2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Paul - Pennsylvania [20 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2015-06-10 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2015-06-20 15:12 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Paul National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Paul
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonPaulMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2015-06-10 00:00

Quinnipiac

44.0%

45.0%

Paul
by 1.0%

2015-06-04
2015-06-15

2015-06-17
2015-06-20 15:12

2015-05-23 00:00

PPP

46.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 3.0%

2015-05-21
2015-05-24

2015-05-28
2015-05-30 20:09

2015-03-23 00:00

Quinnipiac

44.0%

45.0%

Paul
by 1.0%

2015-03-17
2015-03-28

2015-03-31
2015-04-01 03:12

2015-01-27 12:00

Quinnipiac

53.0%

34.0%

Clinton
by 19.0%

2015-01-22
2015-02-01

2015-02-03
2015-02-04 06:03

2015-01-17 00:00

PPP

50.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 11.0%

2015-01-15
2015-01-18

2015-01-22
2015-01-23 06:53

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonPaulMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2014-05-31 12:00

PPP

52.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2014-05-30
2014-06-01

2014-06-05
2014-06-05 18:37

2014-05-31 12:00

Quinnipiac

51.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2014-05-29
2014-06-02

2014-06-04
2014-06-05 16:26

2014-02-22 00:00

Quinnipiac

53.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 15.0%

2014-02-19
2014-02-24

2014-02-27
2014-03-02 08:49

2013-12-14 00:00

Quinnipiac

52.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2013-12-11
2013-12-16

2013-12-19
2013-12-20 02:28

2013-11-24 00:00

PPP

51.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2013-11-22
2013-11-25

2013-11-27
2014-05-09 22:51

2013-06-02 00:00

Quinnipiac

52.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 15.0%

2013-05-30
2013-06-04

2013-06-07
2013-08-07 16:11

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

52.0%

46.6%

DEM
by 5.4%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:08

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

54.5%

44.2%

DEM
by 10.3%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-05 08:39

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

50.9%

48.4%

DEM
by 2.5%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:04

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

50.6%

46.4%

DEM
by 4.2%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 10:47

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

49.2%

40.0%

DEM
by 9.2%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-16 19:43

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

45.2%

36.1%

DEM
by 9.0%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 06:41

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

48.4%

50.7%

REP
by 2.3%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 19:47

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

46.0%

53.3%

REP
by 7.4%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 06:55

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

42.5%

49.6%

REP
by 7.1%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:10

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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