2016 Electoral College

Comparison of Best Polled Candidate Combinations in Pennsylvania [20 EV]

Most Recent Poll (middate): 2016-11-05 00:00 UTC

Last Poll Update: 2016-11-08 12:19 UTC

Post Mortem Analysis here

State: History Shown in Graph: 

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Clinton Trump
45.1% 43.5%
Clinton up by 1.6%
(Weak Clinton)

The average currently includes 7 polls spanning the last 6.0 days.

Clinton vs Trump Pennsylvania Details

Clinton Bush
43.8% 41.6%
Clinton up by 2.2%
(Weak Clinton)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 1.5 years.

Clinton vs Bush Pennsylvania Details

Clinton Cruz
46.6% 39.6%
Clinton up by 7.0%
(Strong Clinton)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 8.3 months.

Clinton vs Cruz Pennsylvania Details

Clinton Rubio
42.6% 43.4%
Rubio up by 0.8%
(Weak Rubio)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 1.1 years.

Clinton vs Rubio Pennsylvania Details

Clinton Huckabee
48.2% 38.8%
Clinton up by 9.4%
(Strong Clinton)

The average currently includes 5 polls spanning the last 1.8 years.

Clinton vs Huckabee Pennsylvania Details


Election Graphs tracks state by state poll averages to estimate Electoral College results, and tracks estimates of the primary delegate races.


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If you have information on inaccuracies or omissions, please email abulsme@abulsme.com


2016 Electoral College: Intro | Tour | FAQ


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The poll average generally uses the last 5 polls (by middate).

If there is tie for the middate of the oldest poll to be included, all polls with that middate are included.

If the result is exactly on the border between categories (0%, 5% or 10% margin) older polls are pulled in one by one until the result is clearly within a category.

When there are not enough actual polls for the poll average, results from prior presidential elections are used to fill in the average.

If a pollster releases multiple results based on the same sample they are weighted so collectively they count as "1 poll".

On state detail pages this is noted by an [N], shading in the listing, and a different color data point in the graph.


Full listing of polls used on this site: HTML or pipe delimited text


Analysis for the 2008 and 2012 election cycles can be found here.


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