second one in whole, although I'm sure I've seen parts of it.

Anyway, we saw it. My thoughts... which seem to echo most other comments about it... "Eh, OK". I mean, it was interesting I guess. And there were some funny moments. And frankly, I can't really remember the older ones to know if they were really about the same or not. It was fine and all, but I'm not sure exactly why they bothered. (Except for the $$$ of course.)

I mean, it was an OK movie I guess. I was entertained, I do not begrudge the price of the tickets or the popcorn. But it seems like this was just somehow... unneeded.

Especially the ending, which I won't give away here. I mean really, did we need that? Did we? Really? (And I'm not talking about the actual end, but rather the climax.)

Oh well. An escapist couple of hours if you're looking for that on a weekend.


Abulsme - Mon, 2 Jun 2008, 21:57:48 PDT
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Curmudgeon's Corner: One Year Later

Sam and Ivan talk about:

  • Our Anniversary
  • More Car Shopping
  • Scott McClellan and his Book
  • News Media Quality (Again)
  • Resume Writing
  • The Rules Committee
  • Puerto Rican Primary
  • The Popular Vote
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Abulsme - Mon, 2 Jun 2008, 10:21:03 PDT
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Delegates after Puerto Rico



Unlike some states, Puerto Rico seems to have its act together. All 55 delegates determined by the primaries yesterday have already been allocated. The totals... 38 for Clinton, 17 for Obama. (I note Hillary does even better here than I had predicted. I though Obama would get 23 delegates, which would have been 32 for Clinton. She did better than that. She got 38. That is 69.1%. Which is a HUGE victory... but not huge enough. Clinton needed 82.3% to be on a pace to win. This huge win actually leaves her further from winning than before. Oh well.

Also in this update, Obama picks up 2 more superdelegates. So total for the day, Clinton up 38, Obama up 19.

So the new statistics:

Delegate count is: Obama 2070, Clinton 1915, Edwards 13

In percent terms that is: Obama 51.8%, Clinton 47.9%, Edwards 0.3%

2118 delegates are needed to win.

There are 236 delegates yet to be determined.

Obama needs 48 more delegates to win.

Clinton needs 203 more delegates to win.

In percentage terms, that means:

Obama needs 20.3% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 22.9% before PR.)

Clinton needs 86.0% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 82.3% before PR.)

Two more states to go, and then we wait on the superdelegates. I expect once the voting is over, there will be a race by superdelegates to see who can put Obama over the edge.


Abulsme - Mon, 2 Jun 2008, 08:36:28 PDT
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Sun 01 Jun 2008

Delegates after the Rules Change



So the rules nonsense is done (at least for now). They shouldn't have, but they gave Florida and Michigan some delegates. And in Michigans's case they completely threw out the election results and just allocated delegates the way they felt like. They shouldn't have done that either. They decided to seat the full delegates, but give them half votes. For purposes of our counts, they all count as half delegates. All of this is bogus. They shouldn't have done it. And if they did do the half delegate thing, they should have seated Michigan by the actual election results, they should not have used completely made up numbers. But they have indeed done it.

Because of all this, there is a new "magic number". Depending on who you listen to, it is now either 2117 or 2118. There is an explanation of the difference at fivethirtyeight.com. For now I will use 2118 since that is what CNN is using, and I have been using them for my delegate counts all along.

So, after all of yesterday's shenanigans, the magic number moves from 2026 to 2118. And Obama gets 63 more pledged delegate votes and 4 more superdelegate votes. Clinton gets 87 more pledged and 7 more super. Oh yeah, and Edwards gets 6 pledged delegates too. (Comparing CNN's Counts to Democratic Convention Watch I think CNN is rounding off half delegates. I don't like that, but it is a little late to switch data sources, so I'll stick with CNN.)

The new statistics:

Delegate count is: Obama 2051, Clinton 1877, Edwards 13

In percent terms that is: Obama 52.0%, Clinton 47.6%, Edwards 0.3%

2118 delegates are needed to win.

There are 293 delegates yet to be determined.

Obama needs 67 more delegates to win. (Up from 42 yesterday.)

Clinton needs 241 more delegates to win. (Down from 243 yesterday.)

In percentage terms, that means:

Obama needs 22.9% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 15.2% before the RBC.)

Clinton needs 82.3% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 88.0% before the RBC.)

This one day of rules changes benefits Clinton more than any primary or caucus since, well, ever. This is the single hugest improvement in her position (in terms of percent of delegates she needs to get to win) that she has ever had. In the end though, it puts her percentage needed back to where it was ELEVEN DAYS AGO. So, she puts Obama back by less than two weeks. Her percentage needed is still over 80%. Which is pretty much impossible. It just slightly delays Obama clinching the nomination.

Of course, her camp is threatening to take this all the way to the convention, once again disputing Florida and Michigan, and changing the magic number once again. Of course, she'd still be behind, she'd still lose. But whatever.

Right now, assuming no further changes in Florida and Michigan, Obama needs 67 more delegates to win. Based on the limited poll data available, I expect Obama to get 23 delegates in Puerto Rico and 17 in Montana and South Dakota, for a total of 40 delegates. That would leave him needing 27 more delegates to clinch the nomination.

How long will it take to get them? I'm not sure, but I don't think it will be very long.

Will Hillary concede? Or will she fight on to the convention regardless. Dunno. That is perhaps the harder question.


Abulsme - Sun, 1 Jun 2008, 11:21:42 PDT
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Sat 31 May 2008

DVD: Funny Face

I really should post these sooner to when I watch them. In any case, last week it was time for a Brandy Netflix movie, and the one she had at the time was Funny Face, a 1957 Audrey Hepburn movie. Now, I really like Audrey Hepburn in a bunch of things. Ones I have seen and liked are Sabrina, The Nun's Story, Breakfast at Tiffany's, Charade and Wait Until Dark.

I remember having seen this one on TV years ago, but then and now it is just not one that I particularly liked all that much. There were parts that I liked (her first scene in the bookstore) but for the most part it just fell flat for me. The musical numbers didn't excite me, and the whole fact that over the course of the movie she started out interesting and intellectual and ended up all doing the modeling thing just didn't have a trajectory that inspired me.

And what the hell was that dance in the nightclub? That was just freaky.

Now, it wasn't bad or anything, just not one of her best I think. And not one of a style I particularly like.

And the movie poster is really long, and I don't have much more to say, so we may end up with the picture being longer than what I write. I kind of hate it when that happens, and it kind of tempts me to just keep writing random stuff until I make this long enough to be longer than the picture. Of course, that depends on how wide you make your window, so it is kind of pointless anyway, so I will stop now.

Summary: If you are an Audrey Hepburn completist, of course you have to watch this, it is one of her famous ones. But otherwise, unless you really like this kind of 1950's musical, it can probably be skipped.


Abulsme - Sat, 31 May 2008, 22:18:02 PDT
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