- 02:54:55 Stupid in so many ways!! -> Hillary Clinton Used Personal Email at State Dept., Possibly Breaking Rules (Schmidt) http://t.co/ulxz4ZqRk7
- 02:56:17 Guess the Benghazi investigations finally found something!
- 02:56:39 Retweeted @speechboy71 02:39:59 There's gotta be something else to this HRC email story – doesn't seem possible this could go on for 4 years w/no one raising red flags
- 02:57:08 Retweeted @speechboy71 02:26:03 I'm having a hard time understanding how no one in Obama Admin thought sending classified materials to a personal email acct was a bad idea
- 02:58:14 Retweeted @Drudge_Siren 02:41:04 FLASHBACK: 'Hacked' Benghazi emails: FULL RELEASE… http://t.co/TcXLSAdTFQ
- 02:58:29 Retweeted @tjl 02:33:22 Off the top of my head: Palin, Cuomo, Romney all recently caught destroying or suppressing records with flimsy excuses; no consequences
- 02:59:28 Retweeted @JohnAllenGay 02:41:19 I guess Hillary would have taken that 3am phone call on her personal cell phone, then
- 03:00:07 Retweeted @mviser 02:42:26 "Vladimir! I told you to use the gmail address. Not the yahoo one!" http://t.co/botE3InMh3
- 03:01:04 Retweeted @nycsouthpaw 02:43:54 The effect of using your personal email for official business is to make your personal emails discoverable in official litigation, so…
- 03:01:20 Retweeted @BlogsofWar 02:44:14 Security risk posed by Hillary's use of personal email is immense – and it encompasses all those who had to communicate with her that way.
- 03:01:46 Retweeted @RGolanVilella 02:43:39 Apparently, if you like your personal e-mail address, you can keep it.
- 03:06:16 Old news? From 2013 -> Hacked Emails Show Hillary Clinton Was Receiving Advice at a Private Email Account (John Cook) http://t.co/NgCTIG8e40
- 03:08:58 Thing that makes this new is 2013 report was SOME mail using personal account. New report says ALL Sec State email done with personal acct.
- 03:09:22 Retweeted @BklynMiddleton 02:48:33 No one received an email from HRC.Mail@yahoo.com and thought they should send her aides a pdf on cybersecurity?
- 03:10:07 Retweeted @BCAppelbaum 02:47:16 Wouldn’t you at least want a state department email address to use when you bought things online so all the spam went there?
- 03:10:47 Retweeted @edbott 02:51:12 The "experts" explaining how email works… This is going to be comedy gold.
- 03:11:09 Retweeted @PoliticaILine 02:51:26 So did Hillary keep all her classified documents in Google Docs?
- 03:13:06 Retweeted @mviser 02:54:11 Mitt Romney’s staff buying hard drives was briefly an issue for him in 2012. Will Hillary’s use of personal email have longer staying power?
- 03:16:06 Retweeted @ktumulty 02:59:55 I wrote this about Hillary Clinton in a TIME cover story in 1997.: http://t.co/VKFyd71mQq
- 03:16:26 Retweeted @fordm 02:32:56 Ethical and legal issues aside—yeah, yeah, I know—what a loss for future historians and journalists too. in reply to fordm
- 03:17:28 Retweeted @RosieGray 03:02:13 wow, twitter’s going to be fun during 2016.
- 03:19:51 Retweeted @TheFix 03:07:00 The private email account of Hillary Clinton at State plays into everything people don't like about her: Political in all things.
- 03:20:05 Retweeted @gerrycanavan 03:07:06 Clinton using her private email address at State is the biggest Clinton own-goal since she didn’t know the rules for the Dem primary.
- 03:22:49 Retweeted @Mobute 03:09:37 I hope Hillary's stock drops enough that Romney announces he's running as a Democrat.
- 03:23:40 Retweeted @SimonMaloy 03:09:55 nobody in the government noticed that the secretary of state was using a god damn hotmail account?
- 03:23:56 Retweeted @johntabin 03:08:36 http://t.co/2bQMdOfgAS
- 03:27:29 Don't think this email thing will be big issue in the General. Question right now is if it makes Dems on sidelines smell blood in the water.
- 03:30:07 Retweeted @fordm 03:10:37 NIXON: What did she use, Gmail? AOL? Christ, was it Compuserve?
KISSINGER: "http://t.co/GkgwD2RoDJ"
NIXON: My God.
- 03:35:38 Retweeted @imbou 03:35:17 @abulsme so retarded!!!!!!!!!!! in reply to abulsme
- 03:37:00 .@imbou I'll let my daughter @AmyNotAmy scold you for the non-PC use of the "R word". :-) in reply to imbou
- 03:38:28 Retweeted @imbou 03:38:15 @abulsme @AmyNotAmy I was going to reply but I am going to remain silent! in reply to abulsme
- 03:41:23 Retweeted @TheFix 03:18:31 Hacked emails indicate that Clinton used a domain registered the day of her Senate hearings. http://t.co/ZsdTXKQIkS http://t.co/1TlYjrcZ52
- 03:44:59 Retweeted @fbihop 03:25:14 Joe Biden has been using a PO Box two towns over for all his communications over the last six years.
- 03:46:21 Retweeted @emmdee22 03:18:05 @redsteeze When asked about Hillary's emails, Elizabeth Warren was quoted as saying 'that's why I always use smoke signals to communicate.'
- 03:47:12 Retweeted @gerrycanavan 03:26:41 How incompetent do you have to be to be crowned the nominee two years in advance two cycles in a row and blow it both times?
- 03:49:41 Reading – Hacked emails indicate that Clinton used a domain registered the day of her Senate hearings (@pbump) http://t.co/zZQI2DntzB
- 03:50:19 Retweeted @walterolson 03:20:20 I guess Clinton is positioning herself for voters who generally liked the Obama years but wished there had been more unilateral lawlessness.
- 03:51:12 Retweeted @bobcesca_go 03:29:50 I mean, if NSA really "Hoovers" all emails, then the government already *has* a complete record Hillary's email.
- 03:55:01 Retweeted @AlexJamesFitz 02:39:38 Nobody even emails me http://t.co/vdBdcsqesD
- 04:00:28 Retweeted @_cingraham 03:33:36 The Clinton email thing is super, super shady. The implication is that she thinks the rules don't apply to her, that she's above the law.
- 04:07:21 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten 03:36:38 @allahpundit Warren/Biden 16 in reply to allahpundit
- 04:09:57 In two weeks, this will either blow up and be a huge problem for Hillary, or it will be forgotten. There really isn't much in between.
- 04:12:15 Retweeted @allahpundit 03:39:54 Now America can have the Warren vs. Cruz election it really wants
- 04:15:08 Retweeted @dandrezner 03:41:57 This. RT @morningmoneyben I just cannot believe this was allowed to happen. It just seems impossible. http://t.co/k7Ll20Rt6W in reply to morningmoneyben
- 04:21:40 Retweeted @_cingraham 03:48:57 This is also a gift on a silver platter to Jeb Bush, who very conspicuously released all his emails to the public.
- 04:24:33 Retweeted @RussOnPolitics 03:50:46 I'm a Hillary fan, but using a private email address plays into the hands of opponents who have long attacked her as unethical and sneaky.
- 04:25:50 Retweeted @SimonMaloy 03:52:34 also what kind of weirdo invites work intrusion into their personal email
- 04:26:49 Retweeted @Ihnatko 03:54:25 I think I’ll just unplug my cable box and store it in the trunk of my car until this Hillary Clinton email story blows over.
- 04:28:43 Retweeted @katherinemiller 03:56:47 Bush spox: "Hillary Clinton should release her emails. Hopefully she hasn’t already destroyed them." http://t.co/Koa81XprPV
- 04:29:42 Retweeted @gdebenedetti 03:57:27 A wired-in Dem told me late last week Clinton would likely address recent Foundation news in her DC speech tomorrow. So…probably this too.
- 04:30:05 Retweeted @Gus_802 03:59:08 So it begins.
- 04:30:30 Retweeted @_cingraham 04:00:01 @pbump huh. On the other hand, there is this http://t.co/G5ZPlvG6nN in reply to pbump
- 04:32:50 Retweeted @JebBush 04:05:53 Transparency matters. Unclassified @HillaryClinton emails should be released. You can see mine, here. http://t.co/wZbtwd8O2j
- 04:34:11 Retweeted @davidfrum 04:10:15 Jeez, you people. Next you’ll be demanding that the US Secretary of State not accept gratuities from foreign governments.
- 04:34:37 Retweeted @GlennThrush 04:11:27 What are the odds there's an 'advisory opinion' from early 2009 arguing the private email thing was totally kosher?
- 04:37:54 For the record, I don't think this is going to sink Hillary unless worse comes out. Just the first of many hits against her. Self inflicted.
- 04:39:47 Retweeted @AthertonKD 04:18:07 In the future, government officials will communicate only by heralds, sent to relay messages in person using analog soundwaves in the air.
- 04:39:55 Retweeted @bobcesca_go 04:18:24 "What if Hillary used a private email account so she could cover up Benghazi?" <–Talk radio and Fox News for the next 20 months.
- 04:49:59 Retweeted @petersuderman 04:45:35 Good thing Democrats have another candidate lined up in case Hillary Clinton doesn't work out.
- 04:52:43 Reading – Hillary Clinton's personal email account looks bad now. But it was even worse at the time. (@Max_Fisher) http://t.co/tfnFLx0BhP
- 04:58:53 Retweeted @ArgoJournal 04:57:31 Iowa 2016 Dem Caucus Poll:
(If Hillary does not run)
Warren 36%
Biden 32%
Sanders 8%
Webb 4%
O'Malley 2%
(Feb. 16-23)
http://t.co/ZwyIjJVfKQ - 04:59:11 Retweeted @HayesBrown 04:58:24 Oh RT @joshrogin: @marieharf: "Secretary Kerry is the first Secretary of State to rely primarily on a http://t.co/TNgDVxWKFt email account"
- 05:02:34 Retweeted @JasonLeopold 2014-11-30 05:58:55 Response from DOD to my #FOIA for Hagel's emails: Request closed "as we were advised SecDef does not maintain an official e-mail account."
- 05:02:43 Retweeted @MullinEconomist 04:24:06 @JasonLeopold @baseballcrank Is this SOP for National Security cabinet members to NOT have an official email account? in reply to JasonLeopold
- 05:05:14 Wonder if this will expand to a broader based Obama admin scandal. He is overdue. Of course, we only care about Hillary now anyway.
- 05:14:56 OK, I’m done with Hillary Email Scandal Twitter 4 the evening unless there is something new. Which seems unlikely given the East Coast hour.
- 05:18:01 I see people arguing no law broken cause existing law didn’t cover email. Misses point. Was stupid, unethical & maybe compromised security.
- 05:19:55 OK…NOW done. Maybe. :-)
- 05:26:41 I need to stop saying I’m done.
- 05:27:34 Does look like law signed aft Hillary left, guidance on this phased in after she left, Kerry was first to use .gov mail, etc. Still stupid.
- 05:30:08 We now see the lines drawn though. Expect to keep hearing about this in some form or another for the next 616.8 days. http://t.co/484fZNHZiD
- 05:34:05 The Defense -> That Story About Hillary Clinton’s Private Email Account Isn’t as Awful as It Seems (Bob Cesca) http://t.co/0csJiB5oIc
- 05:34:41 Retweeted @kgosztola 05:33:11 HRC exclusively used private email for govt business. But what other cabinet-level officials in Most Transparent Admin Ever have?
- 05:43:54 Summ what I said: 2 wks this will be big or nothing. Will keep hearing bout it tho. Will not sink Hillary. She was stupid. 1st of many hits.
- 05:44:02 Retweeted @cbinflux 05:40:47 @abulsme It was a much reported BIG DEAL when Palin had a private acct that she sometimes used for govt emails. @RockyTayeh in reply to abulsme
- 05:45:19 .@cbinflux @RockyTayeh It *was* a big deal with Palin. And others D&R. Also big deal for Clinton. Legal or not, stupid and shady practice. in reply to cbinflux
- 06:12:11 Retweeted @Green_Footballs 05:51:23 Wow, the NY Times Hillary email story has already collapsed into a ball of nothingness, and it isn't even time for "Better Call Saul."
- 06:40:13 Those saying "not as bad as it seemed" – right! Those saying "issue over" – wrong! Those saying "non-issue" – wrong! Not campaign ender tho.
- 06:50:05 Reading – Woodpecker shown flying with weasel on its back in amateur photographer's amazing image (ITV) http://t.co/oHngvbCIte
- 07:24:45 Reading – County Council takes key step toward commercial flights at Paine Field (@NWhaglund) http://t.co/0wvvVpqM3y
- 07:26:46 Retweeted @nycsouthpaw 07:20:35 Omg this Chilean volcano. http://t.co/aAJjt2yPUG via @CabroGoogleao
- 15:03:32 Reading – Who's Plan B? (Jill Lawrence) http://t.co/BW72SmbGR1
- 17:15:32 Retweeted @natsecHeather 16:36:59 Imagine if a W European leader had appeared on floor of Congress opposing contra war in 1980s. Or Merkel spoke to oppose Libya intervention
- 17:18:39 Presume Hillary is sending Bibi a thank you note for helpfully removing email issues from headlines in record time. :-)
- 17:35:01 Reading – A Broader View (@jennsteele) http://t.co/PzWZMvEtoy
- 17:38:46 Reading – No Boys Allowed: School visits as a woman writer (@haleshannon) http://t.co/mdzXx7OYaj
- 18:02:02 Thoughts on this @imbou? -> How crazy am I to think I actually know where that Malaysia Airlines plane is? (J Wise) http://t.co/WbwbKzxU76
- 19:40:03 Retweeted @imbou 19:39:40 @abulsme While I don't know the answer, I don't think his theory makes sense either…. in reply to abulsme
- 19:40:56 .@imbou Here I thought for sure you probably had it hidden away in your own private hanger somewhere. Oh well! in reply to imbou
- 19:42:23 Retweeted @AmyNotAmy 19:42:07 @imbou @abulsme moldy egg salad!!!!!!!!!! in reply to imbou
- 19:42:39 Retweeted @imbou 19:42:24 @abulsme oh yeah saving it for the 25 anniversary of curmudgeons corner in reply to abulsme
- 19:50:39 Retweeted @mattyglesias 19:50:24 Nobody could have predicted this would end with the House passing a clean DHS bill. Except, um, everyone.
- 20:19:54 Retweeted @AlexNBCNews 20:19:00 With a vote of 257 – 167 in the House, DHS will now be fully funded thru the end of the fiscal year w/o any immigration riders attached
- 23:48:01 Retweeted @tweetsoutloud 16:52:19 SEQ_EVR_ECHO_1
\'RIP Leonard Nimoy.\'.From @MarsCuriosity’s downlink this morning. #LLAP
|
|
1027 pictures for the month. First pass got it down to 80. Next to 48. Then finally to the 31 here.
2015-01-01 07:58 UTC – Sometimes waiting for the new year is not fun.
2015-02-01 08:04 UTC – Then the fireworks start.
2015-01-01 08:07 UTC – Then everybody was happy again. And it was 2015!
2015-01-02 02:07 UTC – For our anniversary, Brandy painted the planets as fruit. It is on the wall in my office now.
2015-01-03 00:02 UTC – We had to go to the courthouse in Seattle to pick up some documents. It has some pretty floors.
2015-01-03 00:08 UTC – We got there and back via the Bus/Train tunnel under Seattle. That was fun.
2015-01-03 04:35 UTC – Alex still prefers to wear his pants on his head instead of on his legs. We can usually get him to confine this fashion choice to home… usually.
2015-01-06 04:19 UTC – As usual, Roscoe is very patient. He is a good dog.
2015-01-09 13:34 UTC (picture by Brandy?) – Mike is a good skink too. But he doesn’t get to play with Alex much.
2015-01-09 21:50 UTC (Picture by Brandy) – We finally got Amy a new used car to replace the one totaled in November. She looks thrilled.
2015-01-09 21:51 UTC (Picture by Brandy): OK, that’s better.
2015-01-09 22:28 UTC – It is a Pontiac Aztek.
2015-01-10 23:54 UTC – Grandma Ruth helps Alex with a new Lego set.
2015-01-10 23:55 UTC – Sara really wants to help!
2015-01-11 19:59 UTC – Not sure exactly what we were watching here, but Alex was obviously impressed by it.
2015-01-12 05:04 UTC – Alex’s obsession with Minecraft increased in January. Mostly with Pocket Edition in Creative mode, although not always. More often than not though, this is not a solo endeavor, but includes several family members playing together. Here Alex and Amy work together while I watch.
2015-01-12 05:29 UTC – Roscoe sometimes plays with the iPad too. For sufficiently broad definitions of “plays”.
2015-01-12 05:53 UTC – Here are Alex and Amy playing Minecraft together from the other side of the screen.
2015-01-12 05:54 UTC – Roscoe wants to participate, but it is just so sleepy in here.
2015-01-13 08:33 UTC (Time when I got the picture, not when it was taken, Picture taken by Domography Photography) – Amy got a pro picture of herself for some reason. Came out great!
2015-01-15 14:27 UTC – Amy wanted to go to the annual company party with me and Brandy, but each person is only allowed one guest, so I had to ask if someone else at work would have Amy as a guest. So she made a sad face. We found a volunteer. So Amy would be able to go.
2015-01-17 02:52 UTC – But before party time, Alex was Minecrafting as usual. Here he built “a statue of Daddy”. He had my Minecraft avatar stand in front of him as a reference while he built the statue.
2015-01-18 04:34 UTC – At the party, Amy engages in one of the art activities.
2015-01-18 05:37 UTC – Brandy and Amy wanted to go to the party for the music. The opening band was “Walk the Moon“. Amy ended up with their set list hand written on a plate they threw into the crowd.
2015-01-18 06:15 UTC – The main band was “Weezer“. This is Rivers Cuomo. He looks like a normal dude.
2015-01-18 06:15 UTC – This is Brian Bell. He looks scary. But Amy ended up with one of his guitar picks that was thrown to the crowd anyway. Yup, two souvenirs from the show.
2015-01-20 05:12 UTC – Meanwhile Alex continues to build more and more elaborate things in Minecraft. This was a roller coaster he built, including a station where you get in and out, a ticket stand, etc.
2015-01-22 09:33 UTC (Picture by Amy on my phone) – One night Amy found me, Alex and Roscoe like this on the couch.
2015-01-26 06:58 UTC – Sometimes though, you don’t even make it to the couch.
2015-01-27 21:00 UTC – Oh yeah, Brandy also got completely obsessed with Minecraft and spent many hours building things. This was one of her houses.
2015-01-30 05:06 UTC – Roscoe looks on as Alex continues Minecrafting at the end of the month. This time on the full computer version. Still creative mode, not survival mode very often yet. But February awaits.
There were six states where the average margin over the last five presidential elections was less than 5%. Those states were Nevada, Ohio, Florida, Colorado, Virginia and Missouri. Since the 2012 election we’ve had lots of 2016 general election match up polls in Ohio, Florida, Colorado and Virginia. But nothing in Nevada or Missouri. No polls at all. Today I added the first Nevada results for the 2016 cycle, a recent poll from Gravis. The only category change coming out of this was for Clinton vs Bush.
The margin over the past five elections in Nevada had ranged from the Republican by 3.5% (in 2000) to the Democrat by 12.5% (in 2008), but the average was Democrats by 2.8%, which gave Nevada an initial classification of “Weak Clinton”. Gravis polled five different Republicans against Clinton. One of them (Sandoval) actually beat Clinton. The rest lost, and generally by a worse margin than the old average, but not by enough to push the average into a new category. Bush on the other hand did VERY badly in this poll, losing to Clinton 50% to 37%, or a 13% margin. As the first actual head to head polling in Nevada, we’re still basing things primarily on old presidential election results, but that bad a result was able to single handedly move the the average to a 5.2% Clinton lead, and thus moved Nevada into the “Strong Clinton” category. According to my simple model, this takes the state out of the list of possible Bush wins. At least for now… Perhaps this poll is an outlier and the next poll will make the state closer again. With one real poll, you wouldn’t want to feel too confident of what this stare really looks like quite yet. For now though, this of course further lowers Bush’s “best case”:
This makes the full national summary for Clinton vs Bush look like this today:
Now, this doesn’t look great for Bush, but he may start improving in Nevada (and other states) as we start getting into real campaigning. Maggie Haberman is reporting in the New York Times that the first TV ads specifically targeting Clinton will air this weekend. These of course will not be the last. It will not be surprising to see things move toward the Republicans as this process gets into full swing. And of course we still need polls in Missouri. :-) So… stay tuned. Note: This post is an update based on the data on my 2016 Electoral College Analysis Site. All of the charts and graphs seen here are from that site. Graphs, charts and raw data can be found there for the race nationally and in each state for every candidate combination that has been polled at the state level. In addition, comparisons of the best polled candidate combinations both nationally and each in each state are available. [Edit 06:06 UTC to add note at end which will become standard on these update posts.] In the latest Curmudgeon’s Corner Sam and Iván talk about:
Length this week – 1:14:36
|
|
|
Powered by WordPress & Atahualpa |
||
