Electoral College: Michigan Flips to Obama

Obama's bounce continues as Michigan moves from Leaning McCain to Leaning Obama. Obama's lead is less than 5% of course, so it is still a swing state.

Current Summary:

McCain Best Case - McCain 303, Obama 235
Obama Best Case - Obama 378, McCain 160

If everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) - Obama 293, McCain 245

That "if everybody gets their leans" set of numbers is getting more unbalanced. Obama now leads in that metric by more than he ever has since March 8th when we first had polling in all 50 states. His lead is however still not as big as the lead McCain had in that metric in mid-May, and that evaporated after only a couple of weeks. The polls are very fickle things.