2016 Electoral College

Comparison of Best Polled Candidate Combinations in Ohio [18 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-05 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 12:14 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

State: History Shown in Graph: 

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Clinton Trump
41.6% 45.2%
 
Trump up by 3.6%
(Weak Trump)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 6.0 days.

Clinton vs Trump Ohio Details

Clinton Bush
43.2% 40.8%
 
Clinton up by 2.4%
(Weak Clinton)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 1.6 years.

Clinton vs Bush Ohio Details

Clinton Cruz
45.3% 41.1%
 
Clinton up by 4.3%
(Weak Clinton)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 8.7 months.

Clinton vs Cruz Ohio Details

Clinton Rubio
43.0% 44.2%
 
Rubio up by 1.2%
(Weak Rubio)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 1.2 years.

Clinton vs Rubio Ohio Details

Clinton Huckabee
47.6% 39.4%
 
Clinton up by 8.2%
(Strong Clinton)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 2.5 years.

Clinton vs Huckabee Ohio Details

 

Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.

 

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If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com

 

2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ

 

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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.

 

Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text

 

Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.

 

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