This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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Sam Syndicates Something

As a semi-announcement, my Electoral College Prediction pages are now also being included as a feature on chrisweigant.com.

New CW.com Feature! Charts! Maps!
(Chris Weigant, 5 Aug 2008)

The last time I wrote a column about the Electoral College, I provided some graphs to liven up what I was talking about. I got a comment from someone who had his own graphs, who invited me to check them out. I did so, and liked his graphics so much that I asked him if I could cross-post them here for my readers. He graciously accepted, and I’ve got most of the bugs worked out (I think)… so I’m giving CW.com readers a one-day preview before I officially roll it out on Huffington Post as well.

As he mentions, it may get some additional exposure tomorrow.

Bayh?

The rumors all over the place seem to be veering quickly in the direction of Evan Bayh for Obama’s Veep. I saw it first on Brendan Loy’s blog while I was at Seafair Sunday… I just never had a chance to post.

Obama to announce Evan Bayh as veep in Elkhart on Wednesday?
(Brendan Loy, 3 Aug 2008)

With the Beijing Olympics set to begin Friday, and continuing until the day before the Democratic National Convention starts, Barack Obama’s last chance to make a pre-convention vice-presidential selection without competing against the Olympics in the news cycle would be early this week… say, Tuesday or Wednesday.

As the article notes, 21 hours in northern Indiana “seems like an awfully long time to be in one place.”

Anyway, what could this mean? A long, mid-week visit to Indiana, right before the Olympics? Could this be the big announcement at last? Obama-Weis ’08? ;)

Actually, the speculation is that it could mean Bayh’s the guy

“The visit…could be to announce the selection of Senator Evan Bayh as Obama’s running mate. … Democratic sources say Secret Service is working out details with local police that would include a motorcade. … Sources say the details appear to be different than a normal presidential candidate visit.”

There will be a rally in Elkhart on Wednesday morning, according to the South Bend Tribune. There is no official word yet on whether Bayh will be in attendance. The event will be open to the public.

I guess there won’t be long to wait to see if this is true, or if it is just another random rumor.

As I mentioned on this week’s podcast none of the veep possibilities really excite me. And that includes Bayh. But maybe he’d push Indiana out of swing state status to a clear Obama lead.

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Even Still Anyway

Sam and Ivan talk about:

  • Tourism
  • DRM Keys
  • Congress After Dark
  • Offshore Oil
  • Desperate McCain
  • Veep Veep

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Sometimes One, Sometimes Another

There are now two different types of ads on here rather than just the one that was there before. Neither will make me any cash of course, it is just a matter of trying out new things and seeing what they do. (I added ads to this site for the first time a few weeks short of a year ago, and I have yet to make my first $20, although I’m close!)

You’ll randomly get one type or another on each page view. Woo.

Florida and Michigan

I continue to think that even now, this late in the process, they should get no delegates at all. That was the original sanction, and anything other than that shows that the rules are meant to be flaunted and mean nothing.

Obama Asks That Florida and Michigan Delegations Get Full Votes
(M.S. Bellows, Jr., Huffington Post, 3 Aug 2008)

The Obama campaign just issued a press release containing a letter to the DNC Credentials Committee asking that the Democratic National Convention delegations from Florida and Michigan be seated with full, rather than half, votes. That request brings the contentious “early primary” dispute over those two states full-circle: Hillary Clinton’s supporters previously had suggested that she might appeal to the same Credentials Committee to have those delegations seated in full despite the fact that those states violated party rules by holding their primaries too soon, with the intention that those votes could throw the nomination to Clinton. Obama’s letter today displays the degree of finality and inevitability his nomination has garnered since Clinton conceded, and is an effort to mend fences with Michigan and Florida voters and Clinton supporters.

Of course, the final vote at the convention may also look very different than the final delegate tally from before Clinton’s concession as well, as there is a move (supported by Clinton herself) to not even have Clinton placed into nomination, but instead to nominate Obama essentially by acclimation. As anybody who has read or listened to anything I’ve had to say this year knows, I am no fan of Hillary Clinton. But I still think this is bullshit. Ideally, the role call vote at the convention should reflect the results of all the various primaries and caucuses. This should mean that Hillary (and the others who earned delegates) should indeed get their chance to have those delegates counted.

Of course, as I repeatedly pointed out through the whole primary season, delegates are not ACTUALLY bound my anything, even those pledged delegates. They can do whatever they want. So I guess it is OK if Hillary delegates choose to vote for Obama. I just wish they would stick to their guns and vote for the candidate they truly supported. The winner would remain the same, but the result would be more “true”. And THEN they can all rally behind the nominee or whatnot.

Oh well. It doesn’t look like that is what will happen.

(Please keep in mind, this is from the same person that believes it is a travesty in baseball when they don’t play the second half of the ninth inning if the team up to bat in that second half is already ahead, because yes, the winner has already been determined, but not what the final score SHOULD be.)

Redness Comes

Spent about five or six or seven hours at SeaFair with Brandy and Amy. Everything from the neck up is now bright red in color and tingly from the sun. Oops. I got home and immediately fell asleep for a nice nap. I’m now awake again and will try to get a thing or two done before heading to bed again for real.

No Bread Today Thank You

Fire Flavored Pizza

So… a few minutes ago Brandy put the pizza box and pizza in the oven to keep warm… but the oven was hotter than she thought it was. A few minutes later when Amy went to get another slice, she noticed that inside the oven the pizza and pizza box were quite nicely on fire.

Brandy and Amy managed to put it out. But the house is now full of smoke.

Maybe we’ll go out for awhile.

I can’t breathe. Cough.

The One Indeed

OK, most of McCain’s recent efforts have just been sad. I’m not sure if this one will be effective, but it is indeed funny. Good job for once.

(via Marc Ambinder)

King County Initiative 26 and Council-Proposed Alternative Question 1

Official information here (pdf).

Basically, question one is just asking if either of two proposed initiatives to amend the King County charter should be on the General election ballot. Both amendments would make the county executive, assessor and councilmembers into non-partisan positions. They differ however in how that would happen, and how information would be presented to the voters. If Question 1 passes, then Question 2, regarding which of the two proposals would be on the ballot, becomes relevant. I’ll wait to Question 2 to discuss the merits of the two proposals.

For now, the question is if either of them should be on the ballot.

I am generally in favor of direct elections when it comes to questions of how government should be organized (as opposed to specific questions of policy).

So my vote here is:

YES