2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Paul - Kentucky [8 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2015-07-25 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2015-08-06 06:20 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Paul National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Paul
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonPaulMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2015-07-25 12:00

SurveyUSA

42.0%

44.0%

Paul
by 2.0%

2015-07-22
2015-07-28

2015-07-29
2015-08-06 06:20

2015-06-20 00:00

PPP

40.0%

50.0%

Paul
by 10.0%

2015-06-18
2015-06-21

2015-06-24
2015-06-28 04:13

2015-05-08 00:00

Bluegrass

45.0%

45.0%

TIED

2015-05-05
2015-05-10

2015-05-13
2015-05-14 03:27

2014-10-12 00:00

Gravis

45.0%

48.0%

Paul
by 3.0%

2014-10-11
2014-10-12

2014-10-14
2014-10-14 18:43

2014-09-15 00:00

Gravis

44.0%

46.0%

Paul
by 2.0%

2014-09-13
2014-09-16

2014-09-18
2014-10-14 19:39

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonPaulMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2014-08-09 00:00

PPP

43.0%

49.0%

Paul
by 6.0%

2014-08-07
2014-08-10

2014-08-13
2014-08-16 01:58

2014-07-19 00:00

Gravis

44.0%

50.0%

Paul
by 6.0%

2014-07-17
2014-07-20

2014-07-22
2014-10-14 21:01

2014-05-15 12:00

Bluegrass

44.0%

48.0%

Paul
by 4.0%

2014-05-14
2014-05-16

2014-05-17
2014-05-18 09:12

2013-12-14 00:00

PPP

43.0%

49.0%

Paul
by 6.0%

2013-12-12
2013-12-15

2014-01-03
2014-01-04 06:24

2013-04-06 12:00

PPP

45.0%

45.0%

TIED

2013-04-05
2013-04-07

2013-04-11
2013-08-07 01:16

2012-12-08 12:00

PPP

47.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2012-12-07
2012-12-09

2012-12-12
2013-01-23 21:07

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

37.8%

60.5%

REP
by 22.7%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:30

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

41.2%

57.4%

REP
by 16.2%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-25 05:58

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

39.7%

59.6%

REP
by 19.9%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:01

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

41.4%

56.5%

REP
by 15.1%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 09:35

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

45.8%

44.9%

DEM
by 1.0%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 09:08

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

44.6%

41.3%

DEM
by 3.2%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 02:36

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

43.9%

55.5%

REP
by 11.6%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 09:21

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

39.4%

60.0%

REP
by 20.7%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-21 07:43

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

47.6%

49.1%

REP
by 1.5%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:41

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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