2016 Electoral College

Clinton vs Paul - Virginia [13 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2015-07-14 12:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2015-07-20 13:52 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

Nominees:  Best Polled:||
Democrat: Republican: State: History Shown in Graph: 

Switch to Clinton vs Paul National Summary

 

Poll Average

 

Clinton Paul
 
 

 

Polls Used in Average

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonPaulMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2015-07-14 12:00

PPP

47.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 5.0%

2015-07-13
2015-07-15

2015-07-16
2015-07-20 13:52

2015-04-19 00:00

CNU

49.0%

47.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2015-04-13
2015-04-24

2015-04-27
2015-05-01 05:11

2015-04-03 00:00

Quinnipiac

47.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 4.0%

2015-03-29
2015-04-07

2015-04-09
2015-04-10 05:38

2015-02-10 12:00

Quinnipiac

44.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 2.0%

2015-02-05
2015-02-15

2015-02-18
2015-02-19 11:54

2015-02-05 00:00

CNU

52.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2015-01-30
2015-02-10

2015-02-12
2015-02-13 08:20

 

Older Polls

 

Middate/TimePollsterClintonPaulMarginStart/EndReleased/Entered

2014-09-16 12:00

Roanoke

51.0%

35.0%

Clinton
by 16.0%

2014-09-13
2014-09-19

2014-09-24
2014-09-25 19:10

2014-07-17 00:00

Roanoke

47.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 10.0%

2014-07-14
2014-07-19

2014-07-19
2014-07-31 02:34

2014-03-22 00:00

Quinnipiac

48.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 6.0%

2014-03-19
2014-03-24

2014-03-27
2014-03-28 07:26

2014-02-26 00:00

CNU

47.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2014-02-23
2014-02-28

2014-03-03
2014-03-16 07:59

2014-02-25 12:00

Roanoke

52.0%

38.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2014-02-22
2014-02-28

2014-03-04
2014-03-16 08:29

2013-11-20 00:00

WFB

50.0%

43.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2013-11-19
2013-11-20

2013-11-20
2014-05-19 21:59

2013-09-16 00:00

Harper

50.0%

42.0%

Clinton
by 8.0%

2013-09-15
2013-09-16

2013-09-17
2014-01-25 21:55

2013-09-12 12:00

Quinnipiac

49.0%

40.0%

Clinton
by 9.0%

2013-09-09
2013-09-15

2013-09-19
2014-01-25 22:07

2013-09-08 12:00

Purple

48.0%

41.0%

Clinton
by 7.0%

2013-09-06
2013-09-10

2013-09-13
2014-01-25 21:57

2013-07-13 12:00

Quinnipiac

51.0%

37.0%

Clinton
by 14.0%

2013-07-11
2013-07-15

2013-07-17
2013-08-07 16:38

2013-07-13 00:00

PPP

51.0%

39.0%

Clinton
by 12.0%

2013-07-11
2013-07-14

2013-07-19
2013-07-23 22:15

2012-11-06 12:00

Election2012

51.2%

47.3%

DEM
by 3.9%

2012-11-06
2012-11-06

2012-11-06
2013-09-22 05:16

2008-11-04 12:00

Election2008

52.6%

46.3%

DEM
by 6.3%

2008-11-04
2008-11-04

2008-11-04
2013-10-06 03:17

2004-11-02 12:00

Election2004

45.5%

53.7%

REP
by 8.2%

2004-11-02
2004-11-02

2004-11-02
2013-10-14 07:15

2000-11-07 12:00

Election2000

44.4%

52.5%

REP
by 8.0%

2000-11-07
2000-11-07

2000-11-07
2013-11-10 11:10

1996-11-06 12:00

Election1996

45.2%

47.1%

REP
by 2.0%

1996-11-06
1996-11-06

1996-11-06
2014-02-18 15:48

1992-11-03 12:00

Election1992

40.6%

45.0%

REP
by 4.4%

1992-11-03
1992-11-03

1992-11-03
2014-03-17 07:04

1988-11-08 12:00

Election1988

39.2%

59.7%

REP
by 20.5%

1988-11-08
1988-11-08

1988-11-08
2014-05-17 20:06

1984-11-06 12:00

Election1984

37.1%

62.3%

REP
by 25.2%

1984-11-06
1984-11-06

1984-11-06
2014-05-24 07:41

1980-11-04 12:00

Election1980

40.3%

53.0%

REP
by 12.7%

1980-11-04
1980-11-04

1980-11-04
2014-10-17 19:28

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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