2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Paul - Iowa [6 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2015-08-08 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2015-08-12 07:29 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Paul National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Paul
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonPaulMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2015-08-08 12:00

PPP

43.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2015-08-07
2015-08-09

2015-08-11
2015-08-12 07:29

2015-05-29 00:00

Gravis

43.0%

44.0%

Paul
by 1.0%

2015-05-28
2015-05-29

2015-06-03
2015-06-05 13:15

2015-04-25 00:00

PPP

45.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2015-04-23
2015-04-26

2015-04-30
2015-05-02 15:47

2015-04-13 12:00

Gravis

44.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2015-04-13
2015-04-13

2015-04-21
2015-04-21 15:14

2015-04-03 00:00

Quinnipiac

42.0%

43.0%

Paul
by 1.0%

2015-03-29
2015-04-07

2015-04-09
2015-04-10 05:36

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonPaulMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2015-02-13 00:00

Gravis

44.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2015-02-12
2015-02-13

2015-02-17
2015-02-18 05:27

2015-02-10 12:00

Quinnipiac

45.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2015-02-05
2015-02-15

2015-02-18
2015-02-19 10:36

2014-10-06 00:00

DMR

44.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2014-10-03
2014-10-08

2014-10-11
2014-10-12 06:23

2014-09-27 00:00

PPP

47.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2014-09-25
2014-09-28

2014-09-30
2014-10-01 05:59

2014-07-10 12:00

Marist

45.0%

45.0%

TIED

2014-07-07
2014-07-13

2014-07-17
2014-07-18 05:08

2014-06-14 12:00

Quinnipiac

46.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2014-06-12
2014-06-16

2014-06-23
2014-06-23 19:37

2014-06-05 00:00

Loras

52.0%

37.5%

Clinton
by 14.5%

2014-06-04
2014-06-05

2014-06-05
2014-06-13 00:27

2014-05-17 12:00

PPP

46.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2014-05-15
2014-05-19

2014-05-22
2014-05-22 18:49

2014-04-14 00:00

WFB

43.3%

44.3%

Paul
by 1.0%

2014-04-13
2014-04-14

2014-04-14
2014-04-28 08:45

2014-03-08 00:00

Quinnipiac

49.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2014-03-05
2014-03-10

2014-03-13
2014-03-13 21:50

2014-02-22 00:00

PPP

47.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2014-02-20
2014-02-23

2014-02-27
2014-03-02 10:11

2013-12-13 00:00

Quinnipiac

45.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 1.0%

2013-12-10
2013-12-15

2013-12-17
2013-12-17 23:54

2013-11-24 00:00

Harper

46.8%

41.1%

Clinton
by 5.8%

2013-11-23
2013-11-24

2013-11-26
2013-12-02 04:49

2013-07-06 12:00

PPP

48.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2013-07-05
2013-07-07

2013-07-11
2013-08-07 01:01

2013-05-18 12:00

Quinnipiac

46.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2013-05-15
2013-05-21

2013-05-24
2013-05-30 19:47

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

52.0%

46.2%

DEM
by 5.8%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:28

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

53.9%

44.4%

DEM
by 9.5%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-25 05:55

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

49.2%

49.9%

REP
by 0.7%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 05:57

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

48.5%

48.2%

DEM
by 0.3%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 09:29

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

50.3%

39.9%

DEM
by 10.3%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 09:06

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

43.3%

37.3%

DEM
by 6.0%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:29

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

54.7%

44.5%

DEM
by 10.2%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 08:28

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

45.9%

53.3%

REP
by 7.4%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-21 07:38

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

38.6%

51.3%

REP
by 12.7%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:37

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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