2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Bush - New Hampshire [4 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-01-05 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-01-09 17:54 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Bush National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Bush
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonBushMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2016-01-05 12:00

PPP

46.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2016-01-04
2016-01-06

2016-01-08
2016-01-09 17:54

2015-12-01 12:00

PPP

43.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2015-11-30
2015-12-02

2015-12-07
2015-12-08 08:11

2015-11-16 12:00

Fox

42.0%

45.0%

Bush
by 3.0%

2015-11-15
2015-11-17

2015-11-18
2015-11-22 10:55

2015-11-11 12:00

Morning Consult

42.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2015-11-06
2015-11-16

2015-11-19
2015-11-22 09:00

2015-10-17 12:00

PPP

45.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2015-10-16
2015-10-18

2015-10-21
2015-10-25 17:44

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonBushMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2015-09-27 00:00

Marist

42.0%

49.0%

Bush
by 7.0%

2015-09-23
2015-09-30

2015-10-05
2015-10-06 04:23

2015-08-30 00:00

Marist

43.0%

48.0%

Bush
by 5.0%

2015-08-26
2015-09-02

2015-09-06
2015-09-07 18:12

2015-08-23 00:00

PPP

46.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2015-08-21
2015-08-24

2015-08-26
2015-08-27 14:42

2015-07-26 12:00

WMUR

45.0%

46.0%

Bush
by 1.0%

2015-07-22
2015-07-30

2015-08-05
2015-08-06 04:19

2015-05-04 12:00

Purple

44.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2015-05-02
2015-05-06

2015-05-08
2015-05-11 01:08

2015-04-29 00:00

WMUR

41.0%

47.0%

Bush
by 6.0%

2015-04-24
2015-05-03

2015-05-07
2015-05-08 02:42

2015-04-29 00:00

Dartmouth

34.1%

36.9%

Bush
by 2.8%

2015-04-27
2015-04-30

2015-05-06
2015-05-07 04:45

2015-04-22 00:00

Gravis

42.0%

42.0%

TIED

2015-04-21
2015-04-22

2015-04-27
2015-05-01 05:24

2015-04-11 12:00

PPP

49.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2015-04-09
2015-04-13

2015-04-21
2015-04-21 16:54

2015-03-19 00:00

Gravis

43.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2015-03-18
2015-03-19

2015-03-21
2015-03-24 18:21

2015-02-07 00:00

Marist

48.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2015-02-03
2015-02-10

2015-02-15
2015-02-15 19:07

2015-02-03 00:00

Purple

50.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2015-01-31
2015-02-05

2015-02-11
2015-02-13 08:55

2015-01-28 12:00

WMUR

51.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2015-01-22
2015-02-03

2015-02-09
2015-02-11 06:39

2014-11-15 12:00

Purple

47.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2014-11-12
2014-11-18

2014-11-24
2014-11-25 05:35

2014-07-10 12:00

Marist

47.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2014-07-07
2014-07-13

2014-07-17
2014-07-18 14:42

2014-04-23 12:00

Dartmouth

42.1%

32.2%

Clinton
by 9.9%

2014-04-21
2014-04-25

2014-05-08
2014-05-13 05:33

2014-01-22 12:00

Purple

46.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2014-01-21
2014-01-23

2014-01-24
2014-01-31 00:51

2014-01-11 00:00

PPP

49.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2014-01-09
2014-01-12

2014-01-16
2014-01-23 23:27

2013-09-15 00:00

PPP

49.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2013-09-13
2013-09-16

2013-09-18
2013-09-25 23:21

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

52.0%

46.4%

DEM
by 5.6%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:47

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

54.1%

44.5%

DEM
by 9.6%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:30

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

50.2%

48.9%

DEM
by 1.4%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:52

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

46.8%

48.1%

REP
by 1.3%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:28

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

49.3%

39.4%

DEM
by 10.0%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 16:06

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

38.9%

37.7%

DEM
by 1.2%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:20

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

36.3%

62.5%

REP
by 26.2%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:22

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

31.0%

68.7%

REP
by 37.7%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:35

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

28.4%

57.7%

REP
by 29.4%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 18:54

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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