Abulsme.com: Tweet

@abulsme tweets from 2016-02-23 (UTC)

01:30:52 Retweeted @BuzzFeedAndrew 01:05:36 What would an election look like w/Trump as the GOP nominee? Curious what people think the map would look like. https://t.co/qaDE9ijhWA in reply to BuzzFeedAndrew
01:33:05 .@BuzzFeedAndrew Mine at the moment, based on state polling, ends up Clinton 294 Trump 244. Scroll down for map. https://t.co/ksasUpV7oq in reply to BuzzFeedAndrew
02:30:17 Retweeted @JuddLegum 01:58:52 New polls today:
Georgia (Trump +9)
Mass (Trump +34)
Vermont (Trump +15)
N Carolina (Trump +18)
Michigan (Trump +18)
Illinois (Trump +13)
06:11:21 Reading – Four Problems With the 'Winnowing' Theory of Trump's Downfall (Sahil Kapur) https://t.co/DtxPb0vYj2
06:32:02 Retweeted @EricWolfson 02:47:19 Um, THIS –>
#p2 https://t.co/wSPdGrhNcH
16:07:15 New polls in NC from Elon and SurveyUSA added today. No net changes that trigger a blog post. For details see @ElecCollPolls.
16:39:54 Retweeted @ZachWeiner 2016-02-22 18:14:49 Wait. If autism-spectrum people are over-represented in the sciences… wouldn't that imply that… autism causes vaccines?!
16:49:08 Retweeted @ChadPergram 16:46:50 When asked if he sends/receives classified email in ref to Clinton John Kerry tells Senate cmte "I've never opened my computer on my desk"

@abulsme tweets from 2016-02-22 (UTC)

00:08:21 Electoral College Spectrum view is back for Chrome. If you see issues in any browser, please let me know. https://t.co/ksasUpV7oq
15:26:57 Reading – Who’s Going to Stop Trump? (Daniel Larison) https://t.co/L2bj39g2Or

@abulsme tweets from 2016-02-21 (UTC)

00:16:16 90 minutes till home
00:55:33 One hour until home
01:02:20 Past all the traffic. Stopping for a rest stop stop.
01:02:31 Retweeted @BYUfan 00:38:55 .@abulsme great new ad on the show. I was about to suggest you do it, but the music makes it sound like you're tracking the Indian elections
01:03:21 .@BYUfan Thanks. I did it several weeks ago, but it didn’t come up randomly until this week. HmmmвЂ¦ Indian electionsвЂ¦ Nah. :-) in reply to BYUfan
01:03:28 Retweeted @imbou 00:47:01 @abulsme i see the Trump win but I gotta believe that Jen and Kasich are going to quit now and those votes are not going to Trump…
01:04:33 .@imbou Maybe. Let’s see if they actually drop or stay stubborn. Question is all about how fast people drop and get out of the way. in reply to imbou
01:06:10 News keeps talking about the pop vote and 2nd place. Ignore it. Look at delegates. Trump on track to get at least 44/50 dels. Probably more.
01:06:44 Watch delegate estimates evolve at Green Papers here: https://t.co/ueEOcdR5ek
01:08:22 Trump getting all 50 dels still likely. Only at 44 because some congressional districts not reporting yet. To get dels, need to win a CD.
01:10:52 Retweeted @KateBennett_DC 01:08:20 My Bush sources saying a @JebBush 5th place finish means he drops out tonight, tomorrow latest.
01:11:22 Retweeted @AnthonyNBCNews 01:08:11 SC GOP consultant: "Getting second place without winning a single congressional district is only good for perception"
01:14:43 Retweeted @anthonyweiner 01:07:06 When Jeb drops out, who gets the (!)?
01:16:50 Getting on road again. Next stop home. Waze says 48 miles in 59 minutes given current traffic and such.
01:40:37 Bush out!
01:43:15 Sunset
02:18:52 Home
02:19:06 Retweeted @imbou 01:19:17 @abulsme Jeb is a joke, all that money for 4th place? go home, I'll invite him to the suite at the Marlins for a game to get over it… in reply to abulsme
02:19:45 Retweeted @imbou 01:51:43 @abulsme Jeb!! Is out…
02:20:16 .@imbou But Kasich and Carson вЂњnot going anywhereвЂќ. We shall see. :-) in reply to imbou
02:21:33 Looks like Marco may win a couple CDs, making delegates Trump 44, Rubio 6. Counting continues though. Not final. https://t.co/ueEOcdR5ek
02:23:16 Ok. Home now. Turning off election stuff. Spending some time with family. Will update Election Graphs late tonightвЂ¦ or in the morning. :-)
03:36:42 Del estimates down to 3 for Rubio, and that might be slipping away as the count continuesвЂ¦ We shall see.
03:36:43 Retweeted @imbou 02:23:19 @abulsme I don't buy that crap I think those guys are out in a week in reply to abulsme
03:38:17 .@imbou They both want to wait for March 1st at least. But let’s see how Nevada goes. in reply to imbou
03:38:45 Retweeted @imbou 03:38:27 @abulsme I don't think they make it to March 1st, it seems they are running out if money fast, the money will quickly shift
03:39:28 .@imbou Carson only needs to fly back home to change clothes every few days. He can last a little while. :-) in reply to imbou
03:40:11 Retweeted @imbou 03:40:03 @abulsme of course I forgot about his clothes! in reply to abulsme
04:22:34 Looks like Trump gets all 50 delegates. https://t.co/ueEOcdztPK
04:34:06 Retweeted @HeerJeet 04:17:04 Trump thinks "Ok, next debate I'll praise Mein Kampf. That'll kill this thing for sure & I can go home." Another landslide.
05:43:45 Added in tonight’s results on both the R and D sides. Blog posts a bit later. https://t.co/MZrA9dFRue
06:26:44 Retweeted @NBCNightlyNews 05:52:06 Sheriff's office: 6 dead, 3 injured in apparent random shooting spree in Kalamazoo Co., Michigan; suspect on the loose.
06:56:06 Retweeted @Mynorthwest 06:55:29 BREAKING: CBS reports suspect in custody after killing at least 5 people and wounding 3 others in Kalamzoo, MI over the course of 8 hours.
16:54:27 [Abulpost] Democrats: Clinton Wins Nevada by 20 to 15 https://t.co/COpXKweNPg
17:23:05 Retweeted @TheFix 17:21:52 Donald Trump has won 66% of the available delegates in the GOP race so far.
17:24:31 .@TheFix Isn’t it 67/103 = 65.05%? So closer to 65%. Doesn’t change the point though. :-) https://t.co/MZrA9dFRue in reply to TheFix
17:59:59 [Abulpost] Republicans: Trump dominating delegate race https://t.co/NHGwakk3kt
18:24:58 Reading – Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War (@natesilver538) https://t.co/8zbGL0vSQw
18:32:30 Retweeted @Moochava 2013-07-10 15:33:25 Yearly reminder: unless you're over 60, you weren't promised flying cars. You were promised an oppressive cyberpunk dystopia. Here you go.
18:58:48 Retweeted @AmateurPolSc 17:59:55 Losing the first few primaries to an insurgent is unprecedented, right?
Except, it happened in 1996.

Buchanan won 4 of 6 first contests.
18:59:38 Retweeted @Taniel 18:48:21 Popular vote in IA+NH+SC:
McCain '08: 251,840 (31.5% of total)
Romney '12: 294,616 (30.5% of total)
Trump '16: 385,684 (31.9% of total) in reply to Taniel
19:05:36 Retweeted @Gus_802 18:44:49 You're not going to change delegate rules in the middle of a presidential primary. Get over it.
19:37:01 Retweeted @frugaltraveler 17:59:01 An hour into trip, turning around to "switch buses." Currently learning that on @megabus, you get what you pay for. https://t.co/6JagtWZEow
19:37:05 Retweeted @frugaltraveler 18:12:13 Update: the bus is on fire. https://t.co/alvXtoHbwL in reply to frugaltraveler
19:37:10 Retweeted @frugaltraveler 18:17:45 Update: the bus exploded. https://t.co/Sd0rBYN714 in reply to frugaltraveler
19:42:13 Reading – Trump has a stranglehold on the GOP nomination. So why isn’t he getting credit? (@thefix) https://t.co/BYMMtfPhOz
19:48:11 Retweeted @M_Gelin 04:57:14 Look at this graph of national GOP voters gradual, growing acceptance of Trump as nominee https://t.co/3bINR9TQgb
19:50:41 Retweeted @BrendanNyhan 19:28:52 Anatomy of a PR disaster – when your @megabus blows up w/the NYT's @frugaltraveler on board (thankfully no one hurt) https://t.co/yZLgkNMspX
20:33:13 Retweeted @ncweaver 19:54:37 Bet: Apple implements M of N signing requirement in iOS10/iPhone 7, with overseas subsidiaries holding some keys.

@abulsme tweets from 2016-02-20 (UTC)

00:05:44 Gas stop.
00:16:24 Grabbed a snack. Going again. 8:25 of driving left.
01:18:36 Listening to Waking Up with Sam Harris Ask Me Anything #3 https://t.co/8GL0xRVLAE
01:35:44 Oregon
01:50:32 Sunset
02:22:39 Rest stop stop.
02:23:10 Driving again. 6:45 of driving left.
03:06:32 Halfway
03:13:08 Listening to ProPublica Podcast How a Reporter Pierced the Hype Behind Theranos https://t.co/CCjQncrxrX
03:35:18 Listening to The Pollsters #52: Fear & Loathing AND Las Vegas. The Supremes AND the Grammys. https://t.co/4G29mmxWjd
04:17:00 Listening to 99% Invisible 200- Miss Manhattan https://t.co/69CjztmZ13
04:37:59 Another rest area stop. Woo!
04:45:56 Getting on road again. 4:49 of driving left. Starting to get tired though, so thinking I may stop for the night next big name motel I see.
04:54:00 Stopped for dinner first. Then will decide if I go on or stay at one of the two motels within sight. Will probably stay. :-)
05:01:03 Restaurant was closing. Back on road. 4:49 of driving left. But will stop for food and lodging soon.
05:15:47 This time stopped at a Denny’s. Won’t be closing on me! Also with motels in sight of course. :-)
05:51:28 Reading – вЂWarGames’ and Cybersecurity’s Debt to a Hollywood Hack (Fred Kaplan) https://t.co/76xxVh2ozr
06:05:26 Motel 6 isn’t quite like the Palace Hotel. But it has a bed and wifi. So I’m set.
08:12:27 Listening to TALK NERDY Episode 98 – Sarah Gossan https://t.co/vFxPkf3xDF
16:21:20 Retweeted @Snowden 2016-02-19 23:24:50 Journalists: Crucial details in the @FBI v. #Apple case are being obscured by officials. Skepticism here is fair: https://t.co/lEVEvOxcNm
16:55:16 Retweeted @imbou 16:32:51 @abulsme I loved this movie and what was in it seemed plausible given the technology of the day, amazing what it started!!! in reply to abulsme
17:20:06 [Abulpost] Electoral College: Trump takes lead from Clinton in North Carolina, Rubio even stronger https://t.co/jBLEDDILgC
18:30:34 Big Q from tonight on the R side is who drops out, if anybody. If results mirror polls, would be reasonable for Bush/Kasich/Carson to drop.
18:32:25 Staying through Tuesday is easy to see for all of them. Beyond thatвЂ¦ If they decide to stick it out, they are only helping Trump. in reply to abulsme
18:33:13 That is assuming results mirror the polls though. If there are big surprises, it could change everythingвЂ¦ again! :-) in reply to abulsme
18:33:20 Retweeted @imbou 18:32:00 @abulsme We got Rubiomentum going once again!!! Maybe Cardon can bounce back once more!!
18:33:29 Retweeted @imbou 18:32:56 @abulsme how about a Cain!!!!!!! in reply to imbou
18:34:01 .@imbou All of this is just good news for McCain! in reply to imbou
18:38:17 On the D side, a narrow Sanders lead in NV will prolong the handwringing, but won’t be enough to really have him on track to win.
18:39:33 To be on track to win the nom, Sanders needs a New Hampshire size win, not just a squeaker. in reply to abulsme
18:40:04 Meanwhile, any Clinton win at all marks the beginning of the end for Sanders. in reply to abulsme
18:40:11 Retweeted @imbou 18:36:44 @abulsme oh for the brokered convention? McCain???? in reply to abulsme
18:41:08 .@imbou Romney/McCain 2016! Or McCain/Romney. They can toss a coin at the convention for it. :-) in reply to imbou
18:41:12 Retweeted @imbou 18:40:49 @abulsme brokered, brokered, brokered!!!!!!!!! in reply to abulsme
18:42:13 .@imbou Technically just contested, since there are no actual brokers. Although some might develop. Not ready to predict that yet though. in reply to imbou
18:43:25 .@imbou Right now an outright Trump win still seems more likely. But if nobody has a majority of delegates on March 16th that changesвЂ¦ in reply to imbou
18:45:58 Retweeted @imbou 18:45:41 @abulsme Powell!! in reply to abulsme
18:46:22 .@imbou RINO. He’d have better luck as a Democrat at this point. in reply to imbou
18:47:50 Retweeted @imbou 18:46:49 @abulsme Liz Dole!!!! in reply to abulsme
18:48:15 .@imbou Sorry Ivan. Give it up. You know it is TRUMP!!!! in reply to imbou
18:54:31 Retweeted @bendoody 18:22:52 Rubio rollercoaster ride in @predictwise prediction markets continues. Up to 40 pct. Almost a co-favorite w Trump. https://t.co/Dkzoaltqr9
19:03:45 Checked out. Breakfasted at a Denny’s with a nice cat living right outside in a little house. On road again. 4:40 driving left until home.
19:04:30 CNN audio streaming in the car through my phone. There will be Nevada results before I get home!
20:11:18 Just passed the 45th parallel halfway between the equator and the north pole yeah hey!
21:01:24 Washington
21:13:41 Rest area stop. Stretch!
21:13:48 Retweeted @imbou 19:06:47 @abulsme what is your ETA? in reply to abulsme
21:14:56 .@imbou With no stops about 4 PM Pacific. But I am making a stop now and will probably do at least one more stop later, so probably 5-6 PM. in reply to imbou
21:22:17 Got excited because vending machine at rest stop took ApplePay. But then machine was sold out if drink I wanted. Oh well.
21:27:21 Listening to reports that popular vote neck & neck in Nevada for Dems. If that continues expect for a crazy week leading to South Carolina.
21:28:16 But keep in mind that in the end the popular vote doesn’t matter. Sanders needs 20 of the 35 delegates to be on pace to catch up and win. in reply to abulsme
21:30:35 That is if no superdelegates change their minds of course. They could at any time. But they haven’t so far. Until they do, S needs 20 of 35. in reply to abulsme
21:31:54 Getting on road again, but with no snack. 2:50 of driving left until home.
22:08:21 Stopping for gas and snack and drink.
22:09:40 With about 50% of vote in, Clinton lead in pop vote may be narrow, but not in estimated dels. Clinton 19 Sanders 16. https://t.co/09zyIOiGhY
22:10:51 Sanders needed 20 to be on pace to catch up. 16 ain’t gunna cut it. There is only so long you can spin a loss as a win. in reply to abulsme
22:11:22 More votes yet to be counted of course. That could still shift. in reply to abulsme
22:21:03 Evbody calling NV 4 C now. Sanders folks trying 2 spin вЂњbut was closer than expected!вЂќ Maybe, but to win you actually have to, well, win.
22:28:14 I’ll update Election Graphs with Nevada delegate estimates once they get closer to final later tonight. In the mean time, R’s in SC up next!
22:29:16 Getting on road again. Bag of snacks and drinks in my passenger seat. 2:41 of driving left according to Waze.
23:09:00 100 miles to home
23:36:23 Waze says I'm now in a 46 minute traffic jam. Current speed zero. Yay!
23:48:21 Now says 55 minutes of traffic ahead. No good route around it. Just have to go through. Of course, has been included in estimates for hours. in reply to abulsme
23:49:32 Think this is related to that highway shooting earlier today. Part of I-5 has been closed all afternoon. in reply to abulsme
23:54:48 I can tweet because my car isn’t moving at all right now. Haven’t been over 5 mph in 20 minutes. But usually just stopped.

@abulsme tweets from 2016-02-19 (UTC)

17:40:17 [Abulpost] Curmudgeon's Corner: Conspiracy Machine https://t.co/zh4RQZIMes
18:49:17 Considered adding some GE poll results now, but decided I didn’t have time before checkout. Will wait for tonight. Time to get on road.
19:04:18 On the road home. 12:14 of driving ahead of me. Plan is to take two days this timeвЂ¦
21:24:58 Stopping for lunch. Woo!
21:39:08 Reading – Ted Cruz Has A Huge Math Problem (David Wasserman) https://t.co/3q5nfcPxGY
21:52:41 Retweeted @BuzzFeedAndrew 21:14:19 Cruz and Carson had a meeting in a storage closet about Iowa. It didn't go well. The room may not have had lights.
https://t.co/awcLSNbJFQ
22:00:09 Retweeted @rdrimmel 21:25:34 #Earth, from #space. As seen by the #Himawari satellite. https://t.co/Qpl5W8otbG
22:01:49 Retweeted @csoghoian 21:46:55 I guess we owe our thanks to the FBI for inspiring a generation of engineers and companies to design and deploy coercion-resistant crypto.
22:09:09 Starting my drive again. 10:17 on the road left. Yummy lunch. Full.
22:30:26 Listening to So That Happened Supreme Court Battle, 2016 Madness, And The Black Vote Is Up For Grabs https://t.co/XC1BLkwnHC

@abulsme tweets from 2016-02-18 (UTC)

03:33:12 Retweeted @owillis 03:32:47 i cannot overemphasize how dumb u sound after nh primary going OMG WHAT SUPERDELEGATES NOBODY SAID THERE'D BE SUPERDELEGATES.
so stupid. in reply to owillis
03:34:52 Retweeted @owillis 03:31:54 clinton had big super delegate lead on obama in 08, i dont remember them complaining about it. they went out won delegates, super d flipped in reply to owillis
06:38:55 Watching – OK Go – Upside Down & Inside Out: Behind the Scenes – How We Did It https://t.co/K8L2Q8KHky
15:21:22 Reading – Bernie Sanders’s Path To The Nomination (Nate Silver) https://t.co/jkZxvUzZLy

@abulsme tweets from 2016-02-17 (UTC)

15:31:55 Retweeted @matthewjdowd 15:30:14 Plan A for conservative establishment: Stop Trump. Plan B post SC: find an independent candidate to run for President.
16:35:16 Reading – The math test: Can Hillary Clinton learn from her fatal 2008 miscalculation? (Tim Fernholz) https://t.co/dFeyLTVlbN
18:39:51 Go Apple! -> A Message to Our Customers (Tim Cook) https://t.co/3kszL7z88W

@abulsme tweets from 2016-02-15 (UTC)

00:02:20 Retweeted @imbou 2016-02-14 23:51:01 @abulsme how about if you don't touch the damn thing again! in reply to abulsme
00:02:54 Getting on road again. New ETA with no stops 10:38 UTC. Expect real arrival maybe two hours later. If the mirror doesn’t fall off again.
00:03:33 .@imbou I’m going to try not to! I will move my head instead! in reply to imbou
01:29:37 Oregon
02:16:27 Stopped for gas and snack. New ETA 11:26 UTC. Will definitely do trip back over two days. Mirror still up though. :-)
02:53:44 Listening to Criminal Episode 36: Perfect Specimen https://t.co/6IwWDPhhZH
03:35:07 Stopped to stretch legs. ETA now 11:41 UTC. 8:07 of driving left to go. Yawn!
03:36:54 Listening to C-SPAN Podcasts of the Week President Obama Address to Illinois General Assembly https://t.co/sZQxFL3hrm
04:11:06 Listening to KCRW's Left, Right & Center Sanders and Trump Won Huge in New Hampshire https://t.co/ATCtdbnflV
06:03:28 Another stop and stretch. ETA now 11:57 UTC. 5:54 of driving left. More than half way!
06:13:48 Stopping for dinner. Yawn!
06:14:15 Retweeted @imbou 00:48:55 @Abulsme did you propose this? https://t.co/XUfJFWYYy7
06:16:22 .@imbou Yes! But they describe some things wrong. 0100 wouldn’t be вЂњ1 in the morningвЂќ it would just be 0100. Might or might not be morning. in reply to imbou
06:20:59 Reading – Donald Trump Appears to Be Unscathed. Again. (David Atkins) https://t.co/s58hJnwK7E
06:55:10 Getting on road again. ETA now 12:37 UTC. 5:43 of driving to go. Will probably need to stop for a nap at some point though. Yawn!
07:36:31 Time for a safety nap.
09:14:35 Safety nap over for now. New ETA 14:38 UTC. 5:24 of driving left.
09:44:26 California
10:16:32 Listening to Radiolab Hard Knock Life https://t.co/LiaCaVEzOJ
10:34:21 Foggy slow driving. Next rest area 50+ miles. Taking another short safety nap. ZZZzzzвЂ¦
11:43:52 Here I go again. New ETA 15:50 UTC. 4:07 of driving left.
12:20:20 Listening to The Young Turks Audio Podcast TYT – 02.12.16: DNC, Dem Debate, Porter Ranch Leak, and Monster Judge https://t.co/XH9tUjsvE4
12:35:09 Listening to BBC Inside Science Gravitational Waves Special https://t.co/lEFDotcVd7
13:27:25 Retweeted @imbou 12:34:40 @abulsme satellite pictures just showed that a turtle went past you… in reply to abulsme
13:28:25 .@imbou Cruise control set at the speed limit, except when fog or rain, then slower. And stops, of which I now do anotherвЂ¦ in reply to imbou
14:30:29 Moving again. New ETA 1715 UTC. 2:45 of driving left. Needed these naps.
14:44:14 Stopped for gas. Going again. New ETA 17:26. 2:52 driving left.
15:04:27 Sunrise
15:51:50 Listening to Slate's Amicus with Dahlia Lithwick Amicus Extra: Antonin Scalia's Death https://t.co/yP58DOSBSt
16:28:08 Listening to Future Tense – Full program podcast A very pointy future https://t.co/jlLZYrAs6D
16:34:45 Food stop.
16:41:01 Off o go again. ETA 17:43. 1:03 left of driving. Almost there. :-)
18:03:34 Made it.
18:40:25 Finally checked in. Woo!

@abulsme tweets from 2016-02-14 (UTC)

00:03:28 Retweeted @davidfrum 2016-02-13 23:34:24 And as a matter of crass politics: if the Senate is going to deny the president’s nominee a vote вЂ¦ they can just DO it. Why advertise?
00:03:33 Retweeted @KevinMKruse 2016-02-13 23:37:42 Exactly. They could've delayed/killed any nominee easily and quietly. Declaring intent to do so is a blunder. https://t.co/dpgCESo4Ge
00:09:51 Retweeted @imbou 00:05:01 @abulsme if this republicans try this not accepting any nomination stunt I think it seals their fate this Novemeber
00:13:54 .@imbou Maybe. Maybe not. Depends on details. But will be fun to watch in any case. First opposite party SCOTUS replacement in 25 yrs! in reply to imbou
00:14:46 Retweeted @LarrySabato 2016-02-13 23:38:45 Only the hopelessly naive could believe that Obama and Senate R majority could reach agreement on a choice in prez election year.
00:15:59 Retweeted @imbou 00:15:20 @abulsme Obama will pick someone the same way he had done his choices it will be a reasoned choice if they just reject will look bad in reply to abulsme
00:17:07 .@imbou They will look bad to people who won’t vote for them anyway. Limited loss. It will strengthen them with base maybe motivate turnout. in reply to imbou
00:17:20 Retweeted @imbou 00:16:12 @abulsme obama's approval has been improving a lot lately making this move more difficult for the republicans in reply to abulsme
00:18:08 .@imbou Will polarize both sides further, get people really motivated for November. Dynamics uncertain. Fun to watch! in reply to imbou
00:19:00 .@imbou Obama’s move here is to appoint a moderate Republican, if he can find one that still exists. :-) in reply to imbou
00:19:17 Retweeted @imbou 00:18:38 @abulsme I don't think it's so uncertain I think this plays into the democrats favor. in reply to abulsme
00:19:49 .@imbou I think you are probably correct, but a lot depends on details. We shall see. in reply to imbou
00:20:36 Retweeted @BradMossEsq 2016-02-13 22:12:21 That sound you hear is every conservative wondering if they can justify keeping SCOTUS with only 8 members on the bench until 1/20/17.
00:26:57 Reading – Can Republicans really block Obama’s Supreme Court nomination for a year? Probably. (@byamberphillips) https://t.co/QFaO8Mzfjg
00:28:28 Retweeted @imbou 00:19:57 @abulsme there are such things, they are called Rino's he can probably find one and stick it to them and have them reject that guy in reply to abulsme
00:30:06 Retweeted @DenisDison 00:11:48 Longest it's ever taken to confirm a SCOTUS justice is 125 days. @POTUS has 341 days left in office.
00:36:29 Retweeted @chrislhayes 2016-02-13 23:47:44 Last time we had this situation: Marshall retiring with a year left in HW Bush's term. In that case,the Dem senate confirmed Clarence Thomas
00:36:46 Retweeted @PoliticalLine 00:17:09 A full year of this…
"Good evening today is October 3, 2016 – day 180 of the GOP Senate's refusal to consider Obama's SCOTUS pick"
00:38:02 Retweeted @AndyParas 00:16:26 What harm is there in at least waiting to see who Potus nominates first before declaring you'll block nominee?
00:38:25 Retweeted @davecatanese 2016-02-13 23:18:59 Meanwhile ARG polled SC Friday & Saturday and has KASICH in 2nd:
Trump 35%
Kasich 15%
Rubio 14%
Cruz 12%
Bush 10%
https://t.co/L87nn4T7pt
00:40:25 Retweeted @julia_azari 00:15:49 Let me be the turd in the punch bowl and note that SCOTUS-Senate stuff is way too arcane to change the election convo for normal people.
00:42:02 Retweeted @pollsterpolls 00:15:17 2016 South Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary – Clinton 65%, Sanders 27% (ARG 2/12-2/13) https://t.co/OliCYnFI7A
00:47:29 Just to point out if the R’s successfully block Obama nominee through rest of term then D wins WH, no reason they can’t block 4 more years.
00:49:30 Retweeted @alexburnsNYT 00:46:27 What if we didn't replace any of the justices until eventually in like 2040 it was Elena Kagan unilaterally rewriting constitutional law
00:52:10 Retweeted @StevenTDennis 00:45:10 Which SCOTUS name would make GOP look bad for blocking? That's a question WH will be asking presently.
01:07:27 Retweeted @HeerJeet 00:42:37 @chrislhayes I'm not constitutional expert but I think "fuck you, we're not going to even consider your nominee" is not advice and consent. in reply to chrislhayes
01:10:46 Retweeted @JoeNBC 00:26:27 That sound you hear is them saying to themselves upon a split second of reflection, "Why yes we can." And they will. https://t.co/HqeRWtImbU
01:13:15 Retweeted @OKnox 00:58:56 Our reporting has this Obama short-list of potential nominees to replace Scalia, per source close to the WH https://t.co/szEKSPLxvj
01:20:37 Retweeted @NormOrnstein 01:07:41 There have been recess appts to the Supreme Court. But 2014 decision on NLRB has knocked out that possibility
01:29:21 Retweeted @AriRabinHavt 00:55:10 Fun fact – Ted Cruz clerked with Sri Srinivasan on the 4th Circuit Court and describes him as a friend. #SCOTUS
01:42:55 Retweeted @liamstack 01:42:08 President Obama will speak about the death of Antonin Scalia in just a few minutes. You can watch here: https://t.co/iLw456pMoN
01:45:12 Retweeted @OKnox 01:40:40 Bill Clinton on Scalia: "He never pretended to believe anything he didn't," says he had "honest arguments" with liberals.
01:55:29 Just got home from a dinner where I ate way too much pizza. Guess it is time for another debate. I have more superdels to enter too. :-/
02:01:01 How is Ben Carson still here?
02:01:58 9th debate. Blurgh.
02:13:14 Litmus Test! Drink! (If you drink.) :-)
02:13:29 Retweeted @dandrezner 02:13:11 Um, Marco Rubio, just FYI, technically we do not have a lame duck president right now. Won't for nine months.
02:15:08 These questions are stupid.
02:18:14 Trump just sliding between things randomly it seems.
02:19:08 Rubio’s three threats should be the same.
02:24:16 Retweeted @imbou 02:23:36 @abulsme new poll shows Clinton still crushing Sanders in South Carolina…
02:24:58 .@imbou I tweeted that poll awhile ago. A Nevada poll showed a tied race there though. Need more polls in both states to get good average. in reply to imbou
02:27:24 Lots of Trump booing tonight.
02:28:36 Nice little Bush / Trump fight here. They both look pissed. Think Bush may have actually come off better again.
02:28:49 Retweeted @LeoShane 02:28:41 .@realDonaldTrump, on Syria: "We're supporting troops, and we don't even know who they are"
@JebBush: "This man gets his FP from TV shows."
02:28:59 Retweeted @EsotericCD 02:28:23 Oh wow, I lived long enough to see Jeb Bush land a sick burn on Donald Trump. That actually just happened.
02:32:30 Retweeted @Bencjacobs 02:32:17 Trump: The war in Iraq is a big fat mistake
02:32:52 Retweeted @RadioFreeTom 02:32:43 Trump is finally having the meltdown we all knew he's been holding back for months.
#GOPDebate
02:33:12 Retweeted @jbouie 02:29:20 Also, Trump is here to fight. He all but grabbed a chair and smashed it over Jeb's head. I expect he'll bring a People's Elbow soon.
02:33:45 Retweeted @DavidOAtkins 02:33:33 Trump is calling out George W. Bush and the entire GOP establishment for lying the country into the Iraq War.
02:34:24 Bush/Trump going at it again. This and the boos getting under Trump’s skin. He is not reacting well.
02:35:19 Retweeted @DavidCornDC 02:34:35 Trump: "World Trade Towers came down" on W's watch. #GOPDebate
02:35:23 Retweeted @TheFix 02:34:35 Trump plain does not like Jeb. Period. Like hates.
02:35:31 Retweeted @stephenfhayes 02:34:22 Wow. Trump, echoing Dems, says Bush admin lied knowingly and deliberately on Iraq. #gopdebate
02:36:42 Trump’s rants just now appeal to Dems. He may be pivoting to the general a little too soon. Doesn’t have this nom yet. Turning off R’s.
02:36:58 Retweeted @politicalwire 02:36:51 Wow, Trump is really something tonight
02:37:30 Trump is 100% right here, but is getting murdered in this audience. This is not something R’s want to hear.
02:39:03 Retweeted @brianstelter 02:36:07 "This is just crazy. This is nuts," Kasich says. That's what I'm trying to say. A GOP candidate on stage saying Bush didn't keep U.S. safe? in reply to brianstelter
02:39:11 Retweeted @HeerJeet 02:39:03 The Republican party is finally coming to terms with the disasters of George W. Bush presidency, thanks to Donald Trump.
02:39:35 Retweeted @RaniaKhalek 02:39:23 "The World Trade Center came down under George Bush. He kept us safe?" Trump
Marco Rubio interjects that 9/11 was Bill Clinton's fault
02:41:26 Bush has finally figured out how to hold his ground against Trump. This makes things more interesting.
02:48:57 Retweeted @chrislhayes 02:48:49 I feel like Trump is giving us an opportunity to constantly be running ideological experiments on GOP voters in real time.
02:50:23 Retweeted @fmanjoo 02:50:13 What’s the difference between this debate and last one? No Christie. Rubio is in the clear.
02:51:31 Retweeted @TheFix 02:51:19 My guess is no matter how Trump does in this debate, he probably has 25-30% for him in SC no matter what.
02:51:52 Retweeted @DouglasLevene 02:48:28 The last time a Justice was nominated + confirmed in election year with Pres. + Sen. of different parties was 1880. https://t.co/q1HiR3ONi8
03:02:25 Build a wall!
03:03:42 What was that yelling over Rubio?
03:04:11 Retweeted @maureenjohnson 02:30:02 What if Chris Christie just bursts through the back wall like the Kool Aid Man and starts kicking over podiums? #GOPDebate
03:05:52 Cruz getting booed too, not just Trump. Rowdy audience here.
03:06:17 Retweeted @studentactivism 03:06:05 The GOP is rethinking the debate's jello-shot open bar right about now.
03:06:36 Retweeted @jbarro 03:06:26 Does the audience for this debate consist entirely of major Rubio and Bush donors? They're booing what those people would boo.
03:07:07 Retweeted @dominicholden 03:06:58 I’d love to watch a debate where the GOP candidates have to answer all the questions asked at the Dem debate, and vice versa.
#GOPDebate
03:07:25 Retweeted @DavidOAtkins 03:07:16 It's quite obviously a very establishment audience in the room tonight. Shockingly, Trump isn't wrong about that.
03:07:48 The audienceвЂ¦ holy crap, they just started speaking Spanish.
03:08:03 Retweeted @studentactivism 03:07:54 Rubio just accused Cruz of not speaking Spanish … AND CRUZ YELLED AT HIM IN SPANISH.
03:08:47 This audience is really disruptive here. Not helping the quality of the debate.
03:08:58 Retweeted @TheFix 03:08:49 People who genuinely hate each other:
1. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio
2. Donald Trump and Jeb Bush
03:11:39 Trump talking about Bush mooning people! Woo!
03:14:39 Retweeted @3x1minus1 03:12:36 Ayy https://t.co/0eDZpCQu6B
03:15:20 Retweeted @seanmdav 03:15:00 If Donald Trump were running to sabotage the GOP and clear the path for his friend Hillary Clinton, what would he be doing differently?
03:16:59 Retweeted @ajplus 03:12:43 Rubio: I don’t know what he said on Univision because he doesn’t speak Spanish.
Cruz: RESPONDS IN SPANISH #GOPDebate https://t.co/5eAQeZekfx
03:18:19 Retweeted @ed_kilgore 03:18:11 Trump: I AM GREEN LANTERN!
03:20:39 Retweeted @politicoroger 03:20:18 Kasich may have helped himself tonight. Only adult on stage kinda thing. #GOPDebate
03:21:46 Retweeted @BuzzFeedAndrew 03:19:53 Jeb's face when Trump said he said he'd moon everybody. https://t.co/r1RGr5uBjC
03:22:47 Retweeted @alexirvine 03:14:44 O brave new world: One GOP candidate just tried to score points against another by mocking him for not speaking Spanish.
03:23:05 Retweeted @ryanstruyk 03:22:43 Topics covered so far during #GOPdebate:
– donuts
– underwear
– China
– air conditioners
– taxes
– mooning
– 9/11
– https://t.co/xXnbbp390K
03:24:47 Retweeted @maggieNYT 03:24:36 Trump calls himself a "common sense conservative." Trump sounds so much like a practiced pol right now in this answer
03:25:22 Retweeted @davidaxelrod 03:25:12 Why is @realDonaldTrump walking himself into the eminent domain rabbit hole?
#GOPdebate
03:25:42 Retweeted @normative 03:25:25 Trump is bringing up Eminent Domain? This is the definition of an unforced error.
03:25:49 Retweeted @ComfortablySmug 03:25:38 Ahahaha why would Trump bring up eminent domain??? He tried to use it to rob a widow!!
03:26:14 Retweeted @MEPFuller 03:25:01 This "You have to have flexibility" answer from Trump вЂ” "I ~feel~ that I'm a conservative" вЂ” is an attack ad waiting to happen.
03:26:49 Talking about flexibility, compromise, making deals good for the general, not nowвЂ¦ WhoaвЂ¦ Trump flat out calling Cruz a liar!
03:27:29 Now a big Cruz/Trump battle. This debate is all out!
03:27:50 Retweeted @nycjim 03:27:38 Trump on Cruz: "You are the single biggest liarвЂ¦.This guy will say anythingвЂ¦He’s a nasty guy.вЂќ https://t.co/nKH8cRzpA3
03:28:13 Trump defending Planned Parenthood!!! Whoa! This is a Republican debate!
03:29:03 Trump is out of control tonight!!! Wow.
03:29:10 Retweeted @JamesPindell 03:28:48 That Trump just praised Planned Parenthood in any fashion ahead of the SC primary is going to be a thing #GOPDebate
03:30:34 They are finally attacking Trump, and Trump doesn’t know how to handle it. This is the most entertaining debate so far! Real fireworks!
03:30:48 Retweeted @kenrudin 03:30:33 I'm sorry, but this is the most childish, petulant Donald Trump I've seen in any debate so far. Dickerson allows Trump to interrupt at will
03:30:56 Retweeted @NishaChittal 03:30:32 Why do you lie? Why do you lie? Why do you lie? I know, you’re an adult. You’re an adult. #GOPDebate
03:31:13 Retweeted @JessicaValenti 03:30:08 Trump is so fucking red he's basically a floating hairpiece in front of that curtain #GOPDebate
03:31:24 Retweeted @lesleyclark 03:31:00 Out of control! "Weigh in on anything I want?" @marcorubio says as CBS turns to him, amid several candidate stage brawl #GOPDebate
03:32:02 Retweeted @yeselson 03:30:08 Trump is just way too hot tonight–I really think he's starting to realize he might win and it's freaking him out. He's blowing himself up.
03:33:52 Trump pointing out Bush didn’t keep us safe from 9/11, that Iraq was a mistake, & defending Planned Parenthood. Forgot which party this was!
03:34:11 Retweeted @daveweigel 03:33:53 I've learned not to say "X event was bad for Trump" but this debate shows you why everyone thinks he can beat him if the race goes 1-on-1.
03:35:13 Retweeted @PoliticalLine 03:34:55 Trump: Cruz is a liar
Bush: Trump is a liar
Rubio: Cruz is a liar

https://t.co/NrtKsUdqjn
03:35:39 Retweeted @ebruenig 03:34:48 mod: Say something politically incorrect
Carson: free college is a non-starter

mod: hmm i feel like you misunderstood the assignment
03:36:08 Retweeted @Oatmeal 03:35:49 So inspiring to see Trump and Cruz looking presidential as they scream at each other on national television
03:37:59 Retweeted @RadioFreeTom 03:37:51 "What about the profanity?"
"Go fuck yourself."

#GOPDebate
03:39:14 Trump promising to use profanity less is like @imbou making the same promise about our podcast. :-)
03:40:08 Retweeted @amyewalter 03:30:27 What would have happened had the other candidates actually attacked Trump in these early debates?
03:40:21 Scuse me JEB!
03:40:35 Retweeted @TheFix 03:40:25 This may make me a bad person but my god I love this debate.
03:41:07 Retweeted @stephenfhayes 03:39:10 Great moments in debate history: Trump mouthing F-you to point out that while he often uses profanity he didn't in that case. #gopdebate
03:41:48 Retweeted @politicalmath 03:41:34 Trump 2016: You're a fucking liar.
Shit, I'm not supposed to swear anymore.

You're a damn liar.

[to self] nice save
03:42:08 Retweeted @chucktodd 03:41:59 The only Bush who has held office that Trump hasn't attacked yet, I think, is Prescott Bush
03:42:38 Retweeted @McCormackJohn 03:42:12 People who follow politics a lot are used to Trump's unhinged moments, but debate audiences haven't seen 2-hour meltdown like this.
03:43:16 Retweeted @BerylAdcock 03:42:23 Jeb Bush looks like he's enjoying himself tonight. #GOPDebate
03:46:10 I think Trump may have hurt himself a bit with Rs tonight. But benefit split between the others. Makes things MORE MUDDLED going into SC/NV.
03:46:21 Retweeted @bennyjohnson 03:46:12 This debate is a —->
Good job @CBSNews. https://t.co/jDhe8QYdAW
03:46:33 Retweeted @DouthatNYT 03:46:15 The casual viewer sees a bunch of career politicians being heckled by a famous guy who seems to be telling at least *some* hard truths.
03:46:49 Retweeted @aedwardslevy 03:46:31 There's only one debate tonight, and it's the undercard debate
03:47:00 Retweeted @bobcesca_go 03:46:38 Seriously, the GOP frontrunner just pledged to not say "fuck" or "pussy" in public any more. #GOPDebate
03:48:20 Closing statements? Already? This one went so fast!
03:50:01 This whole debate was just completely unhinged. The most fun to watch yet, but wow, this is the best the GOP can do? That is really sad.
03:51:12 Retweeted @imbou 03:51:03 @abulsme yeah, we are both going to fail… in reply to abulsme
03:51:52 Retweeted @KevinMKruse 03:50:06 Ben Carson just cited a fake Stalin quote. Perfect.
https://t.co/Dvje7Im5aC
03:52:45 Retweeted @PoliticalLine 03:52:33 "Joseph Stalin once said: "go to ben carson dot com"
03:54:56 And we are doneвЂ¦
03:56:08 OK, very limited post NH polling in SC/NV still, but predict Trump drops slightly, everybody else up slightly. Even more confusion. Yay!
03:58:14 Retweeted @Shteyngart 03:56:43 It's time for the GOP to drop out of the race.
03:59:33 Retweeted @DrewCurtis 03:59:08 Jeb in the aftercredits was wandering the stage asking "please shake my hand" #GOPDebate #rly
03:59:46 Retweeted @baseballcrank 03:59:08 Trump imploded tonight, but at this point it's foolish to assume that melting down onstage is not what his supporters want.
04:00:04 Retweeted @MikeGrunwald 03:59:49 Trump tonight: W lied about Iraq, 9/11 was W's fault, Jeb is pathetic, Jeb is a liar, Cruz is a liar and everyone hates him. Go GOP!
04:01:36 OK, time to do other things for a bit. If you didn’t watch the debate live, this one is worth going & finding the stream and watching later.
04:36:39 Retweeted @imbou 04:20:44 @RadioFreeTom @abulsme now that sounds like something I would say! in reply to RadioFreeTom
04:54:05 Retweeted @aedwardslevy 04:45:53 Let's check in with Google to find out what people thought about the de– oh. https://t.co/73gyuZEyfZ
05:17:46 Reading – What was that? (@joshtpm) https://t.co/cVOVgCpbf0
05:34:14 Retweeted @Marty2634 05:18:19 @abulsme How are you? in reply to abulsme
05:35:32 .@Marty2634 Tired. Leaving for an 830 mile road trip in about 10 hours. Lots to do before then. But would rather sleep. :-) in reply to Marty2634
06:02:42 Retweeted @Marty2634 05:36:11 @abulsme I'll let you go then so you can get some sleep. Have a Good Road Trip. We'll chat another time in reply to abulsme
06:03:26 .@Marty2634 Thanks! Trying to decide if I stay up & do some things now, or squeeze them into the morning before I leave. Have a nice night! in reply to Marty2634
16:10:12 Retweeted @imbou 15:52:16 @abulsme the comments to your election graphs post continue to be just so insightful. I wish I could just make a book out of them!
16:10:50 .@imbou I wonder if I will get any Sanders folks riled up with the one I’m going to make shortly on superdelegates. :-) in reply to imbou
17:37:19 [Abulpost] Democrats: Superdelegates are real, and here are 42 more for Clinton https://t.co/lLYL3NLmPq
18:23:26 Surprise! Looks like Sen R's screwed up the pro forma sessions process. O could do recess appt if he does it NOW -> https://t.co/0ngsf1cFZJ
19:21:59 About to start my 830 mile road trip. Already late of course. Now my rear view mirror fell off the windshield. Good start!
19:30:50 Ok. Leaving on road trip. Waze says 12:10 wo/stops. Arriving right before midnight. Of course, there will be stops. 1st stop, fix mirror.
19:33:47 7:43 UTC ETA as I leave home.
20:58:22 Mirror fixed thanks to my lovely wife @scatterbrandy. New ETA 9:04 UTC with no stops. There will be stops. Lost about 1:15 to the fix.
22:57:02 Taking a break earlier than expected. Mirror fell off again when I made the mistake of adjusting it. :-/
23:48:58 Retweeted @imbou 23:47:58 @abulsme I told you to take a damn rental car! in reply to abulsme
23:49:46 .@imbou I like mine damn it! Well, if this time after the glue dries the damn mirror stays up for more than two hours. :-/ in reply to imbou
23:56:10 @imbou The waiting here 30 minutes for the glue to dry before rehanging the mirror is killing me. in reply to imbou

@abulsme tweets from 2016-02-13 (UTC)

00:10:44 Retweeted @GoldyHA 00:03:38 Have you subscribed to our podcast yet, and left an iTunes review? I mean, I ask so little!
https://t.co/PGU1Zf7iyp
00:14:16 .@GoldyHA Done! Well, subscribed anyway. Have you subscribed to ours? https://t.co/oGKzQgIAlj. :-) in reply to GoldyHA
01:27:51 Retweeted @jonlovett 2016-02-12 03:33:12 Kissinger looks down at the FEEL THE BERN shirt he wore to watch the debate. He sighs and turns off the TV. The room is silent. He is alone.
15:49:12 Retweeted @NWSAlbuquerque 15:45:20 Spring is just around the corner! #nmwx https://t.co/4qtRkz5HkM
15:51:54 Retweeted @Morning_Joe 2016-02-12 12:32:41 First look at new @tedcruz ad in SC targeting @HillaryClinton and lampooning classic 'Office Space' scene https://t.co/Mu1YI4KJZJ
19:30:44 Retweeted @fakedansavage 19:26:12 Thanks for the clarification. https://t.co/sj3nkRMMgZ
19:41:31 Watching – Roots: Official Trailer | Premieres Memorial Day 2016 (History) https://t.co/0eZ7sHpr8A
19:51:19 Retweeted @mulegirl 04:33:48 This photo of the back side of the moon is nuts. Let's all stop arguing about politics for a minute and look at it. https://t.co/1ouDsTcaaF
22:03:18 Retweeted @bobbycblanchard 22:02:25 Breaking: #SCOTUS Justice Scalia is dead, according to the governor's office and other reports. https://t.co/Rr52gfZpZo
22:04:43 Wow. Scalia dead? On a Dem President’s watch? Things are going to be absolute nutsвЂ¦
22:05:39 Retweeted @geoffreyvs 21:52:42 If Scalia has passed…damn is the campaign going to reach a new level of insanity. And good luck getting a new justice thru GOP Congress.
22:06:40 Retweeted @gwenifill 22:05:32 Hey Twitter. Everybody take a breath.
22:07:09 Retweeted @samsteinhp 22:03:12 Texas Governor Gregg Abbot confirms Justice Scalia’s passing https://t.co/2F3JxhZLq4
22:09:01 Retweeted @calmesnyt 22:04:57 Scalia dead, TX gov confirms. SCOTUS now a huge issue for presidential race & Senate v Obama. Conservatives already saying: no confirmation.
22:23:55 Retweeted @ShaneGoldmacher 22:16:42 Spokesman for Sen. Mike Lee, who sits on Judiciary Committee @conncarroll https://t.co/qMZ3t3KZr1
22:26:06 Retweeted @ScottOnPolitics 21:55:13 Step 1: Obama resigns.
Step 2: Biden nominates Obama
Step 3: Republicans lose their shit
22:27:33 Retweeted @greenfield64 22:21:28 There's no chance this Senate will confirm any Obama pick; but he'll almost surely send one up. Implications of a 4-4 court are enormous.
22:29:14 Retweeted @morninggloria 22:12:27 Whelp this election year just went from bananas to utterly fucking apeshit
22:41:00 Seeing lots of talk about recess appointments, but hasn’t the Senate avoided вЂњrealвЂќ recesses for years just to avoid those?
22:41:34 Retweeted @telisdemos 22:16:46 my political science sources say that for any decisions made but not handed down, Scalia's vote won't count
22:49:27 Retweeted @bindersab 22:48:56 It's been 25 yrs since Senate confirmed nominee by president of the opposing party. Far less polarized Senate then. https://t.co/nPRo4EuWob
22:54:31 Retweeted @WSJPolitics 22:45:22 Chief Justice John Roberts's statement announcing Justice Antonin Scalia's death. https://t.co/5dg2u9Ov2u
22:58:52 Retweeted @mshannabrooks 2016-02-10 00:13:35 Ok look I made a graphic so you can see how important this is. POTUS –> SCOTUS. https://t.co/b2JHPqEI2j

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