Abulsme.com: ECP Tweet

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-06-13 (UTC)

05:34:38 Poll Added: Hinckley w/3P in UT from 2016-06-06 to 2016-06-08 – Clinton 35% to Trump 35% https://t.co/B46OrdK5Wi
05:38:26 Also logged full 3P result offline: Hinckley in UT from 2016-06-06 to 2016-06-08 – Clinton 35% to Trump 35% to Johnson 13%
05:40:55 Poll Added: Hinckley w/3P in UT from 2016-06-06 to 2016-06-08 – Sanders 37% to Trump 35% https://t.co/Kt3rLH34C0
05:41:02 Sanders vs Trump state category change: UT has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/Kt3rLH34C0
05:43:52 Also logged full 3P result offline: Hinckley in UT from 2016-06-06 to 2016-06-08 – Sanders 37% to Trump 35% to Johnson 12%
05:55:41 Poll Added: Zogby in KS from 2016-06-04 to 2016-06-06 – Clinton 43% to Trump 36% https://t.co/azzS2TXCff
06:08:51 The Utah and Kansas polls are it for today. No changes that trigger a post at @ElectionGraphs this time. https://t.co/3G9ubzNyRJ

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-06-09 (UTC)

04:17:08 4 way poll logged offline for the moment: PPP in PA from 2016-06-03 to 2016-06-05 – Clinton 41% to Trump 40% to Johnson 6% to Stein 3%
04:19:01 Poll Added: PPP in PA from 2016-06-03 to 2016-06-05 – Clinton 44% to Trump 44% https://t.co/V0XiAFhmY8
04:19:07 Clinton vs Trump state category change: PA has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton https://t.co/V0XiAFhmY8
04:22:42 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 3.9 in NV -> Clinton by 3.8 in PA https://t.co/X085Fu8XAB
04:22:43 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 264 to Trump 274 -> Clinton 244 to Trump 294 https://t.co/X085Fu8XAB
04:24:01 4 way poll logged offline for the moment: PPP in PA from 2016-06-03 to 2016-06-05 – Sanders 45% to Trump 36% to Johnson 5% to Stein 1%
04:25:38 Poll Added: PPP in PA from 2016-06-03 to 2016-06-05 – Sanders 51% to Trump 39% https://t.co/TKK3ejFM9l
04:25:44 Sanders vs Trump state category change: PA has moved from Strong Sanders to Solid Sanders https://t.co/TKK3ejFM9l
04:37:06 4 way poll logged offline for the moment: PPP in FL from 2016-06-02 to 2016-06-05 – Clinton 40% to Trump 41% to Johnson 4% to Stein 2%
04:38:36 Poll Added: PPP in FL from 2016-06-02 to 2016-06-05 – Clinton 44% to Trump 45% https://t.co/tz4KHe58s3
04:42:37 4 way poll logged offline for the moment: PPP in FL from 2016-06-02 to 2016-06-05 – Sanders 40% to Trump 40% to Johnson 5% to Stein 1%
04:44:40 Poll Added: PPP in FL from 2016-06-02 to 2016-06-05 – Sanders 46% to Trump 43% https://t.co/474las76nC
05:17:59 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in CT from 2016-06-01 to 2016-06-05 – Clinton 45% to Trump 38% https://t.co/Ud5D3hwNYS
05:22:09 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in CT from 2016-06-01 to 2016-06-05 – Sanders 54% to Trump 35% https://t.co/LDB138NCm2
05:26:35 4 way poll logged offline 4 the moment: Quinnipiac in CT from 2016-06-01 to 2016-06-05 – Clinton 41% to Trump 36% to Johnson 6% to Stein 3%
05:55:56 The polls in PA/FL/CT are it for today. There was a notable change, so there will be an @ElectionGraphs post later.

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-06-08 (UTC)

00:59:44 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 00:51:33 Dem update from NJ. New totals 4 tonight. Clinton +29, Sanders +22, TBD 643. Clinton at 2383. She is the nominee. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7
14:22:25 Blog post on Clinton clinching the Democratic nomination now up at @ElectionGraphs.

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-06-07 (UTC)

03:19:10 Poll Added: Gravis in UT from 2016-05-31 to 2016-06-01 – Clinton 29% to Trump 36% https://t.co/3LbHz8OZ4C
03:19:16 Clinton vs Trump state category change: UT has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/3LbHz8OZ4C
03:24:30 Poll Added: Gravis w/3P in UT from 2016-05-31 to 2016-06-01 – Clinton 26% to Trump 29% https://t.co/cAd3Z7uI0F
03:24:36 Clinton vs Trump state category change: UT has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump https://t.co/cAd3Z7uI0F
03:27:42 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 384 to Trump 154 -> Clinton 390 to Trump 148 https://t.co/muwSZW1Iy8
03:31:19 Full 3P result logged offline: Gravis in UT from 2016-05-31 to 2016-06-01 – Clinton 26% to Trump 29% to Johnson 16%
04:08:19 Those Utah results are it for today, but they caused a notable change, so there will be an @ElectionGraphs blog post soon.
23:27:52 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 23:27:06 Everything set for tonight. Starting next hour there will be hourly updates here @ElectionGraphs. Up for grabs: 694 Dem dels, 303 Rep dels.

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-06-05 (UTC)

22:14:56 Poll Added: YouGov in NJ from 2016-05-31 to 2016-06-03 – Clinton 49% to Trump 34% https://t.co/pT3Wyuc394
22:17:24 Poll Added: YouGov in NJ from 2016-05-31 to 2016-06-03 – Sanders 52% to Trump 34% https://t.co/V79B1gkz5T
22:22:01 Poll Added: YouGov in CA from 2016-05-31 to 2016-06-03 – Clinton 48% to Trump 33% https://t.co/wEr3OlvbdD
22:25:12 Poll Added: YouGov in CA from 2016-05-31 to 2016-06-03 – Sanders 55% to Trump 32% https://t.co/CBVOjDrRfy
22:38:27 Those NJ/CA polls are it for today. No changes that would trigger an @ElectionGraphs blog post. https://t.co/3G9ubzNyRJ

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-06-04 (UTC)

03:15:10 Retweeted @OpenTheDebates 2016-06-01 23:44:47 .@ElecCollPolls Any legit polling & analysis would include third party candidates or a stand in. At least for those always on the ballot. in reply to ElecCollPolls
03:16:02 .@OpenTheDebates There are pros and cons to that, but we don’t make the polls, we just log them. :-) in reply to OpenTheDebates
03:17:09 Poll Added: Mason-Dixon w/3P in FL from 2016-05-31 to 2016-06-02 – Clinton 45% to Trump 42% https://t.co/PC9EcVzz3r
03:20:47 Full 3P result logged off site: Mason-Dixon in FL from 2016-05-31 to 2016-06-02 – Clinton 45% to Trump 42% to Johnson 6%
03:22:39 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 4.2 in FL -> Clinton by 3.9 in NV https://t.co/NxOYgO0FAd
03:23:44 Poll Added: Mason-Dixon in FL from 2016-05-31 to 2016-06-02 – Biden 50% to Trump 40% https://t.co/33jB1vAKkK
03:25:22 Biden vs Trump tipping point change: Biden by 4.1 in IA -> Biden by 4.8 in FL https://t.co/WdcfzON62Q
03:27:21 Yes, that was a Biden poll. First one in any state against any Republican since October.
03:29:56 Poll Added: Mason-Dixon in FL from 2016-05-31 to 2016-06-02 – Sanders 42% to Trump 42% https://t.co/G8lEsBt8jU
03:37:45 And logged off site with 3P: Mason-Dixon in FL from 2016-05-31 to 2016-06-02 – Biden 50% to Trump 40% to Johnson 6%
03:38:08 And logged off site with 3P: Mason-Dixon in FL from 2016-05-31 to 2016-06-02 – Sanders 42% to Trump 42% to Johnson 8%
03:42:31 Poll Added: Marist in CA from 2016-05-29 to 2016-05-31 – Clinton 55% to Trump 31% https://t.co/kqPtKYeOZq
03:46:35 Poll Added: Marist in CA from 2016-05-29 to 2016-05-31 – Sanders 62% to Trump 28% https://t.co/neatEzHwnA
03:53:30 Poll Added: Field in CA from 2016-05-26 to 2016-05-31 – Clinton 53% to Trump 34% https://t.co/FwOOjMeBMb
03:57:10 Poll Added: Field in CA from 2016-05-26 to 2016-05-31 – Sanders 60% to Trump 31% https://t.co/iDBt5PznuL
04:02:50 Poll Added: USC in CA from 2016-05-19 to 2016-05-31 – Clinton 56% to Trump 30% https://t.co/xhwh5YHpjk
04:37:18 That’s all the new polls for today. We had 1 FL poll and 3 CA polls. There was a change of note, so @ElectionGraphs blog post later.
18:21:36 Retweeted @OpenTheDebates 16:31:53 @ElecCollPolls The only cons are the proponents of the two party system and "lesser evilism". You should be exposing lack of poll inclusion. in reply to ElecCollPolls
18:26:41 .@OpenTheDebates Just analysis here. No advocacy. Main con is 3P in polls usually much larger than actual vote, so may distort 2P margin. in reply to OpenTheDebates

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-06-01 (UTC)

14:26:54 Poll Added: Detroit News in MI from 2016-05-24 to 2016-05-26 – Clinton 43% to Trump 38.5% https://t.co/fwIo43QFKz
14:29:26 Poll Added: Detroit News w/3P in MI from 2016-05-24 to 2016-05-26 – Clinton 36.8% to Trump 32.7% https://t.co/0Iix57Z737
14:37:20 Retweeted @OpenTheDebates 2016-05-31 23:54:18 Clinton & Trump are also presumptive nominees. #OpenTheDebates #OpenThePolls https://t.co/E6GAGLEwrJ
14:38:24 .@OpenTheDebates Indeed. But on the two major parties, I also include all the polling for all the other candidates in my main analysis. in reply to OpenTheDebates
14:39:51 Full 3P result also logged: Detroit News in MI from 2016-05-24 to 2016-05-26 – Clinton 36.8% to Trump 32.7% to Johnson 11.5%
14:40:59 Poll Added: Detroit News in MI from 2016-05-24 to 2016-05-26 – Sanders 51.7% to Trump 33% https://t.co/wtCAnBwFdR
14:49:38 Note, old poll from February by Siena in NY I missed back then coming up next.
14:50:33 Poll Added: Siena in NY from 2016-01-31 to 2016-02-03 – Clinton 57% to Trump 32% https://t.co/tGTzC1Cbq0
14:56:18 Poll Added: Siena in NY from 2016-01-31 to 2016-02-03 – Clinton 57% to Bush 33% https://t.co/kOaL2MrqpT
14:59:29 Poll Added: Siena in NY from 2016-01-31 to 2016-02-03 – Sanders 63% to Trump 30% https://t.co/BrQbsaqVQj
15:02:08 Poll Added: Siena in NY from 2016-01-31 to 2016-02-03 – Sanders 61% to Bush 30% https://t.co/fRIxWWPKks
15:11:22 Now the new Siena poll.
15:13:04 Poll Added: Siena in NY from 2016-05-22 to 2016-05-26 – Clinton 52% to Trump 31% https://t.co/8gggzwK3bb
16:17:38 Poll Added: Monmouth in NJ from 2016-05-23 to 2016-05-27 – Clinton 38% to Trump 34% https://t.co/IbRTOxkEEX
16:20:40 4P result also logged but not on site: Monmouth in NJ from 2016-05-23 to 2016-05-27 – Clinton 37% to Trump 31% to Johnson 5% to Stein 4%
16:26:49 Poll Added: Franklin Pierce in NH from 2016-05-25 to 2016-05-28 – Clinton 44.4% to Trump 43.7% https://t.co/pC7iSeI2aI
16:35:35 Logged with full 4P results: PPP in GA from 2016-05-27 to 2016-05-30 – Clinton 38% to Trump 45% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
16:36:18 Poll Added: PPP in GA from 2016-05-27 to 2016-05-30 – Clinton 40% to Trump 49% https://t.co/OcJ2FsHtti
16:39:12 Logged with full 4P results: PPP in GA from 2016-05-27 to 2016-05-30 – Sanders 36% to Trump 46% to Johnson 5% to Stein 1%
16:41:30 Poll Added: PPP in GA from 2016-05-27 to 2016-05-30 – Sanders 40% to Trump 48% https://t.co/vIgQIYZ2i8
16:41:36 Sanders vs Trump state category change: GA has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump https://t.co/vIgQIYHrqA
16:46:59 Sanders best case vs Trump has changed: Sanders 358 to Trump 180 -> Sanders 374 to Trump 164 https://t.co/ikrreZoyiX
16:52:19 Poll Added: Hoover w/3P in CA from 2016-05-04 to 2016-05-16 – Clinton 45% to Trump 33% https://t.co/b4ued9Qm8T
16:54:25 Full 3-way result also logged: Hoover in CA from 2016-05-04 to 2016-05-16 – Clinton 45% to Trump 33% to Johnson 4%
17:32:30 That’s it for today. Polls added in MI/NY/NJ/NH/GA/CA but no changes that trigger a blog post at @ElectionGraphs.

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-05-29 (UTC)

22:28:37 Now that Johnson is officially the Libertarian nominee I will include polls listing him in my main 2 party analysis. https://t.co/3G9ubzNyRJ
22:30:01 For the moment, I still won’t include 4 way polls including Stein, as the Green party nomination won’t be official until early August. in reply to ElecCollPolls
22:31:28 The analysis will remain a two party analysis though unless or until there are state level polls showing a 3rd party within 5% of the lead. in reply to ElecCollPolls
22:32:41 Only at that point would my method of modeling give the possibility of the 3rd party getting electoral votes. in reply to ElecCollPolls
22:34:15 If that became a real possibility, I’d have to restructure https://t.co/jhA43MycAP to allow for that. Until then, it assumes only D/R wins. in reply to ElecCollPolls
22:35:32 The poll listings on https://t.co/jhA43MycAP will only show the D/R results. I’ll note in the poll name that 3Ps are included. in reply to ElecCollPolls
22:37:14 I will continue to log full results for polls inc 3 & 4 candidates separately in case they ever end up being needed for a full 3P analysis. in reply to ElecCollPolls
22:43:45 There were two 3-way polls with Johnson I already logged. I will fold them into my main 2-way listings shortly with вЂњw/3PвЂќ in poll names. in reply to ElecCollPolls
22:45:24 As mentioned, although there are six 4-way polls with Johnson & Stein so far, I won’t be folding them in unless/until Stein is official. in reply to ElecCollPolls
22:48:06 Poll Added: PPP w/3P in NM from 2016-05-13 to 2016-05-14 – Clinton 41% to Trump 33% https://t.co/e12I1h2xCM
22:51:41 Poll Added: Gravis w/3P in VA from 2016-05-24 to 2016-05-24 – Clinton 44% to Trump 38% https://t.co/AgWOrrjs5P
22:54:56 That’s it for the polls with Johnson as 3rd party that didn’t also have Stein as a 4th party that I had already logged. No status changes.
23:12:54 Poll Added: Civitas w/3P in NC from 2016-05-21 to 2016-05-23 – Clinton 36% to Trump 39% https://t.co/eKT2rlNRoK
23:37:22 Poll Added: Clout in OR from 2016-05-10 to 2016-05-13 – Clinton 42.3% to Trump 44.4% https://t.co/0PZ1S4J1xA

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-05-28 (UTC)

06:57:17 The blog post on Trump clinching the Republican nomination is now up on @ElectionGraphs.

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-05-26 (UTC)

16:08:25 Poll Added: Gravis in VA from 2016-05-24 to 2016-05-24 – Clinton 45% to Trump 41% https://t.co/D6fdogGXln
16:14:41 Poll Added: Gravis in VA from 2016-05-24 to 2016-05-24 – Clinton 44% to Trump 38% to Johnson 6% – Logged but not on site.
16:18:00 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2016-05-20 to 2016-05-22 – Clinton 41% to Trump 43% to Johnson 3% to Stein 2% – Logged but not on site.
16:20:27 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2016-05-20 to 2016-05-22 – Clinton 43% to Trump 47% https://t.co/8gsYklSkIf
16:20:32 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NC has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton https://t.co/8gsYklSkIf
16:22:37 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 5.2 in NC -> Clinton by 4.2 in FL https://t.co/nXG1mZ0pL3
16:22:38 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 279 to Trump 259 -> Clinton 264 to Trump 274 https://t.co/nXG1mZ0pL3
16:24:40 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2016-05-20 to 2016-05-22 – Sanders 43% to Trump 40% to Johnson 3% to Stein 2% – Logged but not on site.
16:26:00 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2016-05-20 to 2016-05-22 – Sanders 48% to Trump 44% https://t.co/LJsuZ5ygY6
16:26:05 Sanders vs Trump state category change: NC has moved from Solid Sanders to Strong Sanders https://t.co/LJsuZ5ygY6
16:33:10 Poll Added: PPIC in CA from 2016-05-13 to 2016-05-22 – Clinton 49% to Trump 39% https://t.co/iQuAIXty8O
16:35:36 Poll Added: PPIC in CA from 2016-05-13 to 2016-05-22 – Sanders 53% to Trump 36% https://t.co/5xDnroc8pI
16:52:20 Poll Added: Zogby in OH from 2016-05-18 to 2016-05-22 – Clinton 45% to Trump 39% https://t.co/xGgOc0ro8R
19:01:33 Poll Added: Zogby w/Other in OH from 2016-05-18 to 2016-05-22 – Clinton 42% to Trump 35% https://t.co/JBaB5FCtjn
19:05:17 Poll Added: Zogby w/Other in OH from 2016-05-18 to 2016-05-22 – Sanders 46% to Trump 35% https://t.co/39OKcd8IQ1
19:09:32 Poll Added: Zogby in OH from 2016-05-18 to 2016-05-22 – Clinton 38% to Trump 33% to Johnson 6% to Stein 3% – Logged but not on site.
19:11:22 Poll Added: Zogby in OH from 2016-05-18 to 2016-05-22 – Sanders 43% to Trump 32% to Johnson 4% to Stein 2% – Logged but not on site.
19:17:01 Poll Added: POS in WI from 2016-05-10 to 2016-05-12 – Clinton 43% to Trump 31% https://t.co/ZfkRJner2e
19:27:24 Polls in VA/NC/CA/OH/WI in today’s scan. There was a change of note, so blog post on @ElectionGraphs later.

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@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-06-13 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-06-09 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-06-08 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-06-07 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-06-05 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-06-04 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-06-01 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-05-29 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-05-28 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-05-26 (UTC)

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