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@abulsme tweets from 2012-11-15 (UTC)

RT @BYUfan: Hey! You forgot about @abulsme – Daily Kos: More accurate than Nate Silver http://t.co/DAW6dRPo via @dailykos 16:02:14
Reading – Warmer still: Extreme climate predictions appear most accurate, report says (Brian Vastag) http://t.co/Q5dyBVgH 16:06:42
Reading – Republicans Want ‘Stuff’ Too (Ta-Nehisi Coates) http://t.co/nStiGx6G 16:09:26
Just completed a 2.95 km walk – Lunch walk. . http://t.co/RAgDp4v1 #RunKeeper 21:14:51
Achieved a new personal record with @RunKeeper: Farthest distance in a week… http://t.co/nRqZaltJ #FitnessAlerts 21:15:00

@abulsme tweets from 2012-11-14 (UTC)

Reading – The Tea Party Is Dead. Long Live the Tea Party. (Kevin Drum) http://t.co/VssP1aZB 06:03:35
Just completed a 3.32 km walk – Lunch walk. . http://t.co/65sZBRdj #RunKeeper 21:30:02
Achieved a new personal record with @RunKeeper: Fastest average speed… http://t.co/nRqZaltJ #FitnessAlerts 21:30:03

@abulsme tweets from 2012-11-13 (UTC)

Just completed a 2.94 km walk – Lunch walk. . http://t.co/MlgY33hs #RunKeeper 20:51:43
.@BuzzFeedAndrew You will find and post video of Jill Kelley and twin on the Food Network, right? http://t.co/00Fmlsdt 23:50:46

@abulsme tweets from 2012-11-12 (UTC)

Reading – The Sins Of General David Petraeus (Michael Hastings) http://t.co/SXK8BWfj 00:20:22
Ivan and I just wrapped this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner. I’ll have it out later in the week! 02:33:55
Reading – Fantasyland (Frank Rich) http://t.co/Yw3Rsqz7 17:03:09

@abulsme tweets from 2012-11-11 (UTC)

Reading – Rethinking “shellshocked” Romney (David Jarman) http://t.co/obWW4evV 13:14:33
[Abulpost] 100 Years of Context: With all the talk of demographic trends favoring the democrats I thoug… http://t.co/Tb84mW2s 14:56:41
RT @ThoughtnDesign: @abulsme Can’t wait 2 hear the next C Corner. 15:19:15
.@ThoughtnDesign Recording it late toady because I have something to do in the morning. But it should be a fun discussion. :-) in reply to ThoughtnDesign 15:20:29
Toady? 15:24:00
[Abulpost] Teama Ruth is here again!: http://t.co/SSc93zaj 23:16:45

@abulsme tweets from 2012-11-10 (UTC)

Reading – Series 7: First Look at New Cybermen (DWTV) http://t.co/gBldALzQ 06:57:12
Reading – How Much Would You Pay to Never See an Online Ad Again? (Christopher Mims and Gideon Lichfield) http://t.co/5VeD7xGe 16:57:58
Reading – Truly All In (Josh Marshall) http://t.co/rggiWfRp 17:37:30
Reading – The Central Tension of the GOP Coalition (Matthew Yglesias) http://t.co/PZkKu3oQ 17:41:23
Reading – UK court orders Apple to pay Samsung’s legal fees in full after ‘false and misleading’ notice (Louis Goddard) http://t.co/VVqVYWIu 19:25:56
Showing a 3 year old how to use Amazon 1-Click to order toys probably wasn’t the greatest idea in the world… 22:09:00
[Abulpost] Electoral College: Nov 10 18:00 UTC – Florida finally called – For Obama – 56 of 56!: Just b… http://t.co/H7EEZeia 23:59:07

@abulsme tweets from 2012-11-09 (UTC)

RT @BuzzFeedAndrew: RT @rickklein: John McCain (2008) beating Mitt Romney (2012) by more than 2 million votes, 59.9 million – 57.5 million 15:12:27
Reading – Please Proceed, Republicans (Josh Marshall) http://t.co/aqbaXZRK 15:19:34
RT @ThoughtnDesign: @abulsme Congrats on your electoral college model this cycle!!!! Momentum, shmomentum, ehh? 15:20:19
.@ThoughtnDesign Thanks! Still waiting on the official call in FL to see if I’m 55/55 or 54/55, but looks like O. CNN just slow calling. in reply to ThoughtnDesign 15:25:43
RT @ThoughtnDesign: @abulsme The punditry is funny. Are u telling me that #Romney lost a race that he was never ahead in? Why aren’t we … 15:26:02
.@ThoughtnDesign Not big enuf to be called landslide. But solid EC win. Pop not bad either. R’s falling over themselves funny though. in reply to ThoughtnDesign 15:27:36
RT @rickklein: And Barack Obama (2008) beating Barack Obama (2012) by 9 million votes, 69.5 million – 60.2 million 15:29:29
Reading – Mitt Romney’s Campaign Really Believed He Was Going to Win, Right Up Until He Lost (Paul Constant) http://t.co/6FoR3uT1 15:32:35
WTF, Romney should have known it was a long shot at best -> Reading – Adviser: Romney “shellshocked” by loss (CBSNews) http://t.co/Bkf01BDq 15:38:18
Just completed a 3.32 km walk – Late lunch walk. First in a long time. . http://t.co/LnvPr5w7 #RunKeeper 22:00:28

@abulsme tweets from 2012-11-08 (UTC)

RT @natsecHeather: Son to me this am: “the next time we vote for President, I’ll be TWELVE!” @HonestToddler I almost drove off road. 14:22:15
.@natsecHeather My son will be seven in 2016. Blows my mind! in reply to natsecHeather 14:23:51
Reading – More best iPhone 5 cases (Brian Lam) http://t.co/AQ8Ylvwm 14:36:15
RT @alanbeattie: In response to Boehner POTUS should appear on TV with big platinum coin in one hand & copy of US Constitution in th … 14:38:41
Reading – How the Election Reset the Fiscal Cliff Debate (Jonathan Cohn) http://t.co/E0Yg5itI 14:43:38
Reading – Fla. election results still hanging, again (UPI) http://t.co/CdoJt45a 15:29:26
RT @BuzzFeedAndrew: And the election ends. Romney campaign concedes Florida, @MiamiHerald reports http://t.co/PdE0HyoY h/t @HuffPostPol 20:24:17

@abulsme tweets from 2012-11-07 (UTC)

[Abulpost] Electoral College: 00:00 – Election Night Begins!: Romney Obama Romney Best Case 310 228 Cur… http://t.co/uGwO5bLM 00:01:29
And we are off! 00:01:33
[Abulpost] Electoral College: 00:15 – VT, CT Called – No Surprises: Romney Obama Romney Best Case 310 2… http://t.co/qq0D3DpM 00:21:53
RT @jennsteele: @abulsme I’m watching the election via you as I swear at Excel :) 00:32:44
@jennsteele I will generally be about 15-20 minutes behind the network on called states cause of how I do it. But thanks! in reply to jennsteele 00:33:36
RT @jennsteele: @abulsme All the better – it gives me time to pretend to work between updates :) 00:43:28
[Abulpost] Electoral College: 00:30 – Indiana for Romney, as expected: \ Romney Obama Romney Best Case … http://t.co/2RTNlQsD 00:43:36
.@jennsteele Extremely frustrated by my slow website though. Actions that should take seconds taking minutes… Bleh! in reply to jennsteele 00:44:12
RT @jennsteele: @abulsme Ugh. I’ve had a rough technology day with Excel. If you know an Excel rain dance, let me know. 00:53:39
.@jennsteele Nope, sorry. :-) in reply to jennsteele 00:53:54
[Abulpost] Electoral College: 00:45 – WV and SC go as expected: Romney Obama Romney Best Case 310 228 C… http://t.co/9DPInUvr 01:03:47
RT @jennsteele: @abulsme NBC appears to be calling states more aggressively. Interesting. 01:28:32
.@jennsteele Cool. Working on the through 01:15 update right now. A lite behind. :-) in reply to jennsteele 01:29:29
[Abulpost] Electoral College: 01:15 – Lots of states, All expected: Romney Obama Romney Best Case 310 2… http://t.co/METwHMZY 01:38:38
RT @jennsteele: @abulsme I really value the “all expected” calls you make. They tell me whether to panic yet :) 01:48:26
.@jennsteele More “as expected” states coming in the update I am working in now. :-) in reply to jennsteele 01:48:59
[Abulpost] Electoral College: 01:45 – Three more Romney states, all expected: Romney Obama Romney Best … http://t.co/Cr0KN34g 01:59:32
First close state called! Michigan called for Obama. It will be in my next update… 02:02:58
Michigan was the tipping point state in my last update of my analysis. This is not good for Romney. :-) 02:04:36
RT @ChrisAWheeler: @abulsme Keep me updated! You’re better than CNN. 02:05:46
.@ChrisAWheeler Heh. Thanks! :-) in reply to ChrisAWheeler 02:06:03
Updates coming, but CNN just called PA. Romney has to sweep ALL the other close states to win. This is almost over. 02:42:51
[Abulpost] Electoral College: 02:15 – First Close State Called! Michigan Goes Blue: Romney Obama Romney… http://t.co/5lWgbSGC 02:47:02
Updates coming as fast as I can, but CNN just called NH for Obama. I believe this means Romney’s best case is now a 269-269 tie. 03:06:28
I lied. His best case is a 270 to 268 win. #math. Updates coming as fast as I can! 03:10:52
[Abulpost] Electoral College: 02:45 – Pennsylvania goes Blue, Romney’s paths drying up: Romney Obama Ro… http://t.co/VdliY4TH 03:13:37
RT @BYUfan: I second that! RT @ChrisAWheeler @abulsme Keep me updated! You’re better than CNN. 03:13:58
.@BYUfan Aw shucks…. in reply to BYUfan 03:14:11
[Abulpost] Electoral College: 03:15 – New Hampshire to Obama, Romney’s paths almost gone: Romney Obama … http://t.co/MKlt1slm 03:36:07
No states called in awhile. So no 3:30 or 3:45 updates. Bunch of states where the outcome is unlike to surprise probably right after 04:00. 03:47:05
Blog posts catching up soon, but Iowa just went blue. Romney’s best case is now to lose, even if he wins all the remaining close states. 04:11:19
With Iowa, Obama wins reelection. Even if Romney wins all the rest of the close states. We are done! 04:12:09
[Abulpost] Electoral College: 04:00 – Some Expected States: Romney Obama Romney Best Case 270 268 Curre… http://t.co/RbRXN8pW 04:15:15
RT @BYUfan: That was quick! RT @abulsme: With Iowa, Obama wins reelection. Even if Romney wins all the rest of the close states. We are … 04:17:48
RT @natsecHeather: @abulsme I know I’m not supposed to disenfranchise you West Coasters, but it’s over. FOX just called OH for Obama. 04:17:52
.@natsecHeather OH didn’t matter, by the end it was clearly Obama. I called the election about 10 minutes ago when Iowa was called. in reply to natsecHeather 04:18:43
[Abulpost] Electoral College: 04:15 – Romney’s Paths Gone, Obama Wins!: Romney Obama Romney Best Case 2… http://t.co/NPbW5Mfl 04:49:04
[Abulpost] Electoral College: 04:30 – Expected States push Obama over 270: Romney Obama Romney Best Cas… http://t.co/Ykyouf1z 05:10:55
[Abulpost] Electoral College: 05:00 – Nevada to Obama too: Romney Obama Romney Best Case 258 280 Curren… http://t.co/z3H6xoYw 05:34:49
[Abulpost] Electoral College: 05:30 – Colorado and Maine 2nd for Obama too: Romney Obama Romney Best Ca… http://t.co/V0oMSHCN 05:51:04
[Abulpost] Electoral College: 05:45 – Virginia also for Obama: Romney Obama Romney Best Case 235 303 Cu… http://t.co/bPIqMxaE 06:08:24
[Abulpost] Electoral College: 06:00 – Nebraska’s remaining congressional districts to Romney: Romney Oba… http://t.co/OTftXBiJ 06:34:46
[Abulpost] Electoral College: 06:15 вЂ“ Alaska for Romney, Only Florida Left: Romney Obama Romney Best … http://t.co/x8r949t3 09:59:35
Reading – Looking To Monetize Its Maps, Waze Launches A Location-Aware Mobile Ad Platform (Rip Empson) http://t.co/POtYXuIE 16:11:50
RT @kylenw: Just bought a Kindle Paperwhite with Prime, and its estimated delivery date is December 24th. Just in case anyone’s thinking … 16:13:32
Reading – Is Nate Silver Incentive Compatible? (Henry Farrell) http://t.co/GucP8OBd 16:18:22
RT @GarrettQuinn: Johnson now has the second highest vote total in Libertarian Party history, second only to Ed Clark in 1980 16:20:08
Reading – Introducing Waze Ads (Edon, Waze) http://t.co/81tGZX78 16:21:44
RT @MysteryPollster: +100 вЂњ@BrendanNyhan: Or @simonjackman! RT @dylanmatt In all the @fivethirtyeight triumphalism don’t forget @drewlin … 16:28:40
Reading – On the WA Gov race (Darryl, HorsesAss) http://t.co/2V1VpjRa 16:30:15
RT @mattyglesias: Citizens United seems to have been a devious plot to transfer money from conservative billionaires to conservative pol … 16:33:09
Reading – “Soon America Is Going to Suck for All of Us” (Paul Constant) http://t.co/EIIl1tgl 16:35:42
RT @tinyrevolution: Nate Silver being right brings up the very real and terrifying possibility that climate scientists are too 16:37:57
Reading – The Republican Minority Has Arrived (Andrew Sullivan) http://t.co/g9tubFKP 16:40:15
RT @politicalwire: How do you unskew actual votes? 16:40:37
Reading – The Masters of the Universe Lose (Charles Mudede) http://t.co/POTmLWeH 16:42:02
Reading – The Silver Fox (Matthew Yglesias) http://t.co/UyPuYXsB 16:51:43
RT @davidfrum: This is not a reaffirmation of the status quo. This is a Republican thumping. 17:18:21
Consensus seems to be CNN was the slowest calling states last night and I should have watched basically any other channel. :-/ 17:20:32
I had been watching MSNBC prior to polls closing. Switched to CNN cause I had easy audio option for that in the car for when I had to go. 17:22:03
Turns out the CNN audio feed failed me and I used the Slingbox, so could have watched anything. 17:23:24
Of course, by the time I left for airport everything but Florida had been called anyway. Hey wait, have the other networks called FL? :-) 17:24:43
RT @davidfrum: RT @AdamSerwer: Republicans should feel betrayed by conservative media that told them what they wanted to hear stead of w … 17:26:00
RT @Toure: The GOP cannot lose Latinos in huge numbers and lose big among women and also win national elections. 17:28:07
RT @davidfrum: RT @jpodhoretz: @davidfrum @AdamSerwer Would that have made a difference? / Truth always better than lies, and there were … 17:28:36
RT @BuzzFeed: Big night for math. #election2012 17:29:56
RT @BuzzFeedAndrew: 2008: election called at 11pm, 2012: election called at 11:15pm. 18:07:23
RT @McCainBlogette: Heartbroken. My party has to evolve or it’s going to die. 18:07:55
RT @chrislhayes: NBC is now projecting @fivethirtyeight as the President of the United States. 18:09:24
RT @BuzzFeedAndrew: RT @jpodhoretz Congratulations, guys. Fun sparring w/you. You were right and I was wrong. Thought polls were oversam … 18:13:42
RT @dccommonsense: Well as I’ve been saying for more than a year, Romney was the John Kerry,Walter Mondale,Bob Dole person this year
#El … 18:20:02
RT @ezraklein: The nature of tonight’s GOP loss — demographics turning decisively against them — seems certain to trigger n internal war 18:20:13
Reading – Rove Goes Rogue (Andrew Sullivan) http://t.co/Wye08Xbq 19:32:45
Reading – The Accuracy of the Final National Polls (John Sides) http://t.co/vwG0b1oz 19:35:04
Reading – xkcd: Math (Randall Monroe) http://t.co/nVTUcL4J 21:52:05
RT @brendanloy: .@ivette0915 The vast majority of the righties I follow accept the result. They just don’t like it/can’t fathom it. This … 22:10:56
Reading – Why I Was Wrong (Dick Morris) http://t.co/fzOqe7pC 22:20:54
RT @owillis: today we are at peak schadenfreude. 22:21:46
Reading – Silver Medal: Obama’s big win does not mean Nate Silver is a towering electoral genius. (Daniel Engber) http://t.co/Qvw1rBc4 22:26:11

@abulsme tweets from 2012-11-06 (UTC)

Reading – The Mistake That Is the Libertarian Party (Randy Barnett) http://t.co/q6vXTEur 03:05:07
I gather there is another 3rd party presidential debate tonight. I think I’m just too tired for that… :-) 03:09:58
Reading – But What If Obama Loses the Popular Vote? (James Fallows) http://t.co/577OHXAX 03:16:13
Reading – A 1-point Sandy bounce? (Sam Wang) http://t.co/GpjePSNB 03:18:16
RT @rebliv: @abulsme “all the fucking polls” — you should write that poem 04:26:27
I was going to write a post tonight about issues important to me and my views on them to guide my ballot choices. Realized I am too tired. 04:56:27
Tie in Dixville Notch! How exciting! 05:09:54
RT @brianbeutler: PREDICTION: Obama will ward off debt limit crisis with dubious reading of Constitution and House will impeach him for it. 05:17:15
RT @PollsAndVotes: More data! Still inconclusive. RT @JamesPindell: Hart’s Location election results @BarackObama 23, @MittRomney 9, @G … 06:16:58
RT @parislemon: If the number of iPad mini demos I’ve given the past few days is any indication, this is going to be the best selling de … 07:58:17
Reading – And if the GOP Doesn’t Win (Cont.) [James Fallows] http://t.co/e7VwMmqT 08:18:37
Reading – Presidential prediction 2012 (Election Eve final) [Sam Wang] http://t.co/FqtBtMiN 08:22:28
Reading – Nov. 5: Late Poll Gains for Obama Leave Romney With Longer Odds (Nate Silver) http://t.co/a10KfKJY 08:31:29
Reading – Poll Analysis: Penultimate stability (Darryl, HorsesAss) http://t.co/I4YxbdwL 08:34:35
Reading – Final Election Forecasting Update – 5 November 2012 (Kevin Drum) http://t.co/Bo9lzQsR 09:51:19
As I think though the last choice on my ballot > Rereading – Why I Refuse to Vote for Barack Obama (Conor Friedersdorf) http://t.co/h7tg68be 10:16:27
Saved Prez for last. More I looked at Johnson more I realized I disagreed on. But Friedersdorf’s argument won the day. One vote for Johnson. 10:23:30
Ballot all done now. I’ll take it to one of the official drop boxes after taking my son to preschool in the morning. But sleep first. 10:26:47
After that, one final round of poll checks, a final update to the website, then wait for the returns to start coming in… 10:27:22
RT @jonsevern: @abulsme so what is your final electoral count prediction? Who’s going to win this thing? 16:03:54
.@jonsevern You’ll just have to read my final post later today. :-) But probably safe bet nothing big will change from yesterday’s post. in reply to jonsevern 16:06:37
Ballot deposited in the official drop box a few seconds ago! #voted 17:33:55
RT @HuntsmanLiddy: MVP this election cycle: Nate Silver @fivethirtyeight 18:36:45
.@jonsevern Actually, looks like some interesting movement. Update before polls start closing in just under three hours. 20:16:37
Reading – Election Day’s Most Pressing Voting Irregularities: A Roundup (Perry Stein) http://t.co/dkBIOvqY 20:21:34
Final EC Update done. Polls added in 7 states. Florida, WisconsinвЂ¦ and OHIO change status. Blog post soon! http://t.co/kF2iz3uE 21:44:12
RT @BYUfan: @abulsme The return of 206-332. 21:49:20
.@BYUfan Indeed. Makes me smile. It is as if months and months of campaigning on both sides changed absolutely nothing… in reply to BYUfan 21:50:21
RT @jonsevern: @abulsme don’t tease me! 22:24:31
.@jonsevern Working on it now! in reply to jonsevern 22:24:45
[Abulpost] Electoral College: Final Update! Final surge for Obama!: This was supposed to be a day where… http://t.co/zKRoShyt 22:53:40
Polls have now closed in parts of Indiana and Kentucky! Here we go! 23:01:54

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@abulsme tweets from 2012-11-15 (UTC)

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