Abulsme.com

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-30 (UTC)

02:28:25 4th in a series for @ElectionGraphs. This time I cheat by using 2008-2016 data to retroactively predict 2016. OddsвЂ¦ https://t.co/y9Hj5ICmdX
02:39:18 Retweeted @MyEverettNews 02:35:10 The two passengers who were killed in a one car crash on 112th Street in #Everett Sunday morning have been identifiвЂ¦ https://t.co/2ZQU4FFUvU
02:59:57 @NateSilver538 @PatrickRuffini It was me. I was the incompetent one. :-) In an earlier post in the series (вЂ¦ https://t.co/JHgo5TSOOx in reply to NateSilver538
04:50:03 Retweeted @ChrisMurphyCT 03:04:02 So guess what – Senators can support more than 1 way to achieve universal health care. I introduced a Medicare buyвЂ¦ https://t.co/VfQI1ulo6Z
15:49:45 Retweeted @Susan_Hennessey 15:13:47 Yep, if there is one thing that’s true about “Intelligence people” it is how universally chill and relaxed they areвЂ¦ https://t.co/3NeCkc0Fh4
15:53:35 Retweeted @alexeheath 14:30:46 NEW: Apple now says it has revoked Facebook’s iOS developer certificate, which Apple intends to be used for a compaвЂ¦ https://t.co/XEYSLEHD3a in reply to alexeheath
15:59:25 Retweeted @joshtpm 14:07:58 there was really more than 140 seconds here that needed to be clipped. but a moment of semi-clarity on Morning JoeвЂ¦ https://t.co/vbzvzSt9CC
22:20:06 Hmm https://t.co/PC5v6JfmUA
22:39:07 Retweeted @joshtpm 2019-01-29 23:54:47 I remember when Sweden bit the dust. The starving millions. The ice sculptures. Never forget. https://t.co/IajAsmAJ5S

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2019-01-30 (UTC)

00:01:07 Predicting 2016 by Cheating
https://t.co/tn8uMP6vXL https://t.co/Xxeb5pBu8z

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-29 (UTC)

00:19:51 The 3rd in my series on how @ElectionGraphs state poll averages in 2008-2016 did compared to the election results.вЂ¦ https://t.co/3qTGatP9Xh
01:46:34 Oops https://t.co/l7paXxBQm4
01:59:17 Retweeted @AthertonKD 01:29:04 by the end of this week, the overlap between “people who have heard of Howard Schultz” and “people who want HowardвЂ¦ https://t.co/S6EAIEKeR4
01:59:43 Retweeted @sppeoples 00:07:30 Seconds into Howard Schultz’s remarks here at Barnes & Noble in Manhattan, a heckler yells: вЂњDon’t help elect TrumpвЂ¦ https://t.co/7opTbhXWH6
03:40:42 Retweeted @JeremyDDickey 03:38:33 вЂњWhen people told me вЂit’s not your time, someone like you can’t win’ I didn’t listen to them then and I won’t starвЂ¦ https://t.co/jY0PPkMgMX
03:41:38 Retweeted @jeremynewberger 03:40:32 Kamala Harris had me at intelligent person running for President.
04:15:28 Retweeted @nycsouthpaw 01:53:14 INT. PRESS OFFICE, MONDAY MORNING”OK team, where should we put the symbol of the White House–the TRUMP White HouвЂ¦ https://t.co/xhTLYA9NHU
04:16:53 Retweeted @mviser 03:53:33 Kamala Harris benefits from the town hall format, which she’ll be doing plenty of in the early states. She rememberвЂ¦ https://t.co/v2ZzMbTzaP
05:26:14 Retweeted @MarsWxReport 2019-01-28 22:45:04 High temps today across Canada and the upper midwest of the US didn’t reach Mars last reported high. https://t.co/Zg0REwm8PI
05:27:44 Retweeted @markgurman 03:55:11 Apple killed FaceTime conferencing server side it seems. Right move. https://t.co/H23W2tirgr
06:55:36 Retweeted @Patrick_Fenelon 2019-01-28 23:38:59 THEY DON’T EVEN HAVE A COLOR TO DESCRIBE HOW COLD IT’S GOING TO BE https://t.co/p1aMriPMh5
07:32:28 Retweeted @briantylercohen 2019-01-28 19:35:35 SCHULTZ: I look forward to listening to the American people as I consider a run for presi–EVERYONE: No.
SCHULTZвЂ¦ https://t.co/lNYr26zAnl
07:35:48 Retweeted @goldengateblond 02:28:55 Holy hell @maddow just said Trump’s weird claims (lies) about women tied up with duct tape, Mexican cars being tooвЂ¦ https://t.co/y2ZHmUPkOE
18:02:25 Retweeted @alanhe 13:34:40 Jeff Flake announces on @CBSThisMorning that he will not run for President in 2020
19:30:01 Retweeted @NPRinskeep 19:26:22 An extended argument with Howard Schultz is in this thread: https://t.co/pdwrtIAG39
20:42:10 Retweeted @sahilkapur 20:28:18 SOTU RESPONDERSвЂ”where are they now?2017: Retired
2016: Took UN post, resigned
2015: Still senator
2014: Quit HousвЂ¦ https://t.co/kALVjQu7Sv

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2019-01-29 (UTC)

00:01:03 Polling Error vs Final Margin
https://t.co/xk9kzoWyAW https://t.co/hv5095UJmp

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-28 (UTC)

01:08:34 Here is the second post in my series comparing @ElectionGraphs state poll averages from 2008-2016 to actual electioвЂ¦ https://t.co/xNzZCWjTnA
03:42:54 Retweeted @Radimere 03:39:50 Actual footage of @imbou in 48 degree weather, @abulsme : https://t.co/Kp46pcchr7
03:54:43 Retweeted @LarrySabato 00:26:05 Someone convinced @HowardSchultz that 40% of the electorate is вЂњIndependentвЂќ. In fact, that’s just a popular coverвЂ¦ https://t.co/43zP5SNgV0
04:28:42 Retweeted @peterbakernyt 03:02:24 Lunch in February 2017Trump: “This Russia thing is all over now, because I fired Flynn.вЂќ
Christie laughs.

TrumвЂ¦ https://t.co/TAo2oAEiv0
05:56:59 Retweeted @courtneymilan 05:29:41 DEAR BILLIONAIRES WHO LOVE YOUR COUNTRY,HAVE YOU CONSIDERED USING YOUR MONEY TO PURCHASE FOX NEWS? in reply to courtneymilan
15:56:23 Enjoy the purple @imbou ! https://t.co/tNnwXafXVq
17:49:44 Retweeted @2020Delegates 14:32:13 Here is a color coded chart of when delegates will be allocated in 2020. 41% of pledged delegates will be allocatedвЂ¦ https://t.co/DiSPHTzTws
17:50:49 @2020Delegates And superdelegates get no votes on the first ballot at all after all the rule changes were said and done, right? in reply to 2020Delegates
17:57:54 @2020Delegates This will make delegate tracking SO much easier than it was in the last two cycles!! Even using theвЂ¦ https://t.co/CKH7exVrez in reply to 2020Delegates
22:22:16 Retweeted @JamilSmith 18:39:08 I wrote about @KamalaHarris delivering her opening argument in Oakland. She clearly thinks working within the systeвЂ¦ https://t.co/Ixqw1RFMTI
23:41:13 Retweeted @natsecHeather 22:27:46 Hey, Congress, per @lrozen this would be a great time to hold some hearings and debate to make it clear that use ofвЂ¦ https://t.co/Rlk1lROCFE

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2019-01-28 (UTC)

00:05:02 Win Chances from Poll Averages
https://t.co/5NyrTfWpxS https://t.co/cwg16mPOAw

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-27 (UTC)

00:37:50 Stuff over at Election Graphs https://t.co/kTnf3JG4r1 https://t.co/ATM1rQCltl
00:51:28 The post linked below is the first in a series comparing final @ElectionGraphs polling averages from 2008-2016 to tвЂ¦ https://t.co/Pq7htYKz5e
04:28:32 Retweeted @calahan_riley 04:27:11 With all the recent gubernatorial elections in 2018 I thought I would update the map that shows the eye color of eaвЂ¦ https://t.co/jXceEdeP4r
06:23:34 Good thread on the Electoral College. https://t.co/Qz3KHeAHoi
19:05:23 @AlisonNC3 @ElectionGraphs The series I am posting now is about the final averages vs the actual elections. I havenвЂ¦ https://t.co/r8mrbFc89Q in reply to AlisonNC3
21:33:22 Curmudgeon’s Corner: You Deserve It https://t.co/Pa5A8Utxgv https://t.co/CPlypZeqLj
23:10:22 Retweeted @brianstelter 23:01:49 “She’s got a target on her back because she ticks every box that makes conservative men uncomfortable.”–вЂ¦ https://t.co/AQrnsStAdL
23:16:04 She is good. Very good. https://t.co/325Hw2u4VR

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2019-01-27 (UTC)

00:00:59 Polling Averages vs Reality
https://t.co/Qo1BRjN6Q6 https://t.co/N6d3bqojkU

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-01-27 (UTC)

02:46:29 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 00:00:59 Polling Averages vs Reality
https://t.co/Qo1BRjN6Q6 https://t.co/N6d3bqojkU

Curmudgeon’s Corner: You Deserve It

On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan discuss the Shutdown/Wall and Trump/Russia. Again. Then they squeeze in some international topics. Before that though, Ivan complains about the severe bone chilling 49 degree Fahrenheit cold spell in Southern Florida.

Click below to listen and subscribe!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2019-01-25
Length this week – 1:56:18

(0:01:54-0:13:58) But First
- Agenda
- Predictions show correction
- Slack invites
- Ivan and Cold
(0:14:38-0:52:57) Shutdown
- Trump’s first deal offer
- Negotiating positions
- Trump caves on the SOTU
- The blame game
- Trump on the ropes
- A moral issue?
- Ways out
- Let them eat cake!
- Escalating consequences
(0:54:40-1:29:09) Trump/Russia
- Buzzfeed on Trump suborning perjury
- Giuliani still an idiot
- Russian asset?
- Master plan vs stupidity
- Clearances
- Cohen testifying?
- Open crimes vs hidden crimes
(1:29:46-1:55:57) International
- NATO
- Venezuela
- Syria
- Russia
- Davos
- Brexit

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

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@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-30 (UTC)

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2019-01-30 (UTC)

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-29 (UTC)

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2019-01-29 (UTC)

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-28 (UTC)

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2019-01-28 (UTC)

@abulsme tweets from 2019-01-27 (UTC)

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2019-01-27 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2019-01-27 (UTC)

Curmudgeon’s Corner: You Deserve It

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