On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan talk about the run up to the Kavanaugh confirmation, they game out the 2018 midterms, and discuss the New York Times story on Fred Trump’s empire and the questionable ways it was used to help Donald and his siblings. But first, they discuss a few movies.
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Show Details:
Recorded 2018-10-05
Length this week – 1:39:54
(0:00:12-0:16:34) But First
Get well soon Ed
Agenda
Sam Movie: Neverending Story II (1991)
Sam Movie: Maleficent (2014)
Ivan Movies: The Twilight Saga (2008-2012)
(0:17:14-0:49:36) Kavanaugh
Timing Disclaimer
FBI report
Things not in the report
Do lies matter?
Does being an asshole matter?
Why didn’t Trump dump him?
Undecided Senators
(0:52:17-1:15:53) Election 2018
Election Graphs update
House and Senate mirror images
Misinterpreting odds
Enthusiasm
Gaming out the Senate
Kavanaugh Impact
House generic ballot
Changes in the next month?
2016 odds revisited
(1:16:29-1:39:33) Fred Trump’s Empire
Tax fraud schemes
Bailing out Donald
Are the Trumps in trouble now?
Are they still doing it?
Where is his money coming from now?
Investigations?
Other people doing this
The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.
13:49:25 Retweeted @ChadPergram13:01:39 Senate vote on Kavanaugh today expected to be 50 yeas, 48 nays & GOP AK Sen (who opposes) voting “present.”). One absence, GOP MT Sen Daines
20:04:00 I hope Collins against all odds ends up being right about Kavanaugh ending up as a moderate. Or perhaps that Robert… https://t.co/P68Zdg4PwJ
16:16:14 Retweeted @MarkHarrisNYC16:14:45 It seems clear that Collins and Manchin are holding hands and preparing to jump into their legacy. One way or the other.
19:23:53 Retweeted @jkarsh19:21:50 My God, Susan Collins sounds gullible. How can I get in touch with her about and incredibly valuable opportunity involving some swampland?
19:24:27 Retweeted @evanchill19:21:39 Susan Collins is going to have an incredibly well-funded opponent.
19:36:37 Retweeted @JamesSurowiecki19:35:59 Very clear, not just from Collins’ comments but from others, that Swetnick’s story actually hurt Ford’s case, rather than helping it.
19:41:01 Retweeted @burgessev19:39:31 Collins on Ford accusations: “I do not believe that these charges can fairly prevent Judge Kavanaugh from serving on the court”
19:51:25 Retweeted @Hegemommy19:15:06 Susan Collins voting for Kavanaugh is the perfect snapshot of white women bringing Trump and his administration over the finish line.
19:52:13 Collins done finally. Yes. We are done here.
20:53:29 Retweeted @chrislhayes20:26:14 The logic of popular democracy, and the structural fact of minority rule are going to make for an increasingly combustible mix.
22:29:27 In a lot of the coverage, people on all sides are saying things like “HS kids drinking is not an issue or wrong, it… https://t.co/qjOXATpKBz
17:08:29 Listening to The Fifth Column – Analysis, Commentary, Sedition 114 “Notes on Moynihan’s European Excursion, The Kav… https://t.co/jD84GmZAli
17:36:43 Reading – New dwarf planet spotted at the very fringe of our solar system (Ben Guarino, WaPo) https://t.co/IFM5UnGjPZ
23:28:51 This is a long read. I read bits and pieces during breaks all day long. But it goes into striking detail. Even if y… https://t.co/lRwSVHAEtX
23:48:44 Retweeted @BA_Friedman10:12:52 *sits straight up in bed*
The Ewoks had a dress to give to Leia in Return of the Jedi because they had previously eaten someone her size.
07:32:17 Retweeted @CNN05:31:00 Former presidential candidate Hillary Clinton made a surprise appearance in the first episode of the ‘Murphy Brown’… https://t.co/owLc7OvGKP
20:57:31 Thread and article on the constraints on the FBI “investigation”. As I said yesterday, how useful this is depends e… https://t.co/fzZOXysNlP