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@abulsme tweets from 2014-11-06 (UTC)

04:39:26 By the way, still looking into bias to Dems vs bias to closeness. Waiting for final nums from CO, OR, VA. Looks like closeness to me though.
08:20:41 I’ve noticed the change too. It is really bad. -> Reading – Everett to Seattle Traffic Is Blowing Up (@the_tim) http://t.co/F6weVuLIq9
19:45:35 Retweeted @freddoso 19:41:19 Don't blame "gerrymandering." R majorities in legislative chambers drawn by Dems: AR, WV, NM, CO, WA, NV, NY. Non partisan: IA, AZ, WA

@abulsme tweets from 2014-11-05 (UTC)

01:56:38 OK, I added a page to compare the best polled cands in a specific state. http://t.co/NHRlCSI95Y That was the last thing on my to do list!
01:57:52 Next up, a scan for any new polls since the last time I did a sweep, then writing up a few introductory blog posts. http://t.co/484fZNqor5
01:58:33 But firstвЂ¦ I need to finish my ballot for THIS year’s electionвЂ¦ Two hours until polls close here. VOTE FOR SAM! :-)
02:42:18 Retweeted @AmyNotAmy 02:41:54 I think I'm slowly getting more and more boring. Is this what getting older feels like
02:42:38 .@AmyNotAmy Yes. in reply to AmyNotAmy
03:25:27 Alex and I just got home from dropping off the ballots for @Scatterbrandy, @AmyNotAmy and me. Voting done! Woo!
03:42:22 Aw shucks, looks like we're not going to have o have an Independant deciding who wins the Senate. :-)
03:42:47 Retweeted @nycjim 03:41:52 Latest update from #LegoSenate: GOP’s magic number is down to 1. http://t.co/ox5X1jHFcz via @mashable http://t.co/6zD1DepbDm
03:50:04 As I tweeted Sunday, in 2012 the poll bias in almost all states was to make races look closer than they really were. Looks that way again.
03:51:36 My post on those 2012 pollsвЂ¦ http://t.co/Lem21WLDHM As I said there, the incentives for this kind of bias make sense.
03:52:08 Will of course have to wait for final numbers everywhere to see if this actually repeats that pattern or not.
03:53:15 Retweeted @MetricButtload 02:54:17 Charlie Crist just registered as a Whig.
04:07:04 Retweeted @mkraju 04:06:47 Dems have to run the table to hold majority: NC, VA, Iowa, Louisiana and Alaska. Highly unlikely.
04:09:28 .@mkraju Dem majority has been clearly in the вЂњunlikelyвЂќ category for quite awhile now. But already low chance vanishing quickly to zeroвЂ¦ in reply to mkraju
04:12:44 Retweeted @NateSilver538 04:10:02 99%. http://t.co/9zPQuOUPnJ
04:19:24 Retweeted @JohnEkdahl 04:18:22 8PM: Looks good for GOP
9:30PM: Oops, no wave.
11:00PM: HOLY SHIT WHAT’S HAPPENING
04:24:07 Retweeted @MysteryPollster 04:23:55 Just a matter of time RT @NateSilver538: GOP needs just ONE of LA, NC, IA, AK, VA to clinch. http://t.co/fLyJkYwBnu
04:25:44 Retweeted @ZekeJMiller 04:25:33 Game over. GOP majority.
04:27:02 Retweeted @passantino 04:26:49 59 minutes before AP https://t.co/WOWzoPn31A
04:27:50 Retweeted @nickconfessore 04:27:00 Will be interested in thots from @UpshotNYT and elsewhere why so many races seemed so close (to both sides) but tilted so consistently.
04:28:48 Retweeted @tapbot_paul 04:28:35 Gridlock FTW!
04:31:17 Retweeted @Taniel 04:30:30 The GOP has swept all the close races tonight. But #NCSen is the first big race they've won where they were slightly behind in the average.
04:45:08 Being distracted from my ’16 stuff by ’14. Collecting data to try to look to see if the 2012 bias pattern was repeated, or just +D bias.
05:01:27 Two problems with the analysis I want to do. 1st, RCP only has avgs for 18 of the 36 Senate races. 2nd, still have to wait for final % nums.
05:02:31 Retweeted @BenjySarlin 05:01:36 #skewed RT @pbump: In contested Senate races with at least 60% reporting, GOP outperformed polls by 4.7 pts on avg http://t.co/wNmOH9VDAt
05:07:07 .@BenjySarlin @pbump I was working on that graph! Looks diff than bias pattern in ’12 where bias was to closeness. http://t.co/Lem21WLDHM in reply to BenjySarlin
05:19:07 Reading – Senate Polls Had A Significant Democratic Skew (@NateSilver538) http://t.co/DkMD7dwhgg
05:24:09 Retweeted @SeanTrende 05:19:00 If ABC's projection is correct, GOP gets largest House majority since 1928. Hard not to call this a wave.
05:24:26 Retweeted @EdMorrissey 05:21:42 Been calling this one all day RT @MelissaTweets: RT @AnnCoulter: Dana Bash on MSNBC saying Maine Sen. Angus King is willing to caucus w/GOP.
05:43:38 Retweeted @seanmdav 05:42:51 Just two months ago, @SamWangPHD said Dems were 90% favorites to keep the Senate. https://t.co/DKABnfOdMA
05:44:13 .@seanmdav @SamWangPhD @Heminator Read again. Tweet says 65% for Election Day. in reply to seanmdav
05:47:57 Retweeted @NateSilver538 05:41:22 Bias not quite as bad in gov polls. Still — polls overestimated Democrats by 2 points and miscalled several races: http://t.co/kdh8GoKcPc
06:46:42 Finished my scan for new ’16 Pres polls. Tons of polls since I last looked 4 days ago, but everybody busy with ’14. Nothing new for ’16. :-(
07:07:03 Retweeted @samsteinhp 07:06:23 Fantastic HUFFPOST splash right now http://t.co/BDKstwlool
10:53:46 Trying to finish writing my posts for my election stuff, but Alex has a fever and is having trouble sleeping. So hanging with him for a bit.
11:39:37 Alex up & down and up & down. Fever. Congested. Coughing. Looks like I’ll be up all night. May WFH and make it a half day to help with him.
17:00:45 [Abulpost] Electoral College: Launching 2016 Coverage http://t.co/EtOqaHEkL2
18:01:01 [Abulpost] Electoral College: A Tour of the 2016 Site http://t.co/sm1XNVAAmW
19:00:25 [Abulpost] Electoral College: 2016 Coverage FAQ http://t.co/tneJmx8cUl
20:00:52 [Abulpost] Electoral College: The Race Begins http://t.co/e7yP557sqi
20:47:37 Retweeted @dceiver 20:46:50 What I want Obama to say right now, is "Fuck it, y'all, we're minting the trillion dollar platinum coin!"

@abulsme tweets from 2014-11-04 (UTC)

06:37:35 Reading – Search launched after woman says she tossed boy, 6, off Ore. bridge (Cathy McLain) http://t.co/nPE30KcFPT
17:42:43 Taking the day off to finish up a few last things on my 2016 Electoral College site. Alex is also home with a fever today.
17:47:06 First up, I realized the caching I added a few days ago was missing a bunch of stuff that was loading client side. Fixed now, much improved.
18:44:57 Fixed a minor font issue with links. That leaves only one more thing on the to do list, not counting updating polls and writing blog posts.

@abulsme tweets from 2014-11-03 (UTC)

09:59:31 Retweeted @AfricasaCountry 06:43:30 CNN should just fill the screen with this map & mute the sound during the parts where they try to "discuss" ebola http://t.co/4TyMaG1a3j
11:23:53 Added a bunch of caching to my Electoral College pages. Not big diff now, but if it ever gets real load it will help. http://t.co/484fZNqor5
11:25:27 Also added a red/blue color swatch to the state detail pages to match map colors on national summary page. http://t.co/Kd8GtqpAfn
11:33:15 Left on to do list: Build state level compare, a minor font issue on links, writing a FAQ and the launch blog posts. http://t.co/484fZNqor5
11:34:27 Tempted to do more right now, but need to do that sleep thing for at least a few hours. :-/
19:43:19 :-( RT @BreakingNews: Tom Magliozzi, co-host of NPR's 'Car Talk' show, has died at age 77 – @NPR http://t.co/5xIajTmYss
19:46:19 Retweeted @NPRinskeep 19:40:48 More on the death of Tom Magliozzi: http://t.co/D4qQXBDnFp

@abulsme tweets from 2014-11-02 (UTC)

03:07:48 For @AmyNotAmy RT @komonews: Were you at #FreakNight2014 last night? Send us your pics and video.
03:09:41 Retweeted @astro_reid 2014-10-29 16:52:54 Not every day is easy. Yesterday was a tough one. #sunrise http://t.co/gfDB4Noelh
03:15:14 Ha Ha! -> The video of Sharyl Attkisson getting вЂњhackedвЂќ actually just shows a stuck delete key (@Max_Fisher) http://t.co/zuXsBaVnvM
03:29:41 Retweeted @jonostrower 03:16:02 Hart implies unclear how Siebold got out of spacecraft, his chute was found deployed. Alsbury's wasn't. No ejection system on #SpaceShipTwo
04:57:48 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten 04:43:48 .@fivethirtyeight now has the GOP chance of controlling 53 or more seats next Congress at 40.4%. Chance of Dem control? 28.4%.
22:09:17 Since in ’12 the poll bias was to make things look closer than they were http://t.co/Lem21WLDHM ~25% chance of Dems keeping Sen seems high.
22:33:37 Testing Something @abulsme"@ElecCollPolls

@abulsme tweets from 2014-11-01 (UTC)

04:20:44 Retweeted @thenicolabryant 03:53:42 Perfect! вЂњ@BarnabyEdwards: I think Sean Pertwee just won the internet with his Halloween costume… #DoctorWho http://t.co/xuRb6KtdifвЂќ in reply to BarnabyEdwards
08:02:14 Retweeted @DKElections 2014-10-27 15:48:01 This is a must-bookmark link for election junkies: our poll closing times map http://t.co/qVfti4o7aV http://t.co/sGWT8OwiIP
08:22:27 New 2016 Presidential polls from @GravisMarketing in NC, FL & MT added. See @ElecCollPolls and http://t.co/484fZNqor5 for details.
11:21:38 Retweeted @ElecCollPolls 11:21:06 A page comparing the five best polled 2016 presidential candidate combinations has been added to the summary site: http://t.co/gZ5LmJHOBx
11:30:02 As you can see, I decided not to try to display the ranges on the EC margin. It would just be even more of a horrible unreadable jumble. :-)

@abulsme tweets from 2014-10-31 (UTC)

16:36:29 Fixed a bug in the still incomplete comparison page that was causing a bunch of blank results. http://t.co/r85eXRJiph
16:37:12 Hopefully I’ll finish up that comparison page this weekend. Going back and forth on trying to show the full margin ranges or not.
16:37:57 Five range areas on top of each other, mostly overlapping, will probably be an unreadable mess. So I may just go with five expected lines.
16:38:45 That would also be faster and easier for me to do, but vacillating if I should even try the overlapping ranges first to see how it looks.
18:30:50 :-( MT @BreakingNews Virgin Galactic’s SpaceShipTwo crashes near Mojave, Calif.; status of crew uncertain – @KGETnews http://t.co/ejyxGSm1BR
18:41:00 See @spacecom feed for onsite updates from #SpaceShipTwo crash site. Sad. Unlike Antares, this was of course manned. :-(
20:04:33 Retweeted @richardbranson 20:04:19 Thoughts with all @virgingalactic & Scaled, thanks for all your messages of support. I'm flying to Mojave immediately to be with the team.
20:50:34 [Abulpost] Curmudgeon's Corner: Vote for Sam! http://t.co/r13yOgT3Rv

@abulsme tweets from 2014-10-30 (UTC)

00:02:40 Reading – AT&T, Verizon Using 'Perma-Cookies' to Track Customer Web Activity (Juli Clover) http://t.co/6eBi0bgvqp
00:06:04 Reading – MCX Says QR Payments App Will Pivot To NFC If Necessary, Won’t Fine Retailers (Josh Constine) http://t.co/mzI7QrtCVC
00:08:35 Reading – Harry Reid Warns Of Impeachment If Republicans Win The Senate (Sahil Kapur) http://t.co/owmYZOSHfN
00:12:45 Reading – Why No Labels is trying to take out moderate Democrat Mark Udall (Andrew Prokop) http://t.co/KMvO5vcbrd
00:55:27 Watching – Mic Technique (@danbenjamin) http://t.co/zZVU8HlB3u
00:58:15 Reading – Hands on with Sprout, HP's keyboard-and-mouse killer (Sean O'Kane) http://t.co/PEFeaZ7lGx
01:00:44 Reading – Why GOP could win four gubernatorial races in 'liberal' New England (Mark Trumbull) http://t.co/3bh8GMTa0j
03:22:34 Retweeted @AmyNotAmy 03:21:42 My brother just tried to trick my dad into opening his door by saying "It's me, mommy! Dinner is ready. It's really mommy"
05:37:07 Retweeted @BYUfan 05:26:36 Don't just let those uncontested races go unchallenged! #VoteForSam http://t.co/ZFiMcGX5TA
05:38:45 .@BYUfan Thank you for your support. A vote for Sam is a vote for contested elections. Or something. :-) in reply to BYUfan
19:05:18 Reading – These Are the 12 Words in Tim Cook's Coming Out Essay That Made Me Tear Up (Noah Michelson) http://t.co/MTTCJnRowE
19:06:09 Reading – Al Jazeera America Viewers Down Nearly 50 Percent From Current TV's Numbers (Jordan Chariton) http://t.co/PTSJFkZiqF
19:14:17 Reading – Senate Update: Exit To Recountland (@NateSilver538) http://t.co/i4xfYB3Ys8
19:18:40 Reading – Why Hillary Clinton would be smart to announce her presidential candidacy ASAP (@TheFix) http://t.co/cmoO4hxQld
19:21:49 Reading – Fed says goodbye to historic easing program: 4 key takeaways (Schuyler Velasco) http://t.co/ogOyVX22YM
20:10:19 Retweeted @owillis 20:09:50 one of these things is not like the other, one of these things is not a doctor who companion http://t.co/dz7ghJzAHI
20:10:55 .@owillis Not yet! But who knows what they will do next season! :-) in reply to owillis
20:55:19 Retweeted @AmyNotAmy 20:54:43 VOTE FOR MY DAD
"@BYUfan: Don't just let those uncontested races go unchallenged! #VoteForSam http://t.co/y6phVRtJxi" in reply to BYUfan

@abulsme tweets from 2014-10-29 (UTC)

01:47:44 Retweeted @AdamWeinstein 01:40:02 Have you ever watched a space rocket explode on launch from a Cessna at 3000 feet? You have now: https://t.co/eUeaegkWfd h/t @JamesFallows
01:59:42 Reading – Can Early Voting Predict the Final Vote? Maybe. (@smotus) http://t.co/MXYtObP3CU
02:11:34 Sounds about right. :-) -> Reading – Onward To 2016! (@ChrisWeigant) http://t.co/Jho7W22o1P
04:33:25 I just hit level 13 and scored 20,455 points in Critter Panic! That was fun :D http://t.co/peMFfumWLw
04:55:53 Reading – Walmart's response to displeasure over dropping NFC and Apple Pay payments is laughable (Derek Kessler) http://t.co/CKqtc4pz9D
13:56:24 Reading – Senate Update: The Momentum Mirage (@ForecasterEnten/@NateSilver538) http://t.co/751DUZTYxX
14:13:37 Reading from March – Scientists confirm dad’s common sense: 5-second rule totally legit (Patrik Jonsson) http://t.co/uIyc9faBUZ
14:15:47 Reading from March – Proof The Republican Party Can’t Be Moderate, In One Graph (Ryan O'Donnell) http://t.co/TIs2NPfVwM
14:22:50 Reading from March – For GOP, Congress Is a Pair of Cement Shoes (Scott Galupo) http://t.co/XsC0ib7BfP
16:09:32 Reading – The Crisis in U.S.-Israel Relations Is Officially Here (Jeffrey Goldberg) http://t.co/FtIt5QEWKV
16:13:54 Reading – Why ChickenshitGate Matters (@20committee) http://t.co/JGoiB6cEuu
19:46:05 Reading – FBI: We Faked AP Story To Catch Bomb Suspect But Didn't Spoof Newspaper (Gene Johnson) http://t.co/uIDYyqTNvX
19:47:46 Reading – Apple SIM Included With iPad for Customer Convenience, but iPhone Not Likely to Join In (Kelly Hodgkins) http://t.co/nWac9SeHfx
20:03:05 Or even better just whole world UTC/GMT! -> It's time to make daylight saving time year-round (@josephstromberg) http://t.co/nxzykFYfRU
23:35:18 Reading – Lindsey Graham unfiltered (Peter Hamby) http://t.co/SWyRwDgWqS
23:53:03 Reading – Apple: Don’t do math in iOS 8’s Notification Center (Jason Snell) http://t.co/Kkzftm4BE9

@abulsme tweets from 2014-10-28 (UTC)

18:16:39 Retweeted @AmyNotAmy 16:49:46 This morning I randomly woke up and only about fifteen minutes after I started getting ready for class did I realize it was 1am. <symbol>
18:16:46 Retweeted @AmyNotAmy 18:08:43 @abulsme you should replace me with a better daughter who understand how clocks work
18:17:28 .@AmyNotAmy I think you spin them and then count how long it takes for them to fall or something. in reply to AmyNotAmy
20:12:29 Retweeted @swardley 2014-10-25 18:15:00 Everything you need to know about Knowledge and Expertise in one handy graph http://t.co/sigX2000EF
22:28:36 Oops. RT @brownpau: Launch failure. #Antares has crashed back onto the pad and exploded. #orb3 http://t.co/9aaRqgHeW9
22:34:48 Retweeted @BoingBoing 22:28:49 Significant property damage and significant vehicle damage but no known injury or casualties, says NASA #Antares launch director.
22:47:48 Retweeted @AlexJamesFitz 22:30:04 Here's some rough footage of the #Antares rocket exploding after liftoff https://t.co/uacSETQeg5
22:59:44 Retweeted @markknoller 22:33:02 Leading the network evening newscasts: CBS: Unmanned NASA rocket explodes; ABC: river of lava in Hawaii; NBC: Ebola quarantines

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