Abulsme.com

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-04-26 (UTC)

16:18:25 Democratic Superdelegate count update, plus revisions in Illinois and Ohio. Net change: Clinton +3, Sanders +1. https://t.co/VCq2EHJXd7

@abulsme tweets from 2016-04-26 (UTC)

01:09:29 Just realizingвЂ¦ assuming nomвЂ¦ and given bad job lining up loyal delegatesвЂ¦ how well do we think Trump would do lining up loyal ELECTORS? :-)
02:27:34 Watching – Why Bernie Sanders is Actually Winning (CollegeHumor) https://t.co/1kwfHntFn2
03:44:10 Retweeted @SamWangPhD 03:40:04 Trump a probable near-sweep of CT/DE/MD/PA/RI. Current data suggests he has 90% probability of reaching 1237. https://t.co/IudPkZzDLz
13:35:37 Reading – Trump rejects new adviser’s push to make him вЂpresidential’ (Vogel/Stokols) https://t.co/sy7hQ1Hifx
16:41:09 Retweeted @joshtpm 16:39:07 my thoughts on what's 'leading the morning' >> Trump Rebelling Againt Manafort? Your Premise Is Wrong @TPM https://t.co/HkELLxrHzz
18:00:07 Listening to a16z Podcast: Connectivity and the Internet as Supply Chain https://t.co/shah1pf4Gt
19:31:15 Reading – These fuzzy little caterpillars are better at predicting elections than most pundits (Karin Brulliard) https://t.co/sbQPoF9YRU

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-04-25 (UTC)

07:30:53 No changes that triggered a blog post here, but new polls added today for PA/NH/IN. See @ElecCollPolls for details.

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-04-25 (UTC)

05:58:45 Poll Added: Marist in PA from 2016-04-18 to 2016-04-20 – Clinton 54% to Trump 39% https://t.co/mdsZUSbdhF
06:02:08 Poll Added: Marist in PA from 2016-04-18 to 2016-04-20 – Clinton 45% to Kasich 48% https://t.co/lddZukxtNe
06:05:31 Poll Added: Marist in PA from 2016-04-18 to 2016-04-20 – Clinton 52% to Cruz 41% https://t.co/QSQAPaup54
06:09:49 Poll Added: Marist in PA from 2016-04-18 to 2016-04-20 – Sanders 57% to Trump 37% https://t.co/RTpGLjchMx
06:09:54 Sanders vs Trump state category change: PA has moved from Weak Sanders to Strong Sanders https://t.co/RTpGLjtTb7
06:13:13 Poll Added: Marist in PA from 2016-04-18 to 2016-04-20 – Sanders 50% to Kasich 44% https://t.co/6r5isJD9sj
06:14:13 Sanders vs Trump tipping point change: Sanders by 4.8 in PA -> Sanders by 6 in NC https://t.co/f3fDUyqTdr
06:14:13 Trump best case vs Sanders has changed: Sanders 259 to Trump 279 -> Sanders 279 to Trump 259 https://t.co/f3fDUyqTdr
06:16:35 Poll Added: Marist in PA from 2016-04-18 to 2016-04-20 – Sanders 58% to Cruz 36% https://t.co/2ej6aHXIuL
06:16:42 Sanders vs Cruz state category change: PA has moved from Strong Sanders to Solid Sanders https://t.co/2ej6aIfjmj
06:24:55 Poll Added: WMUR in NH from 2016-04-07 to 2016-04-17 – Clinton 50% to Trump 31% https://t.co/3PSXiEKyuP
06:27:21 Poll Added: WMUR in NH from 2016-04-07 to 2016-04-17 – Clinton 48% to Cruz 34% https://t.co/w9xsKzpQQt
06:31:38 Poll Added: WMUR in NH from 2016-04-07 to 2016-04-17 – Clinton 36% to Kasich 50% https://t.co/rtZwnq6Y5o
06:31:43 Clinton vs Kasich state category change: NH has moved from Weak Kasich to Strong Kasich https://t.co/rtZwnqoztY
06:35:27 Poll Added: WMUR in NH from 2016-04-07 to 2016-04-17 – Sanders 58% to Trump 31% https://t.co/M7fVjmtD8k
06:35:57 Clinton best case vs Kasich has changed: Clinton 329 to Kasich 209 -> Clinton 325 to Kasich 213 https://t.co/Nr6tnta0FF
06:41:39 Poll Added: WMUR in NH from 2016-04-07 to 2016-04-17 – Sanders 61% to Cruz 30% https://t.co/N4CP821QM6
06:45:49 Poll Added: WMUR in NH from 2016-04-07 to 2016-04-17 – Sanders 50% to Kasich 44% https://t.co/F8cAhSIBwC
06:45:55 Sanders vs Kasich state category change: NH has moved from Strong Sanders to Solid Sanders https://t.co/F8cAhSIBwC
06:50:17 Poll Added: WMUR in NH from 2016-04-07 to 2016-04-17 – Clinton 44% to Cruz 22% to Trump 19% (Logged but not on site)
07:00:10 Poll Added: Howey in IN from 2016-04-18 to 2016-04-21 – Clinton 39% to Trump 47% https://t.co/ZztLhn8cdS
07:03:32 Poll Added: Howey in IN from 2016-04-18 to 2016-04-21 – Clinton 36% to Cruz 53% https://t.co/KiQEMG44gA
07:29:44 That’s it for the new polls for today. We had PA/NH/IN. No status changes that trigger a blog post on @ElectionGraphs this time.

@abulsme tweets from 2016-04-25 (UTC)

01:58:07 Retweeted @kailanikm 01:56:28 Kasich & Cruz camps release concurrent statements agreeing Cruz will focus on Indiana, and Kasich on Oregon and NM – https://t.co/vN5hma3zPC
02:59:22 Retweeted @NumbersMuncher 02:58:43 This Kasich/Cruz alliance is unexpected, but let's see if they can play along. Cruz doesn't play well with others, and Kasich is delusional.
07:10:03 Retweeted @PatrickRuffini 2016-04-24 16:40:50 Underplayed story: Cruz success at delegate selection means Trump VP nomination will be contested or subject to Cruz veto in reply to PatrickRuffini
07:21:33 Retweeted @YouGov 2016-04-22 10:31:39 Shakespeare 400 years on: every play ranked by popularity вЂ“ https://t.co/PCmgH9ZF4G https://t.co/OvDOnKysIl
13:06:42 Retweeted @rebeccamhersh 12:44:17 I might as well put the rumors to rest, since I'm getting bombarded with questions from the media: No, I am not Becky with the Good Hair.
13:15:46 Retweeted @owillis 13:11:35 So in about 3-4 months, bored w Clinton likely destroying Trump, MSM will start to say the race is "tightening."
13:31:32 Reading – Bernie Sanders knows he’s going to lose. Here’s how you can tell. (Greg Sargent) https://t.co/mnq3hLhVNw
13:41:19 Reading – Why Elizabeth Warren Would Have More Clout As Hillary Clinton's VP (Ryan Grim) https://t.co/yvQgdVssvJ
14:12:05 Listening to TEDTalks (audio) We can reprogram life. How to do it wisely | Juan Enriquez https://t.co/6vRJbLo2lH
15:05:19 Retweeted @jesseberney 12:10:08 Literally every move Republicans make to stop Trump comes two months too late, minimum.
16:09:51 Retweeted @jodyavirgan 14:14:19 JOINT STATEMENT from @FiveThirtyEight + @nprpolitics pods. We release our listeners to each other. It's the only way to stop @SlateGabfest.
16:30:48 Listening to Talking Machines Remembering David MacKay https://t.co/DJ8pUL8mDA
17:43:12 Retweeted @Taniel 2016-04-23 16:33:19 5 big questions to decide Trump's fate. Does he:
вЂ”win IN?
вЂ”win CA by enough?
вЂ”get 50% in CT?
вЂ”flunk WV's rules?
вЂ”get supporters thru in PA?
19:37:43 Retweeted @PopSci 19:10:06 Watch Daisy Ridley swing a practice lightsaber https://t.co/FI4E0BvTv0 https://t.co/7G8AfZ9v2A

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-04-24 (UTC)

12:54:36 Democratic superdelegate scan a little earlier. Net change: Clinton +2. https://t.co/VCq2EI1yBH

@abulsme tweets from 2016-04-24 (UTC)

00:51:50 Retweeted @smoothkobra 00:20:45 Math is a Wall Street conspiracy and tool of the 1%, you can't believe math, its a neoliberal establishment shill https://t.co/gvhkOWnV2d
02:49:17 Watching – Bruce Springsteen opens Brooklyn show with Purple Rain (Stan Goldstein) https://t.co/C04pr2ezy9

@abulsme tweets from 2016-04-23 (UTC)

01:49:31 Retweeted @aspillane 00:08:23 MSNBC: Can Hillary Clinton really pick a woman as her VP?
Anita Dunn: There is some precedent for having a running mate of the same gender.
02:11:17 Retweeted @DavMicRot 02:10:01 Trump 75% for GOP nomination. 44% for 1,237 pledged delegates. 67% pledged + unbound delegates = first ballot win. https://t.co/LrSz2fenWM
04:25:36 Reading – GOPers Worry About Bringing Families To Convention After Pro-Trump Threats (Tierney Sneed) https://t.co/l68G93MUPj
04:29:52 Reading – Stonewalled by NSA, Members of Congress Ask Really Basic Question Again (Dan Froomkin) https://t.co/bAM3j5dn0q
04:30:02 Retweeted @Marty2634 04:26:11 @abulsme How are you? in reply to abulsme
04:30:36 .@Marty2634 Sleepy but good. Hope you are good too. :-) in reply to Marty2634
04:35:09 Retweeted @Marty2634 04:31:38 @abulsme I'm doing fine, thanks. I'll let you go if your tired in reply to abulsme
04:37:46 .@Marty2634 Sleppy but my 6 year old son wants to play swords for 15 minutes before bed. :-) Still having fun watching the race for Prez? in reply to Marty2634
08:20:36 Retweeted @Marty2634 04:38:33 @abulsme Of Course I am, Samuel! in reply to abulsme
15:51:18 Reading – Trump’s вЂSystem Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working (Nate Silver) https://t.co/2nkiuyosAY

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-04-22 (UTC)

16:47:05 Election 2016 talk proper starts 52 minutes in -> [Blog Post] Curmudgeon’s Corner: Favorite 19 https://t.co/nFUvQYP9WM

@abulsme tweets from 2016-04-22 (UTC)

01:03:42 Listening to Primary Concerns New York Votes, Trump Towers https://t.co/S19IvBNKYR
01:36:56 Listening to BhTV: Drezburt (audio) Heather Hurlburt & Daniel Drezner https://t.co/EC3sBpDtpA
02:03:19 Reading – Prince treated for drug overdose days before death (@tmz) https://t.co/TK95xr3IPV
02:15:06 Retweeted @Radimere 02:12:54 Reading: How Kinda Funny Quit Their Jobs – https://t.co/LGnBCrLpVV @abulsme @imbou
02:21:21 .@Radimere @imbou It is on Ivan’s part of our marketing list! I think we need a few more listeners before it makes much sense though. :-) in reply to Radimere
02:38:36 Retweeted @Radimere 02:28:17 Why wait, @abulsme @imbou. U'll psych yourselves out. Just do it and make adjustments as you go. in reply to abulsme
02:40:35 .@Radimere @imbou I have thought about going ahead and doing it even though it is on Ivan’s list since he has done NOTHING on his list. :-) in reply to Radimere
02:45:39 .@Radimere @imbou Honestly though, I have been too busy with @ElectionGraphs stuff to do Patreon for the podcast right now. in reply to abulsme
02:46:09 .@Radimere @imbou Of course, @ElectionGraphs could probably use a Patreon too. It costs me more at the moment, and has a bigger audience. in reply to abulsme
02:56:39 .@Radimere @imbou I also want to separate both from https://t.co/hHWIuUrVSn. Right now blog posts for both are on https://t.co/hHWIuUrVSn. in reply to abulsme
03:00:27 Retweeted @chrisgeidner 02:25:38 19 of the top 20 songs and albums on iTunes tonight: Prince or Prince & The Revolution. https://t.co/YNQVrrpyet
16:23:07 Retweeted @Radimere 11:04:16 @abulsme @imbou isn't easier having to post in one location and having it update either blog? in reply to abulsme
16:24:04 .@Radimere @imbou It doesn’t go two places right now. Just Abulsme. Which means those pages aren’t clearly CC or EG, which is confusing. in reply to Radimere
16:33:03 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten 16:32:16 Trump up 6 in Indiana… Would be just deadly for #nevertrump https://t.co/3oA3ObFMJa Still under 40 percent though. 37-31-22. Cruz in 2nd.
16:45:53 [Blog Post] Curmudgeon's Corner: Favorite 19 https://t.co/dFu2EG2rt7
18:05:34 Listening to Vox's The Weeds https://t.co/HNEa3khJN1
20:20:59 Retweeted @gruntdoc 19:29:43 Why you don’t want to ride down in the Humvee on a parachute: https://t.co/FXmqsCzOYm via @instapundit
20:45:30 .@SamWangPhD odds of PLEDGED delegate outright majority for Trump up to 75%! -> https://t.co/TO3bugR5YE
21:04:02 Retweeted @Redistrict 20:22:23 If this holds, the GOP nomination fight is game over. https://t.co/r02TLxZobY
22:48:13 Retweeted @matthewjdowd 22:47:29 So if all the current numbers hold in upcoming GOP primaries, Trump will easily hit 1237. Something has to change for him not to hit target
23:43:18 New polls today in IN and CA really improving Trump’s chances of winning outright. I had said 40%. Upping that to 60%. Tempted to go higher.

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@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-04-26 (UTC)

@abulsme tweets from 2016-04-26 (UTC)

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-04-25 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-04-25 (UTC)

@abulsme tweets from 2016-04-25 (UTC)

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-04-24 (UTC)

@abulsme tweets from 2016-04-24 (UTC)

@abulsme tweets from 2016-04-23 (UTC)

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-04-22 (UTC)

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