Big delegate update from CNN today.
First, they finally report on the last two delegates from Pennsylvania. (On the Democratic side anyway, CNN has still not reported ANY delegate results on the Republican side for Pennsylvania.)
Hillary picks up the final two PA delegates. That makes the final total for PA 85 Clinton, 73 Obama. That is 53.8% of the delegates in Pennsylvania. If you recall, she would have needed 59.3% of the delegates to have been on a winning pace for the nomination. Obviously she did not do that in Pennsylvania, and has not been doing that for the most part with the superdelegate count since then. The graph above makes that obvious.
Also today, we get superdelegate updates from Illinois, New Mexico, Guam, Indiana, Maryland, South Carolina, Oklahoma and Texas. The one in Guam was a Clinton to Obama switcher. The net haul in superdelegates today is 9 for Obama and 1 for Clinton. Ouch. That's not anywhere close to the ratio Hillary needs either.
Total for the day, 9 for Obama, 3 for Clinton. That is 25% for Clinton. As of yesterday the ratio she needed to be getting was 61.4%. Oops.
So... the updated stats:
The new delegate count is: Obama 1745, Clinton 1602, Edwards 19
In percent terms that is: Obama 51.8%, Clinton 47.6%, Edwards 0.6%
2025 delegates are needed to win.
There are 682 delegates yet to be determined.
Obama needs 280 more delegates to win.
Clinton needs 423 more delegates to win.
In percentage terms, that means:
Obama needs 41.1% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 41.7% before Guam.)
Clinton needs 62.0% of the remaining delegates to win. (It was 61.3% before Guam.)