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Electoral College: Called – MA, IL, CT, NJ, DE, MD, DC, OK, TN… and part of ME

This is the 01:15 UTC Update.

CNN called Massachusetts, Illinois, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland and DC for Obama.

They also called Oklahoma and Tennessee for McCain.

Maine splits its four electoral votes. CNN has called 3 of them for Obama, the other is still uncalled.

All of these changes are in “Strong” states, so the overall status remains the same:

Summary:

McCain SuperBest: McCain 291, Obama 247
McCain Best Case: Obama 291, McCain 247

Current “everybody gets their leans”: Obama 349, McCain 189

Obama Best Case: Obama 406, McCain 132
Obama SuperBest: Obama 411, McCain 127

Electoral College: Called – South Carolina (8 ev) for McCain

This is the 01:00 Update.

South Carolina Called for McCain. This was a Strong McCain state, so the summary does not change:

Summary:

McCain SuperBest: McCain 291, Obama 247
McCain Best Case: Obama 291, McCain 247

Current “everybody gets their leans”: Obama 349, McCain 189

Obama Best Case: Obama 406, McCain 132
Obama SuperBest: Obama 411, McCain 127

Next Wave in 10 Minutes

A ton of states closing shortly. Several of them are “Strong” states that it should be possible to call almost immediately.

CNN Hologram

By the way, the CNN Hologram thingy looks stupid.

People Watching

Wow. More than 40 people looking at this site right now. Most of them on the Electoral College Prediction page, but a bunch wandering around elsewhere too. This is a new record for this site.

Electoral College: Called – Kentucky (8 ev) for McCain, Vermont (3 ev) for Obama

Kentucky called for McCain, Vermont for Obama. Both were strong states, so no surprises and this does not change the summary at all:

Summary:

McCain SuperBest: McCain 291, Obama 247
McCain Best Case: Obama 291, McCain 247

Current “everybody gets their leans”: Obama 349, McCain 189

Obama Best Case: Obama 406, McCain 132
Obama SuperBest: Obama 411, McCain 127

5 Minutes

ARRGGH! Tick Tock! Tick Tock!

Range of Possibilities

And of course, the numbers ACTUALLY don’t predict the everybody gets their leans numbers from the last post. They say that anything between Obama 406, McCain 132 and Obama 291, McCain 247 is very very possible.

Final Prediction

My final “everybody gets their leans” prediction before CNN starts calling states is Obama 349, McCain 189. My gut tells me that Obama will actually over-perform that. But I don’t trust my gut, I’ll stick with what the numbers tell me.

15 minutes

Until the first states are closed completely, and networks undoubtedly start calling the states that are not close. The suspense is killing me. :-)