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October 2016
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Electoral College: Tighter and Wider at the Same Time

States with new poll data added since the last update: All 50 states, DC, and the Maine congressional districts.

Notable changes in: Florida (29), Pennsylvania (20), Arizona (11), Iowa (6), Kansas (6), Utah (6), Alaska (3), and the tipping point.

National Summary

It has been about five days since the last update. Since then the movement has been decidedly mixed.

Note that as of this update, no polls have been included that contain interviews done after the release of the “Comey Letter”.

Good for Trump:

  • The expected result has moved from a 130 EV Clinton win to only a 62 EV Clinton win
  • Clinton’s best case has declined from a 234 EV win to only a 216 EV win

Good for Clinton:

  • The tipping point moves from Clinton by 4.1% in PA to Clinton by 5.3% in PA
  • Trump’s best case declines from a 34 EV win to a 6 EV loss

Charts

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screen-shot-2016-10-31-at-21-57-53

Discussion

While some metrics have moved in Trump’s direction and others in Clinton’s, in the end this picture is bad news for Trump. Why is that? Fundamentally, doesn’t the fact that the “expected case” moved toward Trump mean that he is doing better?

Well, it means the margin he will lose by is getting smaller, yes. However, if you are trying to look for scenarios where Trump would actually catch up and win, the tipping point is what you want to be looking at. To win he has to move the tipping point state (or states he is even further behind in) over to his side of the line. And the tipping point is moving further away at the moment.

If you look at the tipping point chart you can see that Trump had indeed been making progress on the tipping point starting about when the Access Hollywood tape dropped. But that started to reverse around the 23rd. At the same time that his expected electoral college result was still improving.

This is still confusing. What is happening? Well, all the states aren’t moving in lock step in reaction to events. A number of close states have moved toward Trump, like Florida for instance. But key states like Pennsylvania have been moving away from him. Because of this divergence, we can have Trump improving his electoral college “score” while simultaneously the path to 270 electoral votes gets harder.

And in fact, at the moment, 270 looks out of reach for Trump. Look at the spectrum of the close states above. Right now Trump could win every state he is ahead in, then also pull over the states where he is close…  Nevada (0.4% Clinton lead), Iowa (1.5% Clinton lead), Maine CD2 (2.5% Clinton lead), and North Carolina (3.8% Clinton lead)…  and Trump would still lose by 6 electoral votes.

To win, Trump has to win all of the close states, plus Pennsylvania, where Clinton has a 5.3% lead at the moment… or one of the other larger “Strong Clinton” states… Wisconsin, Michigan, Colorado, Minnesota, or Virginia… all of which Clinton currently leads by even bigger margins. (New Hampshire isn’t enough to push Trump over the edge with only 4 EV.)

This is a really big pull with so little time left. The Trump side seems to be hanging their hopes on the fallout from the Comey Letter. This may cause some movement, but early indications are that almost all voters made up their minds on the Clinton email issue and if it mattered to them long long ago, and this is unlikely to change many minds.

We’ll start to see if there is any movement due to the letter within a few days. But there just are not that many days left. Sites that give odds for Trump winning range from less than 0.01% on the low side to 24.4% on the high side. The median odds seem to be around 5%. That isn’t impossible. But those odds are low enough that a Trump win would be a very big surprise.

There is another goal that Trump has a much better shot at though. If the election ends up exactly how things look today, Trump will lose by only 62 electoral votes. That would mean that Trump would do better than both McCain (lost by 192 EV) and Romney (lost by 126 EV). It may not be an actual win, but Trump improving on the performance of both previous Republican candidates may give the message to Republicans that a Trump like candidate in 2020 might be the way to go rather than returning to Romney or McCain style Republicanism.

We shall see.

8.1 days left until we start getting actual election results.

We are almost there.

State Details

The following are the detailed charts for all the states that influenced the national changes outlined above.

Moving from Clinton to Trump

chart-34

chart-35

Moving from Trump to Clinton

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Now a possible Clinton pickup

chart-37

Now out of Trump’s reach

chart-38

Now out of Clinton’s reach

chart-39

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Also influencing the tipping point

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A note about McMullin

Election Graphs is designed around showing the Republican – Democrat margin, and there is not enough time before the election to revamp the site to properly account for 3rd parties that are strong enough to have a shot at winning electoral votes.

Right now the Real Clear Politics average in Utah has McMullin 6.0% behind the lead. The 538 average in Utah has him 7.3% behind the lead. If/when McMullin is within 5% according to either of these averages, I will add notes to both the Utah and National pages about the possibility of McMullin winning Utah’s 6 electoral votes.

For more information…

This post is an update based on the data on ElectionGraphs.com. Election Graphs tracks a state poll based estimate of the Electoral College. All of the charts and graphs seen in this post are from that site. Additional graphs, charts and raw data can be found there. Follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter or like Election Graphs on Facebook to see announcements of updates or to join the conversation. For those interested in individual general election poll updates, follow @ElecCollPolls on Twitter for all the polls as they are added. If you find the information in these posts interesting or useful, please consider visiting the tip jar.

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-30 (UTC)

  • 14:55:57 Poll Added: Google w/3P in DC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 61.66% to Trump 11.14% https://t.co/WScN3hkDhR
  • 14:56:02 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in DC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 61.66% to Trump 11.14% to Johnson 7.40%
  • 14:58:40 Poll Added: Google w/3P in DE from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 34.21% to Trump 33.26% https://t.co/i4Ik7EeliF
  • 14:58:45 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in DE from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 34.21% to Trump 33.26% to Johnson 5.64%
  • 15:01:29 Poll Added: Google w/3P in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 36.07% to Trump 39.16% https://t.co/OMpRwZWT8N
  • 15:01:34 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 36.07% to Trump 39.16% to Johnson 5.71%
  • 15:03:00 Poll Added: Google w/3P in GA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 34.06% to Trump 40.40% https://t.co/r2mKFpfm4k
  • 15:03:05 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in GA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 34.06% to Trump 40.40% to Johnson 5.31%
  • 15:05:19 Poll Added: Google w/3P in HI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 46.73% to Trump 27.11% https://t.co/gSOu74ScWC
  • 15:05:24 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in HI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 46.73% to Trump 27.11% to Johnson 7.57%
  • 15:07:41 Poll Added: Google w/3P in IA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 40.17% to Trump 30.78% https://t.co/Q21vbCul1y
  • 15:07:46 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in IA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 40.17% to Trump 30.78% to Johnson 8.71%
  • 15:09:57 Poll Added: Google w/3P in ID from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 27.77% to Trump 37.57% https://t.co/1m4QLJlfp4
  • 15:10:02 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in ID from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 27.77% to Trump 37.57% to Johnson 6.67%
  • 15:12:14 Poll Added: Google w/3P in IL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 37.07% to Trump 30.39% https://t.co/tGP79bntcT
  • 15:12:19 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in IL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 37.07% to Trump 30.39% to Johnson 6.70%
  • 15:14:45 Poll Added: Google w/3P in IN from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 34.08% to Trump 33.95% https://t.co/fjaEGmMi1D
  • 15:14:50 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in IN from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 34.08% to Trump 33.95% to Johnson 7.47%
  • 15:18:04 Poll Added: Google w/3P in KS from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 36.26% to Trump 32.61% https://t.co/VpjxN40vW8
  • 15:18:09 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in KS from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 36.26% to Trump 32.61% to Johnson 9.20%
  • 15:20:59 Poll Added: Google w/3P in KY from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 33.81% to Trump 36.79% https://t.co/FopkjlJC5B
  • 15:21:04 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in KY from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 33.81% to Trump 36.79% to Johnson 9.40%
  • 15:23:42 Poll Added: Google w/3P in LA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 34.12% to Trump 44.79% https://t.co/22CwbWNw0n
  • 15:23:46 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in LA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 34.12% to Trump 44.79% to Johnson 6.36%
  • 15:25:56 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 50.28% to Trump 24.09% https://t.co/GOhHl9Xt9y
  • 15:26:01 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 50.28% to Trump 24.09% to Johnson 5.97%
  • 15:28:25 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MD from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 48.15% to Trump 26.00% https://t.co/Z9ubOjtkYO
  • 15:28:30 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MD from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 48.15% to Trump 26.00% to Johnson 5.74%
  • 15:32:30 Poll Added: Google w/3P in ME-All from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 46.47% to Trump 26.61% https://t.co/ZQdCbC0V8K
  • 15:32:35 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in ME-All from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 46.47% to Trump 26.61% to Johnson 7.57%
  • 15:32:59 Clinton vs Trump state category change: ME-All has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton https://t.co/ZQdCbC0V8K
  • 15:35:10 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 38.94% to Trump 32.42% https://t.co/SZbkkN5g67
  • 15:35:15 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 38.94% to Trump 32.42% to Johnson 6.06%
  • 15:37:42 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MN from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 36.63% to Trump 29.88% https://t.co/tLj4VWceWy
  • 15:37:47 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MN from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 36.63% to Trump 29.88% to Johnson 8.21%
  • 15:40:14 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MO from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 34.99% to Trump 36.54% https://t.co/Yh3icUnrOX
  • 15:40:19 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MO from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 34.99% to Trump 36.54% to Johnson 8.85%
  • 15:42:41 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MS from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 32.48% to Trump 46.54% https://t.co/UiTTArvp4u
  • 15:42:46 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MS from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 32.48% to Trump 46.54% to Johnson 4.59%
  • 15:43:10 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MS has moved from Strong Trump to Solid Trump https://t.co/UiTTArvp4u
  • 15:45:23 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MT from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 27.82% to Trump 38.99% https://t.co/v57NG6FzYr
  • 15:45:28 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MT from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 27.82% to Trump 38.99% to Johnson 7.51%
  • 15:47:58 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 35.52% to Trump 39.60% https://t.co/1hW478wnFO
  • 15:48:03 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 35.52% to Trump 39.60% to Johnson 5.85%
  • 15:51:19 Poll Added: Google w/3P in ND from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 19.80% to Trump 46.07% https://t.co/eYisjQ7pnN
  • 15:51:24 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in ND from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 19.80% to Trump 46.07% to Johnson 6.22%
  • 15:53:35 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NE-All from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 25.43% to Trump 46.87% https://t.co/bwzuXB67dK
  • 15:53:40 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NE-All from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 25.43% to Trump 46.87% to Johnson 7.41%
  • 15:56:37 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 29.52% to Trump 38.10% https://t.co/xGyFDAMDRa
  • 15:56:42 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 29.52% to Trump 38.10% to Johnson 5.36%
  • 16:22:57 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 5.1% in PA -> Clinton by 5% in NH https://t.co/CfRscKHsIx
  • 16:30:09 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NJ from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 43.94% to Trump 28.62% https://t.co/OjyKnLGOMn
  • 16:30:14 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NJ from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 43.94% to Trump 28.62% to Johnson 4.76%
  • 16:32:38 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NM from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 47.68% to Trump 23.64% https://t.co/n6Ec6NBR8y
  • 16:32:43 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NM from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 47.68% to Trump 23.64% to Johnson 11.78%
  • 16:33:05 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NM has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton https://t.co/n6Ec6NBR8y
  • 16:35:11 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 36.38% to Trump 33.18% https://t.co/MrSNqF5XOq
  • 16:35:16 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 36.38% to Trump 33.18% to Johnson 8.30%
  • 16:38:04 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NY from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 43.97% to Trump 29.08% https://t.co/lb7uIXolso
  • 16:38:08 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NY from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 43.97% to Trump 29.08% to Johnson 5.19%
  • 16:40:36 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 31.50% to Trump 37.21% https://t.co/iaUMXGpfFT
  • 16:40:41 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 31.50% to Trump 37.21% to Johnson 6.33%
  • 16:43:23 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OK from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 30.59% to Trump 40.34% https://t.co/HbRKdpK4Gj
  • 16:43:28 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OK from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 30.59% to Trump 40.34% to Johnson 8.99%
  • 16:46:49 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OR from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 48.72% to Trump 25.47% https://t.co/KDO5QlKv67
  • 16:46:54 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OR from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 48.72% to Trump 25.47% to Johnson 6.31%
  • 16:49:52 Poll Added: Google w/3P in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 39.02% to Trump 38.79% https://t.co/fvdj6EwM88
  • 16:49:57 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 39.02% to Trump 38.79% to Johnson 5.53%
  • 16:50:16 Clinton vs Trump state category change: PA has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton https://t.co/fvdj6EwM88
  • 17:12:21 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 5% in NH -> Clinton by 4.5% in PA https://t.co/tvX6Aim7Rd
  • 17:12:22 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 272 to Trump 266 -> Clinton 252 to Trump 286 https://t.co/tvX6Aim7Rd
  • 17:32:30 Poll Added: Google w/3P in RI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 46.65% to Trump 28.26% https://t.co/fctZlDSEvT
  • 17:32:35 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in RI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 46.65% to Trump 28.26% to Johnson 7.94%
  • 17:35:43 Poll Added: Google w/3P in SC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 30.14% to Trump 40.94% https://t.co/4lYhFagRMs
  • 17:35:48 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in SC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 30.14% to Trump 40.94% to Johnson 6.97%
  • 17:39:00 Poll Added: Google w/3P in SD from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 29.92% to Trump 41.88% https://t.co/6JTK4tgZRV
  • 17:39:05 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in SD from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 29.92% to Trump 41.88% to Johnson 7.53%
  • 17:43:12 Poll Added: Google w/3P in TN from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 27.65% to Trump 43.80% https://t.co/nVkDiuEJbu
  • 17:43:17 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in TN from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 27.65% to Trump 43.80% to Johnson 5.45%
  • 17:45:33 Poll Added: Google w/3P in TX from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 30.24% to Trump 43.55% https://t.co/eg8goaPHcT
  • 17:45:38 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in TX from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 30.24% to Trump 43.55% to Johnson 7.46%
  • 17:48:05 Poll Added: Google w/3P in UT from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 32.77% to Trump 25.20% https://t.co/2b7AYrk10F
  • 17:48:10 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in UT from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 32.77% to Trump 25.20% to Johnson 6.33%
  • 17:50:38 Poll Added: Google w/3P in VA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 43.11% to Trump 31.39% https://t.co/GDvgjGFRsP
  • 17:50:43 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in VA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 43.11% to Trump 31.39% to Johnson 7.69%
  • 17:52:40 Poll Added: Google w/3P in VT from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 55.01% to Trump 14.83% https://t.co/LFreiDRgGK
  • 17:52:45 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in VT from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 55.01% to Trump 14.83% to Johnson 8.95%
  • 17:54:43 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 45.25% to Trump 28.98% https://t.co/Xox0WbMGHx
  • 17:54:48 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 45.25% to Trump 28.98% to Johnson 6.55%
  • 17:56:47 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 41.78% to Trump 27.01% https://t.co/Jop4iHv8bW
  • 17:56:53 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 41.78% to Trump 27.01% to Johnson 6.39%
  • 17:59:19 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 24.58% to Trump 47.56% https://t.co/4lwLBYefQS
  • 17:59:25 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 24.58% to Trump 47.56% to Johnson 7.45%
  • 18:01:59 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WY from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 20.80% to Trump 52.80% https://t.co/7LseWMaDoR
  • 18:02:04 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WY from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 20.80% to Trump 52.80% to Johnson 9.51%
  • 18:10:46 Poll Added: WSAC w/3P in WY from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 20% to Trump 58% https://t.co/pUiwywZeay
  • 18:10:51 Full 3P results: WSAC w/3P in WY from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 20% to Trump 58% to Johnson 9%
  • 18:18:47 Poll Added: Victory w/4P in IL from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-18 – Clinton 51.2% to Trump 36.1% https://t.co/AJc6GvSMYI
  • 18:18:52 Full 4P results: Victory w/4P in IL from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-18 – Clinton 51.2% to Trump 36.1% to Johnson 5.6% to Stein 1.8%
  • 18:23:34 Poll Added: Lucid w/4P in NC from 2016-10-17 to 2016-10-18 – Clinton 42% to Trump 41% https://t.co/XseTZfWAy1
  • 18:23:39 Full 4P results: Lucid w/4P in NC from 2016-10-17 to 2016-10-18 – Clinton 42% to Trump 41% to Johnson 8% to Stein 2%
  • 18:25:27 Poll Added: Lucid w/4P in FL from 2016-10-17 to 2016-10-18 – Clinton 45% to Trump 39% https://t.co/U8Q4SMniiM
  • 18:25:32 Full 4P results: Lucid w/4P in FL from 2016-10-17 to 2016-10-18 – Clinton 45% to Trump 39% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
  • 18:27:38 Poll Added: Lucid w/4P in VA from 2016-10-17 to 2016-10-18 – Clinton 43% to Trump 38% https://t.co/6HCNIP1mt2
  • 18:27:43 Full 4P results: Lucid w/4P in VA from 2016-10-17 to 2016-10-18 – Clinton 43% to Trump 38% to Johnson 9% to Stein 3%
  • 18:29:28 Poll Added: Lucid w/4P in GA from 2016-10-17 to 2016-10-18 – Clinton 44% to Trump 40% https://t.co/7aU1tgyQR8
  • 18:29:33 Full 4P results: Lucid w/4P in GA from 2016-10-17 to 2016-10-18 – Clinton 44% to Trump 40% to Johnson 8% to Stein 1%
  • 19:32:32 Poll Added: Marist LV [4] in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 46% https://t.co/hmJxqezs3A
  • 19:35:43 Poll Added: Marist RV [4] in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 45% to Trump 45% https://t.co/gT62xkegii
  • 19:37:08 Poll Added: Marist LV w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 45% to Trump 44% https://t.co/1KBsZ4whWP
  • 19:37:13 Full 4P results: Marist LV w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 45% to Trump 44% to Johnson 5% to Stein 2%
  • 19:39:39 Poll Added: Marist RV w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 44% to Trump 42% https://t.co/h5nnXgIsnT
  • 19:39:44 Full 4P results: Marist RV w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 44% to Trump 42% to Johnson 5% to Stein 2%
  • 19:42:56 Poll Added: Marist LV [4] in NC from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 50% to Trump 44% https://t.co/3G3JTGghDP
  • 19:44:17 Poll Added: Marist RV [4] in NC from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 48% to Trump 43% https://t.co/GZrmvMLLOn
  • 19:45:44 Poll Added: Marist LV w/3P [4] in NC from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 47% to Trump 41% https://t.co/Yg6qB30WFX
  • 19:45:48 Full 3P results: Marist LV w/3P [4] in NC from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 47% to Trump 41% to Johnson 8%
  • 19:46:58 Poll Added: Marist RV w/3P [4] in NC from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 40% https://t.co/lbH5pL6yuB
  • 19:47:03 Full 3P results: Marist RV w/3P [4] in NC from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 40% to Johnson 9%
  • 19:56:36 Poll Added: Craciun w/4P [2] in AK from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 36% to Trump 33% https://t.co/ouSetNS2NF
  • 19:56:41 Full 4P results: Craciun w/4P [2] in AK from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 36% to Trump 33% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
  • 19:58:55 Poll Added: Craciun w/Lean w/4P [2] in AK from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 47% to Trump 43% https://t.co/STC27UGTFm
  • 19:59:00 Full 4P results: Craciun w/Lean w/4P [2] in AK from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 47% to Trump 43% to Johnson 7% to Stein 3%
  • 20:14:20 Poll Added: Siena w/4P in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 42% to Trump 46% https://t.co/aNUM79ryYz
  • 20:14:25 Full 4P results: Siena w/4P in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 42% to Trump 46% to Johnson 4% to Stein 2%
  • 20:20:42 Poll Added: Hinckley w/4P in UT from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 24% to Trump 32% https://t.co/FyObR8z0YD
  • 20:20:47 Full 4P results: Hinckley w/4P in UT from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-27 – Clinton 24% to Trump 32% to Johnson 4% to Stein 1%
  • 20:22:53 The Hinckley UT poll also has McMullin at 30%. For info on how @ElectionGraphs is treating McMullin see note on https://t.co/bSMImSxnRH in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 20:31:10 Poll Added: UNH w/4P in ME-All from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 48% to Trump 37% https://t.co/z2bngu7sEl
  • 20:31:15 Full 4P results: UNH w/4P in ME-All from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 48% to Trump 37% to Johnson 5% to Stein 3%
  • 20:34:45 Poll Added: UNH w/4P in ME-CD1 from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 54% to Trump 34% https://t.co/Vnux3XeJOQ
  • 20:34:50 Full 4P results: UNH w/4P in ME-CD1 from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 54% to Trump 34% to Johnson 4% to Stein 1%
  • 20:37:08 Poll Added: UNH w/4P in ME-CD2 from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 43% to Trump 40% https://t.co/8XLoeqjh8C
  • 20:37:13 Full 4P results: UNH w/4P in ME-CD2 from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 43% to Trump 40% to Johnson 6% to Stein 4%
  • 20:42:58 Poll Added: Gravis w/4P in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 48% to Trump 47% https://t.co/V7G0b3GKUd
  • 20:43:04 Full 4P results: Gravis w/4P in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 48% to Trump 47% to Johnson 1% to Stein 0%
  • 20:50:43 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 42% to Trump 44% https://t.co/yp9wCY8Y5a
  • 20:50:48 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 42% to Trump 44% to Johnson 4% to Stein 1%
  • 20:51:08 Clinton vs Trump state category change: AZ has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Clinton https://t.co/yp9wCY8Y5a
  • 21:11:52 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 300 to Trump 238 -> Clinton 311 to Trump 227 https://t.co/PwlhnBbwsd
  • 21:14:36 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in CO from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 42% to Trump 39% https://t.co/oG8Kp06aPB
  • 21:14:42 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in CO from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 42% to Trump 39% to Johnson 7% to Stein 2%
  • 21:18:44 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in NC from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 48% to Trump 45% https://t.co/re0jxxus6z
  • 21:18:49 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in NC from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 48% to Trump 45% to Johnson 3% to Stein 0%
  • 21:21:42 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in PA from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 48% to Trump 40% https://t.co/iKJlTSdu1A
  • 21:21:47 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in PA from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 48% to Trump 40% to Johnson 5% to Stein 2%
  • 21:22:05 Clinton vs Trump state category change: PA has moved from Weak Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/iKJlTSdu1A
  • 21:51:37 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 4.5% in PA -> Clinton by 5% in NH https://t.co/gV6a2awtiV
  • 21:51:38 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 252 to Trump 286 -> Clinton 272 to Trump 266 https://t.co/gV6a2awtiV
  • 22:30:38 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in AL from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 38.3% to Trump 54.4% https://t.co/Q1Z4khOgmZ
  • 22:30:43 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in AL from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 38.3% to Trump 54.4% to Johnson 4.3% to Stein 1.4%
  • 22:33:05 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in AK from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 37.2% to Trump 49.7% https://t.co/nJnGwIk1Qh
  • 22:33:10 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in AK from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 37.2% to Trump 49.7% to Johnson 7.3% to Stein 3.0%
  • 22:35:27 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 41.1% to Trump 49.4% https://t.co/tlgsbVrOHU
  • 22:35:32 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 41.1% to Trump 49.4% to Johnson 5.4% to Stein 2.3%
  • 22:35:50 Clinton vs Trump state category change: AZ has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump https://t.co/tlgsbVrOHU
  • 23:11:23 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 311 to Trump 227 -> Clinton 300 to Trump 238 https://t.co/P2omCEJ9jk
  • 23:13:18 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in AR from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 37.3% to Trump 53.8% https://t.co/oTWlVkngWe
  • 23:13:23 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in AR from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 37.3% to Trump 53.8% to Johnson 5.1% to Stein 2.1%
  • 23:15:43 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in CA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 55.9% to Trump 34.7% https://t.co/xYBVMZPkKv
  • 23:15:48 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in CA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 55.9% to Trump 34.7% to Johnson 4.3% to Stein 3.3%
  • 23:18:33 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in CO from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 47.4% to Trump 43.7% https://t.co/1XZxhlH0Bn
  • 23:18:38 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in CO from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 47.4% to Trump 43.7% to Johnson 5.0% to Stein 2.1%
  • 23:21:19 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in CT from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 53.0% to Trump 39.7% https://t.co/pvF4nn25F8
  • 23:21:24 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in CT from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 53.0% to Trump 39.7% to Johnson 4.3% to Stein 2.0%
  • 23:23:42 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in DE from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 51.3% to Trump 41.5% https://t.co/ntidHuZM6k
  • 23:23:47 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in DE from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 51.3% to Trump 41.5% to Johnson 4.1% to Stein 1.9%
  • 23:24:07 Clinton vs Trump state category change: DE has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/ntidHuZM6k
  • 23:25:46 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in DC from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 85.3% to Trump 8.9% https://t.co/b06bu9S1VE
  • 23:25:51 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in DC from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 85.3% to Trump 8.9% to Johnson 2.8% to Stein 1.8%
  • 23:28:09 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in FL from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 47.0% to Trump 47.6% https://t.co/8pHFd73FpY
  • 23:28:14 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in FL from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 47.0% to Trump 47.6% to Johnson 2.9% to Stein 1.4%
  • 23:29:57 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in GA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 46.8% to Trump 47.0% https://t.co/2BMJBOQdH6
  • 23:30:02 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in GA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 46.8% to Trump 47.0% to Johnson 3.4% to Stein 1.0%
  • 23:33:02 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in HI from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 59.1% to Trump 31.3% https://t.co/nYYlhb5gpU
  • 23:33:07 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in HI from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 59.1% to Trump 31.3% to Johnson 4.2% to Stein 3.4%
  • 23:35:26 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in ID from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 32.0% to Trump 55.5% https://t.co/tfWMyhDLD3
  • 23:35:31 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in ID from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 32.0% to Trump 55.5% to Johnson 5.6% to Stein 1.8%
  • 23:38:17 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in IL from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 53.8% to Trump 38.2% https://t.co/7FTNCBSu4C
  • 23:38:22 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in IL from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 53.8% to Trump 38.2% to Johnson 3.9% to Stein 2.5%
  • 23:40:20 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in IN from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 39.4% to Trump 51.5% https://t.co/hznVUtj7PQ
  • 23:40:25 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in IN from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 39.4% to Trump 51.5% to Johnson 5.7% to Stein 1.3%
  • 23:42:39 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in IA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 45.7% to Trump 44.7% https://t.co/cCyGo7cRGD
  • 23:42:44 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in IA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 45.7% to Trump 44.7% to Johnson 5.5% to Stein 2.2%
  • 23:45:21 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in KS from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 36.3% to Trump 55.1% https://t.co/v0ZBRImI9F
  • 23:45:26 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in KS from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 36.3% to Trump 55.1% to Johnson 5.0% to Stein 1.8%
  • 23:48:05 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in KY from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 35.3% to Trump 57.3% https://t.co/TcNyO1mEQm
  • 23:48:10 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in KY from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 35.3% to Trump 57.3% to Johnson 4.0% to Stein 1.6%
  • 23:50:40 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in LA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 42.2% to Trump 49.8% https://t.co/m3qyXkXpnj
  • 23:50:45 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in LA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 42.2% to Trump 49.8% to Johnson 4.7% to Stein 1.5%
  • 23:53:13 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in ME-All from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 49.4% to Trump 41.8% https://t.co/7zaCOhpPt7
  • 23:53:18 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in ME-All from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 49.4% to Trump 41.8% to Johnson 4.6% to Stein 2.5%
  • 23:56:12 Poll Added: YouGov EM w/4P in MD from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 58.8% to Trump 34.3% https://t.co/LIxraggCbm
  • 23:56:17 Full 4P results: YouGov EM w/4P in MD from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 58.8% to Trump 34.3% to Johnson 3.2% to Stein 2.1%

@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-30 (UTC)

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-10-29 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-29 (UTC)

  • 02:12:41 Poll Added: Quinnipiac w/3P [2] in GA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 43% to Trump 44% https://t.co/cR8c45AFcF
  • 02:12:46 Full 3P results: Quinnipiac w/3P [2] in GA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 43% to Trump 44% to Johnson 8%
  • 02:14:09 Poll Added: Quinnipiac [2] in GA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 46% https://t.co/zcC2Z7MOvV
  • 02:18:11 Poll Added: Quinnipiac w/4P [2] in IA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 44% to Trump 44% https://t.co/P7CmeuvTpi
  • 02:18:16 Full 4P results: Quinnipiac w/4P [2] in IA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 44% to Trump 44% to Johnson 4% to Stein 1%
  • 02:19:41 Poll Added: Quinnipiac [2] in IA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 47% https://t.co/pCtbGg7NsY
  • 02:24:03 Poll Added: Quinnipiac w/3P [2] in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 47% to Trump 44% https://t.co/fEebYpYEfX
  • 02:24:09 Full 3P results: Quinnipiac w/3P [2] in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 47% to Trump 44% to Johnson 5%
  • 02:25:14 Poll Added: Quinnipiac [2] in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 50% to Trump 44% https://t.co/pw5pNqJoO6
  • 02:28:00 Poll Added: Quinnipiac w/4P [2] in VA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 50% to Trump 38% https://t.co/Cak6Bgxwbj
  • 02:28:05 Full 4P results: Quinnipiac w/4P [2] in VA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 50% to Trump 38% to Johnson 4% to Stein 2%
  • 02:29:13 Poll Added: Quinnipiac [2] in VA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 53% to Trump 40% https://t.co/rjSEyQxmRI
  • 02:35:39 Poll Added: Remington in MO from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 39% to Trump 50% https://t.co/rS6MQxZydU
  • 02:39:50 Poll Added: Suffolk w/4P in MA from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 57% to Trump 25% https://t.co/zUJHvbjBJS
  • 02:39:55 Full 4P results: Suffolk w/4P in MA from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 57% to Trump 25% to Johnson 4% to Stein 3%
  • 02:44:24 Poll Added: Zia w/4P in NM from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 45% to Trump 40% https://t.co/uiGcucMLro
  • 02:44:29 Full 4P results: Zia w/4P in NM from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 45% to Trump 40% to Johnson 9% to Stein 2%
  • 02:47:37 Poll Added: Rasmussen w/3P in ID from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 29% to Trump 48% https://t.co/RyZb6sba81
  • 02:47:42 Full 3P results: Rasmussen w/3P in ID from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 29% to Trump 48% to Johnson 6%
  • 03:14:50 About to start entering data from the SurveyMonkey Electoral Map. As with YouGov, they update daily, but I will only include 1 per week. 1/5
  • 03:15:10 I will start with the one released the 28th rather than the two older releases. I expect to also use the data released on Nov 4th. 2/5 in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 03:15:24 Since SurveyMonkey doesn’t show historical numbers on their site ( https://t.co/5pURQVMxQC ) I’ll be linking to 538’s logged data. 3/5 in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 03:15:38 Also, SurveyMonkey gives RV, LV, and Turnout Adjusted LV. Since 538 logs the Turnout Adjusted version, that is the one I will use. 4/5 in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 03:15:51 Finally, SM polls with 3rd parties but does not show #s on their own map, but since 538 shows Johnson #s I will include those. 5/5 in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 03:22:31 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in AL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 36% to Trump 53% https://t.co/0fv6hzcUN9
  • 03:22:36 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in AL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 36% to Trump 53% to Johnson 6%
  • 03:24:54 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in AK from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 33% to Trump 45% https://t.co/hgOxfrRoQU
  • 03:24:59 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in AK from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 33% to Trump 45% to Johnson 16%
  • 03:27:22 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in AZ from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 42% to Trump 43% https://t.co/QuwSIfioot
  • 03:27:27 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in AZ from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 42% to Trump 43% to Johnson 9%
  • 03:30:03 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in AR from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 36% to Trump 52% https://t.co/4rpO9a8hvt
  • 03:30:08 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in AR from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 36% to Trump 52% to Johnson 6%
  • 03:37:18 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in CA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 54% to Trump 31% https://t.co/b5liptqi8j
  • 03:37:23 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in CA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 54% to Trump 31% to Johnson 7%
  • 03:39:18 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in CO from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 45% to Trump 38% https://t.co/UnRJmM4pmj
  • 03:39:22 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in CO from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 45% to Trump 38% to Johnson 11%
  • 03:42:42 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in CT from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 51% to Trump 38% https://t.co/ej7I3N1GZz
  • 03:42:47 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in CT from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 51% to Trump 38% to Johnson 6%
  • 03:45:27 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in DE from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 52% to Trump 36% https://t.co/kJiyyccLy5
  • 03:45:32 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in DE from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 52% to Trump 36% to Johnson 7%
  • 03:48:29 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in DC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 87% to Trump 5% https://t.co/iRxeQbbaAF
  • 03:48:34 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in DC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 87% to Trump 5% to Johnson 4%
  • 03:51:52 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 47% to Trump 44% https://t.co/YCLkEc4n8n
  • 03:51:57 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 47% to Trump 44% to Johnson 5%
  • 03:54:13 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in GA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 44% to Trump 45% https://t.co/CUS5IcXz7E
  • 03:54:18 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in GA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 44% to Trump 45% to Johnson 8%
  • 03:56:59 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in HI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 49% to Trump 31% https://t.co/07wsCgzQr2
  • 03:57:04 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in HI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 49% to Trump 31% to Johnson 8%
  • 04:00:19 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in ID from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 29% to Trump 48% https://t.co/LYgnHqsQiT
  • 04:00:24 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in ID from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 29% to Trump 48% to Johnson 15%
  • 04:03:16 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in IL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 51% to Trump 34% https://t.co/iORor4uR8v
  • 04:03:21 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in IL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 51% to Trump 34% to Johnson 8%
  • 04:07:38 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in IN from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 36% to Trump 50% https://t.co/NzbxfFXcvQ
  • 04:07:43 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in IN from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 36% to Trump 50% to Johnson 12%
  • 04:11:37 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in IA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 41% to Trump 44% https://t.co/FoF88sl4iQ
  • 04:11:42 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in IA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 41% to Trump 44% to Johnson 9%
  • 04:11:58 Clinton vs Trump state category change: IA has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Clinton https://t.co/FoF88sl4iQ
  • 04:44:58 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 305 to Trump 233 -> Clinton 311 to Trump 227 https://t.co/f7snhazBAS
  • 14:46:41 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in KS from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 36% to Trump 47% https://t.co/FsLE3dQ7vM
  • 14:46:46 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in KS from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 36% to Trump 47% to Johnson 12%
  • 14:47:04 Clinton vs Trump state category change: KS has moved from Weak Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/FsLE3dQ7vM
  • 15:07:04 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 386 to Trump 152 -> Clinton 380 to Trump 158 https://t.co/Qe6pVh4pcS
  • 15:16:30 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in KY from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 30% to Trump 61% https://t.co/JmM3NgbBDg
  • 15:16:35 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in KY from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 30% to Trump 61% to Johnson 7%
  • 15:18:57 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in LA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 37% to Trump 54% https://t.co/t1QCM8e7Yu
  • 15:19:02 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in LA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 37% to Trump 54% to Johnson 5%
  • 15:22:56 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in ME-All from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 51% to Trump 36% https://t.co/s3vnIWHPNM
  • 15:23:01 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in ME-All from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 51% to Trump 36% to Johnson 7%
  • 15:25:25 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in MD from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 62% to Trump 27% https://t.co/UCoxuXAXmd
  • 15:25:30 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in MD from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 62% to Trump 27% to Johnson 7%
  • 15:28:05 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in MA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 60% to Trump 29% https://t.co/XghaIMMwxp
  • 15:28:10 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in MA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 60% to Trump 29% to Johnson 5%
  • 15:31:28 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in MI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 44% to Trump 41% https://t.co/By3eNOk0Sj
  • 15:31:33 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in MI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 44% to Trump 41% to Johnson 8%
  • 15:36:23 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in MN from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 47% to Trump 37% https://t.co/P6a8OJzDH5
  • 15:36:28 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in MN from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 47% to Trump 37% to Johnson 9%
  • 15:39:17 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in MS from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 42% to Trump 49% https://t.co/5ZQjFVdj7t
  • 15:39:23 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in MS from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 42% to Trump 49% to Johnson 5%
  • 15:45:45 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in MO from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 37% to Trump 48% https://t.co/Vf8KKhhECQ
  • 15:45:50 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in MO from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 37% to Trump 48% to Johnson 10%
  • 15:48:00 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in MT from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 35% to Trump 51% https://t.co/BEth58uHuC
  • 15:48:05 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in MT from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 35% to Trump 51% to Johnson 9%
  • 15:57:58 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in NE-All from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 32% to Trump 53% https://t.co/OrNuqwS5hU
  • 15:58:03 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in NE-All from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 32% to Trump 53% to Johnson 9%
  • 16:01:27 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in NV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 43% to Trump 44% https://t.co/CbWsnXgIAL
  • 16:01:34 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in NV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 43% to Trump 44% to Johnson 11%
  • 16:08:03 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in NH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 48% to Trump 36% https://t.co/POQ3js6OEC
  • 16:08:08 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in NH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 48% to Trump 36% to Johnson 11%
  • 16:10:32 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in NJ from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 54% to Trump 34% https://t.co/8lAleWEWCY
  • 16:10:37 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in NJ from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 54% to Trump 34% to Johnson 4%
  • 16:13:15 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in NM from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 43% to Trump 35% https://t.co/VTJetURANm
  • 16:13:20 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in NM from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 43% to Trump 35% to Johnson 19%
  • 16:13:41 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NM has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/VTJetURANm
  • 16:18:59 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in NY from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 57% to Trump 32% https://t.co/YJzSn1nvsn
  • 16:19:04 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in NY from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 57% to Trump 32% to Johnson 4%
  • 16:22:13 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 48% to Trump 43% https://t.co/nZUiLOSaVh
  • 16:22:18 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 48% to Trump 43% to Johnson 7%
  • 16:24:13 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in ND from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 31% to Trump 54% https://t.co/PygyweD2xL
  • 16:24:20 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in ND from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 31% to Trump 54% to Johnson 10%
  • 16:27:20 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in OH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 40% to Trump 45% https://t.co/zL1rJKobaa
  • 16:27:25 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in OH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 40% to Trump 45% to Johnson 9%
  • 16:29:57 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in OK from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 30% to Trump 57% https://t.co/0Xw2UySk2s
  • 16:30:02 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in OK from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 30% to Trump 57% to Johnson 10%
  • 16:32:26 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in OR from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 50% to Trump 35% https://t.co/tCV4kaM8eR
  • 16:32:32 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in OR from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 50% to Trump 35% to Johnson 8%
  • 16:35:05 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 47% to Trump 42% https://t.co/6Cnpqxr4ll
  • 16:35:10 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 47% to Trump 42% to Johnson 6%
  • 17:06:44 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 5.6% in PA -> Clinton by 5.4% in PA https://t.co/xCuxHPq4Am
  • 17:41:30 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in RI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 48% to Trump 37% https://t.co/PA8ddEBf8N
  • 17:41:35 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in RI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 48% to Trump 37% to Johnson 8%
  • 17:44:34 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in SC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 43% to Trump 46% https://t.co/iLOaqfd32T
  • 17:44:39 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in SC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 43% to Trump 46% to Johnson 6%
  • 17:46:56 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in SD from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 30% to Trump 53% https://t.co/IAHpc3R9qv
  • 17:47:01 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in SD from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 30% to Trump 53% to Johnson 11%
  • 17:49:14 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in TN from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 38% to Trump 51% https://t.co/hmeck6zSVq
  • 17:49:19 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in TN from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 38% to Trump 51% to Johnson 6%
  • 17:52:06 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in TX from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 40% to Trump 47% https://t.co/jMO1q9TWlx
  • 17:52:11 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in TX from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 40% to Trump 47% to Johnson 8%
  • 17:57:41 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in UT from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 30% to Trump 33% https://t.co/2dEluE85aV
  • 17:57:46 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in UT from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 30% to Trump 33% to Johnson 7%
  • 18:03:00 Note McMullin also in the SurveyMonkey EM UT poll. He got 27%. See note in https://t.co/bSMImSxnRH for how @ElectionGraphs treats him. in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 18:05:10 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in VT from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 53% to Trump 25% https://t.co/CNBlXRkFgn
  • 18:05:15 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in VT from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 53% to Trump 25% to Johnson 9%
  • 18:08:29 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in VA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 49% to Trump 39% https://t.co/av7iP0U37d
  • 18:08:34 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in VA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 49% to Trump 39% to Johnson 8%
  • 18:11:52 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in WA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 52% to Trump 34% https://t.co/LlGC7s1gMG
  • 18:11:57 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in WA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 52% to Trump 34% to Johnson 9%
  • 18:14:31 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in WV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 28% to Trump 61% https://t.co/eAgs9i92lt
  • 18:14:36 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in WV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 28% to Trump 61% to Johnson 6%
  • 18:24:43 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in WI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 43% to Trump 42% https://t.co/idXSfy5Knk
  • 18:24:48 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in WI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 43% to Trump 42% to Johnson 8%
  • 18:27:39 Poll Added: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in WY from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 24% to Trump 60% https://t.co/BbjoMnWuTj
  • 18:27:44 Full 3P results: SurveyMonkey EM w/3P in WY from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-28 – Clinton 24% to Trump 60% to Johnson 9%
  • 18:33:13 Poll Added: CVoter in AL from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 37.3% to Trump 57.8% https://t.co/dFF5X7f5g6
  • 18:34:51 Poll Added: CVoter in AK from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 41.0% to Trump 54.5% https://t.co/eoAFQQnCsX
  • 18:35:14 Clinton vs Trump state category change: AK has moved from Strong Trump to Solid Trump https://t.co/eoAFQQnCsX
  • 18:37:45 Poll Added: CVoter in AZ from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 43.7% to Trump 50.9% https://t.co/xMgLOm3DmU
  • 18:38:05 Clinton vs Trump state category change: AZ has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump https://t.co/xMgLOm3DmU
  • 19:01:40 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 311 to Trump 227 -> Clinton 300 to Trump 238 https://t.co/bCmD3YF1Vd
  • 19:24:14 Poll Added: CVoter in AR from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 36.8% to Trump 57.5% https://t.co/vLYIzgdpvU
  • 19:33:56 Poll Added: CVoter in CA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 58.1% to Trump 37.7% https://t.co/lKVZFkAB2B
  • 19:36:53 Poll Added: CVoter in CO from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 49.9% to Trump 45.2% https://t.co/bjUwBae8kY
  • 19:38:56 Poll Added: CVoter in CT from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 54.6% to Trump 42.0% https://t.co/JEvxXnJZAw
  • 19:41:51 Poll Added: CVoter in DE from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 55.7% to Trump 41.5% https://t.co/Vahbk2Hscn
  • 19:44:09 Poll Added: CVoter in FL from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 48.8% to Trump 46.5% https://t.co/dkkBTfq73L
  • 19:46:17 Poll Added: CVoter in GA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 46.0% to Trump 48.3% https://t.co/XVf2vumYwf
  • 19:48:56 Poll Added: CVoter in HI from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 65.2% to Trump 32.0% https://t.co/ofAGnLDvRS
  • 19:51:16 Poll Added: CVoter in ID from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 35.0% to Trump 59.4% https://t.co/nT4euqKjQX
  • 20:35:26 Poll Added: CVoter in IL from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 55.7% to Trump 40.3% https://t.co/mlwGz86ERr
  • 20:40:11 Poll Added: CVoter in IN from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 42.7% to Trump 53.4% https://t.co/v5Iv32afuI
  • 20:42:10 Poll Added: CVoter in IA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 48.6% to Trump 47.8% https://t.co/x9ZyKEaCMA
  • 20:43:57 Poll Added: CVoter in KS from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 39.4% to Trump 55.8% https://t.co/ggv6ebzqJd
  • 20:46:22 Poll Added: CVoter in KY from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 38.0% to Trump 58.0% https://t.co/2DjqSwRj2z
  • 20:48:46 Poll Added: CVoter in LA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 40.5% to Trump 55.3% https://t.co/dxYGywUg4W
  • 20:51:37 Poll Added: CVoter in ME-All from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 55.2% to Trump 41.5% https://t.co/VNpslUaHWD
  • 20:53:59 Poll Added: CVoter in MD from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 58.1% to Trump 37.8% https://t.co/Xumun9EM5L
  • 20:56:51 Poll Added: CVoter in MA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 58.3% to Trump 38.6% https://t.co/WqCcdxWHgH
  • 20:59:24 Poll Added: CVoter in MI from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 51.3% to Trump 45.0% https://t.co/ErA076rlEc
  • 21:01:57 Poll Added: CVoter in MN from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 50.1% to Trump 46.6% https://t.co/hrhIl4Ij4X
  • 21:04:49 Poll Added: CVoter in MS from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 42.0% to Trump 54.2% https://t.co/QFdmFEpPg3
  • 21:05:10 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MS has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/QFdmFEpPg3
  • 21:07:33 Poll Added: CVoter in MO from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 44.2% to Trump 52.0% https://t.co/n7jBicznkp
  • 21:09:43 Poll Added: CVoter in MT from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 40.7% to Trump 54.7% https://t.co/UFy8UGuTfn
  • 21:10:05 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MT has moved from Strong Trump to Solid Trump https://t.co/UFy8UGuTfn
  • 21:13:21 Poll Added: CVoter in NE-All from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 38.2% to Trump 57.9% https://t.co/1uEWrig3Hb
  • 21:15:37 Poll Added: CVoter in NV from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 48.3% to Trump 45.4% https://t.co/ektdQowG9k
  • 21:17:22 Poll Added: CVoter in NH from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 49.9% to Trump 46.2% https://t.co/wJfWYcn2WE
  • 21:20:38 Poll Added: CVoter in NJ from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 57.1% to Trump 39.6% https://t.co/uQskIyV4Nb
  • 21:23:15 Poll Added: CVoter in NM from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 50.8% to Trump 43.9% https://t.co/Z0uFc0mBxa
  • 21:25:35 Poll Added: CVoter in NY from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 58.5% to Trump 37.9% https://t.co/O2Hl8Zx3qC
  • 21:28:14 Poll Added: CVoter in NC from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 48.8% to Trump 47.0% https://t.co/NBRK1rPbXa
  • 21:30:32 Poll Added: CVoter in ND from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 36.5% to Trump 56.2% https://t.co/kl5xlBDSHQ
  • 21:33:27 Poll Added: CVoter in OH from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 49.9% to Trump 46.6% https://t.co/2WaDPPSVzI
  • 21:36:14 Poll Added: CVoter in OK from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 33.7% to Trump 62.6% https://t.co/1YCjyscPaL
  • 21:39:01 Poll Added: CVoter in OR from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 50.8% to Trump 42.8% https://t.co/HG9HTNt20M
  • 21:41:42 Poll Added: CVoter in PA from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 49.4% to Trump 46.4% https://t.co/bjcKcOs2zx
  • 22:15:51 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 5.4% in PA -> Clinton by 5.1% in PA https://t.co/sxXPZ3KY8J
  • 22:18:51 Poll Added: CVoter in RI from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 58.1% to Trump 39.0% https://t.co/TVhEE7bLae
  • 22:22:04 Poll Added: CVoter in SC from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 42.1% to Trump 53.4% https://t.co/Yz5Vg3Yfg8
  • 22:22:24 Clinton vs Trump state category change: SC has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/Yz5Vg3Yfg8
  • 22:24:08 Poll Added: CVoter in SD from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 41.3% to Trump 54.8% https://t.co/fUQH5Hw0Y3
  • 22:28:21 Poll Added: CVoter in TN from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 38.8% to Trump 56.3% https://t.co/gVS0RlWdme
  • 22:30:18 Poll Added: CVoter in TX from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 41.2% to Trump 54.1% https://t.co/y4YKqTpmvj
  • 22:34:36 Poll Added: CVoter in UT from 2016-10-16 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 29.2% to Trump 64.9% https://t.co/na1UFp3eLa
  • 22:34:53 Clinton vs Trump state category change: UT has moved from Weak Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/na1UFp3eLa
  • 22:55:33 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 380 to Trump 158 -> Clinton 374 to Trump 164 https://t.co/6NbxrsNw2Z

@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-29 (UTC)

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Just Use Bleach

With less than two weeks until the election, Curmudgeon’s Corner this week is of course fully election themed. We discuss the campaign developments of the last week, but also look at larger themes of the divisions in today’s America, what may happen after the elections, how Trump took over the Republican party, and… oh… Ivan got polled!

Click below to listen or subscribe… then let us know your own thoughts!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2016-10-28
Length this week – 1:27:44

  • (0:01:37-0:49:36) Election 2016 Part 1
    • Ivan’s cold
    • Divisions in America
    • Trump’s Republican takeover
    • After the election?
    • Polls and odds
    • Does Trump know he is going to lose?
    • Ivan got polled by Gravis!
    • Polling methods
    • Voting logistics
    • Yard signs
    • Trump black support
  • (0:50:45-1:27:24) Election 2016 Part 2
    • Cooking curry
    • Things we aren’t talking about
    • Quiet campaign week
    • Clinton Foundation
    • Pence’s plane
    • Biden for Secretary of State
    • Filibusters
    • Scott Adams analysis
    • Trump in the primaries
    • Newt and Kelly
    • Flat race
    • Bill Weld for Clinton?

 

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-28 (UTC)

  • 04:50:53 Poll Added: Mason-Dixon w/4P in MO from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 42% to Trump 47% https://t.co/h6hksUnB6G
  • 04:50:58 Full 4P results: Mason-Dixon w/4P in MO from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 42% to Trump 47% to Johnson 3% to Stein 1%
  • 04:54:41 Poll Added: Saguaro w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 48% to Trump 46% https://t.co/k8jKO2kFI6
  • 04:54:46 Full 4P results: Saguaro w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 48% to Trump 46% to Johnson 5% to Stein 1%
  • 05:02:24 Poll Added: YouGov [2] in WA from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-13 – Clinton 48% to Trump 34% https://t.co/v3joWuqVcR
  • 05:03:58 Poll Added: YouGov w/ Lean [2] in WA from 2016-10-06 to 2016-10-13 – Clinton 53% to Trump 39% https://t.co/S9YcESIt17
  • 05:18:38 Poll Added: Alliance 3 Day w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 42% to Trump 48% https://t.co/hRtgVFRSZ8
  • 05:18:43 Full 4P results: Alliance 3 Day w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 42% to Trump 48% to Johnson 2% to Stein 3%
  • 05:20:16 Poll Added: Alliance 5 Day w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 43% to Trump 46% https://t.co/7YPExfn4Sy
  • 05:20:21 Full 4P results: Alliance 5 Day w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 43% to Trump 46% to Johnson 3% to Stein 3%
  • 05:27:07 Poll Added: Alliance 3 Day w/4P in NV from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 44% to Trump 43% https://t.co/kvHTVEmmbb
  • 05:27:12 Full 4P results: Alliance 3 Day w/4P in NV from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 44% to Trump 43% to Johnson 8% to Stein 1%
  • 05:31:57 Poll Added: Alliance 3 Day w/4P in NH from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 48% to Trump 39% https://t.co/QvOxOvyjGb
  • 05:32:02 Full 4P results: Alliance 3 Day w/4P in NH from 2016-10-24 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 48% to Trump 39% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
  • 05:44:59 Poll Added: Alliance 3 Day w/4P [2] in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 44% https://t.co/vwHbOIpnAS
  • 05:45:04 Full 4P results: Alliance 3 Day w/4P [2] in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 44% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
  • 05:46:29 Poll Added: Alliance 5 Day w/4P [2] in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 44% https://t.co/HT6B2ciSO0
  • 05:46:34 Full 4P results: Alliance 5 Day w/4P [2] in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 46% to Trump 44% to Johnson 6% to Stein 1%
  • 05:51:57 Poll Added: Alliance 3 Day w/4P [2] in OH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 42% to Trump 44% https://t.co/Wzaewd8PMw
  • 05:52:02 Full 4P results: Alliance 3 Day w/4P [2] in OH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 42% to Trump 44% to Johnson 5% to Stein 2%
  • 05:53:50 Poll Added: Alliance 5 Day w/4P [2] in OH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 41% to Trump 44% https://t.co/sMXNo74kiR
  • 05:53:55 Full 4P results: Alliance 5 Day w/4P [2] in OH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 41% to Trump 44% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
  • 05:56:58 Poll Added: Alliance 3 Day w/4P [2] in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 48% to Trump 40% https://t.co/jdOXDugcOu
  • 05:57:03 Full 4P results: Alliance 3 Day w/4P [2] in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 48% to Trump 40% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
  • 05:58:33 Poll Added: Alliance 5 Day w/4P [2] in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 47% to Trump 40% https://t.co/40dXwSb346
  • 05:58:38 Full 4P results: Alliance 5 Day w/4P [2] in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 47% to Trump 40% to Johnson 5% to Stein 3%
  • 06:30:23 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 5.2% in PA -> Clinton by 5.6% in PA https://t.co/2d0qoS5e3s
  • 16:29:36 Poll Added: Dixie w/4P in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 42.4% to Trump 45.7% https://t.co/iq3fyghAUI
  • 16:29:41 Full 4P results: Dixie w/4P in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-26 – Clinton 42.4% to Trump 45.7% to Johnson 2.0% to Stein 1.4%
  • 16:29:57 Clinton vs Trump state category change: FL has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump https://t.co/iq3fyghAUI
  • 16:46:17 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 334 to Trump 204 -> Clinton 305 to Trump 233 https://t.co/BTrKvCQbFV

@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-28 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-27 (UTC)

  • 03:14:35 Poll Added: Marist [4] in NH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 47% to Trump 39% https://t.co/8bOeSpE56Z
  • 03:16:22 Poll Added: Marist RV [4] in NH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 47% to Trump 38% https://t.co/NVBR2J6FhY
  • 03:17:59 Poll Added: Marist LV w/4P [4] in NH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 45% to Trump 36% https://t.co/fSV28SI2gt
  • 03:18:04 Full 4P results: Marist LV w/4P [4] in NH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 45% to Trump 36% to Johnson 10% to Stein 4%
  • 03:19:27 Poll Added: Marist RV w/4P [4] in NH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 44% to Trump 35% https://t.co/Z66oVsrbKE
  • 03:19:32 Full 4P results: Marist RV w/4P [4] in NH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 44% to Trump 35% to Johnson 11% to Stein 4%
  • 03:19:48 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NH has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton https://t.co/Z66oVsrbKE
  • 03:22:25 That first NH Marist poll I tweeted was LV by the way. It is now properly labeled on the site.
  • 03:29:48 Poll Added: Marist LV [4] in NV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 45% to Trump 45% https://t.co/A6nBCOHLbK
  • 03:31:20 Poll Added: Marist RV [4] in NV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 45% to Trump 43% https://t.co/Dvw1LC2Yzx
  • 03:34:08 Poll Added: Marist LV w/3P [4] in NV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 43% to Trump 43% https://t.co/gI9XXze2H6
  • 03:34:13 Full 3P results: Marist LV w/3P [4] in NV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 43% to Trump 43% to Johnson 10%
  • 03:36:16 Poll Added: Marist RV w/3P [4] in NV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 43% to Trump 41% https://t.co/rjkZKBM1xx
  • 03:36:21 Full 3P results: Marist RV w/3P [4] in NV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 43% to Trump 41% to Johnson 11%
  • 03:43:26 Poll Added: Monmouth w/4P in NH from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 46% to Trump 42% https://t.co/bRE53htlES
  • 03:43:31 Full 4P results: Monmouth w/4P in NH from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 46% to Trump 42% to Johnson 7% to Stein 1%
  • 03:43:45 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NH has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/bRE53htlES
  • 03:48:29 Poll Added: Selzer [4] in FL from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 44% to Trump 44% https://t.co/qiazNL0vwK
  • 03:49:45 Poll Added: Selzer w/Lean [4] in FL from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 45% to Trump 46% https://t.co/pipZRWdyuu
  • 03:51:14 Poll Added: Selzer w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 42% to Trump 44% https://t.co/jrshf5mRsX
  • 03:51:19 Full 4P results: Selzer w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 42% to Trump 44% to Johnson 4% to Stein 2%
  • 03:52:37 Poll Added: Selzer w/Lean w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 43% to Trump 45% https://t.co/FsAnYox6Z1
  • 03:52:42 Full 4P results: Selzer w/Lean w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 43% to Trump 45% to Johnson 4% to Stein 2%
  • 03:57:42 Poll Added: Gravis w/3P in IN from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 38% to Trump 49% https://t.co/gqXgxQKg7m
  • 03:57:47 Full 3P results: Gravis w/3P in IN from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 38% to Trump 49% to Johnson 5%
  • 04:06:03 Poll Added: Monmouth w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 45% to Trump 46% https://t.co/CiiMueVG7G
  • 04:06:08 Full 4P results: Monmouth w/4P in AZ from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 45% to Trump 46% to Johnson 4% to Stein 1%
  • 04:13:22 Retweeted @librab103 04:09:48 @ElecCollPolls Some polls are going to be right about certain states while some are going to be way off. in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 04:13:50 .@librab103 Which is why you look at the average, not the individual polls. :-) in reply to librab103
  • 04:22:48 Retweeted @librab103 04:16:45 @ElecCollPolls yes but polls have been all over the place. Like today Ranging from +1 to +14 in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 04:22:51 Retweeted @librab103 04:17:07 @ElecCollPolls Doesn't that screw with the average? in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 04:27:02 .@librab103 Outliers can influence average. So useful to look at detail chart to see the spread and check for that. https://t.co/JcpYiV5ctA in reply to librab103
  • 04:40:52 Poll Added: B&A w/3P in NV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 48% to Trump 41% https://t.co/S1IWcWxZFF
  • 04:40:57 Full 3P results: B&A w/3P in NV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 48% to Trump 41% to Johnson 6%
  • 04:46:27 Poll Added: Rasmussen w/3P in NV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 46% to Trump 42% https://t.co/wursa1Q7uj
  • 04:46:32 Full 3P results: Rasmussen w/3P in NV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 46% to Trump 42% to Johnson 6%
  • 04:53:19 Poll Added: Mason-Dixon w/4P in MN from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 47% to Trump 39% https://t.co/7Riv9S5mAd
  • 04:53:24 Full 4P results: Mason-Dixon w/4P in MN from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 47% to Trump 39% to Johnson 6% to Stein 1%
  • 04:56:17 Note the Mason-Dixon MN poll also included McMullin at 1%. in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 05:00:57 Poll Added: PPP w/3P [2] in NC from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 47% to Trump 44% https://t.co/0EnUAm6pkA
  • 05:01:02 Full 3P results: PPP w/3P [2] in NC from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 47% to Trump 44% to Johnson 4%
  • 05:04:15 Poll Added: PPP [2] in NC from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 49% to Trump 46% https://t.co/4fnp2ZS1cL
  • 05:10:36 Poll Added: Monmouth w/3P in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 47% to Trump 46% https://t.co/bIyzaAq6HJ
  • 05:10:41 Full 3P results: Monmouth w/3P in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 47% to Trump 46% to Johnson 4%
  • 05:37:06 Poll Added: Crosswind w/3P in TX from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 38% to Trump 45% https://t.co/1CRWPvrPvQ
  • 05:37:11 Full 3P results: Crosswind w/3P in TX from 2016-10-22 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 38% to Trump 45% to Johnson 7%
  • 05:42:22 Poll Added: MSU w/4P in MT from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-10 – Clinton 27% to Trump 43% https://t.co/xoAfRrrUwC
  • 05:42:27 Full 4P results: MSU w/4P in MT from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-10 – Clinton 27% to Trump 43% to Johnson 7% to Stein 2%
  • 05:45:30 Poll Added: Remington w/3P in OH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 42% to Trump 46% https://t.co/0VmFMNiQUW
  • 05:45:35 Full 3P results: Remington w/3P in OH from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 42% to Trump 46% to Johnson 4%
  • 05:48:31 Poll Added: Remington w/3P in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 45% to Trump 42% https://t.co/MSvm1JJeM3
  • 05:48:36 Full 3P results: Remington w/3P in PA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 45% to Trump 42% to Johnson 5%
  • 06:20:00 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 4.1% in PA -> Clinton by 4.5% in PA https://t.co/wduKiuCpHO
  • 07:00:20 Poll Added: Remington w/3P in WI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% https://t.co/BKS3zp2W6y
  • 07:00:25 Full 3P results: Remington w/3P in WI from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% to Johnson 5%
  • 07:05:45 Poll Added: Remington w/3P in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 44% to Trump 47% https://t.co/UFO3IxfUhv
  • 07:05:50 Full 3P results: Remington w/3P in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 44% to Trump 47% to Johnson 3%
  • 07:08:57 Poll Added: Siena w/3P [2] in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 46% to Trump 39% https://t.co/CAkB5C8zPs
  • 07:09:02 Full 3P results: Siena w/3P [2] in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 46% to Trump 39% to Johnson 8%
  • 07:10:23 Poll Added: Siena [2] in NC from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 49% to Trump 41% https://t.co/4fEzVvfPwj
  • 07:19:59 Poll Added: SurveyUSA w/4P in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 48% to Trump 45% https://t.co/nDeGW7Z8cA
  • 07:20:04 Full 4P results: SurveyUSA w/4P in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 48% to Trump 45% to Johnson 2% to Stein 1%
  • 07:22:30 Poll Added: Remington w/3P in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 46% to Trump 46% https://t.co/9dKWEtrtPq
  • 07:22:35 Full 3P results: Remington w/3P in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 46% to Trump 46% to Johnson 2%
  • 07:25:23 Poll Added: Hendrix w/4P in AR from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-21 – Clinton 32.5% to Trump 56.0% https://t.co/O02Yy01EWw
  • 07:25:28 Full 4P results: Hendrix w/4P in AR from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-21 – Clinton 32.5% to Trump 56.0% to Johnson 3.5% to Stein 2.0%
  • 07:27:52 Poll Added: Remington w/3P in VA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 48% to Trump 43% https://t.co/kBNsftzxoL
  • 07:27:57 Full 3P results: Remington w/3P in VA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 48% to Trump 43% to Johnson 3%
  • 07:28:13 Clinton vs Trump state category change: VA has moved from Solid Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/kBNsftzxoL
  • 07:32:23 Poll Added: Mason-Dixon w/3P in SD from 2016-10-18 to 2016-10-20 – Clinton 37% to Trump 44% https://t.co/pImqUFVpvF
  • 07:32:27 Full 3P results: Mason-Dixon w/3P in SD from 2016-10-18 to 2016-10-20 – Clinton 37% to Trump 44% to Johnson 7%
  • 07:34:49 Poll Added: Remington w/3P in CO from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 45% to Trump 43% https://t.co/j0YI0m7Dlf
  • 07:34:54 Full 3P results: Remington w/3P in CO from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 45% to Trump 43% to Johnson 5%
  • 07:38:12 Poll Added: Remington w/3P in NV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 44% to Trump 47% https://t.co/tzewxHJxwM
  • 07:38:17 Full 3P results: Remington w/3P in NV from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 44% to Trump 47% to Johnson 4%
  • 07:41:54 Poll Added: Emerson w/3P in ID from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 23.3% to Trump 52.3% https://t.co/ORjJe2MY7r
  • 07:41:59 Full 3P results: Emerson w/3P in ID from 2016-10-21 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 23.3% to Trump 52.3% to Johnson 4.2%
  • 07:42:41 Note that the Emerson Idaho poll also included McMullin, who came in at 10.0% in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 14:34:34 Poll Added: Mitchell w/4P [2] in MI from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 49% to Trump 41% https://t.co/at74uYktKV
  • 14:34:39 Full 4P results: Mitchell w/4P [2] in MI from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 49% to Trump 41% to Johnson 3% to Stein 1%
  • 14:36:10 Poll Added: Mitchell [2] in MI from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 51% to Trump 43% https://t.co/srt535yYvy
  • 14:40:58 Poll Added: Elway w/4P in WA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 48% to Trump 31% https://t.co/fT5gmmKd8X
  • 14:41:03 Full 4P results: Elway w/4P in WA from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-22 – Clinton 48% to Trump 31% to Johnson 1% to Stein 1%
  • 16:45:53 Poll Added: Siena w/4P in PA from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 46% to Trump 39% https://t.co/qyyxI5fMBW
  • 16:45:58 Full 4P results: Siena w/4P in PA from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 46% to Trump 39% to Johnson 6% to Stein 3%
  • 16:46:15 Clinton vs Trump state category change: PA has moved from Weak Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/qyyxI4Ybdm
  • 17:06:31 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 4.5% in PA -> Clinton by 5.2% in PA https://t.co/sWAgRdON7S
  • 17:06:32 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 252 to Trump 286 -> Clinton 272 to Trump 266 https://t.co/sWAgRdON7S
  • 19:53:46 Poll Added: UNF w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 43% to Trump 39% https://t.co/iYddXC3T58
  • 19:53:51 Full 4P results: UNF w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 43% to Trump 39% to Johnson 6% to Stein 3%
  • 19:55:10 Poll Added: UNF [2] in FL from 2016-10-20 to 2016-10-25 – Clinton 46% to Trump 44% https://t.co/xK2vkQSsRC
  • 20:00:40 Poll Added: Rasmussen w/4P in UT from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 28% to Trump 32% https://t.co/BiysGt7hJx
  • 20:00:45 Full 4P results: Rasmussen w/4P in UT from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-24 – Clinton 28% to Trump 32% to Johnson 4% to Stein 0%
  • 20:02:41 The Rasmussen UT poll also included McMullin at 29%. For info on how @ElectionGraphs treats McMullin, see note here: https://t.co/bSMImSxnRH in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 20:10:19 Poll Added: UT/TT w/4P in TX from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 42% to Trump 45% https://t.co/PnutHoaDlA
  • 20:10:24 Full 4P results: UT/TT w/4P in TX from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 42% to Trump 45% to Johnson 7% to Stein 2%
  • 20:25:45 Poll Added: PPIC w/4P in CA from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 54% to Trump 28% https://t.co/RpqyGVQrgw
  • 20:25:50 Full 4P results: PPIC w/4P in CA from 2016-10-14 to 2016-10-23 – Clinton 54% to Trump 28% to Johnson 5% to Stein 5%
  • 21:27:21 Poll Added: Remington w/3P in SD from 2016-10-19 to 2016-10-21 – Clinton 37% to Trump 48% https://t.co/12NA3xQ6ay
  • 21:27:26 Full 3P results: Remington w/3P in SD from 2016-10-19 to 2016-10-21 – Clinton 37% to Trump 48% to Johnson 6%
  • 23:34:43 Poll Added: UMass w/4P [2] in NH from 2016-10-17 to 2016-10-21 – Clinton 41% to Trump 37% https://t.co/14LQ3TNddX
  • 23:34:48 Full 4P results: UMass w/4P [2] in NH from 2016-10-17 to 2016-10-21 – Clinton 41% to Trump 37% to Johnson 6% to Stein 3%
  • 23:36:01 Poll Added: UMass w/Lean w/4P [2] in NH from 2016-10-17 to 2016-10-21 – Clinton 43% to Trump 38% https://t.co/v0FLeo03XT
  • 23:36:07 Full 4P results: UMass w/Lean w/4P [2] in NH from 2016-10-17 to 2016-10-21 – Clinton 43% to Trump 38% to Johnson 8% to Stein 3%
  • 23:43:43 Poll Added: SMOR w/3P in LA from 2016-10-19 to 2016-10-21 – Clinton 35% to Trump 50% https://t.co/a0s5J7Qt8r
  • 23:43:48 Full 3P results: SMOR w/3P in LA from 2016-10-19 to 2016-10-21 – Clinton 35% to Trump 50% to Johnson 5%