This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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2012 Republican Delegate Count: Perry Out

So, this morning Rick Perry announced that he was out. As such our source at DCW put the 3 superdelegates who had endorsed him back into the pile of available delegates. As of today’s update, our source at The Green Papers hasn’t yet reallocated the 3 delegates they estimated that he would eventually get via the process in Iowa. The Iowa process is complex, so it is unclear the best way to reallocate those projected delegates. The real answer of course is that no delegates have actually been allocated in Iowa yet, but Green Papers tried to estimate as well as possible what will eventually come out of that process. As they change their estimate (if they change their estimate), we’ll change the values here too.

Bottom line though, like just about everything else lately, the result of all this is “Good News for Mitt Romney”. His lead in the delegate race continues to mount. The other non-Romney, non-Perry candidates are actually helped slightly by this (because at least in theory these three superdelegates are now up for grabs again) but they still pretty far back.

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