2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Paul - Michigan [16 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2015-06-27 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2015-07-05 16:50 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Paul National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Paul
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonPaulMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2015-06-27 00:00

PPP

45.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2015-06-25
2015-06-28

2015-06-30
2015-07-05 16:50

2015-06-10 12:00

Detroit News

44.5%

40.7%

Clinton
by 3.8%

2015-06-09
2015-06-11

2015-06-17
2015-06-20 14:33

2014-09-06 00:00

PPP

49.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2014-09-04
2014-09-07

2014-09-09
2014-09-10 04:06

2014-06-28 00:00

PPP

47.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2014-06-26
2014-06-29

2014-07-02
2014-07-03 22:53

2014-04-05 00:00

PPP

48.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2014-04-03
2014-04-06

2014-04-09
2014-04-28 05:13

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonPaulMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2014-01-08 00:00

Harper

45.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2014-01-07
2014-01-08

2014-01-13
2014-05-16 01:31

2013-12-07 00:00

PPP

48.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2013-12-05
2013-12-08

2013-12-11
2013-12-14 22:52

2013-06-01 00:00

PPP

55.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 20.0%

2013-05-30
2013-06-02

2013-06-10
2013-06-18 21:24

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

54.2%

44.7%

DEM
by 9.5%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 02:37

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

57.4%

41.0%

DEM
by 16.5%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-09-30 03:06

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

51.2%

47.8%

DEM
by 3.4%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 06:21

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

51.3%

46.2%

DEM
by 5.1%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 09:53

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

51.7%

38.5%

DEM
by 13.2%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 09:35

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

43.8%

36.4%

DEM
by 7.4%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 03:25

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

45.7%

53.6%

REP
by 7.9%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 10:27

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

40.2%

59.2%

REP
by 19.0%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-22 03:42

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

42.5%

49.0%

REP
by 6.5%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 17:58

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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