This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

Categories

Calendar

November 2025
S M T W T F S
 1
2345678
9101112131415
16171819202122
23242526272829
30  

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-09-25 (UTC)

  • 02:34:39 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NJ from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 35.60% to Trump 36.19% https://t.co/QqP3qDpgOw
  • 02:34:45 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NJ from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 35.60% to Trump 36.19% to Johnson 5.48%
  • 02:39:43 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NM from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 30.14% to Trump 29.76% https://t.co/KdHmQkyQ2Q
  • 02:39:48 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NM from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 30.14% to Trump 29.76% to Johnson 17.90%
  • 02:40:02 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NM has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump https://t.co/KdHmQkyQ2Q
  • 02:54:12 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 0.8 in NM -> Clinton by 0.1 in KS https://t.co/lyZIv8GQxx
  • 02:54:13 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 278 to Trump 260 -> Clinton 273 to Trump 265 https://t.co/lyZIv8GQxx
  • 03:04:44 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NV from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 32.23% to Trump 33.54% https://t.co/9TiErrtNaj
  • 03:04:49 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NV from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 32.23% to Trump 33.54% to Johnson 15.06%
  • 03:17:06 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NY from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 41.56% to Trump 28.23% https://t.co/noeC7NWY3h
  • 03:17:11 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NY from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 41.56% to Trump 28.23% to Johnson 6.76%
  • 05:19:46 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OH from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 33.76% to Trump 32.71% https://t.co/jX5kqhinzT
  • 05:19:51 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OH from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 33.76% to Trump 32.71% to Johnson 7.79%
  • 05:25:30 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OK from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 27.82% to Trump 44.20% https://t.co/UVY7QUWdfp
  • 05:25:35 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OK from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 27.82% to Trump 44.20% to Johnson 8.45%
  • 05:55:48 Poll Added: Google w/3P in OR from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40.19% to Trump 28.11% https://t.co/C4mGGTMTCX
  • 05:55:53 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in OR from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40.19% to Trump 28.11% to Johnson 7.93%
  • 06:01:38 Poll Added: Google w/3P in PA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 34.81% to Trump 36.05% https://t.co/lRQ6ICvBZS
  • 06:01:43 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in PA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 34.81% to Trump 36.05% to Johnson 7.56%
  • 18:09:06 Poll Added: Google w/3P in RI from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 46.40% to Trump 30.90% https://t.co/DVPdKlLx8y
  • 18:09:11 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in RI from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 46.40% to Trump 30.90% to Johnson 8.84%
  • 18:16:19 Poll Added: Google w/3P in SC from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 33.23% to Trump 40.95% https://t.co/8A8ZHLs8Ov
  • 18:16:24 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in SC from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 33.23% to Trump 40.95% to Johnson 7.28%
  • 18:24:19 Poll Added: Google w/3P in SD from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 31.03% to Trump 30.11% https://t.co/jWJggE2w5l
  • 18:24:24 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in SD from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 31.03% to Trump 30.11% to Johnson 13.38%
  • 18:32:33 Poll Added: Google w/3P in TN from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 28.63% to Trump 41.49% https://t.co/MdleB52MeU
  • 18:32:38 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in TN from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 28.63% to Trump 41.49% to Johnson 9.14%
  • 18:40:11 Poll Added: Google w/3P in TX from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 28.94% to Trump 42.35% https://t.co/obkqHjbWX6
  • 18:40:16 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in TX from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 28.94% to Trump 42.35% to Johnson 7.62%
  • 18:46:23 Poll Added: Google w/3P in UT from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 27.93% to Trump 24.07% https://t.co/vcUI7G27bE
  • 18:46:28 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in UT from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 27.93% to Trump 24.07% to Johnson 8.38%
  • 18:46:41 Clinton vs Trump state category change: UT has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/vcUI7G27bE
  • 18:55:03 Poll Added: Google w/3P in VA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 36.26% to Trump 36.84% https://t.co/laE3AtODZg
  • 18:55:08 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in VA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 36.26% to Trump 36.84% to Johnson 7.64%
  • 19:01:07 Poll Added: Google w/3P in VT from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 43.99% to Trump 18.62% https://t.co/wMilBaw6pK
  • 19:01:12 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in VT from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 43.99% to Trump 18.62% to Johnson 10.38%
  • 19:09:36 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 36.97% to Trump 28.20% https://t.co/LcbPUSYIY3
  • 19:09:41 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 36.97% to Trump 28.20% to Johnson 10.83%
  • 19:15:33 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WI from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 42.22% to Trump 24.49% https://t.co/D2RCcF0rWj
  • 19:15:38 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WI from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 42.22% to Trump 24.49% to Johnson 8.14%
  • 19:22:13 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WV from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 19.42% to Trump 35.52% https://t.co/4PV8AG3iZn
  • 19:22:18 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WV from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 19.42% to Trump 35.52% to Johnson 10.50%
  • 19:28:46 Poll Added: Google w/3P in WY from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 30.13% to Trump 45.26% https://t.co/KDFGK1cYpf
  • 19:28:51 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in WY from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 30.13% to Trump 45.26% to Johnson 3.58%
  • 20:54:18 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in CO from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 40% to Trump 39% https://t.co/ltx8c058ml
  • 20:54:23 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in CO from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 40% to Trump 39% to Johnson 7% to Stein 2%
  • 20:57:49 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in VA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 45% to Trump 37% https://t.co/3Etyah3iLi
  • 20:57:54 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in VA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 45% to Trump 37% to Johnson 7% to Stein 1%
  • 21:00:15 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in MO from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 37% to Trump 46% https://t.co/oOXFmNsZWD
  • 21:00:20 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in MO from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 37% to Trump 46% to Johnson 5% to Stein 2%
  • 21:00:33 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MO has moved from Weak Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/oOXFmNboy3
  • 21:08:21 Poll Added: UNH in ME-CD2 from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 34% to Trump 48% https://t.co/YJyY0Nd14q
  • 21:08:37 Clinton vs Trump state category change: ME-CD2 has moved from Weak Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/YJyY0Nd14q
  • 21:19:51 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 374 to Trump 164 -> Clinton 363 to Trump 175 https://t.co/0AnjoTLmu9
  • 21:29:47 BTW, that should have been 2 separate changes. 374-164 to 364-174 for MO, then to 363-175 for ME-CD2. I went too fast and they combined. :-) in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 21:32:33 Poll Added: UNH in ME-CD1 from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 50% to Trump 28% https://t.co/VyfKbN2TfC
  • 21:37:56 Poll Added: UNH w/4P [2] in ME-All from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40% to Trump 36% https://t.co/JMEEqBsdPA
  • 21:38:01 Full 4P results: UNH w/4P [2] in ME-All from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40% to Trump 36% to Johnson 12% to Stein 3%
  • 21:39:53 Poll Added: UNH [2] in ME-All from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 42% to Trump 37% https://t.co/RiEBtjomaM
  • 21:46:16 Poll Added: Hinckley w/4P in UT from 2016-09-12 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 25% to Trump 34% https://t.co/ZkqANiNRpE
  • 21:46:21 Full 4P results: Hinckley w/4P in UT from 2016-09-12 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 25% to Trump 34% to Johnson 13% to Stein 1%
  • 21:46:49 Note the Hinckley Utah poll also included McMullin, who came in at 12%. in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 21:52:40 Poll Added: Just Win w/3P in WV from 2016-09-08 to 2016-09-10 – Clinton 30% to Trump 57% https://t.co/vBfPJJBbQS
  • 21:52:45 Full 3P results: Just Win w/3P in WV from 2016-09-08 to 2016-09-10 – Clinton 30% to Trump 57% to Johnson 4%
  • 22:09:27 Poll Added: Muhlenberg [3] in PA from 2016-09-19 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 44% to Trump 41% https://t.co/zBVhdErZDv
  • 22:10:48 Poll Added: Muhlenberg w/Lean [3] in PA from 2016-09-19 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 44% to Trump 41% https://t.co/rYqBuiIuDN
  • 22:13:08 Poll Added: Muhlenberg w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-09-19 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 40% to Trump 38% https://t.co/lAoyE8GVKJ
  • 22:13:13 Full 4P results: Muhlenberg w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-09-19 to 2016-09-23 – Clinton 40% to Trump 38% to Johnson 8% to Stein 3%
  • 22:17:56 Poll Added: JMC w/4P in GA from 2016-09-20 to 2016-09-22 – Clinton 38% to Trump 44% https://t.co/ecTnW76XLl
  • 22:18:01 Full 4P results: JMC w/4P in GA from 2016-09-20 to 2016-09-22 – Clinton 38% to Trump 44% to Johnson 5% to Stein 1%
  • 22:20:59 Poll Added: Landmark w/3P in GA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-22 – Clinton 42.9% to Trump 46.5% https://t.co/kgSAyZEXP6
  • 22:21:04 Full 3P results: Landmark w/3P in GA from 2016-09-21 to 2016-09-22 – Clinton 42.9% to Trump 46.5% to Johnson 5.7%
  • 23:11:30 Poll Added: GQR w/4P [3] in NC from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 41% to Trump 39% https://t.co/8rF2MkEnU4
  • 23:11:35 Full 4P results: GQR w/4P [3] in NC from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 41% to Trump 39% to Johnson 9% to Stein 3%
  • 23:12:10 Poll Added: GQR w/Lean w/4P [3] in NC from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 44% to Trump 40% https://t.co/i2bdrhzSPC
  • 23:12:15 Full 4P results: GQR w/Lean w/4P [3] in NC from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 44% to Trump 40% to Johnson 9% to Stein 3%
  • 23:14:25 Poll Added: GQR [3] in NC from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 48% to Trump 45% https://t.co/vfYDl8wtQp
  • 23:18:17 Poll Added: GQR w/4P [3] in NV from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 42% to Trump 41% https://t.co/FN532GTnl5
  • 23:18:22 Full 4P results: GQR w/4P [3] in NV from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 42% to Trump 41% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
  • 23:20:18 Poll Added: GQR w/Lean w/4P [3] in NV from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 42% to Trump 42% https://t.co/5tLOL4I2fZ
  • 23:20:23 Full 4P results: GQR w/Lean w/4P [3] in NV from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 42% to Trump 42% to Johnson 7% to Stein 3%
  • 23:21:58 Poll Added: GQR [3] in NV from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 49% to Trump 46% https://t.co/0OO3UU2JN1
  • 23:25:06 Poll Added: GQR w/4P [3] in OH from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 38% to Trump 39% https://t.co/IZ1MIshHjh
  • 23:25:11 Full 4P results: GQR w/4P [3] in OH from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 38% to Trump 39% to Johnson 10% to Stein 4%
  • 23:26:46 Poll Added: GQR w/Lean w/4P [3] in OH from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 39% to Trump 41% https://t.co/wnRn1FcOJx
  • 23:26:51 Full 4P results: GQR w/Lean w/4P [3] in OH from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 39% to Trump 41% to Johnson 11% to Stein 4%
  • 23:29:03 Poll Added: GQR [3] in OH from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 46% to Trump 46% https://t.co/DtAUiUp3w1
  • 23:32:12 Poll Added: GQR w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 45% to Trump 37% https://t.co/ecABISZgNt
  • 23:32:17 Full 4P results: GQR w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 45% to Trump 37% to Johnson 8% to Stein 3%
  • 23:33:53 Poll Added: GQR w/Lean w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 46% to Trump 38% https://t.co/oZzUyHwfi6
  • 23:33:58 Full 4P results: GQR w/Lean w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 46% to Trump 38% to Johnson 8% to Stein 3%
  • 23:35:48 Poll Added: GQR [3] in PA from 2016-09-10 to 2016-09-19 – Clinton 51% to Trump 42% https://t.co/noOKL4yZ7o

@abulsme tweets from 2016-09-25 (UTC)

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-09-24 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-09-24 (UTC)

  • 02:08:40 Poll Added: Google w/3P in CO from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40.60% to Trump 28.49% https://t.co/xvfyd2lrwd
  • 02:08:45 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in CO from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40.60% to Trump 28.49% to Johnson 9.36%
  • 02:14:50 Poll Added: Google w/3P in CT from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 39.00% to Trump 31.80% https://t.co/9jclDTkqze
  • 02:14:55 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in CT from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 39.00% to Trump 31.80% to Johnson 6.07%
  • 02:21:21 Poll Added: Google w/3P in DC from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 43.22% to Trump 28.46% https://t.co/vA8P0RkoY6
  • 02:21:26 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in DC from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 43.22% to Trump 28.46% to Johnson 9.39%
  • 02:31:17 Poll Added: Google w/3P in DE from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 41.23% to Trump 30.04% https://t.co/o35Rpqa9D4
  • 02:31:22 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in DE from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 41.23% to Trump 30.04% to Johnson 6.60%
  • 02:38:31 Poll Added: Google w/3P in FL from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 30.25% to Trump 43.12% https://t.co/ABkAACsyAm
  • 02:38:36 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in FL from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 30.25% to Trump 43.12% to Johnson 8.07%
  • 02:38:46 Clinton vs Trump state category change: FL has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump https://t.co/ABkAACsyAm
  • 02:54:03 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 1.3 in FL -> Clinton by 0.8 in NM https://t.co/4iJmiLWBuU
  • 02:54:04 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 301 to Trump 237 -> Clinton 272 to Trump 266 https://t.co/4iJmiLWBuU
  • 03:02:11 Poll Added: Google w/3P in GA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 30.02% to Trump 44.88% https://t.co/M8Tnq1KlLE
  • 03:02:16 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in GA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 30.02% to Trump 44.88% to Johnson 6.65%
  • 03:10:50 Poll Added: Google w/3P in HI from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 43.20% to Trump 31.59% https://t.co/FtVYIhKsX5
  • 03:10:55 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in HI from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 43.20% to Trump 31.59% to Johnson 2.79%
  • 03:42:29 Poll Added: Google w/3P in IA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 29.97% to Trump 30.86% https://t.co/qk9m9vgF7b
  • 03:42:34 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in IA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 29.97% to Trump 30.86% to Johnson 11.39%
  • 03:42:44 Clinton vs Trump state category change: IA has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump https://t.co/qk9m9vgF7b
  • 03:54:05 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 352 to Trump 186 -> Clinton 358 to Trump 180 https://t.co/ypucXM68Hn
  • 05:13:13 Poll Added: Google w/3P in ID from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 18.72% to Trump 43.51% https://t.co/DCb1spur5w
  • 05:13:18 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in ID from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 18.72% to Trump 43.51% to Johnson 8.14%
  • 05:22:56 Poll Added: Google w/3P in IL from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 39.01% to Trump 29.40% https://t.co/WO6USb2Iuz
  • 05:23:01 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in IL from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 39.01% to Trump 29.40% to Johnson 8.12%
  • 05:34:08 Poll Added: Google w/3P in IN from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 31.89% to Trump 32.25% https://t.co/Z6xNDwiTOU
  • 05:34:13 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in IN from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 31.89% to Trump 32.25% to Johnson 9.42%
  • 05:34:25 Clinton vs Trump state category change: IN has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/Z6xNDwiTOU
  • 15:51:32 Poll Added: Google w/3P in KS from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 41.30% to Trump 29.59% https://t.co/pviBUfzmIk
  • 15:51:37 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in KS from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 41.30% to Trump 29.59% to Johnson 7.37%
  • 15:51:50 Clinton vs Trump state category change: KS has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Clinton https://t.co/pviBUfhLjK
  • 15:56:47 Can people other than Google please poll Kansas a bit more often? Because Google in Kansas is just way off from what others have found… :-/
  • 16:05:02 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 358 to Trump 180 -> Clinton 364 to Trump 174 https://t.co/9Ws30lB2LJ
  • 16:05:03 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 272 to Trump 266 -> Clinton 278 to Trump 260 https://t.co/9Ws30lB2LJ
  • 16:13:45 Poll Added: Google w/3P in KY from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 29.61% to Trump 40.67% https://t.co/5fNyqOLj7a
  • 16:13:50 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in KY from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 29.61% to Trump 40.67% to Johnson 7.07%
  • 16:15:55 Retweeted @jmb4028 15:59:08 @ElecCollPolls Hillary might not be up 17 there? in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 16:19:17 .@jmb4028 Their most recent only has her up by 12%, but yeah, exactly. They are 3/5 of my KS avg now & making KS look like a toss up. But… in reply to jmb4028
  • 16:24:17 Poll Added: Google w/3P in LA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 25.28% to Trump 53.54% https://t.co/9a8teiA8kp
  • 16:24:22 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in LA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 25.28% to Trump 53.54% to Johnson 0.98%
  • 16:29:12 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 50.03% to Trump 23.57% https://t.co/THbuAHdT3l
  • 16:29:17 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 50.03% to Trump 23.57% to Johnson 8.11%
  • 16:34:10 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MD from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 43.47% to Trump 26.86% https://t.co/uR4lsdpeBr
  • 16:34:15 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MD from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 43.47% to Trump 26.86% to Johnson 8.30%
  • 16:45:52 Poll Added: Google w/3P in ME-All from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 33.30% to Trump 35.15% https://t.co/FGmWvwDoNJ
  • 16:45:56 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in ME-All from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 33.30% to Trump 35.15% to Johnson 7.28%
  • 16:57:57 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MI from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 34.85% to Trump 33.58% https://t.co/dLEGWE5P00
  • 16:58:02 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MI from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 34.85% to Trump 33.58% to Johnson 7.93%
  • 17:05:49 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MN from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 37.20% to Trump 26.85% https://t.co/Ff1sAv60xb
  • 17:05:54 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MN from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 37.20% to Trump 26.85% to Johnson 8.74%
  • 17:11:59 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MO from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 33.26% to Trump 31.81% https://t.co/4bmw6wt0jr
  • 17:12:04 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MO from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 33.26% to Trump 31.81% to Johnson 10.02%
  • 17:12:16 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MO has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump https://t.co/4bmw6wt0jr
  • 17:35:04 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 364 to Trump 174 -> Clinton 374 to Trump 164 https://t.co/rdrOFGbMjL
  • 17:39:52 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MS from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 17.14% to Trump 54.84% https://t.co/sxA7cTzFdL
  • 17:39:57 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MS from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 17.14% to Trump 54.84% to Johnson 4.33%
  • 17:45:18 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MT from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 32.75% to Trump 28.94% https://t.co/KeEyhOXo5M
  • 17:45:23 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MT from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 32.75% to Trump 28.94% to Johnson 13.28%
  • 17:45:39 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MT has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/KeEyhOFMHc
  • 19:11:45 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NC from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 32.31% to Trump 39.54% https://t.co/hTptpWsL8A
  • 19:11:50 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NC from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 32.31% to Trump 39.54% to Johnson 8.51%
  • 19:19:08 Poll Added: Google w/3P in ND from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 17.44% to Trump 39.19% https://t.co/pkHSdcTt42
  • 19:19:13 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in ND from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 17.44% to Trump 39.19% to Johnson 12.96%
  • 19:25:07 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NE-All from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 29.11% to Trump 41.65% https://t.co/ePsNDqK8yS
  • 19:25:12 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NE-All from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 29.11% to Trump 41.65% to Johnson 6.77%
  • 19:33:58 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NH from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 28.44% to Trump 37.61% https://t.co/679g1q67PQ
  • 19:34:03 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NH from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 28.44% to Trump 37.61% to Johnson 12.73%
  • 19:34:14 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NH has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton https://t.co/679g1q67PQ
  • 19:55:02 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 220 to Trump 318 -> Clinton 216 to Trump 322 https://t.co/JquIyrYs7p
  • 20:31:37 Poll Added: DFM w/4P in WY from 2016-09-06 to 2016-09-11 – Clinton 19% to Trump 54% https://t.co/Hm4LcOJst9
  • 20:31:42 Full 4P results: DFM w/4P in WY from 2016-09-06 to 2016-09-11 – Clinton 19% to Trump 54% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
  • 20:55:22 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 20:55:02 Interviews with @THELuisAMendez, @hominidviews and @abulsme on election tracking! -> Curmudgeon's Corner 2016-09-24 https://t.co/n8XH2nwWg2

@abulsme tweets from 2016-09-24 (UTC)

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Election Tracking Sites

On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner podcast, we take a pause from this week’s news, and instead present interviews with three people who do independent electoral college projections based on state polls… Luis Mendez from projectiondesk.com, Darryl Holman from horsesass.org, and of course our own Sam Minter from electiongraphs.com. They each talk about how they got into this sort of analysis, what makes their sites different, and more. Enjoy!

Click below to listen or subscribe… then let us know your own thoughts!

CCCover20151125bw

 

1-Click Subscribe in iTunes
View Podcast in iTunes
View Raw Podcast Feed
Download MP3 File
Follow the podcast on Facebook
patreon-30x30 Support us on Patreon

Show Details:

Recorded 2016-09-24
Length this week – 2:48:35

 

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-09-23 (UTC)

  • 03:09:06 Poll Added: SMOR w/3P in LA from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-17 – Clinton 33% to Trump 49% https://t.co/XxxclLpMc4
  • 03:09:11 Full 3P results: SMOR w/3P in LA from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-17 – Clinton 33% to Trump 49% to Johnson 8%
  • 03:16:13 Poll Added: PPIC w/4P in CA from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-18 – Clinton 47% to Trump 31% https://t.co/GbxwFx7TfT
  • 03:16:18 Full 4P results: PPIC w/4P in CA from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-18 – Clinton 47% to Trump 31% to Johnson 10% to Stein 5%
  • 03:25:34 Poll Added: Fox LV w/3P [4] in NV from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40% to Trump 43% https://t.co/B0hlqLOuiD
  • 03:25:39 Full 3P results: Fox LV w/3P [4] in NV from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40% to Trump 43% to Johnson 8%
  • 03:27:59 Poll Added: Fox RV w/3P [4] in NV from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 38% to Trump 39% https://t.co/negOwKCWtl
  • 03:28:04 Full 3P results: Fox RV w/3P [4] in NV from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 38% to Trump 39% to Johnson 9%
  • 03:30:53 Poll Added: Fox LV [4] in NV from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 42% to Trump 46% https://t.co/OjjAmp7oHr
  • 03:32:30 Poll Added: Fox RV [4] in NV from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40% to Trump 43% https://t.co/tCJ2q0TujH
  • 03:38:06 Poll Added: Fox LV w/4P [4] in OH from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 37% to Trump 42% https://t.co/YpdSoba72j
  • 03:38:11 Full 4P results: Fox LV w/4P [4] in OH from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 37% to Trump 42% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
  • 03:40:04 Poll Added: Fox RV w/4P [4] in OH from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 37% to Trump 40% https://t.co/7p1ws4lbE0
  • 03:40:09 Full 4P results: Fox RV w/4P [4] in OH from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 37% to Trump 40% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
  • 03:41:41 Poll Added: Fox LV [4] in OH from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40% to Trump 45% https://t.co/5UDEtCgxv4
  • 03:43:08 Poll Added: Fox RV [4] in OH from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40% to Trump 43% https://t.co/aGRxpKRikV
  • 04:39:56 Poll Added: Marquette RV [4] in WI from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-18 – Clinton 43% to Trump 38% https://t.co/hazyP5ivzv
  • 04:41:23 Poll Added: Marquette RV w/4P [4] in WI from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-18 – Clinton 39% to Trump 35% https://t.co/TtWFCsdZtP
  • 04:41:28 Full 4P results: Marquette RV w/4P [4] in WI from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-18 – Clinton 39% to Trump 35% to Johnson 12% to Stein 3%
  • 04:43:20 Poll Added: Marquette LV [4] in WI from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-18 – Clinton 44% to Trump 42% https://t.co/AXk3HHASOv
  • 04:44:49 Poll Added: Marquette LV w/4P [4] in WI from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-18 – Clinton 41% to Trump 38% https://t.co/vxHwPt8f0M
  • 04:44:54 Full 4P results: Marquette LV w/4P [4] in WI from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-18 – Clinton 41% to Trump 38% to Johnson 11% to Stein 2%
  • 04:49:38 Poll Added: Monmouth w/4P in NH from 2016-09-17 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 47% to Trump 38% https://t.co/7ByBMEYwsh
  • 04:49:43 Full 4P results: Monmouth w/4P in NH from 2016-09-17 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 47% to Trump 38% to Johnson 10% to Stein 1%
  • 04:52:50 Poll Added: Fox LV w/3P [4] in NC from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40% to Trump 45% https://t.co/OTxcGNPE46
  • 04:52:55 Full 3P results: Fox LV w/3P [4] in NC from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 40% to Trump 45% to Johnson 6%
  • 04:54:34 Poll Added: Fox RV w/3P [4] in NC from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 39% to Trump 43% https://t.co/MSDi6HaWHn
  • 04:54:39 Full 3P results: Fox RV w/3P [4] in NC from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 39% to Trump 43% to Johnson 8%
  • 04:56:43 Poll Added: Fox LV [4] in NC from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 42% to Trump 47% https://t.co/09p3o44BlR
  • 04:58:13 Poll Added: Fox RV [4] in NC from 2016-09-18 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 41% to Trump 46% https://t.co/8nrt2CCuoN
  • 05:41:33 Poll Added: Quinnipiac w/4P [2] in CO from 2016-09-13 to 2016-09-21 – Clinton 44% to Trump 42% https://t.co/QeC9VPv7Li
  • 05:41:38 Full 4P results: Quinnipiac w/4P [2] in CO from 2016-09-13 to 2016-09-21 – Clinton 44% to Trump 42% to Johnson 10% to Stein 2%
  • 05:44:54 Poll Added: Quinnipiac [2] in CO from 2016-09-13 to 2016-09-21 – Clinton 47% to Trump 47% https://t.co/RrAZV7ECAd
  • 05:47:18 Poll Added: Quinnipiac w/3P [2] in GA from 2016-09-13 to 2016-09-21 – Clinton 40% to Trump 47% https://t.co/PAAh0ZaeRR
  • 05:47:23 Full 3P results: Quinnipiac w/3P [2] in GA from 2016-09-13 to 2016-09-21 – Clinton 40% to Trump 47% to Johnson 9%
  • 05:48:47 Poll Added: Quinnipiac [2] in GA from 2016-09-13 to 2016-09-21 – Clinton 44% to Trump 50% https://t.co/IezEGFR0w5
  • 05:51:52 Poll Added: Quinnipiac w/4P [2] in IA from 2016-09-13 to 2016-09-21 – Clinton 37% to Trump 44% https://t.co/TVDmVIeFst
  • 05:51:57 Full 4P results: Quinnipiac w/4P [2] in IA from 2016-09-13 to 2016-09-21 – Clinton 37% to Trump 44% to Johnson 10% to Stein 2%
  • 05:53:20 Poll Added: Quinnipiac [2] in IA from 2016-09-13 to 2016-09-21 – Clinton 44% to Trump 50% https://t.co/w7FFB5o3EC
  • 05:53:30 Clinton vs Trump state category change: IA has moved from Weak Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/w7FFB5o3EC
  • 06:04:14 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 358 to Trump 180 -> Clinton 352 to Trump 186 https://t.co/oXmKP4jIRs
  • 06:09:46 Poll Added: Quinnipiac w/4P [2] in VA from 2016-09-13 to 2016-09-21 – Clinton 45% to Trump 39% https://t.co/6ZmXjkLk4f
  • 06:09:50 Full 4P results: Quinnipiac w/4P [2] in VA from 2016-09-13 to 2016-09-21 – Clinton 45% to Trump 39% to Johnson 8% to Stein 1%
  • 06:11:23 Poll Added: Quinnipiac [2] in VA from 2016-09-13 to 2016-09-21 – Clinton 50% to Trump 43% https://t.co/T0pbbCZqjt
  • 06:26:47 Poll Added: Colorado Mesa [2] in CO from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-18 – Clinton 44% to Trump 35% https://t.co/50PWOnXZL0
  • 06:28:15 Poll Added: Colorado Mesa w/4P [2] in CO from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-18 – Clinton 41% to Trump 34% https://t.co/K2Ju7YGSdH
  • 06:28:20 Full 4P results: Colorado Mesa w/4P [2] in CO from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-18 – Clinton 41% to Trump 34% to Johnson 12% to Stein 3%
  • 06:48:41 Poll Added: Insights West w/4P in AZ from 2016-09-12 to 2016-09-14 – Clinton 33% to Trump 37% https://t.co/gZLZ6g2Bc1
  • 06:48:46 Full 4P results: Insights West w/4P in AZ from 2016-09-12 to 2016-09-14 – Clinton 33% to Trump 37% to Johnson 8% to Stein 1%
  • 06:51:08 Poll Added: Insights West w/4P in CA from 2016-09-12 to 2016-09-14 – Clinton 57% to Trump 30% https://t.co/DyQ9QbaDSX
  • 06:51:13 Full 4P results: Insights West w/4P in CA from 2016-09-12 to 2016-09-14 – Clinton 57% to Trump 30% to Johnson 2% to Stein 1%
  • 06:53:49 Poll Added: Insights West w/3P in NV from 2016-09-12 to 2016-09-14 – Clinton 40% to Trump 42% https://t.co/s624ez5MVP
  • 06:53:54 Full 3P results: Insights West w/3P in NV from 2016-09-12 to 2016-09-14 – Clinton 40% to Trump 42% to Johnson 5%
  • 06:55:53 Poll Added: Insights West w/4P in WA from 2016-09-12 to 2016-09-14 – Clinton 38% to Trump 28% https://t.co/upb9wfZSBV
  • 06:55:58 Full 4P results: Insights West w/4P in WA from 2016-09-12 to 2016-09-14 – Clinton 38% to Trump 28% to Johnson 14% to Stein 5%
  • 07:05:49 Poll Added: DFM w/4P in WY from 2016-09-06 to 2016-09-11 – Clinton 19% to Trump 54% https://t.co/Hm4LcP13kH
  • 07:05:54 Full 4P results: DFM w/4P in WY from 2016-09-06 to 2016-09-11 – Clinton 19% to Trump 54% to Johnson 10% to Stein 2%
  • 07:38:23 Poll Added: DFM w/4P in WY from 2016-09-06 to 2016-09-11 – Clinton 19% to Trump 54% https://t.co/nnGwx2Pjnu
  • 14:43:31 Poll Added: Hendrix w/4P in AR from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-17 – Clinton 34% to Trump 55% https://t.co/NeaF7KvT5F
  • 14:43:36 Full 4P results: Hendrix w/4P in AR from 2016-09-15 to 2016-09-17 – Clinton 34% to Trump 55% to Johnson 3% to Stein 0.5%
  • 14:47:50 Poll Added: Goucher w/4P in MD from 2016-09-17 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 58% to Trump 25% https://t.co/0xX0DSkiOK
  • 14:47:55 Full 4P results: Goucher w/4P in MD from 2016-09-17 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 58% to Trump 25% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
  • 14:56:00 Ok. Finally found non-rounded numbers for the Google 50 state polls. I’ll be applying those to the 5 older weeks as I add the new week.
  • 14:59:14 Poll Added: Google w/3P in AK from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 20.82% to Trump 39.24% https://t.co/3F9F6JeDop
  • 14:59:19 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in AK from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 20.82% to Trump 39.24% to Johnson 8.53%
  • 15:09:31 Poll Added: Google w/3P in AL from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 18.35% to Trump 55.11% https://t.co/0ZO0iM4X1u
  • 15:09:36 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in AL from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 18.35% to Trump 55.11% to Johnson 6.82%
  • 15:14:17 Full 4P results: DFM w/4P in WY from 2016-09-06 to 2016-09-11 – Clinton 19% to Trump 54% to Johnson 10% to Stein 2%
  • 15:16:43 Poll Added: Google w/3P in AR from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 36.41% to Trump 35.42% https://t.co/O1wkT1fsr7
  • 15:16:48 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in AR from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 36.41% to Trump 35.42% to Johnson 6.93%
  • 15:25:01 Poll Added: Google w/3P in AZ from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 37.46% to Trump 32.10% https://t.co/XGPI9fx57g
  • 15:25:06 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in AZ from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 37.46% to Trump 32.10% to Johnson 9.91%
  • 15:47:22 Poll Added: Google w/3P in CA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 46.39% to Trump 28.05% https://t.co/BNaqeSRulu
  • 15:47:27 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in CA from 2016-09-14 to 2016-09-20 – Clinton 46.39% to Trump 28.05% to Johnson 6.88%

@abulsme tweets from 2016-09-23 (UTC)

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-09-22 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-09-22 (UTC)