This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Comments here or emails to me at abulsme@abulsme.com are encouraged... or follow me on
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On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan talk about, what else… the Mueller Report. They cover the collusion bits, they cover the obstruction bits, they talk a bit about the differences between the actual report and Barr’s letter a few weeks ago, and of course, they talk about the potential political fallout. Oh, and Sam talks about universal time, and Ivan reviews a movie. Full show.
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Recorded 2019-04-20 Length this week – 2:30:34
(0:00:40-0:19:34) But First
(0:21:35-0:40:59) What We Know
(0:42:03-1:07:26) Mueller Report Collusion
(1:09:33-1:52:06) Mueller Report Obstruction
(1:53:49-2:30:13) Political Fallout
The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.
This Week on Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan cover Mayor Pete, Avenatti, Assange, Brexit, accusations that Obama spied on Trump’s campaign, the Democrats not being aggressive enough on investigations, bad sleep habits, and a book Sam read. Oh, and Alex contributes a song.
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Recorded 2019-04-12 Length this week – 1:37:55
(0:03:00-0:06:56) Intro
The nature of lightning
(0:08:00-0:50:08) Lightning 1
Ivan: Sleep
Sam: Mayor Pete
Ivan: Brexit
Sam: Avenatti
(0:51:51-1:37:34) Lightning 2
Ivan: Assange
Sam: Book: The Bull from the Sea (1962)
Ivan: Spying on Trump?
Sam: Dems being weak
The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.
On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner to make up for last week’s one topic show, Ivan and Sam do an all lightning round show. 12 topics total for the show. These include a Trump/Russia update, because, well, how could we not. But also a bit on Sam’s dogs, the “border emergency”, Joe Biden’s issues with being too touchy, Brexit, nuclear power, and six other exciting things!
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Recorded 2019-04-06 Length this week – 2:16:52
(0:00:20-0:42:00) Lightning Round 1
Sam: Sam’s Dogs
Ivan: Herman Cain
Sam: Border Emergency
Ivan: Nuclear Power
(0:44:38-1:36:10) Lightning Round 2
Sam: Brexit
Ivan: Trump/Russia Update
Sam: Trump Taxes
Ivan: Mar-A-Lago spy arrest
(1:36:47-2:16:31) Lightning Round 3
Sam: Folding Phones
Ivan: 5Ge
Sam: Touchy Biden
Ivan: Trumpcare
The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.
This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan spend almost the whole show on discussing Trump/Russia, the end of the Mueller investigation, the Barr summary of the Mueller report, and the potential political fallout of all of the above. Before that, a quick recap on everybody catching the flu. Which was fun.
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Show Details:
Recorded 2019-03-28 Length this week – 1:59:15
(0:00:20-0:11:45) But first
(0:13:45-0:41:07) What we know
(0:42:50-1:26:38) Barr summary
(1:27:23-1:58:53) Political fallout
The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.
On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner Sam, Ivan, Jenn, and Brandy meet in person after the Seattle meetup to discuss how people suck, including the people in the college admissions scandal, and the people running for President, and many others. Basically, people suck. Plus a little on travel, and the Seattle meetup itself. And a movie review. Even a bit on circumcision. A packed show. If you missed the meetup, listening to the show is the next best thing.
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Show Details:
Recorded 2019-03-21 Length this week – 2:06:01
(0:01:12-0:27:39) But First
Agenda
Seattle Meetup
Space Needle
Ivan’s Flight
Ivan on Seattle
Sam Movie: How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
(0:28:18-1:02:52) People Who Suck
Plant Killers
Tucker Carlson
Rep Omar Poster Maker
Christchurch Terrorist
Chelsea Clinton Accoster
Donald Trump
(1:03:32-1:29:23) College Admissions Scandal
What was done
Income inequality
The social status of schools
Grade inflation
Gifted children crashing
Helicopter parents
(1:30:43-2:05:41) Election 2020
20/20
Andrew Yang
Biden and Sanders
Beto O’Rourke
Kirsten Gillibrand
Donald Trump
The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.
This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner Sam and Ivan talk about all things Manafort, Pelosi’s comments on impeachment, and the problems with the Boeing 737 Max. Also, Ivan talks about some online dating statistics and a movie he watched, while Sam gives one last reminder about the Seattle meetup.
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Show Details:
Recorded 2019-03-14 Length this week – 1:49:58
(0:01:50-0:12:45) But First
(0:13:24-0:46:30) All Things Manafort
(0:49:46-1:15:00) Pelosi on Impeachment
(1:16:10-1:49:38) Boeing 737 Max
The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.
On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan talk about Cohen revealing there were talks about pardons, that long rambly Trump speech, Fox news acting as an extension of Trump, Representative Omar’s comments, and a bunch more. Yes, it is a lightning round show! You even get Ivan ranting about tangled cables, Sam plugging his Election Graphs site, and another reminder about the Seattle meetup!
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Show Details:
Recorded 2019-03-07 Length this week – 1:47:44
(0:02:28-0:07:58) But First
Agenda
Busy Ivan
Seattle Meetup
(0:09:14-1:01:01) Lightning Round 1
Ivan: Cable Tangles
Sam: Election Graphs
Ivan: Rep Omar
Sam: Cohen Pardons
(1:02:22-1:47:23) Lightning Round 2
Ivan: Trade Deficit
Sam: Tracking journalists
Ivan: Long Trump speech
Sam: Fox News
The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.
So, I mentioned a while ago that I wouldn’t be posting here regularly about developments over on my site Election Graphs. And I won’t. But I did want to mention that although I’m about four months later than I had wanted to be, and I haven’t yet made some of the changes and additions I have been thinking about, Election Graphs 2020 is now live and up to date with the sixteen 2020 state polls that have already been released, and I’ll be continuing to update it as new polls are released.
Recent highlights:
2019-01-27: Polling Averages vs Reality – The first in a six-part series looking at how polling averages compared to actual election results in the last three election cycles. (Links to the other five posts in the series are in the first post.)
2019-03-03: The 2020 Starting Line – A post looking at the average state by state election results for the past five cycles (2000-2016) to try to define what the “starting line” for the 2020 race looks like. This places each state where it would be based on this nearly 20-year history.
2019-03-08: The First 2020 Polls – The kick off for actually looking at real polls for 2020, pitting various Democrats against Trump. The main theme so far… based on the very limited polling so far, Biden does better against Trump than the other four of the five “best polled” Democrats. (That would be Warren, O’Rourke, Sanders, and Harris.)
That kind of stuff is now over there, not here, so if you want it, you either need to be checking ElectionGraphs.com itself, subscribe to it with an RSS reader (RSS link), follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter, or like and follow Election Graphs on Facebook.
This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan talk about the Cohen hearings, the North Korean summit, Ivan’s trip to Vietnam, the Florida sex trafficking ring, and the India/Pakistan conflict. Plus, a reminder of the upcoming Seattle meetup.
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Show Details:
Recorded 2019-03-02 Length this week – 1:46:54
(0:00:20-0:22:38) But First
Agenda
Seattle Meetup
Ivan in Vietnam
(0:23:22-1:08:54) Cohen Testimony
Everything priced in?
Republican response
AOC performance
Cohen’s receipts
Cohen denials
Democratic plans
(1:10:03-1:24:01) North Korean Summit
How not to do a summit
Trump trusting dictators
Credit for Trump?
(1:25:21-1:46:34) Mini Lightning Round
Ivan: Florida sex trafficking ring
Sam: India and Pakistan
The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.
The 2020 Starting Line – Election Graphs { […] Before I start rolling in the state polls that have already come out, let's look at a more general Democratic vs Republican view based... } on Electoral College: The Race Begins at 3 March 2019 04:26:58 UTC
So what to do for 2020? – Election Graphs { […] be fair, there was a lot of movement just in the last day of poll updates. Before that, I had a 108 EV margin... } on Electoral College: Trump makes it tight again at 27 February 2019 01:16:20 UTC
So what to do for 2020? – Election Graphs { […] the 2016 post mortem here is a list of where a bunch of the election tracking sites ended […] } on Electoral College: Post Mortem at 1 February 2019 00:04:01 UTC
Predicting 2016 by Cheating – Election Graphs { […] does this compare to where other folks were at the end of 2016? I looked at this in my last regular update prior to... } on Electoral College: Trump makes it tight again at 30 January 2019 00:01:22 UTC
Clearing things out for 2020 – Election Graphs { […] Election 2016 Post Mortem […] } on Electoral College: Post Mortem at 28 January 2019 07:59:19 UTC
Polling Averages vs Reality – Election Graphs { […] one of the key elements I called out in my 2016 Port Mortem was the need to “trust the uncertainty” and look at the range... } on Electoral College: Post Mortem at 27 January 2019 00:01:04 UTC
Ruth B { hmm! These prognosticators are right less than two-thirds of the time - but at least they are having a good time doing it! Go guys! } on Curmudgeon's Corner: 2018 Predictions Review at 7 January 2019 05:18:11 UTC
Abulsme.com: 2018 Reading List { […] a quarter of the way through 2018, I lamented that I wasn’t reading enough books, and made a resolution to do better. My goal... } on I'm not reading enough. I blame Trump. And Twitter. at 3 January 2019 04:18:43 UTC
Ed Haines { Re Roger stones: If I believed in corporal punishment, I would buy one to use at his stoning. PS, I still would oppose capital punishment. } on Curmudgeon's Corner: Dotted Lines at 23 December 2018 16:22:19 UTC
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