2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Paul - Alaska [3 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2014-09-20 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2014-10-17 17:05 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Paul National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Paul
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonPaulMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2014-09-20 00:00

PPP

40.0%

45.0%

Paul
by 5.0%

2014-09-18
2014-09-21

2014-09-23
2014-09-24 05:43

2014-08-02 00:00

PPP

36.0%

50.0%

Paul
by 14.0%

2014-07-31
2014-08-03

2014-08-12
2014-08-23 10:43

2014-05-10 00:00

PPP

40.0%

46.0%

Paul
by 6.0%

2014-05-08
2014-05-11

2014-05-14
2014-05-14 22:01

2014-01-31 12:00

PPP

41.0%

47.0%

Paul
by 6.0%

2014-01-30
2014-02-01

2014-02-05
2014-02-24 00:42

2013-07-27 00:00

PPP

43.0%

49.0%

Paul
by 6.0%

2013-07-25
2013-07-28

2013-08-02
2013-08-06 23:59

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonPaulMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

40.8%

54.8%

REP
by 14.0%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-21 23:06

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

37.9%

59.4%

REP
by 21.5%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-22 10:36

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

35.5%

61.1%

REP
by 25.6%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-13 23:25

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

27.7%

58.6%

REP
by 31.0%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-05 07:08

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

33.3%

50.8%

REP
by 17.5%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 08:12

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

30.3%

39.5%

REP
by 9.2%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:04

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

36.3%

59.6%

REP
by 23.3%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 02:51

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

29.9%

66.7%

REP
by 36.8%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-21 06:12

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

26.4%

54.4%

REP
by 27.9%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:05

 

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

Like Election Graphs on Facebook, follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter, or read the Election 2016 blog posts for commentary and analysis when there are significant changes to this data.

For a feed of all poll updates follow @ElecCollPolls on Twitter. For more discussion of Election 2016 and other topics, listen to the Curmudgeon's Corner podcast.

If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

 

2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ

 

If you find this site interesting or useful, please consider visiting the Tip Jar.

 

The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

Page cached at 2017-03-14 22:01:09 UTC

Original calculation time was 0.604 seconds

 

Page displayed at 2017-09-23 09:10:20 UTC

Page generated in 0.088 seconds