Abulsme.com

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2019-06-05 (UTC)

17:32:44 And before I could do a blog post, a new Glengaiff poll in Michigan has also been added. You can see the details over at @ElecCollPolls. Blog post tonight probably, maybe tomorrow. https://t.co/lzquo220by in reply to ElectionGraphs
18:31:33 And here comes Quinnipiac in TX. Details at @ElecCollPolls. This will be included in a blog post soon, but I think we have enough polling now to note that Texas is looking a lot less red than it has in the pastвЂ¦ #Election2020. https://t.co/WXpYdgwWwB https://t.co/xJViAOhYy4 https://t.co/r1jIXT4pOf in reply to ElectionGraphs

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-05 (UTC)

14:07:51 Poll Added: Glengariff [2] in MI from 2019-05-28 to 2019-05-30 – Biden 53.3% to Trump 41.4% #Election2020 https://t.co/lOTSJ2peAw
14:09:24 Poll Added: Glengariff w/3P [2] in MI from 2019-05-28 to 2019-05-30 – Biden 45.2% to Trump 38.5% to Amash 9.7% #Election2020 https://t.co/3v7qBQiOJf
14:12:04 Poll Added: Glengariff in MI from 2019-05-28 to 2019-05-30 – Sanders 53.2% to Trump 41.3% #Election2020 https://t.co/RX51awfiH3
14:30:07 Sanders vs Trump state category change: MI has moved from Weak Sanders to Strong Sanders #Election2020 https://t.co/RX51awfiH3
14:30:15 Trump best case vs Sanders has changed: Sanders 214 to Trump 324 -> Sanders 230 to Trump 308 #Election2020 https://t.co/RA92psxY0S
14:32:31 Poll Added: Glengariff in MI from 2019-05-28 to 2019-05-30 – Buttigieg 46.8% to Trump 41.3% #Election2020 https://t.co/C35aqW5HG1
14:35:04 Poll Added: Glengariff in MI from 2019-05-28 to 2019-05-30 – Warren 47.3% to Trump 42.8% #Election2020 https://t.co/lp4k1aM3Qs
14:35:04 Warren vs Trump state category change: MI has moved from Strong Warren to Weak Warren #Election2020 https://t.co/lp4k1aM3Qs
14:40:10 Trump best case vs Warren has changed: Warren 230 to Trump 308 -> Warren 214 to Trump 324 #Election2020 https://t.co/HjHFNF6EaD
14:41:47 Poll Added: Glengariff in MI from 2019-05-28 to 2019-05-30 – Harris 46.8% to Trump 43.5% #Election2020 https://t.co/9mmfyVt9OW
14:41:47 Harris vs Trump state category change: MI has moved from Strong Harris to Weak Harris #Election2020 https://t.co/9mmfyVt9OW
14:45:07 Trump best case vs Harris has changed: Harris 216 to Trump 322 -> Harris 200 to Trump 338 #Election2020 https://t.co/Mp4HLCxN3r
17:54:18 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in TX from 2019-05-29 to 2019-06-04 – Biden 48% to Trump 44% #Election2020 https://t.co/M8i0LarU1k
18:04:51 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in TX from 2019-05-29 to 2019-06-04 – Sanders 44% to Trump 47% #Election2020 https://t.co/vVq7vW6JWl
18:07:03 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in TX from 2019-05-29 to 2019-06-04 – Warren 45% to Trump 46% #Election2020 https://t.co/KGIzPbDOnf
18:09:05 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in TX from 2019-05-29 to 2019-06-04 – Harris 43% to Trump 47% #Election2020 https://t.co/hyVpqeX5HP
18:13:10 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in TX from 2019-05-29 to 2019-06-04 – Buttigieg 44% to Trump 46% #Election2020 https://t.co/QqJv22vSdw
18:13:10 Buttigieg vs Trump state category change: TX has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump #Election2020 https://t.co/QqJv22vSdw
18:15:43 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in TX from 2019-05-29 to 2019-06-04 – O’Rourke 45% to Trump 48% #Election2020 https://t.co/ZjgG4fvMXm
18:18:15 Poll Added: Quinnipiac in TX from 2019-05-29 to 2019-06-04 – Castro 43% to Trump 46% #Election2020 https://t.co/TlXdIgRyCp
18:18:16 Castro vs Trump state category change: TX has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump #Election2020 https://t.co/TlXdIgRyCp

@abulsme tweets from 2019-06-04 (UTC)

00:51:18 @shelleyaw123 Of course. in reply to shelleyaw123
01:10:55 Another on the long list of potentially impeachable actions. The house should not focus so much on Trump/Russia. Don’t ignore it of course. But broaden the spotlight a bit please. https://t.co/gTHlxkYDyi
02:48:24 If you live in South Snohomish County (or are just nearby and want to show your support), come to my wife Brandy’s kickoff event on the 14th for her Fire Commissioner run! We’d love to see you! Click through for details and to say you are interested. https://t.co/x4ddxIKgxV https://t.co/4q9uRu2cIs
02:59:57 Retweeted @MikeGravel 2019-06-03 18:20:00 No matter who the Democrats nominate, Republicans will attack them as radical and socialist. That’s a given. The only real choice Democrats have is whether or not to inspire people in the process with policies that improve people’s lives.
04:57:54 Retweeted @KatyTurNBC 02:01:21 I thought I could understand the horror and feel the pain of what our govt was doing to these kids. Then I had my own child and I’ve realized no words are strong enough. https://t.co/9TXR2Jh7kD
05:09:14 Retweeted @MaryRobinette 2019-06-03 23:09:02 When I lived in Iceland, I found a lump. I had no idea how to navigate finding a doctor, so I went to our show’s production manager.Me: I found a lump. Can you help me find a doctor?
PM: Just go to the cancer center.
Me: Okay. How do a get a referral?
PM: What’s a referral?
06:02:05 Retweeted @JohnFugelsang 2019-06-03 23:12:24 That awkward moment when the Queen invites you to dinner but you just ate Boris Johnson https://t.co/WEu5gB2a8H
09:21:26 Interesting interview with Michael Wolff on his new book -> Listening to The Last Word with Lawrence O’Donnell Michael Wolff on Trump and the Mueller report https://t.co/PtDXCgXVKp
10:53:49 Reading – David Brooks Opinion | The Coming G.O.P. Apocalypse – The New York Times https://t.co/nMirxbQA8h
19:16:05 Uh. Ok. https://t.co/i73Aau7uXA
19:22:31 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 18:37:36 New Emerson poll in NC added over at @ElecCollPolls. A few category changes, so there will be a new blog post tonight or tomorrow when I have a chance. But you can see the changed results at https://t.co/E4Ot5d0bq1 now.
19:47:28 Retweeted @mcimaps 15:35:45 I coded each state based on their allegiance during the civil war and plotted what share of the nationwide vote came from each region. The “West” is states added after the war. The most notable trend is the effects of Jim Crow voting restrictions on the share of Confederate votes https://t.co/F4FyY47q97
19:58:44 Retweeted @PopulismUpdates 19:57:29 I thought I had it all together https://t.co/7PRSYcEEBO
21:16:37 Really Joe? https://t.co/Bn5t82Ymfs
21:26:23 Retweeted @UK_Coal 20:33:46 This #Coal free run ended at 18 Days 6 Hours 10 Minutes.This is the longest run without coal for Great Britain since 1882.
Generation during this time was met by: Gas 40%, Nuclear 20%, Wind 13%, Imports 11%, Biomass 8%, Solar 7%, Large Hydro <1%, Storage <1% https://t.co/CcGZzqFLpe
21:39:43 Retweeted @JuddLegum 16:49:33 NYT: Kushner is “positioning himself as the point person on raising money for the campaign,” organizing campaign fundraising meetings at the White HouseTHE LAW: It’s illegal for Jared to be involved in fundraising for the Trump campaign https://t.co/tVMyG9le9S
21:44:10 Retweeted @emptywheel 21:35:25 Here’s a likely explanation for why Nader came back to the US.https://t.co/o357QpuZNp https://t.co/ckfbSirUSh
23:10:35 Retweeted @greenfield64 23:08:27 I am obviously “prejudiced”, having worked in his Senate office and campaign, but think Al Lowenstein was right when he said RFK’s death gets harder as the years go by. He was 42; whether he’d won or not, his voice would have been important for decades. https://t.co/IioqphKWZ3
23:15:06 Thank goodness they are showing some spine. https://t.co/cFE6n1iHoO

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2019-06-04 (UTC)

18:37:36 New Emerson poll in NC added over at @ElecCollPolls. A few category changes, so there will be a new blog post tonight or tomorrow when I have a chance. But you can see the changed results at https://t.co/E4Ot5d0bq1 now.

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-04 (UTC)

18:11:39 Poll Added: Emerson in NC from 2019-05-31 to 2019-06-03 – Biden 55.7% to Trump 44.3% #Election2020 https://t.co/T62pg0urRh
18:12:45 Biden vs Trump state category change: NC has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Biden #Election2020 https://t.co/mzC3y5zzS2
18:15:56 Biden vs Trump tipping point change: Biden by 0.3% in OH -> Biden by 1.9% in NC #Election2020 https://t.co/tLEnzWUQWJ
18:16:17 Biden vs Trump expected case changed: Biden 284 to Trump 254 -> Biden 299 to Trump 239 #Election2020 https://t.co/tLEnzWUQWJ
18:18:16 Poll Added: Emerson in NC from 2019-05-31 to 2019-06-03 – Sanders 53.8% to Trump 46.2% #Election2020 https://t.co/duUnuIX3jy
18:19:42 Poll Added: Emerson in NC from 2019-05-31 to 2019-06-03 – Buttigieg 52.1% to Trump 47.9% #Election2020 https://t.co/Me6JE5uFQn
18:20:43 Buttigieg vs Trump state category change: NC has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump #Election2020 https://t.co/mNK33DVoO9
18:21:06 Buttigieg best case vs Trump has changed: Buttigieg 332 to Trump 206 -> Buttigieg 347 to Trump 191 #Election2020 https://t.co/2NlQZwVrSs
18:22:28 Poll Added: Emerson in NC from 2019-05-31 to 2019-06-03 – Warren 50.3% to Trump 49.7% #Election2020 https://t.co/XNqCiiJlRw
18:25:07 Poll Added: Emerson in NC from 2019-05-31 to 2019-06-03 – Harris 48.8% to Trump 51.2% #Election2020 https://t.co/mEQnhz6Gzm

@abulsme tweets from 2019-06-03 (UTC)

02:51:00 Retweeted @mattmfm 2019-06-01 14:48:00 How seriously does the rest of the world take Trump? Well, here’s how Sky News is advertising his UK state visit. Watch. https://t.co/wEa0EedoxJ
03:10:28 Retweeted @neeratanden 03:06:54 I hope Barack Obama just shows up places in the public eye every couple of weeks through the next election just to remind people what it was like to have a decent, intelligent, compassionate president. So they know we can have that again. https://t.co/bEeap5F0rG
06:51:14 Retweeted @JuddLegum 03:04:00 It’s funny that there are still people who insist America is a meritocracy even though Jared Kushner exists
11:36:47 Conflict of interest? What’s that? Never heard of it. https://t.co/5cbvR596eQ
15:55:00 Retweeted @databyler 15:34:37 I get that everyone rolls their eyes about electabilitybut it’s too important not to talk about! And if we’re going to talk about it, it’s better to try to have some discipline/rules than to just sort of go full ad hoc gut feeling about it in reply to databyler
20:44:48 Retweeted @RonaldKlain 19:09:09 I finally identified a competent person at the Trump WH. That’s whichever person it was who managed — until this point — to keep Jared from doing interviews. https://t.co/ROuDIMg24a
20:55:47 Retweeted @emptywheel 20:42:14 So to clarify on Nader:1) They stopped him January 17 for a Mueller related search
2) He did at least 3 interviews w/Mueller w/in a week
3) They searched his phones for Mueller & found the porn in February 2018
4) Charges filed April 2018

https://t.co/JGxMy2zSOv
21:03:11 So is this one of the 14 spin-off cases? I would presume yes, right? https://t.co/T12mJbJjuW
21:17:38 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten 18:22:28 With the exception of Buttigieg moving up and the announcement bumps/slides, this 2020 prez race has been incredibly stable in terms of polling.
21:20:00 Retweeted @PollsAndVotes 03:02:39 Data from 100M traffic stops. After dark, blacks are smaller share of stops. Large racial disparities in drug search after stop by race. In CO & WA searches dropped after marijuana legalization though disparities remained.https://t.co/ep1yUQWclw
https://t.co/GWpbr4aTHD https://t.co/OxxtMctbUL
22:18:46 Retweeted @ZoeTillman 21:55:32 NOW: A federal judge in DC has rejected House Dems’ effort to block Trump from carrying out his plan to reprogram billions of dollars to fund border construction, agreeing with the administration that the court can’t be involved in this fight https://t.co/4MGUIlKAmG https://t.co/eGJT180YYg
22:22:47 Retweeted @aedwardslevy 22:01:30 The real news bubble is “whether or not you watch the news” https://t.co/51kDfQZRu7

@abulsme tweets from 2019-06-02 (UTC)

00:11:03 Retweeted @GarrettHaake 2019-06-01 22:48:27 I really don’t want to be alarmist, but it took waaaaaaay too long for anyone who even looked like security personnel to get up on that stage. Its 2019. Let’s be careful out there. https://t.co/P226S0eo8d
13:41:37 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 13:18:30 it has (understandably) garnered less attention lately, but the Democrats are currently hovering around a 9-pt margin on the generic congressional voteвЂ”exactly where the party was in November 2018. Here’s the latest figure from The Economist/YouGov: https://t.co/Bk7eFQdNFI https://t.co/Rgw4OrDpx3
13:51:22 Retweeted @jodiecongirl 01:19:01 the Laffer curve has to be correct, qualitatively speaking, since I fully believe that tax revenue is zero when tax rates are either zero or 100 percent…he and his disciples made it mockable when they conveniently decided we’re always on the “bad” part https://t.co/nNbMmwQ55M
17:09:04 Retweeted @NilesGApol 17:07:33 I think I can speak for everyone in America when I say вЂ” “We’re good.” https://t.co/3jX9xTll2H
18:33:07 Retweeted @hodgesmr 2019-01-05 23:01:58 Here’s the current age breakdown of the House of Representatives, colored by generation. https://t.co/5ess6AsXb2
18:33:10 Retweeted @hodgesmr 17:51:07 And the current age breakdown of the Senate, colored by generation: https://t.co/ub0D90SwjX in reply to hodgesmr
18:33:16 Retweeted @hodgesmr 18:27:57 And the current age breakdown of Governors: https://t.co/7xWscHUszs in reply to hodgesmr
18:48:00 Read this. Everything failed here. We have to do better than this. https://t.co/3klBT9BkMB
19:32:30 Curmudgeon’s Corner: Slosh Back https://t.co/DJyESruUHG https://t.co/dj95tnqcW8
20:02:08 Retweeted @WotDpod 2019-06-01 00:22:05 Today’s episode of featured Wiki of the Day is on the article Cleopatra.Listen to the new episode here: https://t.co/v4D7ZqeYpM
See our archives or subscribe here: https://t.co/UAkEBr5nFx
20:47:52 @Nicole_Cliffe I’m sorry, there is no such thing as too much trains. in reply to Nicole_Cliffe
21:56:46 Retweeted @Nicole_Cliffe 21:47:12 Had this not happened, WW1 and WW2 might not have happened!! https://t.co/kMjkubFYOb
23:07:03 Sounds like it is going about as well as expected. https://t.co/RdKAar0UHC

@abulsme tweets from 2019-06-01 (UTC)

00:23:40 A bunch of people have put вЂњdirectly defying court ordersвЂќ as a red line. Have we passed that line yet? https://t.co/Gr1vm5ZQ9A
00:50:56 Retweeted @Millennial_Dems 00:44:56 Well deserved. https://t.co/y7ffKUVj9m
01:48:00 Thread https://t.co/haByYDgMZt
05:42:57 Retweeted @RadioFreeTom 02:23:39 Barr might be the very worst of the Trump Cabinet, pumping conspiracy nuttery in a measured, lawyerly voice. The President isn’t shredding the Constitution, you see, it’s those coup plotters – men and women he’s known his whole professional life. Such malignant sycophancy.
05:58:41 Retweeted @qjurecic 2019-05-31 00:46:30 Pelosi has argued that the House should wait for public support to shift toward impeachment before beginning an inquiry. But this ignores that beginning an inquiry would signal to the public that Trump’s actions were impeachable to begin with. https://t.co/ed1dv8wRVh https://t.co/NGG9noOdk3
06:45:55 Retweeted @GeertHub 2019-05-31 18:31:16 Does the news reflect what we die from? Nope!
Another brilliant infographic from @OurWorldInData. <symbol> https://t.co/bHn3Xy56iW
06:54:44 Retweeted @ManlnTheHoody 2019-05-31 19:55:25 why does everyone act like if dems opened an impeachment inquiry that trump would just stay totally chill and be able to win in 2020 instead of whats more likely that he would act completely insane and start fighting with everyone and blow up the whole republican party by 2020?
07:54:57 Last show for Jeff Douglas -> Listening to As It Happens from CBC Radio May 31: Who stood on guard for them? https://t.co/YidKRGTCYZ
15:06:26 Retweeted @ForTheRuleOfLaw 2019-05-30 16:52:33 In our latest video created with @protctdemocracy, former Republican federal prosecutors Donald Ayer, @RosenzweigP, and Jeffrey Harris discuss the findings of the #MuellerReport and the episodes of obstruction it uncovered. #CaseOpen https://t.co/DCuGloA7aa
15:31:25 Retweeted @RadioFreeTom 14:13:10 And here they are: My rules for flying.
So let it be written, so let it be done. |
The Six Rules Everyone Should Follow When Flying
https://t.co/zieUQtZYTJ via @BulwarkOnline
17:52:40 Listening to History Extra podcast Rachel Reeves on women who changed politics https://t.co/rwRaG8qTOa
18:34:20 Retweeted @jacknicas 17:00:30 Remember the two Boeing jets that crashed?A team of us at the New York Times have been working for months to uncover how the planes ended up with a fatal flaw. Today, we publish that story.
This is the tale of the 737 Max: https://t.co/hJDPemlfxT

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Slosh Back

On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan talk about politics in the US, UK, and Israel. They also riff on Julian Assange, Mexican tariffs, and Social Media disinformation. Plus some feedback and an Election Graphs update!

Click below to listen and subscribe!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2019-05-31
Length this week – 1:50:22

(0:00:25-0:27:22) Round 1
- Ivan: New Israeli Elections
- Sam: New Assange Indictments
(0:27:58-0:59:48) Round 2
- Ivan: Mueller Statement
- Sam: Teresa May Resignation
(1:00:27-1:40:46) Round 3
- Ivan: Mexico Tariffs
- Sam: Social Media Disinformation
(1:44:29-1:50:01) Round 4
- Ivan: Feedback
- Sam: Election Graphs Update

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

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Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

@abulsme tweets from 2019-05-31 (UTC)

00:11:21 Retweeted @vin_jc 00:06:17 Ah yes, suppressing domestic Mexican economic activity will surely stop Mexican jobseekers from pursuing employment in neighboring economies. https://t.co/vzka7jzdaM
03:23:25 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 03:21:46 New Charts for State Odds
https://t.co/we0elAGf6P
#Election2020 https://t.co/xmz5V6F4yn
05:50:38 Retweeted @OhNoSheTwitnt 05:49:06 https://t.co/1LZOkya5B0
13:16:28 Retweeted @ewarren 13:00:19 The Mueller report details crimes by the president that would lead to the indictment of any other citizen. But Mueller couldn’t bring charges because a Justice Department policy says you can’t charge a sitting president. That policy is wrong and needs to go. Here’s how and why.
18:15:45 Retweeted @realDonaldTrump 18:08:33 Saddened to hear about the loss of John Pinto, a Navajo Code Talker in World War II, over the Memorial Day Weekend. The Code Talkers are true American HEROES and John never stopped serving his fellow citizens as a longtime New Mexico State Senator. John, Rest In Peace!
19:15:00 Retweeted @CommodoreBTC 18:57:35 no idea how the incentives would play out, but this is a fascinating idea https://t.co/0YSDsK709e
21:14:10 Retweeted @johnastoehr 21:07:29 Amazing how the GOP is now the party of tax increases. Never thought I’d see the day. https://t.co/L9kCIzDUMR
21:34:52 Retweeted @qjurecic 20:00:16 The Democrats genuinely do not seem to have grasped this concept https://t.co/iSe5TOr7uF
23:04:27 Retweeted @LeahLitman 18:50:59 obsessed with this @NewYorker cartoon https://t.co/dmRICM3CMP
23:13:27 Retweeted @pithywidow 20:56:29 I’m sure this will play well with Judge Emmet Sullivan, who, upon reading the unredacted documents, was moved to ask prosecutors why they didn’t charge Flynn with treason https://t.co/bXsk80MUTN
23:46:13 Retweeted @smotus 21:59:59 Me: It’s an embarrassing time to be a political scientist.Lawyers: https://t.co/oR3jxhyaSO

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@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2019-06-05 (UTC)

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@abulsme tweets from 2019-06-04 (UTC)

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2019-06-04 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-06-04 (UTC)

@abulsme tweets from 2019-06-03 (UTC)

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