Abulsme.com

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-13 (UTC)

04:31:55 Poll Added: CVoter in RI from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 57.8% to Trump 38.6% https://t.co/7wqQX4Noji
04:37:37 Poll Added: CVoter in SC from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 42.2% to Trump 52.6% https://t.co/MbIFbb35Bh
04:42:05 Poll Added: CVoter in SD from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 41.6% to Trump 53.7% https://t.co/hveoBozZeH
04:45:08 Poll Added: CVoter in TN from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 39.3% to Trump 55.2% https://t.co/q0OYshl3yQ
04:48:15 Poll Added: CVoter in TX from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 41.3% to Trump 53.0% https://t.co/mPVETpLpbV
04:54:03 Poll Added: CVoter in UT from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 29.7% to Trump 64.2% https://t.co/zrp83LlOrt
04:57:40 Poll Added: CVoter in VT from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 62.2% to Trump 33.3% https://t.co/LKUC4uNKQX
05:02:20 Poll Added: CVoter in VA from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 48.3% to Trump 46.8% https://t.co/3LK8Dr6b9F
05:05:46 Poll Added: CVoter in WA from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 53.4% to Trump 41.7% https://t.co/WcPmmuMv5n
05:07:49 Poll Added: CVoter in DC from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 80.3% to Trump 13.9% https://t.co/09qmyGnGy5
05:10:52 Poll Added: CVoter in WV from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 36.5% to Trump 57.7% https://t.co/PdwwDQwFKN
05:14:21 Poll Added: CVoter in WI from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 50.5% to Trump 45.6% https://t.co/PLSVC63b7i
05:14:38 Clinton vs Trump state category change: WI has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/PLSVC63b7i
05:17:16 Poll Added: CVoter in WY from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 30.7% to Trump 63.0% https://t.co/MEHGrZABP1
06:06:29 Poll Added: BWCRI [2] in OH from 2016-10-09 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 48.1% to Trump 37.6% https://t.co/0ZsofSz58R
06:08:44 Poll Added: BWCRI w/4P [2] in OH from 2016-10-09 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 43.2% to Trump 34.4% https://t.co/pWViBREWYO
06:08:49 Full 4P results: BWCRI w/4P [2] in OH from 2016-10-09 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 43.2% to Trump 34.4% to Johnson 9.5% to Stein 2.7%
06:16:24 Poll Added: Detroit News w/4P [2] in MI from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 42.2% to Trump 30.6% https://t.co/3JZuXqLT37
06:16:29 Full 4P results: Detroit News w/4P [2] in MI from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 42.2% to Trump 30.6% to Johnson 10.3% to Stein 4.6%
06:18:49 Poll Added: Detroit News [2] in MI from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 47% to Trump 33% https://t.co/Wo2ADdntKg
06:28:04 Poll Added: PPP in NV from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 47% to Trump 43% https://t.co/9AQZ2WZk9k
06:35:55 Poll Added: PPP in NH from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 48% to Trump 37% https://t.co/JZ1g2EfwDP
06:44:49 Poll Added: MPRC [3] in ME-All from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 40.4% to Trump 29.9% https://t.co/Hrhgj4KhOV
06:46:50 Poll Added: MPRC w/Lean [3] in ME-All from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 48.8% to Trump 40.1% https://t.co/CMgeP37smh
06:48:46 Poll Added: MPRC w/4P [3] in ME-All from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 44.0% to Trump 36.1% https://t.co/Zuvdu6yezc
06:48:51 Full 4P results: MPRC w/4P [3] in ME-All from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 44.0% to Trump 36.1% to Johnson 8.8% to Stein 2.9%
07:15:41 Poll Added: MPRC [3] in ME-CD1 from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 43.8% to Trump 27.6% https://t.co/zTlUfQSfa6
07:18:00 Poll Added: MPRC w/Lean [3] in ME-CD1 from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 52.8% to Trump 35.7% https://t.co/EfJEXsv4Sa
07:19:37 Poll Added: MPRC w/4P [3] in ME-CD1 from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 48.7% to Trump 32.3% https://t.co/BYbVw1VVqr
07:19:42 Full 4P results: MPRC w/4P [3] in ME-CD1 from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 48.7% to Trump 32.3% to Johnson 7.3% to Stein 3.4%
07:22:20 Poll Added: MPRC [3] in ME-CD2 from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 36.6% to Trump 32.3% https://t.co/5qAnvumWdk
07:24:38 Poll Added: MPRC w/Lean [3] in ME-CD2 from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 44.4% to Trump 45.0% https://t.co/M22WhqhxOA
07:26:07 Poll Added: MPRC w/4P [3] in ME-CD2 from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 38.8% to Trump 40.4% https://t.co/XPoGomPScF
07:26:12 Full 4P results: MPRC w/4P [3] in ME-CD2 from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 38.8% to Trump 40.4% to Johnson 10.4% to Stein 2.4%
07:26:32 Clinton vs Trump state category change: ME-CD2 has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump https://t.co/XPoGomygO5
07:47:43 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 381 to Trump 157 -> Clinton 382 to Trump 156 https://t.co/DPqeyId1XB
18:10:34 Poll Added: Marquette [7] in WI from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 45% to Trump 40% https://t.co/XMBpj4wKJR
18:13:24 Poll Added: Marquette w/4P [7] in WI from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 41% to Trump 35% https://t.co/Hqq4TJiLFj
18:13:29 Full 4P results: Marquette w/4P [7] in WI from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 41% to Trump 35% to Johnson 11% to Stein 3%
18:15:22 Poll Added: Marquette LV [7] in WI from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 46% to Trump 42% https://t.co/9UgxOagnhq
18:17:06 Poll Added: Marquette LV w/4P [7] in WI from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 44% to Trump 37% https://t.co/j3CjzJt1Cr
18:17:11 Full 4P results: Marquette LV w/4P [7] in WI from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 44% to Trump 37% to Johnson 9% to Stein 3%
18:21:10 Poll Added: Marquette LV Thu w/4P [7] in WI from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 40% to Trump 41% https://t.co/6VnYmZaoQZ
18:21:15 Full 4P results: Marquette LV Thu w/4P [7] in WI from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 40% to Trump 41% to Johnson 9% to Stein 3%
18:23:16 Poll Added: Marquette LV Fri w/4P [7] in WI from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-07 – Clinton 44% to Trump 38% https://t.co/VNgXllXAsD
18:23:21 Full 4P results: Marquette LV Fri w/4P [7] in WI from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-07 – Clinton 44% to Trump 38% to Johnson 8% to Stein 2%
18:25:55 Poll Added: Marquette LV Sat/Sun w/4P [7] in WI from 2016-10-08 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 49% to Trump 30% https://t.co/9jKz477de8
18:26:01 Full 4P results: Marquette LV Sat/Sun w/4P [7] in WI from 2016-10-08 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 49% to Trump 30% to Johnson 9% to Stein 5%
18:35:14 Poll Added: Opinion Savvy w/4P in FL from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 46.9% to Trump 44.1% https://t.co/9TmDIkErbw
18:35:19 Full 4P results: Opinion Savvy w/4P in FL from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 46.9% to Trump 44.1% to Johnson 5.3% to Stein 0.8%
18:38:42 Poll Added: Monmouth w/4P in MO from 2016-10-09 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 41% to Trump 46% https://t.co/7NY6hnBtLb
18:38:47 Full 4P results: Monmouth w/4P in MO from 2016-10-09 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 41% to Trump 46% to Johnson 5% to Stein 2%
18:43:01 Poll Added: Y2 Analytics w/3P in UT from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 26% to Trump 26% https://t.co/ydzKcKmAgY
18:43:06 Full 3P results: Y2 Analytics w/3P in UT from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 26% to Trump 26% to Johnson 14%
18:45:02 Note that Y2 poll also had McMullin at 22%. If more polls show him that close, @ElectionGraphs has a lot of work to doвЂ¦ in reply to ElecCollPolls
19:18:11 Poll Added: Roanoke in VA from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 45% to Trump 36% https://t.co/8uCTix5Ky5
19:30:22 A round of poll entry complete. All 50 states, DC, and ME congressional districts. Blog post over at @ElectionGraphs coming later.

@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-13 (UTC)

00:13:28 Retweeted @TrueFactsStated 00:12:05 Drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip drip flush.
00:13:43 Retweeted @deirdrewalshcnn 00:12:26 Ohio GOP Chair said yesterday on CNN he asked Trump in phone call after Fri tape if any more allegations coming and Trump told him no
00:14:00 Retweeted @aravosis 00:12:17 All of Trump's surrogates have done a 180. They're all now ripping the credibility of the women making the allegations against Trump.
00:14:07 Retweeted @aseitzwald 00:12:11 .@LisaBloom on with @chrislhayes: "Rest assured, there are going to be many many more."
01:34:49 Retweeted @ObsoleteDogma 00:48:12 Here’s a list ofвЂ”I thinkвЂ”all the Trump allegations from the past 24 hours https://t.co/TlQSVgduKz
01:36:31 Retweeted @ericheggie 2016-10-12 22:54:12 The women who came forward are incredibly brave for doing so. Don't envy what they are about to go through.
01:38:17 Retweeted @MichaelSkolnik 01:32:05 Read ALL the responses. Sending my deepest amount of love to every women who has the courage to tell their story anвЂ¦ https://t.co/OaqfFisEMK
01:38:26 Retweeted @B_M_Finnigan 01:04:03 This is still not the worst it gets. There are weeks left to go.
01:45:52 Good -> Hillary Clinton to Panicked Republicans: You’re on Your Own (Brian Beutler) https://t.co/JNJatwjhQF
01:46:24 Retweeted @MaureenShaw 2016-10-12 23:44:07 For those who want to #repealthe19th don't forget to vote on November 28!
02:10:49 Retweeted @NumbersMuncher 02:10:29 Well done, GOP. https://t.co/YO87B6gXjW
02:31:20 Retweeted @neilhimself 02:31:08 I just remembered that I liked Twitter better in the days before I thought of it as the 'Oh Dear God What Has Donald Trump Done Now' place.
03:02:12 Retweeted @petersuderman 03:01:59 Good thing Trump stanched the bleeding at the debate.
03:03:11 OMFG -> Physically Attacked by Donald Trump вЂ“ A PEOPLE Writer’s Own Harrowing Story (Natasha Stoynoff) https://t.co/khZEL8K0tz
03:03:56 Retweeted @JoeMuto 03:03:41 Remember when the absolute worst thing about the GOP candidate was that he made his dog ride on the roof of the car once?
Good times.
03:21:54 Retweeted @paleofuture 03:21:43 We need a fucking monument with the name of every politician who has ever supported Donald Trump chiseled into it so that we never forget
04:12:01 Watching – Hitler Finds Out Trump is a Serial Sexual Assaulter (RINO Pundit) https://t.co/8Mp11aJfDn
04:23:48 Retweeted @liamstack 04:05:05 This seems like something Trump will not want to do https://t.co/Kn0f9IhX7L in reply to liamstack
04:24:19 Retweeted @JessicaScott09 03:57:09 CNN just said there's up to 12 women coming forward against Trump.
04:27:37 Retweeted @brianbeutler 00:48:18 This isn't He Said/She Said so much as They Said, because he said 'I sexually assault women with impunity" and she said, 'yes that's right.'
05:25:18 Retweeted @LJSilverman1 2016-10-08 20:54:15 Bite your tongue before you say a thing about Melania Trump. She is married to an abusive man. So bite your damn tongue & have some empathy.
05:35:13 Retweeted @Claire_Phipps 00:34:58 Do read these tweets from former Miss Teen USA @TheRealKamie on Trump and women вЂ“ especially women of colour: https://t.co/PpsYd0BRBT
05:37:04 Retweeted @NumbersMuncher 05:15:31 It's been said that when Trump attacks someone he's just highlighting his own shortcomings. Explains the obsession with Bill's sexual past.
05:37:20 Retweeted @morningmoneyben 05:15:21 Huge credit to him for refusing to let Trump slide without answering. At first I thought Trump wouldn't deny. https://t.co/j63Peh0bvu
05:38:47 Retweeted @MEPFuller 03:11:35 And now the Trump campaign is threatening to sue individual women for coming forward.
It bears repeating: This is the Republican nominee.
05:39:49 Retweeted @KeithOlbermann 04:35:08 I'd like to congratulate @realDonaldTrump on hitting the two hour mark since the last accusation of sexual assault and/or groping #Pivot
05:40:46 Retweeted @jledbetter 05:00:28 Pulling out of VA is NBD for the Trump campaign. As long as they still win NC, OH, FL, NH, NV, PA, Canada, the UN, and UT.
05:41:54 Retweeted @markmobility 01:50:16 Want to understand why the Trump campaign is panicking? Check out the trends in Wisconsin after the #TrumpTapes. https://t.co/zSHj1JMqGI
05:48:15 Retweeted @BadAstronomer 2016-10-12 20:59:23 This is what the electoral map looks like once all the stars in the Universe burn out and matter decays into nothinвЂ¦ https://t.co/bJ0tlgf22u
05:51:53 Retweeted @JayCostTWS 05:35:51 One thing I will say: Trump has taught me where the Framers were coming from vis-a-vis unchecked democracy.
06:23:46 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten 03:48:00 Come on, man… https://t.co/77tW49kWWK
07:30:54 Retweeted @ezraklein 04:37:40 If you're a Republican, all you must be thinking about is: what's coming out next?
Tomorrow's defections will be something to see.
07:32:37 Retweeted @EliotHiggins 07:09:21 At this rate it might be President Clinton jailing Donald Trump.
07:35:15 Retweeted @MattMackowiak 04:08:04 Trump has avoided accountability his entire life: prenups, NDAs, hush money, settlements, filing law suits, bankruptcy. No more.
07:41:40 Retweeted @David_EHG 2016-10-12 19:17:08 This montage of Trump yearning for the "good ole' days" in @AVAETC's searing documentary "13th" is just devastating: https://t.co/KtpJzbg4UN
08:01:56 Retweeted @JillFilipovic 07:56:15 "I didn't sexually assault women, I just bragged about sexually assaulting women to sound cool" is maybe not the best defense?
08:02:29 Retweeted @charliedemers 01:18:49 Who you going to believe, women who claim they were groped, or a man who says he gropes women? It's a real "he & she both said" situation.
15:57:16 Retweeted @BraddJaffy 12:32:09 Time magazine has updated its August cover for this week https://t.co/SJKVDj19ic
15:58:11 Retweeted @Rosie 15:56:16 … https://t.co/Du8LFDYj7j
16:11:05 Good thread -> https://t.co/uQSU4ITVyF
16:34:17 Must read. Best explanation of this I’ve ever read. -> How Half Of America Lost Its F**king Mind (David Wong) https://t.co/P3MZzALqF9
16:44:39 Retweeted @Kia_Mak 16:44:01 Michelle Obama is delivering an incredibly stirring and personal rebuke to Trump’s assaults https://t.co/c0LGIRiI90
16:47:01 Retweeted @jonfavs 16:46:22 Michelle Obama is giving one of the most important speeches of the entire campaign.
16:51:52 If you haven’t been watching Michelle Obama these last few minutes, you have missed out. She’s wrapping up now. https://t.co/EQsxfPl1DW
16:53:14 Michelle Obama really should be running for something herself. I know she doesn’t want to, but DAMN is she goodвЂ¦ https://t.co/EQsxfPl1DW
17:49:45 Retweeted @jaketapper 17:38:39 NYT responds to Trump re: cease and desist https://t.co/3AozcWSIl6
17:50:18 Retweeted @_SidVerma 17:09:25 Here is Donald Trump's response to suggestions he is a "sexual predator" https://t.co/1QhidToA1b
18:01:50 Retweeted @jaketapper 2016-10-07 21:14:59 It's a question that has confounded millions of people for hundreds of years, @johnpodesta @jmpalmieriвЂ¦ https://t.co/eWNylDWUTX
18:03:55 Reading – Storm Update (Cliff Mass) https://t.co/a9BEHmgl8e
18:46:42 Retweeted @TheJewishDream 00:09:45 In the vein of @joshtpm's "Trump's razor" I submit "SchrГ¶dinger's Trump": A revelation that's both shocking and unsurprising, simultaneously
18:47:16 Retweeted @GoldyHA 2016-10-12 23:59:37 If there's one thing we've learned from this campaign it's that Trump's Republican primary opponents all sucked at opposition research.
18:56:35 Michelle Obama starts at 24:30. Watch the whole thing -> First Lady Michelle Obama live in Manchester, New Hampshire https://t.co/lXHoq3WbbB
18:58:20 Retweeted @TomWellborn 2016-10-12 16:06:10 Trump's Freudian slip when he told supporters to go out and vote Nov 28th… the start date of trial for fraud.
19:09:06 Watching – Rogue One: A Star Wars Story Trailer #2 (Official) https://t.co/SBfLjeI34D
19:11:11 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten 2016-10-11 23:06:05 And for those wondering, yes Reagan led Carter right now.
19:19:50 Retweeted @hominidviews 2016-10-11 20:22:59 If the election was today, Democrats would have a 63.5% probability of taking the Senate….
https://t.co/Y1dzDLDrS1 https://t.co/4fAGJ9rC5p
19:29:17 Watching – GOP Fear the P (Samantha Bee) https://t.co/1JiE4vlczE
19:30:39 Retweeted @ElecCollPolls 19:30:22 A round of poll entry complete. All 50 states, DC, and ME congressional districts. Blog post over at @ElectionGraphs coming later.
19:35:36 Retweeted @joshtpm 18:34:50 It does seem like Trump wants to help political science by running a controlled experiment where a candidate gets zero votes from women.
19:36:42 Retweeted @SnoPUD 19:31:16 #Update on tonight's storm: https://t.co/qJ3jQWVujl вЂ¦ Review our storm tips to prepare: https://t.co/Jpl4ajaIE5вЂ¦ https://t.co/jVIYeSESNB
19:43:58 Retweeted @HillaryClinton 18:45:25 .@FLOTUS, I'm in awe. Thanks for putting into words what's in so many of our hearts. -H
19:48:59 Reading – Trump Said to Block Campaign’s Requests to Do Self-Opposition Research (@kevcirilli) https://t.co/fvOHLEpbUe
21:10:47 Retweeted @BBCRosAtkins 19:16:27 Donald Trump says he'll sue the @nytimes over new allegations of inappropriate behaviour. NYT lawyer says bring it.. https://t.co/BPjLxw4Nqi
21:11:31 Retweeted @gadyepstein 14:18:14 Our great cover this week puts Trump where he belongs. https://t.co/Moct2KsLii
21:24:08 Retweeted @hominidviews 21:18:48 In an election held today, Clinton would win with near certainty, and about 335 electoral votes.вЂ¦ https://t.co/mq8yGIHTju
21:33:32 Retweeted @ShannonODKOMO 21:17:38 Winds ramping up after dark and into early Friday morning. Strongest gusts Whidbey Island, northward, and at the coвЂ¦ https://t.co/zVZKRtFBbd
21:34:04 Retweeted @ABCLiz 20:46:29 For those interested: Clinton said gifs with a hard "G" in reply to ABCLiz
21:48:56 Retweeted @Politics1com 16:33:33 Newt Gingrich tells FOX that Donald Trump is no longer listening to his advice.
22:26:10 Retweeted @cd_hooks 22:17:33 Republican primary voters had every tool in the world they needed to figure out what kind of dude Donald was. This is not the media's fault
22:37:13 Retweeted @marinakoren 22:20:17 .@lucia_graves, who reported on Trump's groping allegations back in July, on why we're only talking about it now:вЂ¦ https://t.co/OTTLcwsN0U
22:58:23 Retweeted @kairyssdal 22:54:29 Good thread here from @toddzwillich https://t.co/P15pE1V709
23:04:39 Retweeted @ryanstruyk 22:25:00 Trump is winning 68% of white evangelical Christians in new Fox poll.
That's exactly the same as before the lewd video from last weekend.
23:10:47 Retweeted @DavidMDrucker 22:47:15 It's time for another edition of: I only believe the polls that give me the results I want.

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-12 (UTC)

02:50:57 Poll Added: Ipsos in AL from 2016-09-23 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 36.507% to Trump 56.761% https://t.co/pRvleTvra3
02:53:55 Poll Added: Ipsos in AZ from 2016-09-23 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 42.218% to Trump 49.058% https://t.co/YItkOUnUJ1
02:54:09 Clinton vs Trump state category change: AZ has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Clinton https://t.co/YItkOUnUJ1
03:06:43 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 331 to Trump 207 -> Clinton 342 to Trump 196 https://t.co/SboYndVp3I
03:14:35 Retweeted @jasonnobleDMR 00:07:29 вЂњNo, no, no,вЂќ @mike_pence said when a woman suggested "revolution" if Hillary Clinton is elected. "Don’t say that.вЂќ
https://t.co/IjOzsTSkPm
03:19:03 Poll Added: Ipsos in AR from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 37.874% to Trump 53.007% https://t.co/bRo3u5nJi3
03:24:27 Poll Added: Ipsos in CA from 2016-09-30 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 62.260% to Trump 27.856% https://t.co/waa5OFMSci
03:28:26 Poll Added: Ipsos in CO from 2016-09-23 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 44.765% to Trump 44.857% https://t.co/6EfLkipXeh
03:31:34 Poll Added: Ipsos in CT from 2016-09-23 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 53.475% to Trump 35.230% https://t.co/8pldcjEtbH
03:34:21 Poll Added: Ipsos in DE from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 46.257% to Trump 35.623% https://t.co/pu2WPs8WfK
03:36:39 Poll Added: Ipsos in FL from 2016-09-30 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 48.550% to Trump 43.736% https://t.co/SCoeliNEzR
03:40:07 Poll Added: Ipsos in GA from 2016-09-30 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 43.102% to Trump 48.054% https://t.co/yuAq2mSEkv
03:42:28 Poll Added: Ipsos in ID from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 31.007% to Trump 55.216% https://t.co/utIyi52sOc
03:44:53 Poll Added: Ipsos in IL from 2016-09-30 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 57.488% to Trump 31.292% https://t.co/TsFY9ZREIi
03:47:48 Poll Added: Ipsos in IN from 2016-09-23 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 37.214% to Trump 50.312% https://t.co/98cJ4iFgtU
03:48:02 Clinton vs Trump state category change: IN has moved from Weak Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/98cJ4iFgtU
04:07:02 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 387 to Trump 151 -> Clinton 376 to Trump 162 https://t.co/xYGXUefFeL
04:21:06 Poll Added: Ipsos in IA from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 44.429% to Trump 46.179% https://t.co/QN6H3B60j0
04:23:29 Poll Added: Ipsos in KS from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 34.845% to Trump 55.298% https://t.co/PBCMFYgJXr
04:26:38 Poll Added: Ipsos in KY from 2016-09-23 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 37.269% to Trump 57.059% https://t.co/IeY2ltCQka
04:59:51 Poll Added: Ipsos in LA from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 35.533% to Trump 50.879% https://t.co/yOs05peKXN
05:04:43 Poll Added: Ipsos in ME-All from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 45.944% to Trump 33.064% https://t.co/Od2YZB3IP7
05:08:37 Poll Added: Ipsos in MD from 2016-09-23 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 53.072% to Trump 31.736% https://t.co/rzN5iScYrL
05:12:33 Poll Added: Ipsos in MA from 2016-09-23 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 48.993% to Trump 29.851% https://t.co/ot5PIXAOuD
05:15:42 Poll Added: Ipsos in MI from 2016-09-30 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 44.751% to Trump 38.175% https://t.co/mavJJReZNF
05:18:15 Poll Added: Ipsos in MN from 2016-09-23 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 42.030% to Trump 37.566% https://t.co/1Hzoz9EBTN
05:42:06 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 6.9% in MN -> Clinton by 7.3% in VA https://t.co/XXLv29pKHT
06:34:44 Poll Added: Ipsos in MS from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 39.961% to Trump 51.093% https://t.co/njjXH2V9f2
06:37:34 Poll Added: Ipsos in MO from 2016-09-23 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 37.046% to Trump 48.700% https://t.co/VfTg584SOl
06:40:35 Poll Added: Ipsos in MT from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 34.264% to Trump 57.979% https://t.co/h8hgl72xPH
06:43:19 Poll Added: Ipsos in NE-All from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 31.753% to Trump 47.557% https://t.co/LWsoWxs2q2
06:46:50 Poll Added: Ipsos in NV from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 46.231% to Trump 42.287% https://t.co/LSyR8wTfKh
06:49:08 Poll Added: Ipsos in NH from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 49.448% to Trump 39.511% https://t.co/ym2HRGaVML
06:51:14 Poll Added: Ipsos in NJ from 2016-09-30 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 48.523% to Trump 33.656% https://t.co/kD9fzMl0s2
06:51:29 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NJ has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton https://t.co/kD9fzMl0s2
06:54:05 Poll Added: Ipsos in NM from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 49.105% to Trump 35.931% https://t.co/i8SIUmpsGb
06:59:54 Poll Added: Ipsos in NY from 2016-09-30 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 54.762% to Trump 31.065% https://t.co/HYhsQqbnS8
07:02:46 Poll Added: Ipsos in NC from 2016-09-30 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 44.156% to Trump 43.092% https://t.co/RzOQZ8HfPV
07:02:58 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NC has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Clinton https://t.co/RzOQZ8HfPV
07:16:59 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 342 to Trump 196 -> Clinton 357 to Trump 181 https://t.co/QhPH8toplc
07:37:42 Poll Added: Ipsos in ND from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 30.323% to Trump 43.169% https://t.co/aTLYQShc0A
07:40:54 Poll Added: Ipsos in OH from 2016-09-30 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 46.208% to Trump 42.560% https://t.co/cu2uQ1onwa
07:43:26 Poll Added: Ipsos in OK from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 33.220% to Trump 53.197% https://t.co/FPWTxWiZtw
07:47:42 Poll Added: Ipsos in OR from 2016-09-23 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 51.330% to Trump 35.999% https://t.co/Bfzbe6KjSG
07:49:28 Poll Added: Ipsos in PA from 2016-09-30 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 49.343% to Trump 42.790% https://t.co/KRkZyog1GF
07:52:38 Poll Added: Ipsos in SC from 2016-09-23 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 46.665% to Trump 48.254% https://t.co/l8PxzaNXH4
07:54:51 Poll Added: Ipsos in SD from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 35.728% to Trump 45.447% https://t.co/vBfgr7CMyd
07:57:48 Poll Added: Ipsos in TN from 2016-09-23 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 33.855% to Trump 48.571% https://t.co/DwYpp8J8cf
07:59:27 Poll Added: Ipsos in TX from 2016-09-30 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 33.587% to Trump 50.140% https://t.co/eGDN7F0cUX
08:01:25 Poll Added: Ipsos in UT from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 32.941% to Trump 47.936% https://t.co/4VBkSHsFRJ
08:03:11 Poll Added: Ipsos in VT from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 46.338% to Trump 21.285% https://t.co/Rl7lORvz3z
08:05:47 Poll Added: Ipsos in VA from 2016-09-30 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 50.494% to Trump 39.053% https://t.co/IkaZYqyU0r
08:22:11 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 7.3% in VA -> Clinton by 7.3% in PA https://t.co/CMjeBEl2z6
16:25:53 Poll Added: Ipsos in WA from 2016-09-30 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 50.903% to Trump 33.287% https://t.co/stHCa9hddU
16:28:22 Poll Added: Ipsos in WV from 2016-09-16 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 36.365% to Trump 55.310% https://t.co/gxc0xBkUPV
16:30:28 Poll Added: Ipsos in WI from 2016-09-23 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 45.722% to Trump 42.278% https://t.co/cUgrTCgLa6
16:34:30 Poll Added: CVoter in AL from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 38.0% to Trump 56.3% https://t.co/gw5W7Mv96V
16:36:31 Poll Added: CVoter in AK from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 41.3% to Trump 53.4% https://t.co/6vAONNN20M
16:38:59 Poll Added: CVoter in AZ from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 43.8% to Trump 49.9% https://t.co/g3OOpJX0gq
16:39:15 Clinton vs Trump state category change: AZ has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump https://t.co/g3OOpJX0gq
16:58:26 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 357 to Trump 181 -> Clinton 346 to Trump 192 https://t.co/gfpQ63zG2H
17:36:42 Poll Added: CVoter in AR from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 37.2% to Trump 56.1% https://t.co/rz9vBG8j0D
17:39:41 Poll Added: CVoter in CA from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 58.2% to Trump 37.0% https://t.co/Ctrt1o5cHX
17:42:05 Poll Added: CVoter in CO from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 49.8% to Trump 44.3% https://t.co/7NLz7S4dVp
17:44:52 Poll Added: CVoter in CT from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 54.4% to Trump 41.6% https://t.co/K80NxLompk
17:46:56 Poll Added: CVoter in DE from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 55.2% to Trump 41.4% https://t.co/WDDJWUQDQE
17:49:45 Poll Added: CVoter in FL from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 47.6% to Trump 46.7% https://t.co/A27uPWLN2z
17:51:38 Poll Added: CVoter in GA from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 44.8% to Trump 48.6% https://t.co/h3dUpSjKYV
17:51:55 Clinton vs Trump state category change: GA has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/h3dUpSjKYV
17:54:08 Poll Added: CVoter in HI from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 64.4% to Trump 32.4% https://t.co/eImgx4hjSp
18:01:57 Poll Added: CVoter in ID from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 33.5% to Trump 59.9% https://t.co/OMdUNnigyQ
18:05:40 Poll Added: CVoter in IL from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 55.4% to Trump 39.9% https://t.co/w7hnbyAGLU
18:08:25 Poll Added: CVoter in IN from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 42.8% to Trump 52.4% https://t.co/eR5MrTvxem
18:08:45 Clinton vs Trump state category change: IN has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump https://t.co/eR5MrTdVPM
18:33:22 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 376 to Trump 162 -> Clinton 387 to Trump 151 https://t.co/plSSEdsx4b
19:55:15 Poll Added: CVoter in IA from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 48.7% to Trump 47.1% https://t.co/aruimdnG6G
19:57:49 Poll Added: CVoter in KS from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 39.5% to Trump 54.8% https://t.co/O49V7LyYjq
19:58:05 Clinton vs Trump state category change: KS has moved from Weak Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/O49V7LyYjq
20:13:10 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 387 to Trump 151 -> Clinton 381 to Trump 157 https://t.co/XlvQJ9Bobs
20:15:06 Poll Added: CVoter in KY from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 38.2% to Trump 56.9% https://t.co/1vnodP2QYf
20:15:24 Clinton vs Trump state category change: KY has moved from Strong Trump to Solid Trump https://t.co/1vnodP2QYf
20:17:40 Poll Added: CVoter in LA from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 40.4% to Trump 54.5% https://t.co/MS2AQxpphn
20:20:05 Poll Added: CVoter in ME-All from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 55.0% to Trump 41.2% https://t.co/dNaIQkY0Aj
20:21:45 Poll Added: CVoter in MD from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 58.2% to Trump 37.2% https://t.co/GDDRmrqSE9
20:23:59 Poll Added: CVoter in MA from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 57.6% to Trump 38.7% https://t.co/3HH1XU9bWc
20:26:03 Poll Added: CVoter in MI from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 51.5% to Trump 44.0% https://t.co/nhUzkrfQ3O
20:28:32 Poll Added: CVoter in MN from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 50.6% to Trump 45.3% https://t.co/nPuMVSqGBo
20:42:49 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 7.3% in PA -> Clinton by 7.1% in MN https://t.co/ScDSrI3nwh
22:25:02 Poll Added: CVoter in MS from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 41.7% to Trump 53.5% https://t.co/EnoMAM6mYN
22:27:30 Poll Added: CVoter in MO from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 44.7% to Trump 50.7% https://t.co/lTdxefZioE
22:31:06 Poll Added: CVoter in MT from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 40.3% to Trump 54.2% https://t.co/TYAAqEoAJx
22:33:22 Poll Added: CVoter in NE-All from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 38.5% to Trump 56.7% https://t.co/AcdHXdkpOX
22:37:13 Poll Added: CVoter in NV from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 48.3% to Trump 44.9% https://t.co/vM5CPLVCyq
22:39:13 Poll Added: CVoter in NH from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 49.9% to Trump 45.4% https://t.co/JlRy1WBkYI
22:40:59 Poll Added: CVoter in NJ from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 56.9% to Trump 39.1% https://t.co/PGtvpXJVo3
22:43:46 Poll Added: CVoter in NM from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 50.5% to Trump 43.4% https://t.co/3FAqGpNrjX
22:45:42 Poll Added: CVoter in NY from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 58.2% to Trump 37.6% https://t.co/SGoEJgPM1c
22:47:53 Poll Added: CVoter in NC from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 47.8% to Trump 47.3% https://t.co/6jxSflMFAa
22:50:51 Poll Added: CVoter in ND from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 36.5% to Trump 55.4% https://t.co/YmLr9n3krn
22:52:32 Poll Added: CVoter in OH from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 49.8% to Trump 46.0% https://t.co/DMcqlUiGqN
22:57:02 Poll Added: CVoter in OK from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 33.8% to Trump 61.7% https://t.co/pAlHfhgNwI
23:00:31 Poll Added: CVoter in OR from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 50.6% to Trump 42.5% https://t.co/Tabl6uitfj
23:03:09 Poll Added: CVoter in PA from 2016-10-02 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 48.9% to Trump 46.5% https://t.co/UhVpgG5puc
23:22:27 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 7.1% in MN -> Clinton by 6.5% in PA https://t.co/Jf9CFhIEEP

@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-12 (UTC)

00:09:16 Retweeted @allahpundit 2016-10-11 23:55:49 Gonna bet вЂњUtahвЂќ https://t.co/YhpYocnGXE
01:39:18 Retweeted @pbump 00:31:24 Here's a congressman saying that if Trump said he liked raping women, he'd have to think about pulling his support. https://t.co/fvKNqRzKfa
01:39:40 Retweeted @MeghanMcCain 00:43:23 Trump is going nuclear on the GOP instead of Hillary because he knows he's going to lose & is going to need someone to blame when it happens
01:45:33 Retweeted @marinafang 01:34:05 In Florida, Trump just said Election Day is November 28
01:56:43 Retweeted @hockeyfreak1970 2016-10-09 14:05:38 Steve Schmidt speaking the most truth I've heard from his party in a very long time. https://t.co/ftEZQjPsGv
01:57:12 Retweeted @DylanByers 01:12:52 Wow: Kellyanne Conway tries to suggest settling lawsuits implies guiltвЂ¦. @andersoncooper reminds her Trump вЂњsettles lawsuits all the timeвЂ¦"
02:00:39 Retweeted @mattyglesias 2016-10-11 23:34:53 The case for banning men https://t.co/l2G2yV7A9x
02:02:24 Retweeted @mmfa 01:28:06 President Obama comments on Trump ally Alex Jones' report that he and Hillary Clinton are demonsвЂ¦ https://t.co/uqCAFw6Hq2
03:11:53 Retweeted @bkesling 02:33:20 Trump surrogate @kayleighmcenany on Don Lemon’s show saying Donald Trump is now a born-again Christian. @CNN
03:11:57 Retweeted @DanFosterType 02:42:36 He’s up to three, possibly four Corinthians. https://t.co/NVR5s1wcvl
03:12:33 Retweeted @themadstone 2016-10-11 00:21:31 this comment is actually brilliant https://t.co/9WK5H3A93y
04:49:57 Retweeted @GreatDismal 04:33:00 "I figure they mostly talk about Ivanka's ass." A friend on why Trump and Pence haven't yet discussed Syria
04:52:59 Retweeted @chrislhayes 2016-10-11 21:46:18 All the people who work for Trump and the RNC must have *amazing* infosec. Otherwise can't imagine how they've escaped being hacked.
05:38:27 Retweeted @goldengateblond 05:09:27 Jesus. He literally does not understand the branches of government and how they work. https://t.co/kjEoEkG1F4
06:07:17 Retweeted @chenx064 04:55:26 These shoes <symbol><symbol> were made for voting. But for women's votes, the Trumpocalypse would be unleashed. Ladies, thank youвЂ¦ https://t.co/yenVthsAtF
06:10:16 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten 05:49:44 Clinton 26%, Trump 26%, McMuffin (aka McMullin) 22%, Johnson 14% in Utah. https://t.co/7HkwFSlRXT
06:10:28 Retweeted @Taniel 06:01:08 No 3rd party/indy candidate has won an electoral vote since 1968. McMullin closer to in this poll than even Perot was in any state in 1992. in reply to Taniel
06:23:22 If more polls back up McMullin being within reach of winning Utah, I may have to activate my 3P plan for @ElectionGraphs. Would be nuts.
06:25:17 .@ElectionGraphs I would have to redo almost the whole site. Would be really hard at this point. Can’t keep up as it isвЂ¦ in reply to abulsme
06:26:08 .@ElectionGraphs Also, while I have carefully logged Johnson and Stein results, not so McMulllin. Would have to find and backfill. Urgh. in reply to abulsme
06:26:32 Retweeted @BenSmithDC 05:57:55 So @Evan_McMullin is only down 4 in Utah and has a chance to get EVs https://t.co/IQztzTihmx
06:28:46 Retweeted @pollreport 06:28:07 UTAH
President:
Clinton (D) 26%
Trump (R) 26%
McMullin (I) 22%
Johnson (L) 14%
Stein (G) 1%
(Y2 Analytics-R, LV, 10/10-11)
07:19:54 McMullin thing stressing me out. Mind racing on changes I would have 2 make. Expected if 3P had shot @ EV would have been clear months ago.
07:21:22 Don’t have to activate plan quite yetвЂ¦ but have to start fleshing out plan so I could implement quickly if more polls confirm this! in reply to abulsme
07:33:37 My trigger 4 doing the work 2 revamp my site 2 allow possibility of 3P EV: at least 1 state w/ 3P clearly in 2nd place or within 5% of lead. in reply to abulsme
16:47:24 Retweeted @JoshuaChavers 14:07:09 "There are so many pussies around your presidential campaign on both sides that I prefer not to comment." https://t.co/cxSkzcQ7Jx
16:48:02 Retweeted @matthewjdowd 16:14:07 Here is a fascinating fact: @Evan_McMullin now has a better chance of winning Utah, than trump has of winning PA, MI, WI, NH, CO or VA.
16:48:17 Retweeted @redsteeze 16:13:14 Pennsylvania gone
Ohio gone
Florida gone

The rest from here on out is a temper tantrum.
17:04:26 Reading – Teen Beauty Queens Say Trump Walked In On Them Changing (Taggart/Garrison/Testa) https://t.co/xHU5PMA1cG
17:33:48 Retweeted @MULawPoll 17:27:42 Among likely voters in WI:
Thursday: Trump 41%, Clinton 40%
Friday: Clinton 44%, Trump 38%
Saturday and Sunday: Clinton 49%, Trump 30%
17:36:47 Retweeted @pbump 17:33:43 Overdue: How much time until polls close nationally and in every state.
How much time until this ends.
https://t.co/R0hHAIMphq
17:38:30 Retweeted @NumbersMuncher 16:01:03 Reuters/Ipsos Generic Ballot (change from last week):
Democrats 46 (+4)
Republicans 36 (-2)

This is what nominating Donald Trump leads to.
18:06:32 Retweeted @CandaceSmith_ 17:50:15 Trump on the Commission for Presidential Debates: "I have no respect for that group by the way, I'm done."
19:13:49 Reading – This Won't Go Away (@joshtpm) https://t.co/BRJeZ3LJUy
19:23:12 Reading – Danger on November 9th (@joshtpm) https://t.co/8N6vqYj6up
19:33:07 Reading – Is There Any Precedent For A Trump Comeback? (@forecasterenten) https://t.co/jtUSqWfGOU (Spoiler: No)
20:10:26 Reading – Donald Trump Is a Talented Politician (@HeerJeet) https://t.co/6PvT0nzB0E
20:44:00 Reading – How One 19-Year-Old Illinois Man Is Distorting National Polling Averages (@Nate_Cohn) https://t.co/HosoMVCFB2
21:34:19 Retweeted @aravosis 21:30:53 Kellyann is melting down on CNN right now over allegations that Trump peeped on teenage beauty pageant contestants.
21:49:06 Coming my way! Gulp! -> Warning: Major Storms Threaten the Pacific Northwest (Cliff Mass) https://t.co/WqoBM6LHdE
21:56:15 Retweeted @ParkerMolloy 20:12:33 *Tweets joke*
*Five hours later*
Goddammit. https://t.co/KgayClvhPg
23:08:47 Boom. I’m sure there are more to come. -> Two Women Say Donald Trump Touched Them Inappropriately (Twohey/Barbaro) https://t.co/9kZF9PueMa
23:13:54 Retweeted @JHWeissmann 23:11:22 This feels like the beginning of a Cosby-esque flood https://t.co/bD17E5IE2F
23:14:57 Retweeted @spooknine 23:12:08 Live shot inside Clinton camp's Trump oppo vault https://t.co/A6bSUInxpJ
23:28:41 Retweeted @nycsouthpaw 23:28:11 It's not "the rape police," Rush Limbaugh. It's just the police. https://t.co/cYTtulCcUw https://t.co/09N06802OK
23:29:53 Retweeted @JoshuaGreen 23:17:34 SCOOP: Trump campaign going nuclear. Will soon roll out new accusers. "We're going to turn him into Bill Cosby," vows Bannon. @bw story soon
23:30:34 Retweeted @KellyO 23:29:19 .@realDonaldTrump campaign statement on NYT report. https://t.co/H3YQtjAPy0
23:37:27 We’re up to 2013 -> Miss Washington 2013 says Donald Trump groped her (Josh Lyle) https://t.co/4iAVIoq3jZ
23:38:28 Retweeted @AlGiordano 23:35:00 Aaaaaand we've just entered another Supermodels vs. Trump news cycle.
23:51:17 The biggest BS of anything I am hearing right now is Trumpets saying Trump вЂњis a changed personвЂќ, so none of this counts. Oh FFS. Whatever.
23:54:26 Retweeted @imbou 23:53:51 @aravosis @abulsme wait until she hears about all the other women accusers, he wanted this fight he's got it in reply to aravosis
23:57:01 Full disclosure, my cousin was on The Apprentice in 2006. She’s in grey in the picture here. No stories to share. https://t.co/Y5mAbBZzoq

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-11 (UTC)

00:50:39 Poll Added: Loras [4] in WI from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 42.6% to Trump 28.8% https://t.co/g98i4o3buv
00:52:15 Poll Added: Loras w/Lean [4] in WI from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 46.6% to Trump 37.0% https://t.co/SvgljPp3yu
00:54:14 Poll Added: Loras w/4P [4] in WI from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 39.6% to Trump 27.6% https://t.co/Oq3j87lKwx
00:54:19 Full 4P results: Loras w/4P [4] in WI from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 39.6% to Trump 27.6% to Johnson 4.2% to Stein 1.0%
00:55:45 Poll Added: Loras w/Lean w/4P [4] in WI from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 43.2% to Trump 34.6% https://t.co/eGXbRegAML
00:55:50 Full 4P results: Loras w/Lean w/4P [4] in WI from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 43.2% to Trump 34.6% to Johnson 7.8% to Stein 1.8%
01:03:09 Poll Added: High Point w/3P [2] in NC from 2016-10-01 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 42% to Trump 40% https://t.co/BkE2ufI6nY
01:03:14 Full 3P results: High Point w/3P [2] in NC from 2016-10-01 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 42% to Trump 40% to Johnson 8%
01:04:51 Poll Added: High Point w/Lean w/3P [2] in NC from 2016-10-01 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 43% to Trump 42% https://t.co/AT8MRuNFL5
01:04:56 Full 3P results: High Point w/Lean w/3P [2] in NC from 2016-10-01 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 43% to Trump 42% to Johnson 8%
01:05:08 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NC has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump https://t.co/AT8MRuw4Tx
01:21:17 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 357 to Trump 181 -> Clinton 342 to Trump 196 https://t.co/JqOVZuTSfU
05:15:40 Poll Added: Susquehanna w/4P in PA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 44% to Trump 40% https://t.co/dBb9Gh0ycb
05:15:45 Full 4P results: Susquehanna w/4P in PA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 44% to Trump 40% to Johnson 4% to Stein 2%
05:21:50 Poll Added: Google w/3P in AK from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 29.97% to Trump 27.17% https://t.co/crwT3fDEu0
05:21:55 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in AK from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 29.97% to Trump 27.17% to Johnson 17.10%
05:24:21 Poll Added: Google w/3P in AL from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 22.51% to Trump 53.80% https://t.co/iXfGDJeY6v
05:24:26 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in AL from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 22.51% to Trump 53.80% to Johnson 4.17%
05:26:51 Poll Added: Google w/3P in AR from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 34.69% to Trump 40.24% https://t.co/mufQRc9c0q
05:26:56 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in AR from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 34.69% to Trump 40.24% to Johnson 2.85%
05:29:42 Poll Added: Google w/3P in AZ from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 38.24% to Trump 35.87% https://t.co/Hy4VhCsr7x
05:29:47 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in AZ from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 38.24% to Trump 35.87% to Johnson 6.51%
05:30:01 Clinton vs Trump state category change: AZ has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump https://t.co/Hy4VhCsr7x
05:46:55 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 342 to Trump 196 -> Clinton 331 to Trump 207 https://t.co/fzrfBAkDjC
05:58:59 Poll Added: Google w/3P in CA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 47.55% to Trump 27.38% https://t.co/N7Tils8Fsd
05:59:04 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in CA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 47.55% to Trump 27.38% to Johnson 5.65%
06:32:40 Poll Added: Google w/3P in CO from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 41.46% to Trump 25.52% https://t.co/WeN4B8qy6I
06:32:45 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in CO from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 41.46% to Trump 25.52% to Johnson 10.02%
06:36:20 Poll Added: Google w/3P in CT from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 44.26% to Trump 26.17% https://t.co/iNKL6O7SPs
06:36:25 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in CT from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 44.26% to Trump 26.17% to Johnson 6.01%
06:38:52 Poll Added: Google w/3P in DC from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 57.90% to Trump 15.10% https://t.co/ym5YwyUi8N
06:38:57 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in DC from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 57.90% to Trump 15.10% to Johnson 4.88%
06:41:22 Poll Added: Google w/3P in DE from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 40.37% to Trump 28.34% https://t.co/ErzW8ZwFnA
06:41:27 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in DE from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 40.37% to Trump 28.34% to Johnson 5.11%
06:49:05 Poll Added: Google w/3P in FL from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 36.85% to Trump 37.09% https://t.co/O5Gmzs2db2
06:49:10 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in FL from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 36.85% to Trump 37.09% to Johnson 6.01%
06:52:27 Poll Added: Google w/3P in GA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 30.76% to Trump 42.67% https://t.co/UGTHG5AvYl
06:52:32 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in GA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 30.76% to Trump 42.67% to Johnson 7.45%
06:52:46 Clinton vs Trump state category change: GA has moved from Strong Trump to Solid Trump https://t.co/UGTHG5iUzL
06:56:03 Poll Added: Google w/3P in HI from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 49.42% to Trump 29.17% https://t.co/r2IKBOD9U3
06:56:08 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in HI from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 49.42% to Trump 29.17% to Johnson 13.99%
06:58:44 Poll Added: Google w/3P in IA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 36.61% to Trump 27.19% https://t.co/3CcEN6HDaF
06:58:49 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in IA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 36.61% to Trump 27.19% to Johnson 7.56%
07:01:26 Poll Added: Google w/3P in ID from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 24.82% to Trump 32.89% https://t.co/ySt4Z1Nbn0
07:01:32 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in ID from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 24.82% to Trump 32.89% to Johnson 9.66%
07:04:28 Poll Added: Google w/3P in IL from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 39.07% to Trump 29.52% https://t.co/JK81AjQSiQ
07:04:33 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in IL from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 39.07% to Trump 29.52% to Johnson 6.88%
07:08:28 Poll Added: Google w/3P in IN from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 36.04% to Trump 35.07% https://t.co/tXKX9Ebv4j
07:08:33 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in IN from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 36.04% to Trump 35.07% to Johnson 6.95%
07:08:47 Clinton vs Trump state category change: IN has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump https://t.co/tXKX9Et6sT
07:32:05 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 370 to Trump 168 -> Clinton 381 to Trump 157 https://t.co/fUsAenm4SH
07:34:22 Poll Added: Google w/3P in KS from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 40.37% to Trump 30.72% https://t.co/Uxe7Q6HkLT
07:34:27 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in KS from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 40.37% to Trump 30.72% to Johnson 5.17%
07:34:43 Clinton vs Trump state category change: KS has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump https://t.co/Uxe7Q6HkLT
07:46:43 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 381 to Trump 157 -> Clinton 387 to Trump 151 https://t.co/kVSTNtcgzr
07:49:03 Poll Added: Google w/3P in KY from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 35.39% to Trump 34.00% https://t.co/WV0rauDJAW
07:49:08 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in KY from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 35.39% to Trump 34.00% to Johnson 7.12%
07:49:24 Clinton vs Trump state category change: KY has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/WV0rauDJAW
07:51:50 Poll Added: Google w/3P in LA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 22.83% to Trump 49.20% https://t.co/vFBtHbpkzK
07:51:56 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in LA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 22.83% to Trump 49.20% to Johnson 4.46%
07:54:20 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 52.75% to Trump 19.79% https://t.co/IufXoDVPb3
07:54:25 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 52.75% to Trump 19.79% to Johnson 6.19%
07:56:39 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MD from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 48.14% to Trump 25.89% https://t.co/TV1xiyabdL
07:56:45 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MD from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 48.14% to Trump 25.89% to Johnson 4.95%
07:59:08 Poll Added: Google w/3P in ME-All from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 42.82% to Trump 41.51% https://t.co/Kr4uXuWpQL
07:59:13 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in ME-All from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 42.82% to Trump 41.51% to Johnson 4.64%
08:01:50 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MI from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 39.75% to Trump 28.98% https://t.co/qac7nAghws
08:01:56 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MI from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 39.75% to Trump 28.98% to Johnson 6.55%
08:04:25 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MN from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 39.04% to Trump 25.42% https://t.co/Sj7JnuCm9l
08:04:30 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MN from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 39.04% to Trump 25.42% to Johnson 9.94%
08:16:57 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 5.9% in MN -> Clinton by 6.8% in VA https://t.co/8LB8oXftRy
15:47:52 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MO from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 34.15% to Trump 30.38% https://t.co/31ZFBgVzaT
15:47:57 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MO from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 34.15% to Trump 30.38% to Johnson 9.23%
15:49:32 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MS from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 23.91% to Trump 50.69% https://t.co/LN0837Y04D
15:49:37 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MS from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 23.91% to Trump 50.69% to Johnson 2.05%
15:51:59 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MT from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 32.10% to Trump 40.84% https://t.co/syivBPJ1hg
15:52:04 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MT from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 32.10% to Trump 40.84% to Johnson 4.07%
15:54:24 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NC from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 35.04% to Trump 36.78% https://t.co/NvUSkSQNft
15:54:29 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NC from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 35.04% to Trump 36.78% to Johnson 6.67%
15:57:18 Poll Added: Google w/3P in ND from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 13.34% to Trump 63.29% https://t.co/JDh6ShDPA1
15:57:23 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in ND from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 13.34% to Trump 63.29% to Johnson 7.37%
15:59:43 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NE-All from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 26.88% to Trump 39.06% https://t.co/GWzfIhtEmh
15:59:49 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NE-All from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 26.88% to Trump 39.06% to Johnson 4.57%
16:02:51 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NH from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 56.62% to Trump 17.43% https://t.co/18OEff3dTp
16:02:55 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NH from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 56.62% to Trump 17.43% to Johnson 14.35%
16:03:08 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NH has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton https://t.co/18OEfeLD1R
16:05:11 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NJ from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 40.30% to Trump 34.19% https://t.co/qsnIIhqZAC
16:05:16 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NJ from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 40.30% to Trump 34.19% to Johnson 5.03%
16:48:21 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NM from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 35.40% to Trump 28.14% https://t.co/JqIKV2tmgX
16:48:26 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NM from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 35.40% to Trump 28.14% to Johnson 16.10%
16:51:21 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NV from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 43.81% to Trump 30.43% https://t.co/fkxtTw0419
16:51:26 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NV from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 43.81% to Trump 30.43% to Johnson 8.71%
16:54:12 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NY from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 41.72% to Trump 30.76% https://t.co/2gPklNuu4V
16:54:17 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NY from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 41.72% to Trump 30.76% to Johnson 5.53%
16:59:01 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OH from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 32.41% to Trump 35.84% https://t.co/7HOL8pSYqx
16:59:06 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OH from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 32.41% to Trump 35.84% to Johnson 7.23%
17:02:33 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OK from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 33.48% to Trump 41.63% https://t.co/6UIwwHXhdN
17:02:38 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OK from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 33.48% to Trump 41.63% to Johnson 6.24%
17:04:46 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OR from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 48.54% to Trump 23.82% https://t.co/xcc1qukk7p
17:04:51 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OR from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 48.54% to Trump 23.82% to Johnson 7.77%
17:07:07 Poll Added: Google w/3P in PA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 39.65% to Trump 33.60% https://t.co/WsrSuxRPvD
17:07:12 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in PA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 39.65% to Trump 33.60% to Johnson 5.16%
17:09:24 Poll Added: Google w/3P in RI from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 52.20% to Trump 25.04% https://t.co/BLetfd4jiR
17:09:29 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in RI from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 52.20% to Trump 25.04% to Johnson 3.70%
17:11:06 Poll Added: Google w/3P in SC from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 31.38% to Trump 45.47% https://t.co/Wq4DJBJ52Z
17:11:11 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in SC from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 31.38% to Trump 45.47% to Johnson 5.24%
17:13:28 Poll Added: Google w/3P in SD from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 32.71% to Trump 36.87% https://t.co/MEbMIxCdtC
17:13:33 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in SD from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 32.71% to Trump 36.87% to Johnson 6.99%
17:15:19 Poll Added: Google w/3P in TN from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 33.28% to Trump 43.35% https://t.co/r3iwVz57ax
17:15:24 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in TN from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 33.28% to Trump 43.35% to Johnson 7.75%
17:17:41 Poll Added: Google w/3P in TX from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 31.75% to Trump 39.97% https://t.co/nbLEVgHkYB
17:17:46 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in TX from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 31.75% to Trump 39.97% to Johnson 7.90%
17:19:16 Poll Added: Google w/3P in UT from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 30.37% to Trump 33.91% https://t.co/lIX7jox946
17:19:21 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in UT from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 30.37% to Trump 33.91% to Johnson 11.45%
17:21:53 Poll Added: Google w/3P in VA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 34.05% to Trump 36.57% https://t.co/Gw5OFOE8WD
17:21:58 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in VA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 34.05% to Trump 36.57% to Johnson 6.35%
17:48:27 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 6.8% in VA -> Clinton by 6.9% in MN https://t.co/i9ptX7tuAt
18:23:04 Poll Added: Google w/3P in VT from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 57.02% to Trump 16.11% https://t.co/WVM7jxFODQ
18:23:09 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in VT from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 57.02% to Trump 16.11% to Johnson 10.26%
18:25:28 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 45.50% to Trump 27.99% https://t.co/6Aa1oTYO6m
18:25:33 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WA from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 45.50% to Trump 27.99% to Johnson 9.59%
18:27:20 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WI from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 44.29% to Trump 27.22% https://t.co/C2CUrQejqB
18:27:25 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WI from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 44.29% to Trump 27.22% to Johnson 3.99%
18:27:40 Clinton vs Trump state category change: WI has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton https://t.co/C2CUrQejqB
18:29:37 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WV from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 27.41% to Trump 50.21% https://t.co/UL2UykR6oC
18:29:42 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WV from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 27.41% to Trump 50.21% to Johnson 3.77%
18:31:45 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WY from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 11.04% to Trump 52.74% https://t.co/PZpV70QRVB
18:31:50 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WY from 2016-10-04 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 11.04% to Trump 52.74% to Johnson 14.56%
18:33:04 That’s the 2nd poll of this election season I’ve seen with Johnson coming in 2nd in a state. Still not enough for me to redo the site. :-) in reply to ElecCollPolls

@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-11 (UTC)

00:35:31 Retweeted @BrendanNyhan 2016-10-10 15:09:20 The full @RadioFreeTom tweetstorm (via @shoq) on political scientists of various political persuasions raising theвЂ¦ https://t.co/gboAoelieT
01:21:19 Reading – Donald Trump is the GOP’s chemotherapy (George Will) https://t.co/ihNEPvHxoP
02:38:41 Retweeted @aravosis 00:46:49 Epic @ananavarro take down of Trump surrogate on the topic of вЂњsexual assault.вЂќ Moments ago on #cnn. https://t.co/m0xHZV60V2
02:41:48 Retweeted @jpodhoretz 01:43:28 This is an astonishing tweet storm. You must read it. https://t.co/OlLFQicfIl
05:05:34 Retweeted @SwiftOnSecurity 04:47:10 Would like to remind everyone that you cannot "Acid Wash" emails with BleachBit.
Bleach is not an acid. Which Trump should fucking know. <symbol><symbol>
05:41:57 Reading – Dear Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin, I Am Not Sidney Blumenthal (Kurt Eichenwald) https://t.co/X8DTlbrPsx
05:44:52 Retweeted @ErickFernandez 03:57:52 This Trump supporter said Hillary Clinton should denounce BeyoncГ© because of her Red Lobster line. I'm dead. <symbol><symbol><symbol>
https://t.co/fMCH3lMJUg
06:15:32 Retweeted @komonews 06:03:00 Cascade mountain peaks see first snowfall of season – https://t.co/p683naj61b https://t.co/Y4qQv8nj0L
15:29:43 Retweeted @secupp 14:26:51 This seems to imply, unimaginably, that we've yet to witness peak Trump. https://t.co/rfoq9rYBVb
15:32:45 Retweeted @Bencjacobs 14:34:54 Sent from the iPhone and not the Android https://t.co/R8Rm8fswKU
15:36:44 Retweeted @LPDonovan 15:17:03 We've now descended into staff-driven MAGA fanfic. https://t.co/RNF9PKKmNN
15:53:05 Retweeted @cavaticat 15:25:35 An island never yearns for connection to the land; it has never seen the land. An island believes itself to be the whole world. in reply to cavaticat
15:53:15 Retweeted @kashanacauley 14:39:47 Trump's new schedule:
Tuesday: Remove shackles
Wednesday: Punch Paul Ryan
Thursday: Grab some pussy
Friday: Kick a baby
16:23:26 Reading – Donald Trump’s Sad, Lonely Life (David Brooks) https://t.co/AoaGMewcsq
16:32:31 Retweeted @ObsoleteDogma 16:04:45 Maine Governor Paul LePage says Trump needs to "show some authoritarian powerвЂќ because Obama’s been an вЂњautocratвЂќвЂ¦ https://t.co/8x06aUj8wa
16:36:53 Retweeted @jesseberney 15:35:44 Holy shit, look at this new Trump ad, it's literally insane.
https://t.co/lyQypoot1M https://t.co/1rStCoo7JU
16:40:13 Retweeted @KFILE 15:26:59 I'm not trying to be snarky, but this is literally the plot of the 3rd Star Wars prequel: https://t.co/w9HPEgTFsL
17:05:44 Retweeted @erinscafe 17:05:35 I can't stop thinking about the fact that Trump has been shackled up to this point.
That was his idea of restraint.

God help us all.
17:38:01 Reading – How to Rebuild the Republican Party (David Frum) https://t.co/t5qXrEYM18
17:46:56 Retweeted @samfbiddle 15:35:29 this election makes clear that American schools urgently need to start teaching children early how to identify hoax articles/bad info online
17:48:20 Retweeted @mviser 17:22:54 Ben Carson on whether Trump’s talk was вЂњlocker roomвЂќ or sexual assault: вЂњCall it wherever you want to call it to make it feel better."
17:50:32 Retweeted @AriMelber 2016-10-10 16:36:39 Trump's pledge to jail Clinton – which Pence just defended today – was literally one of the articles of impeachmentвЂ¦ https://t.co/WHWAZ0g9Cj
17:50:42 Retweeted @lachlan 17:20:36 Hmmm this was deleted https://t.co/2Ujl1a7R7a
18:21:46 Retweeted @alexburnsNYT 18:21:20 This + recent polls in Utah & New Mexico really suggest a disciplined Libertarian nominee coulda won multiple states
https://t.co/u1vWmaOZAu
19:37:28 Reading – Why Donald Trump’s Transition From Sexual Assault to ISIS Made Sense (@natsecheather) https://t.co/umGWMhZZ8o
19:42:35 Retweeted @paulisci 18:43:28 Daily US newspapers, 2016 presidential endorsements (to date)
Clinton 91
No endorsement 9
Not Donald Trump 8
Gary Johnson 6
21:11:50 Retweeted @varadmehta 21:08:08 Good one. Read it. https://t.co/26IpH3Bex4
21:18:04 Retweeted @williamjordann 2016-10-09 22:57:27 Married WOMEN who say they are voting for Hillary Clinton: 45%.
Married MEN who think their SPOUSE is voting forвЂ¦ https://t.co/YoPq6emlLG in reply to williamjordann
21:20:12 Retweeted @AndrewKirell 17:36:04 Ben Carson to a stunned @brikeilarcnn: Maybe the problem is that you haven't heard enough men crudely boast of theiвЂ¦ https://t.co/HWH7zoSwCv
21:31:36 Odd -> A Visit to the Trump Family Gravesite Took a Very Trumpian Turn (Nell Scovell) https://t.co/StVshk0bVn
23:03:03 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten 22:57:43 Correlation of where the polls are right now and the final result of the election since 1952? 0.96…
23:06:18 Retweeted @Walldo 22:56:25 Obama refers to Alex Jones, who "said me and HIllary are demons. Smell like sulfer. Ain't that something?вЂќ Then sniвЂ¦ https://t.co/OZqHFD3Ajg in reply to Walldo
23:18:40 Retweeted @_Drew_McCoy_ 21:12:07 The divide isn't between who is offended by Trump's language & who isn't. It's between who thinks it was talk and who thinks he *did* it.
23:36:15 Retweeted @normative 17:47:38 Suspend "never read the comments" for a day or two. It is striking & scary how many voters are deciding on the basis of made up nonsense.
23:36:18 Retweeted @normative 17:52:49 There's a point of no return: you believe so much nonsense that serious reporting seems to come from another reality & discredits itself.
23:45:52 Reading – Trump, the GOP, and the Fall (@scalzi) https://t.co/n7gkHtQigR
23:54:30 Reading – Poll Analysis: The Senate Flips (@hominidviews) https://t.co/9HC6FRJwGU

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-10-10 (UTC)

07:54:27 Retweeted @ElecCollPolls 07:53:35 That’s all for now. New polls in FL/PA/WI/OH/AK. Notable change in AK, so @ElectionGraphs post a little later.
17:12:41 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Alaska in play? https://t.co/BuCGcM97El
17:35:45 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 17:15:47 @ElectionGraphs no https://t.co/z6tsw462Nf in reply to ElectionGraphs
17:37:33 .@gelliottmorris Like the site! You’re not including the latest ASR or Moore polls? (I understand not including Google. :-) in reply to gelliottmorris
17:39:48 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 17:39:07 @ElectionGraphs forecast probably hasn't adjusted yet. It pulls everything from https://t.co/eGNNVkEVER, they have 2 update their end first in reply to ElectionGraphs
17:41:58 .@gelliottmorris Trump is still clearly a favorite in AK, but the post debate polls show him a lot weaker. Your odds will shift with those. in reply to gelliottmorris
17:43:28 .@gelliottmorris That is tenuous though, so it may not last. Only two non-Google post 1st debate polls so far. AK not heavily polled. :-) in reply to ElectionGraphs
21:30:10 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 20:50:26 @ElectionGraphs just seeing this. Your forecast will bounce back once you get a non-google poll. Alaska is redder than lean Trump/ swing in reply to ElectionGraphs
21:33:29 .@gelliottmorris As mentioned in post, lots of caveats. No surprise if T lead >5% again soon. But post-debate polls show closer than before. in reply to gelliottmorris
21:36:15 .@gelliottmorris I see I have one new AK poll in queue to add tonight. It will bump my AK avg from 4.2% to 4.8%. Still under 5%, but barely. in reply to ElectionGraphs
21:37:26 .@gelliottmorris That is CVoter though which I know you exclude along w/Google. I try to include everything, but the outliers drive me nuts! in reply to ElectionGraphs
21:40:49 .@gelliottmorris Right now w/o Google I’d be at T+9.1%. With new CVoter but no Google, would be at T+9.8% With no CVoter OR Google, T+6.6%. in reply to gelliottmorris
21:41:16 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 21:38:09 @ElectionGraphs Yeah, -Cvoter & Google I’m at Trump +6. 93% win chance https://t.co/z6tsw462Nf https://t.co/0mx6lijo3y in reply to ElectionGraphs
21:42:59 .@gelliottmorris With no Google, no CVoter, but only post 1st debate polls though, T+3.8%. in reply to ElectionGraphs
21:43:21 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 21:42:40 @ElectionGraphs Are you connecting to a database online? which one? in reply to ElectionGraphs
21:44:46 .@gelliottmorris All manual data entry. :-) You can get my raw data in machine readable form here though: https://t.co/IssmhtsJVx in reply to gelliottmorris
21:47:04 .@gelliottmorris Iviews with me and two other вЂњindependentвЂќ trackers about methods on my podcast fr a few weeks ago: https://t.co/y7BmKWb9qU in reply to ElectionGraphs
21:47:39 .@gelliottmorris I didn’t know about your site then, or I would have invited you too. :-) in reply to ElectionGraphs
21:48:28 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 21:48:04 @ElectionGraphs I’d be happy to join you next time! I’ll take a listen in my spare time in reply to ElectionGraphs
21:48:46 .@gelliottmorris Thanks! Enjoy the next 29 days! :-) in reply to gelliottmorris
21:50:00 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 21:49:43 @ElectionGraphs Thanks! Just for you, I’m going to re-run my forecast w/ CVoter polls to see the impact. Last time the outliers rlly skewed in reply to ElectionGraphs
21:51:02 .@gelliottmorris It will be interesting. But in my opinion Google has the biggest outlier problem! It pains me every time I add them! :-) in reply to gelliottmorris
21:52:02 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 21:51:28 @ElectionGraphs My advice: stop adding them! GIGO in reply to ElectionGraphs
21:53:50 .@gelliottmorris Part of site’s philosophy is include just about everything. Asking 4 trouble to change criteria mid-stream. Maybe 2020. :-) in reply to gelliottmorris
22:03:03 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 21:53:42 CVoter shifted probabilities by following:
AK 4%
AZ 13
VA 14
etc, etc
Not even going to go through w/ full model update. waste of my time
22:03:06 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 22:02:19 @ElectionGraphs meant to tweet this to you, whoops in reply to gelliottmorris
22:11:08 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 21:34:14 @ElectionGraphs Gotcha. Im on board with race-tightening rhetoric re: republican states in reply to ElectionGraphs
22:11:09 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 21:37:04 @ElectionGraphs Take out Google and you’re at what, 7? in reply to ElectionGraphs
22:11:18 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 21:42:24 @ElectionGraphs Alright. Like I said, for Alaska I only have three polls al they’re at least a month old. Really neвЂ¦ https://t.co/bQacbIZhNE in reply to ElectionGraphs

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-10 (UTC)

03:39:25 Poll Added: Marist w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 45% to Trump 42% https://t.co/yQSZY9VWUy
03:39:30 Full 4P results: Marist w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 45% to Trump 42% to Johnson 5% to Stein 3%
03:41:08 Poll Added: Marist [2] in FL from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 46% to Trump 44% https://t.co/AKh17Z3YQX
03:46:03 Poll Added: Marist w/4P [2] in PA from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 49% to Trump 37% https://t.co/vfkQF8w4xd
03:46:08 Full 4P results: Marist w/4P [2] in PA from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 49% to Trump 37% to Johnson 6% to Stein 4%
03:47:15 Poll Added: Marist [2] in PA from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 51% to Trump 39% https://t.co/5zU6U1Uo6A
03:52:45 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in PA from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-07 – Clinton 48% to Trump 40% https://t.co/wt2sJZr1R1
03:52:50 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in PA from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-07 – Clinton 48% to Trump 40% to Johnson 4% to Stein 2%
03:56:38 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in WI from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-07 – Clinton 43% to Trump 39% https://t.co/cQWyYhDa5l
03:56:43 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in WI from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-07 – Clinton 43% to Trump 39% to Johnson 4% to Stein 1%
04:00:02 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in OH from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-07 – Clinton 46% to Trump 42% https://t.co/4Obrm4xnW5
04:00:07 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in OH from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-07 – Clinton 46% to Trump 42% to Johnson 5% to Stein 2%
05:26:07 Poll Added: ASR w/4P in AK from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 30.6% to Trump 36.1% https://t.co/1SOtMiKQpb
05:26:12 Full 4P results: ASR w/4P in AK from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 30.6% to Trump 36.1% to Johnson 17.9% to Stein 6.0%
05:26:28 Clinton vs Trump state category change: AK has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump https://t.co/1SOtMiKQpb
05:41:37 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 367 to Trump 171 -> Clinton 370 to Trump 168 https://t.co/vkhBNDt4mV
05:50:01 Turns out that ASR poll had a 2-way result too. Adding it now and reweighting the 4-way from before.
05:51:00 Poll Added: ASR [2] in AK from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 42.0% to Trump 45.8% https://t.co/hukoeGLdvB
07:13:13 Found an RV version of the PA Marist poll. Adding and reweighting.
07:15:27 Poll Added: Marist RV w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 48% to Trump 36% https://t.co/RHqy5Wykzp
07:15:32 Full 4P results: Marist RV w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 48% to Trump 36% to Johnson 7% to Stein 4%
07:25:26 Also a 2 way RV for that PA Marist poll. Adding and reweighting.
07:27:31 Poll Added: Marist RV [4] in PA from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 50% to Trump 38% https://t.co/wHDylVopLv
07:29:08 Adding Marist RV results for FL too.
07:31:18 Poll Added: Marist RV [4] in FL from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% https://t.co/xBS7jHf5iF
07:32:56 Poll Added: Marist RV w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 45% to Trump 39% https://t.co/KfDfrf3IL6
07:33:01 Full 4P results: Marist RV w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 45% to Trump 39% to Johnson 6% to Stein 3%
07:53:35 That’s all for now. New polls in FL/PA/WI/OH/AK. Notable change in AK, so @ElectionGraphs post a little later.
17:13:01 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 17:12:41 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Alaska in play? https://t.co/BuCGcM97El

@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-10 (UTC)

01:09:49 Lots of sniffs again. Or is it a wheeze? #debate
01:10:30 Anderson going back to the question! #debate
01:10:50 Trump denies! #debate
01:11:16 Does Clinton up the ante here? Or let it go? #debate
01:11:49 He pivoted right away. Anderson going back again. #debate
01:12:25 Anderson flat out вЂњHave you ever sexually assaulted women?вЂќ. Trump denies. America! #debate
01:14:03 Clinton answering calmly. Going straight at it. Trump looking mad and pacing. Can he hold it together? #debate
01:14:45 Retweeted @kairyssdal 01:14:36 I think — tbh — that Hillary's being restrained.
01:15:08 This calm, cool, slow devastation is brutal. #debate
01:15:55 Retweeted @rmoraille 01:15:39 @abulsme she is killing it in reply to abulsme
01:16:19 Trump asks to respond, and immediately pivots to things not even remotely related. #debate
01:16:30 The sniffs are strong in this one. #debate
01:16:59 Wow. More about the tape. I thought they were going to move to something else. #debate
01:17:53 Bill! Here comes the Bill accusation! #debate
01:18:04 Sniffs all the way through! #debate
01:18:10 Retweeted @imbou 01:17:45 @abulsme there he goes! in reply to abulsme
01:18:59 Trump is doing this, but isn’t doing it well. Anxious to see Clinton’s response. She has been prepared for this for months. #debate
01:20:06 Retweeted @imbou 01:19:55 @abulsme boom! in reply to imbou
01:21:10 Trump’s response to this has to be вЂњyou never apologized to these womenвЂќ. Does Clinton do it? #debate
01:21:48 Retweeted @TheFix 01:21:39 Hillary Clinton: You apologize
Donald Trump: No, you apologize
01:22:49 Trump is repeating all the talking points of the unhinged folks who follow him. Nothing at all to appeal to anyone else. #debate
01:23:37 If Trump wins, he is going to assign a special prosecutor to go after Clinton. #winner #debate
01:23:46 Retweeted @imbou 01:23:34 @abulsme he dropped his grenade and now has nothing in reply to abulsme
01:25:32 Trump is slowly losing it. Like last time, managed about 20 minutes. We have 70 minutes to go. #debate
01:27:24 Retweeted @HeerJeet 01:27:11 "You'd be in jail." That's it. Clinton has baited him
01:28:13 Trump getting animated. Rambling. Sniffling. #debate
01:28:20 Retweeted @rmoraille 01:27:39 @abulsme oh, boy. A low in our history. in reply to abulsme
01:28:35 Moderators need to just get out of the way and let them go at it. #debate
01:28:48 Trump interrupting every 10 seconds again. #debate
01:29:00 вЂњOK Donald.вЂќ #debate
01:29:37 Wow. Trump going off on Anderson Cooper. He is losing it fast. #debate
01:29:48 Retweeted @andrewflowers 01:29:35 I’m calling it: He’s going to walk off the stage during live TV
01:30:08 Retweeted @bpmehlman 01:23:16 This is practically identical to Lincoln-Douglas 1858. Uncanny.
01:30:38 Is Trump checking out Hillary? #debate
01:31:10 Retweeted @shannimcg 01:30:37 trump is literally lurking & standing threateningly behind HRC
WHAT THE FUCK

#debate
01:31:19 Retweeted @bobcesca_go 01:30:42 Trump simply can't hold it together for more than 28 minutes without losing his shit. Same as last time. #debate
01:31:45 Clinton giving answer actually on policy. Trump will reply with attacks. #debate
01:32:39 Retweeted @brianstelter 01:31:35 https://t.co/SGR4PW6oqD
01:33:23 OK, he isn’t doing another unhinged attack. Using this answer as a moment to collect himself a bit. #debate
01:33:58 Retweeted @ZackKopplin 01:33:29 God this man knows nothing about policy
01:34:38 Retweeted @KristiCCoulter 01:34:20 THE HORROR OF CANADA.
01:34:47 Retweeted @THELuisAMendez 01:34:39 Trump literally praised universal healthcare at the GOP debates… in reply to THELuisAMendez
01:35:01 Retweeted @NBCNightlyNews 01:33:45 After several minutes with candidates debating about Clinton emails, Trump asks moderator why he's not bringing up Clinton emails. #debate
01:36:04 OK, we’ve had a few moments, but this is not as unhinged as I expected yet. Amp it up Trump. #debate
01:36:31 Retweeted @AP_Politics 01:31:59 BREAKING: Donald Trump says if he was in charge of laws in the U.S., Hillary Clinton would 'be in jail'
01:37:17 Retweeted @imbou 01:37:04 @abulsme dude he is getting scary in reply to abulsme
01:37:55 .@imbou He has’t yet said any words that the networks have to bleep, or tried to hit her. So it is a win for him. #debate in reply to imbou
01:38:51 Retweeted @doctorow 01:36:46 Sniff 54 #debatetonight
01:40:57 What is Trump doing to that chair? #debate
01:42:07 Retweeted @MoiraCMcC 01:41:59 @abulsme They let you do that when you're famous. in reply to abulsme
01:42:36 Retweeted @ananavarro 01:42:28 Dear GOP: Congrats! We nominated a misogynist, racist, vulgar, lying, ignorant, mad man as our nominee. Oh, and he breaths like Darth Vader.
01:42:53 вЂњNo, answer the question.вЂќ #debate
01:43:46 This whole debate so far, Clinton calm, collected, in control. Trump ranting and barely on the edge. #debate
01:44:11 We are just about half way. #debate
01:44:46 Retweeted @joshrogin 01:44:39 Trump's fear mongering on Syrian refugees is an example of the "Islamophobia" he says is "a shame."
01:46:53 The universal rule of debates, if you are complaining about time or the rules, you are already losing badly. #debate
01:48:48 I’m barely noticing the вЂњtown hallвЂќ aspect of this debate. Which is actually probably good. #debate
01:49:50 Retweeted @mattyglesias 01:49:38 Clinton herself not going with the bizarre вЂњmaybe the speech excerpts are fakeвЂќ line we’ve heard from some surrogates.
01:50:56 I wouldn’t have gone with this foreign governments trying to influence the election stuff in the debate. Leave that to surrogates. #debate
01:51:10 вЂњShe says things Wikileaks?вЂќ #debate
01:51:38 Retweeted @doctorow 01:51:28 Sniff 65 #debatetonight
01:51:54 вЂњI know nothing about RussiaвЂќ – Trump #debate
01:52:22 Retweeted @RosieGray 01:51:57 Oh my god he's plugging the new hotel
01:52:37 Trump is completely incoherent here. #debate
01:54:30 So far the first #debate was still worse for Trump than this one I think. Not that he is doing well here but I think he did worse last time.
01:54:53 Of course, the last one didn’t really go completely off the rails until the last 30 minutes. #debate
01:55:19 Retweeted @THELuisAMendez 01:55:04 First 20 minutes alone hard to come back from https://t.co/9QtJgoJDBK
01:55:54 вЂњHe lives in an alternative realityвЂќ. – Clinton on Trump #debate
01:57:03 Trump swaying strangely and not looking at Clinton. #debate
01:57:19 He’s resting on the chair. No stamina. #debate
01:57:29 Retweeted @marcambinder 01:57:08 Just looks weird. https://t.co/jFscpIRDXQ
01:58:20 Retweeted @imbou 01:58:03 @abulsme that's why I said he was scary his body language is scary in reply to abulsme
01:58:38 Trump just directly admitted the no federal taxes thing. #debate
01:58:52 Retweeted @MichaelSkolnik 01:58:39 Donald Trump just admitted to paying to no federal income taxes since 1995. #Debate
01:59:38 Retweeted @arunindy 01:59:24 Trump needs chair to stand up. Lacks stamina. Low energy. Sad! #debate https://t.co/G5kZAolfuw
02:00:11 Retweeted @imbou 01:59:57 @abulsme did she write the tax code?
02:00:53 Trump has no understanding of how government works at all. #debate
02:01:51 Trump’s hand is in his belt! Run!!! #debate
02:03:47 Retweeted @imbou 02:03:36 @rmoraille @abulsme this thing is a mess and Trump is trying to be a bully in reply to rmoraille
02:03:59 .@imbou @rmoraille He doesn’t know how to be anything else. in reply to imbou
02:04:08 Retweeted @rmoraille 02:02:06 @imbou @abulsme no novelist could come up with this disaster. in reply to imbou
02:04:19 Retweeted @EsotericCD 02:04:10 The simple fact that Trump isn't shouting, and has kept his temper set on "snark" rather than "rage," has made him much more effective. in reply to EsotericCD
02:05:11 Trump is managing not to completely lose it. He has come close a couple times, but he has kept better control than last time. #debate
02:05:19 Retweeted @rmoraille 02:04:25 @imbou @abulsme trying? It is his nature. in reply to imbou
02:05:49 Clinton really is better off letting the вЂњRussia wants himвЂќ be raised by others. #debate
02:05:56 Retweeted @imbou 02:05:28 @rmoraille @abulsme he is working at it harder than usual in reply to rmoraille
02:06:31 вЂњShe was there for the line in the sand.вЂќ вЂњActually, I was gone by then.вЂќ #debate
02:08:34 вЂњLet me repeat the questionвЂќ #debate
02:09:14 Trump disagreeing with Pence during the debate. Unity! #debate
02:09:53 Retweeted @peterwsinger 02:09:24 Holy Shit.
Trump just praised Assad, Russia, and Iran! That is most surprising part of this debate.
02:10:05 Retweeted @MichaelSkolnik 02:09:23 Whoa. Trump on Pence on ISIS: "He and I haven't spoken and I disagreeвЂќ #Debate
02:10:43 Retweeted @imbou 02:09:45 @rmoraille @abulsme did he just say he hasn't talked to his running mate???? in reply to imbou
02:11:15 Retweeted @THELuisAMendez 02:11:02 WTF is he talking about? What is this? in reply to THELuisAMendez
02:11:40 Trump has no idea on anything he is talking about. None. #debate
02:12:14 Pence’s staff seemed to be leaking today that Pence was holding his options open pending the debate. How’d he like that answer? #debate
02:13:08 Retweeted @chrislhayes 02:12:59 "How stupid is our country?" That's a new one!
02:13:14 Retweeted @NickKristof 02:12:57 Trump so far this debate has fought Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton, the moderators, his own running mate and, most of all, reality.
02:16:37 вЂњI would get it by osmosis.вЂќ – Trump. OK then. #debate
02:17:25 Only 15 minutes left. This has not lived up to my expectations in terms of the level of fireworks. #debate
02:17:51 I wonder what Clinton will pull out in the last five minutes that will set Trump off for the next week this time. #debate
02:18:14 Retweeted @THELuisAMendez 02:17:52 This is almost over. Impression is first 20 minutes brutal for Trump. A bit more even after that. Don't think debate moves much either way. in reply to THELuisAMendez
02:19:12 Anderson asking about deplorables. #debate
02:21:40 Anderson asking about вЂњcheck out the sex tapeвЂќ. Trump denies he said it. #debate
02:22:42 вЂњI’m not unproud.вЂќ – Trump #debate
02:26:44 Alex lasted until 5 minutes before the end. Almost made it.
02:28:37 This debate will not change a single mind. Well, not many.
02:32:43 Hmm. Clinton actually knows what she is talking about. Trump dies not. Surprise! #debate
02:33:49 Retweeted @SCClemons 02:14:03 Major rumors swirling in real time, right now that @mike_pence has asked 2 be removed from the Presidential ticket. Historic Wow. #debate
02:33:58 Retweeted @imbou 02:33:47 @rmoraille @abulsme trump knows nothing about the economy in reply to rmoraille
02:34:33 Ha. Asked each to name something positive about the other. Fun! #debate
02:35:56 Saying вЂњhis kidsвЂќ is not really a real answer BTW. #debate
02:36:50 вЂњShe doesn’t quit, she doesn’t give up.вЂќ Trump actually gives a real answer to the question. #debate
02:37:24 And it is done! #debate
02:39:09 Bottom line this was not anywhere near as bad as it could have been. Trump did better than last time. So no additional damage. #debate
02:40:44 Clinton won, but he didn’t put him away, despite his looking really bad in the first 20 min. Trump maybe slowed down his implosion. #debate
02:41:36 And yeah, for the most part Trump avoided taking bait this time. Amazing. I expected a complete melt-down. Did not get it. #debate
02:43:56 Retweeted @THELuisAMendez 02:43:09 My guess is the post debate polls say Trump won but not by dominant margins like Hillary did. If they show him losing…
02:44:06 Retweeted @KirstenPowers 02:42:54 Hillary won this debate, but ppl will say it's a draw b/c he beat expectations and cleared the low bar set by his last debate performance.
02:44:46 Retweeted @pbump 02:28:54 Trump's SCOTUS list included Sen. Mike Lee, who yesterday said Trump should drop out.
02:46:25 Of course, not changing minds is a win for C. She is crushing him right now. He needs to massively move things to have a shot again. #debate
02:47:24 Retweeted @JYSexton 02:46:47 Um. There's a lot of chatter coming out of Indiana.
02:51:32 Clinton did not take advantage of many chances to go in for the kill. Was counting on him doing it to himself. He didn’t. #debate
02:51:59 Retweeted @EdEspinoza 02:50:00 There was nothing that @realDonaldTrump did tonight to add to his base of voters. Nothing. #debates
02:53:16 Clinton completely ignored Trump’s attempt to bring Bill Clinton’s women into the conversation though. That attack fell flat. #debate
02:56:51 Retweeted @drewharwell 02:41:16 Let's quit saying lines like "Trump gave the fact-checkers a field day." It's a too-cute way of saying he lied a lot.
02:57:21 Retweeted @JohnAvlon 02:49:51 Topline: Trump doesn’t really apologize for tape, disses Pence, threatens to jail opponent, admits zero taxes, Hillary doesn’t put him away.
03:00:44 Retweeted @imbou 03:00:31 @abulsme I think in the heat of the moment we didn't realize what a cluster fuck he created the way he dissed his running mate! in reply to abulsme
03:01:14 .@imbou I don’t think Pence will be happy tonight. Staff tweeted congratulations aside. in reply to imbou
03:03:20 Retweeted @SamWangPhD 03:02:41 Turn it off.
Today PEC's Clinton win probability hit 95%. In past races that's been a Rubicon.вЂ¦ https://t.co/YB25AIPQS9
03:03:33 Retweeted @Acosta 03:00:44 Bill Clinton accusers are working spin room for Trump campaign right now
03:05:26 Retweeted @davidaxelrod 01:33:27 Just for record, there were no ads in which @MichelleObama attacked @HillaryClinton. I know. I was there. #debates
03:07:07 Retweeted @bjones 01:55:53 Ok guys this is really the best picture of the entire election. https://t.co/VGjsp8NQ0r
03:08:38 Retweeted @EricHolder 01:41:52 So @realDonaldTrump will ORDER his AG to take certain actions-When Nixon tried that his AG courageously resigned. Trump is dangerous/unfit
03:09:52 Retweeted @thomaswright08 03:08:21 Trump did well enough to stay in the race which is a HUGE win for Clinton
03:11:00 Retweeted @danpfeiffer 02:39:28 Trump did nothing to change the race, he is still losing by a lot with no real path to victory
03:11:12 Retweeted @vavreck 03:09:38 So here's the big takeaway: Matters little if Trump held his base tonight. He needs to make up 6 points in 30 days. Did this do it? No.
03:11:47 Retweeted @SethAMandel 02:37:42 Trump got better as the night went on and he stopped talking about sexually assaulting women and jailing his opponent.
03:13:30 Retweeted @FHQ 03:12:46 At this point, everything else is noise. This is how to view things for the next four weeks: Did Trump add anything?
https://t.co/95v6urykbr
03:13:41 Retweeted @ananavarro 01:54:07 Can we all agree right now to never set foot or spend a penny at Trump place on Pennsylvania Ave, DC? My ass ain't never setting foot there.
03:14:18 Retweeted @BryFun1 02:46:46 Tiffany Trump skillfully pulls away from her dad's kiss #debate https://t.co/aFDvMCMElu
03:20:39 Retweeted @arunindy 03:20:27 Pundits: "Well, Trump didn't shit himself, his head didn't spin around and vomit blood, so he won" the #debate
03:23:09 Retweeted @megynkelly 03:22:56 .@KatrinaPierson: @mike_pence will stay on as VP nominee. #debate #KellyFile
03:24:19 Retweeted @cspiesdc 03:23:21 That raises some fun legal questions… https://t.co/1x6MTbEAOu
03:28:07 Retweeted @spooknine 03:27:49 What, really, is the difference here? https://t.co/7NXiUPfuJ4
03:28:16 Retweeted @fivefifths 03:14:25 "Trump is like someone who only has 300 words of a 1000 word essay"-best analysis from students here
04:05:36 Disappointed Clinton didn’t use вЂњYou pitiful little manвЂќ tonight. One more shot on the 19th!
04:05:48 Retweeted @ArmsControlWonk 04:05:38 Now I know why Trump took that married woman to a furniture store … https://t.co/yqX2RuInOe
04:06:46 Retweeted @dandrezner 04:05:35 As a political scientist let me assure you it's not a good sign when a presidential candidate threatens to prosecute his electoral opponent.
04:07:43 Retweeted @ktumulty 03:25:52 This somehow evokes Sonny and Cher singing "I Got You Babe." https://t.co/1pWqyaua4j
04:08:21 Retweeted @ThatBoyKdSingh 02:11:59 "im gonna help The African Americans… who, are so great" #debate https://t.co/mJ3qVIz7Pj
05:02:40 Retweeted @christadubill 03:50:41 came in restroom to get ready for news. Young woman crying. She was not expecting media but shared… #Debates2016 https://t.co/4ZZqMjlBTy
05:34:19 Retweeted @jonfavs 05:25:23 Republicans thinking that Trump's absurd performance was "good enough to stop the bleeding" is exactly why they're in this mess.
05:36:00 Retweeted @joshtpm 04:24:05 Hmmm. Pence is cancelling appearnce at fundraiser in New Jersey tomorrow >>> https://t.co/FRlchfpTc0 via @TPM
05:37:08 Retweeted @JenniferJJacobs 05:27:27 Expect Team Trump to keep hounding Clinton for her husband's long-ago behavior, I'm told. His strategists gleefully believe it rattled her.
05:38:54 Retweeted @alexburnsNYT 05:26:40 Notion that Trump arrested his fall is based on — what?
05:40:39 Retweeted @Dawisha 05:12:07 RNC schedules call with members for 5pm ET Monday night https://t.co/kPFbueDhMY
05:42:07 Retweeted @jameswest2010 02:02:37 What. Is. He. Doing. https://t.co/6uE8sf09ul
05:42:50 Retweeted @xeni 05:22:42 Is it snowing at Mar a Lago?<symbol><symbol>вќ„пёЏ<symbol> https://t.co/hK3wCe9gD3
05:43:59 Retweeted @RadioFreeTom 04:50:50 I cannot believe I have to argue with other US citizens about the dangers of a presidential candidate vowing to prosecute his opponent.
06:05:29 Retweeted @mckaycoppins 06:04:31 Of *course* this was Bannon's idea. https://t.co/FG1jcf0US1 https://t.co/nj9eRrA74g
06:09:06 Reading – Trump’s debate plan to seat Bill Clinton’s accusers in family box was thwarted (Costa/Balz/Rucker) https://t.co/E5UrKVO16v
06:14:03 Retweeted @jbarro 05:56:27 Trump wanted the Clinton accusers in the Trump family box. CPD refuses. Trump camp furious, now threatening to exitвЂ¦ https://t.co/KlEQDqArOR
06:15:22 Retweeted @mckaycoppins 05:58:24 the actual reason Repubs think the debate "stopped the bleeding" is that there was 60-minute window when we weren't talking about that video
06:15:58 Retweeted @jbarro 05:57:25 Honestly the CPD saved the Trump campaign from a stunt that would have backfired. in reply to jbarro
06:38:06 The more time passes after the debate ended, the more my twitter feed (and other commentary) is moving away from Trump and to Clinton.
06:39:36 Retweeted @saletan 04:06:22 63% of respondents in CNN post-debate poll say Trump grabbed way fewer female body parts than expected. Big win for the Donald.
06:42:03 Retweeted @HuffPostPol 05:47:07 The stuff of nightmares. #debate https://t.co/4TkeTyV2G2
07:07:25 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten 2016-10-09 20:00:37 Gonna be funny when after all the Johnson hype it's actually McMuffin who wins electoral votes…
07:18:23 Retweeted @hominidviews 2016-10-09 19:04:44 Then, one morning, the top RNC leadership had a collective epiphany:
"Of course!"
"WE! NEED! SUPER DELEGATES!"
07:19:36 Retweeted @ppppolls 2016-10-09 18:05:13 2 of the first 3 private polls we've done that were conducted Friday-Saturday have Trump in the 70s of the Republican vote
07:53:57 Retweeted @ElecCollPolls 07:53:35 That’s all for now. New polls in FL/PA/WI/OH/AK. Notable change in AK, so @ElectionGraphs post a little later.
07:58:20 Retweeted @NickKristof 01:26:49 I've spent lots of time reporting in countries where winners do imprison losing candidates. Believe me, we don't want to go there.
07:59:13 Retweeted @benshapiro 03:41:54 This exchange is the set-up. The next week is going to be the punch line. https://t.co/yppE7KHvvL
08:04:01 Retweeted @TeaAndCopy 07:04:43 ADVISOR: What are you going to do whilst Hillary is speaking?
TRUMP: I'ma fuck a chair
ADVISOR: Please don't do thaвЂ¦ https://t.co/OyEgBqoaG1
08:04:55 Retweeted @tauriqmoosa 03:19:34 Woke up to news that Trump stated he'd jail his opponent if he got into office. Dictatorship has never announced itself so loudly.
15:16:33 Retweeted @JakeSherman 15:14:42 BREAKING– @SpeakerRyan tells house republicans he won't defend trump and will focus the next 29 days on keeping the house majority.
15:29:08 Retweeted @BrentRosenbaum 15:09:46 Normals no longer care about emails and haven't care about Bill's problems for decades
15:30:03 Retweeted @costareports 14:27:41 In calls this morning, many Rs privately want to defect from Trump. But they say the debate gave them pause since he roused their base.
15:50:53 Retweeted @DouthatNYT 15:27:43 Memo to Congressional Republicans: The doors of hell are locked on the inside.
16:03:03 Reading – Republican elites' Trump quandary is a long-term GOP problem (@leedrutman) https://t.co/3qGVweaiK6
16:17:16 Retweeted @Heminator 16:06:10 To quote Donald Trump, "You knew damn well I was a snake before you took me in." https://t.co/hob2S5eud0
16:17:27 Retweeted @GlennThrush 16:06:07 Well that was a short debate honeymoon
16:27:49 Retweeted @JonahNRO 16:26:12 New polls coming in now on my monitor, sir. https://t.co/OJri5HVUz1
16:28:29 Retweeted @costareports 14:31:30 Meanwhile, Trump circle gloating. Privately mocking elected Rs who are agonizing. One laughed and said, "We don't care."
16:29:02 Retweeted @goldengateblond 16:26:37 For anyone too young to remember: the Bill Clinton years made right-wing talking heads VERY rich. If Hillary wins,вЂ¦ https://t.co/N2lqv68LMF
16:39:59 Retweeted @DanAmira 16:39:19 Really wish someone at the debate last night would have asked Trump what "I moved on her like a bitch" means
16:40:56 Retweeted @BayoumiMoustafa 01:38:42 I'm a Muslim, and I would like to report a crazy man threatening a woman on a stage in Missouri. #debate
17:12:27 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Alaska in play? https://t.co/hZ9SIxWLE4
17:58:51 Retweeted @aedwardslevy 17:38:14 A quick comparison of 2012 vs. 2016 HuffPost Pollster averages https://t.co/o6hZ6bkc1n
19:44:18 Listening to Keepin' it 1600 Ep. 40: Second Presidential Debate Live After-Show
via iCatcher! https://t.co/xhls8caHRP
20:02:33 Retweeted @prchovanec 19:56:11 The most disturbing part of 2016: everyone seems to equate being moral with being weak, and being amoral with being strong.
20:05:53 Reading – Why Mike Pence is sticking with Donald Trump (Amber Phillips) https://t.co/jjSkMdD9iw
21:15:35 Listening to The Axe Files with David Axelrod Ep. 86 – Gary Johnson
via iCatcher! https://t.co/NIQHxVeGKd
21:51:42 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 21:51:28 @ElectionGraphs My advice: stop adding them! GIGO in reply to ElectionGraphs
22:43:38 Retweeted @SteveKopack 22:43:07 <symbol><symbol> Joint statement on behalf of MGM and Mark Burnett https://t.co/FU7OurJTL6
22:47:24 Retweeted @katherinemiller 22:46:51 https://t.co/rxb2OFcBfX
23:01:30 Retweeted @HillaryClinton 23:01:10 .@ForeignPolicy has never endorsed a candidate for political office.
Until now: https://t.co/UdsK7rdqAy
23:16:19 Watching – Donald and Hillary – I've Had The Time of My Life (ReChemical) https://t.co/gRUPsrfjlm
23:24:23 Retweeted @gdebenedetti 18:19:54 Hillary Clinton was "really tickled by" this tweet, her comms director @jmpalmieri said on the campaign plane justвЂ¦ https://t.co/NZJxDq8uU3
23:29:10 Retweeted @RealBPhil 23:04:36 So NeverTrump leaving GOP bc of Trump, and pro-Trump leaving GOP bc of NeverTrump. How can there be a civil war when neither side wants it?

Electoral College: Alaska in play?

States with new poll data added since the last update: Florida, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Ohio, Alaska

Notable changes in: Alaska

National Summary

Only one change this time, but it it continues to be movement toward Clinton. The most recent polls included here now ended Friday, but it is unclear how much, if any, they were impacted by the 2005 Trump tape, since that happened later in the day on Friday.

Clinton best case moves from a 196 electoral vote win to a 202 electoral vote win

The chart:

Clinton’s best case has been improving slowly since mid-September. She has a bit to go before she matches her peak in August, but if the current trends continue, we may see that again within a week or so as the impacts from the 2005 Trump tape and the second debate start to be visible in the state polls.

9.3 days until the next debate. 29.3 days until we start getting actual election results. We are in the final stretch.

State Details

Moving into play for Clinton

Alaska has been moving away from Trump for the last couple of weeks. With the latest additions, Trump is now up by only 4.2%. So it moves into the “Weak Trump” category.

Now, big caveat here… This is heavily influenced by a Google poll showing Clinton up by 10.8%. Google has had strange outliers in many states this cycle, and this may well be one of them. So it is quite possible this won’t last as additional new polls come in. Without Google, Trump’s lead would still be at 9.1%.

Having said that, there have been two non-Google polls since the first debate. If you only average those, you have a 3.8% Trump lead. Still in “Weak Trump” territory. So saying Alaska is looking much closer than it did is probably still quite fair.

In any case, we have a policy of including just about everything, so the Google polls count, and so Alaska is at Trump +4.2% now, which is a narrow enough lead that the state is now a possible Clinton pick up.

For more informationвЂ¦

This post is an update based on the data on ElectionGraphs.com. Election Graphs tracks both a poll based estimate of the Electoral College and a numbers based look at the Delegate Races. All of the charts and graphs seen in this post are from that site. Additional graphs, charts and raw data can be found there. Follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter or like Election Graphs on Facebook to see announcements of updates or to join the conversation. For those interested in individual general election poll updates, follow @ElecCollPolls on Twitter for all the polls as they are added. If you find the information in these posts interesting or useful, please consider visiting the tip jar.

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Electoral College: Alaska in play?

National Summary

State Details

Moving into play for Clinton

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