This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Comments here or emails to me at abulsme@abulsme.com are encouraged... or follow me on Twitter as @abulsme.

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Curmudgeon’s Corner: Something that Scary

This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan talk about North Korea, that Google document, Venezuela, the raid on Manafort, the latest from Trump, a book Sam read, and more! Oh, and we announce a Slack for the show. Enjoy!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2017-08-11
Length this week – 1:39:50

  • (0:00:30-0:10:54) But First
    • Agenda
    • Show Slack
    • Tired and Sleepy
  • (0:12:41-0:40:05) North Korea
    • Fire and Fury
    • Bluffing
    • 25th Amendment
    • High Risk
    • Containment
    • Trump Engagement
  • (0:40:51-1:02:12) Google Doc
    • Lip Service
    • Distributions
    • Ivan’s Evolution
    • Should he have been fired?
    • What if this was external?
  • (1:03:33-1:39:30) Lightning Round
    • Venezuela
    • Book: Spam (2013)
    • Manafort Raid
    • Leaks and Infighting
    • Trump Statements
    • Divisions on the left
    • New download record

 

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Take it to the Bank

This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan talk healthcare (recorded before McCain killed it, oops), the Spicer to Scaramucci transition (recorded before Scaramucci’s New Yorker rant, oops again), the Trump vs Sessions battle, and Kushner’s testimony. But they also talk about the Charlie Gard case, data tethering, Ivan’s treating himself after getting a new job, some TV stuff, Sam’s wife’s run for office, and even more! Another big full show as usual!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2017-07-27
Length this week – 2:14:12

  • (0:02:15-0:31:26) But First
    • Agenda
    • Intro Length and Show Length
    • Tethering and HBO
    • Ivan’s new job
    • Ivan fails
    • Ivan glasses again
    • Ivan’s Treat
  • (0:33:08-0:57:12) Healthcare
    • McCain and the MTP
    • Sausage making
    • Republican no-win scenario
    • What comes next?
    • Skinny repeal
  • (1:01:31-1:40:43) Trump Administration
    • Spicer Out, Scaramucci In
    • Trump vs Sessions
    • Kushner Testimony
    • Who is cooperating?
    • Ongoing drama
    • Trump misdirection?
  • (1:41:28-2:13:50) Lightning Round
    • TV: Class (2016)
    • Charlie Gard
    • Trump and the Boy Scouts
    • Run Brandy Run

 

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Stuff Like That

On Curmudgeon’s Corner this week, Sam and Ivan dive into the latest developments in the Trumpcare saga, the revelation of the second Trump/Putin meeting, and Trump’s revealing interview with the New York Times. Rounding out the show, shorter discussions of wearing different sorts of glasses, John McCain’s diagnosis, odd happenings in Florida, and some factoids from Wiki of the Day.

Click below to listen and subscribe!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2017-07-20
Length this week – 2:15:16

  • (0:00:58-0:38:59) But First
    • Agenda
    • Glasses
    • John McCain
    • Beep update
    • Mensch correction
    • Florida tag
    • WotD factoids
  • (0:39:38-1:12:56) Healthcare
    • Feedback
    • Several rounds
    • The conservative case
    • Entitlement ratchet
    • Deal making
    • Bipartisan approach
    • Odds for Trumpcare
    • Obamacare crash and burn
    • Logic of repeal only
  • (1:13:32-1:38:47) Trump and Putin
    • Trump on Russian winters
    • 1st Trump/Putin meeting
    • 2nd Trump/Putin meeting
    • Perceptions
    • Expanding Don Jr meeting
    • 7 circles of Trump
    • Too stupid to know?
    • Quid pro quo?
  • (1:40:07-2:14:57) Trump Interview
    • Trump on Sessions
    • Staffing agencies
    • Christie’s cellphone
    • Why aren’t more people quitting?
    • Trump on Mueller
    • Manafort finances
    • Trump on other people

 

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Nothingburger

This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan focus on the “nothingburger” of the Donald Trump Jr meeting everybody has been talking about. Nothing to see there, right? But before that, they do manage to get in some conversation on Trump’s performance at the G20, and on completely non-Trump matters, they talk about unlimited data plans, kids and YouTube, and revisit the minimum wage. Lots of meat in that nothingburger!

Click below to listen and subscribe!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2017-07-14
Length this week – 2:08:38

  • (0:01:30-0:38:35) But First
    • Andy Pandy
    • Agenda
    • Unlimited Followup
    • Kids and YouTube
    • Christmas Drone
    • Feedback
    • Minimum Wage/Income
  • (0:39:55-1:01:24) Trump at the G20
    • Godfather
    • Trump Isolation
    • Micromanager or Disengaged?
    • Cooperating with the world?
    • Ivanka’s participation
    • Nobody resigning
  • (1:04:53-2:08:18) Donald Trump Jr
    • Background
    • Back to the dossier
    • The dangle
    • Digital operations
    • Conspiracy theories
    • Crimes this week
    • Treason?
    • State vs Federal
    • What about DNC/Ukraine?
    • All the crimes
    • Do Republicans ever bail?
    • Peter Smith suicide
    • Back to the primaries?
    • How much more is there?
    • Bernie Bros
    • Bring on Gen X
    • McMullin 2020

 

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Return of the Beep

On Curmudgeon’s Corner this week, Sam and Ivan’s main topics are North Korea and the dust up between CNN and the guy on Reddit. They pack a lot of smaller topics in this week too though. Rick Perry on Economics. The 2014 Annie remake. Dress codes in Congress and elsewhere. The Seattle minimum wage. A listener fact checks our last episode. And much much more…

Click below to listen and subscribe!

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 1-Click Subscribe in iTunes
 View Podcast in iTunes
 View Raw Podcast Feed
Download MP3 File
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Show Details:

Recorded 2017-07-07
Length this week – 2:04:17

  • (0:01:05-0:26:59) But First
    • Fireworks
    • Agenda
    • More fireworks
    • Plane Incident
    • Fact Check!
    • Jones vs Bell
    • Couch Update
  • (0:28:08-0:47:41) North Korea
    • Cobol and Y2K
    • The missile
    • Motivations
    • Trump strategy?
    • Escalation?
    • Trump engaged?
  • (0:48:57-1:11:07) Trolling CNN
    • Air Conditioner
    • Jill Innocenti
    • The meme
    • The troll
    • CNN threat
    • Incitement?
    • Found her?
  • (1:12:53-2:03:58) Lightning Round
    • Changing the battery
    • It is not her
    • Rick Perry economics
    • Movie: Annie (2014)
    • Dress codes
    • Youtube shooting
    • Trump dissed?
    • Seattle minimum wage
    • Illinois budget
    • Alex interlude
    • Trump-light again

 

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Ten and a Bit

This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan talk about the anniversary of the iPhone, using password managers, the travel ban, the healthcare bill, the newest Trump scandal news, and anti-Trump fake news. Oh, and also the Martian slave colony, and the fact that like the iPhone, this show is now ten years old too. Happy ten years to Curmudgeon’s Corner!

Click below to listen and subscribe!

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 View Podcast in iTunes
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Show Details:

Recorded 2017-06-30
Length this week – 2:15:35

  • (00:01:37-0:21:30) But First
    • Ten years
    • Agenda
    • Leavenworth
  • (0:22:46-0:58:29) Tech
    • iPhone anniversary
    • Sam gets a password manager
    • New cyberattacks
  • (0:59:38-1:39:36) Policy
    • Travel ban
    • Healthcare
  • (1:40:15-2:15:15) Trump Scandals
    • Mars slave colony
    • Russian hackers to Smith to Flynn?
    • Anti-Trump fake news
    • Collusion not that bad?

 

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Uninhabited Atoll

This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan talk about the Baseball shooting in Virginia and the related issues about the tone of our political discourse these days. Of course they can’t forget the Trump scandal developments of the week too. In between they squeeze in some talk about healthcare, Puerto Rican statehood, the great butter shortage, and a few other things. But most importantly, a very rare but special gift from Ivan. Tune in to hear what it is!

Click below to listen and subscribe!

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 1-Click Subscribe in iTunes
 View Podcast in iTunes
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Download MP3 File
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Show Details:

Recorded 2017-06-15
Length this week – 1:25:11

  • (0:00:15-0:32:27) But first
    • Agenda
    • Healthcare Own Goal?
    • Not visiting the White House
    • Puerto Rican statehood
    • iTunes U: Lord of the Rings I
    • Weekend Plans
    • But first at the but end?
  • (0:33:07-1:04:34) Baseball Shooting
    • Butter shortage
    • The shooting
    • Heated rhetoric
    • What do you do?
    • Partisan differences?
    • The Trump Wing vs Mainstream R’s
    • Any changes?
    • Trump influence in Europe
    • Polling
  • (1:06:34-1:24:51) Trump Scandals
    • Obstruction investigation
    • Self inflicted wounds
    • Sleepy Ivan
    • Talking points
    • Sleepy Ivan 2
    • Expanding investigations
    • Attacking the investigators
    • Investigative duty

 

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Take A Hammer To It

On Curmudgeon’s Corner this week, Sam and Ivan dissect the Comey hearings and related issues, but there is a lot more too! They cover the Reality Winner case, Qatar, the UK Elections, WWDC, the lottery, Sam’s new couch, and that isn’t even all!

Click below to listen and subscribe!

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 1-Click Subscribe in iTunes
 View Podcast in iTunes
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Download MP3 File
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Show Details:

Recorded 2017-06-10
Length this week – 1:55:41

  • (0:02:04-0:27:35) But First
    • Agenda
    • New Couch
    • Projector Screen
  • (0:28:11-1:11:41) Trump/Russia/Comey
    • Liar!
    • Vindicated?
    • Russian Interference
    • Misrepresentation
    • Sessions
    • Comey/Clinton
    • Standing up to Trump
    • The Admirals
    • Trump Defense
    • Reality Winner
    • Russian Spearfishing
    • Obliviousness
  • (1:12:44-1:44:07) International
    • Qatar
    • Trump Staff
    • Merkel on trusting America
    • Kabul Bombing
    • China/Ivanka
    • UK Election Results
    • Paris Agreement Feedback
    • French Special Forces
    • Trump and NATO
  • (1:45:16-1:55:15) WWDC
    • Video Autoplay
    • Optimized iMessage Storage
    • iOS Control Center
    • Live Pictures
    • Do not disturb while driving
    • Augmented Reality
    • iPad features
    • Home Pod
    • Lottery

 

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

May 2017 Update: A look at Trump favorability vs job approval

Back in March I took a look comparing Trump’s favorability rating (% saying they have a favorable opinion minus % saying they have an unfavorable opinion) to his net job approval (% approving of his job performance minus % disapproving of his job performance). This was interesting because these two ways of measuring Trump’s popularity were not really moving together.

I’ve updated those charts through today. (Once again using pollster.com data for the smoothed trends.) Here is what we have:

Net job approval is much more volatile than favorability rating. This makes sense. People are basically answering, “How do I think Trump is doing RIGHT NOW?” vs “How do I like Trump overall?”. Both have been trending down… down meaning worse for Trump… with the job approval swings looking much more impressive than the slow gradual decline for favorability.

I actually think the favorability number is the more critical one to look at though. Job approval going down just means Trump had a bad week or two. It can easily bounce back if the next week goes better. Favorability going down though probably means people who voted for Trump are actually losing faith in him. They are not just saying he didn’t do great recently, they are saying they no longer like him. Big difference. And that has been slowly heading down since the beginning of February, and seems to have accelerated since the second half of April.

Favorability swings can be reversed too of course, it just seems harder to move than job approval. Having said that, these charts are extended back before the election for a reason. Note the huge swing upward in Trump’s favorability that started a couple weeks before the election and peaked in December. That was a big move in Trump’s direction. A big part of that was just an election bump and people “giving him a chance”, or giving him a boost simply for being President Elect. But it just shows that the right events can move things a lot pretty quickly.

And it shows that Trump has still not come anywhere close to losing all of the additional people who started thinking more favorably about him during that time period. Some of them, sure, but he is still looking a lot better now than he was right before the election. To all the folks hoping for Congressional Republicans to turn on Trump, I’m thinking you have to see the blue line above break the October low before you start seeing any of that sort of thing happen.

But we shall see. :-)

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Facepalms and Headdesks

On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner, guest host Jenn joins Sam to talk about the latest developments in the Trump/Russia saga, as well as Trump’s big overseas trip. Those are the big topics, and there is lots to talk about there, but they also touch on Jenn’s love of the Bay Area, healthcare for women, the Manchester attack, ransomware, electronics on planes, and something Sam’s wife is doing. Oh, and another WotD update too.

Click below to listen and subscribe!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2017-05-27
Length this week – 1:36:06

  • (0:00:13-0:10:22) But First
    • Ivan Out
    • Agenda
    • The Bay Area
    • WotD Update
    • Brandy running
  • (0:11:00-0:51:04) Trump/Russia
    • Note taking apps
    • Just Stupidity?
    • Lack of Trust
    • More on Kushner
    • Trump fatigue
    • Nixon comparison
    • Republicans Afraid?
    • Draining the swamp
    • Follow the money
    • Collusion? Or just alignment?
    • Other Russia stuff
  • (0:52:24-1:08:02) Trump Trip
    • Success?
    • Trump and Melania
    • The non-stories
    • Body Language
    • Language Deterioration
    • Saudi Policy
    • NATO Policy
  • (1:09:10-1:35:45) Lightning Round
    • Hotel Lounge
    • Healthcare for Women
    • Search for new FBI Director
    • Manchester
    • Ransomware attack
    • Electronics on planes

 

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.