2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Paul - Ohio [18 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2015-06-10 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2015-06-20 15:10 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Paul National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Paul
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonPaulMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2015-06-10 00:00

Quinnipiac

43.0%

43.0%

TIED

2015-06-04
2015-06-15

2015-06-17
2015-06-20 15:10

2015-06-06 00:00

PPP

41.0%

44.0%

Paul
by 3.0%

2015-06-04
2015-06-07

2015-06-10
2015-06-14 12:46

2015-03-23 00:00

Quinnipiac

46.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2015-03-17
2015-03-28

2015-03-31
2015-04-01 03:10

2015-01-27 12:00

Quinnipiac

48.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2015-01-22
2015-02-01

2015-02-03
2015-02-04 06:00

2014-10-29 12:00

Fox

49.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2014-10-28
2014-10-30

2014-10-30
2014-11-17 06:10

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonPaulMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2014-07-26 12:00

Quinnipiac

46.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2014-07-24
2014-07-28

2014-07-31
2014-07-31 14:01

2014-05-10 00:00

Quinnipiac

49.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2014-05-07
2014-05-12

2014-05-15
2014-05-15 15:13

2014-02-15 00:00

Quinnipiac

51.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 13.0%

2014-02-12
2014-02-17

2014-02-20
2014-02-22 17:37

2013-11-22 00:00

Quinnipiac

50.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2013-11-19
2013-11-24

2013-11-27
2013-11-27 21:45

2013-08-18 00:00

PPP

51.0%

36.0%

Clinton
by 15.0%

2013-08-16
2013-08-19

2013-08-22
2014-01-25 21:33

2013-06-21 00:00

Quinnipiac

47.0%

44.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2013-06-18
2013-06-23

2013-06-26
2013-06-27 19:33

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

50.7%

47.7%

DEM
by 3.0%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:05

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

51.5%

46.9%

DEM
by 4.6%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-05 08:33

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

48.7%

50.8%

REP
by 2.1%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:00

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

46.5%

50.0%

REP
by 3.5%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:42

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

47.4%

41.0%

DEM
by 6.4%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 18:19

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

40.2%

38.4%

DEM
by 1.8%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:37

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

44.2%

55.0%

REP
by 10.9%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:40

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

40.1%

58.9%

REP
by 18.8%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:49

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

40.9%

51.5%

REP
by 10.6%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:04

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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