This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

Categories

Calendar

November 2016
S M T W T F S
 12345
6789101112
13141516171819
20212223242526
27282930  

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-11-04 (UTC)

  • 00:00:02 Full 4P results: CNN RV w/4P [4] in AZ from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 43% to Trump 47% to Johnson 5% to Stein 2%
  • 00:01:34 Poll Added: CNN LV w/4P [4] in AZ from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 44% to Trump 49% https://t.co/yGsTjBVKsP
  • 00:01:39 Full 4P results: CNN LV w/4P [4] in AZ from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 44% to Trump 49% to Johnson 5% to Stein 1%
  • 00:02:50 Poll Added: CNN RV [4] in AZ from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 47% to Trump 49% https://t.co/IIUcEpHRcD
  • 00:04:34 Poll Added: CNN LV [4] in AZ from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 46% to Trump 51% https://t.co/Lizc9GesEi
  • 00:07:27 Poll Added: CNN RV w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 48% to Trump 45% https://t.co/DEqWYnojFd
  • 00:07:32 Full 4P results: CNN RV w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 48% to Trump 45% to Johnson 4% to Stein 2%
  • 00:09:17 Poll Added: CNN LV w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 49% to Trump 47% https://t.co/MST7XbSM0w
  • 00:09:22 Full 4P results: CNN LV w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 49% to Trump 47% to Johnson 3% to Stein 1%
  • 00:10:29 Poll Added: CNN RV [4] in FL from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 51% to Trump 48% https://t.co/2Jad15SjId
  • 00:11:44 Poll Added: CNN LV [4] in FL from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 50% to Trump 49% https://t.co/jf9LeLmOAp
  • 00:15:18 Poll Added: CNN RV w/3P [4] in NV from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 43% to Trump 46% https://t.co/wnbXw3OIzT
  • 00:15:23 Full 3P results: CNN RV w/3P [4] in NV from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 43% to Trump 46% to Johnson 7%
  • 00:16:40 Poll Added: CNN LV w/3P [4] in NV from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 43% to Trump 49% https://t.co/iSoXmbOZ3U
  • 00:16:45 Full 3P results: CNN LV w/3P [4] in NV from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 43% to Trump 49% to Johnson 5%
  • 00:17:55 Poll Added: CNN RV [4] in NV from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 46% to Trump 48% https://t.co/q3391k6CJj
  • 00:22:06 Poll Added: CNN LV [4] in NV from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 45% to Trump 51% https://t.co/dhL1tEyWam
  • 00:37:14 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 2.8% in NV -> Clinton by 2.2% in NH https://t.co/ZInaWdO7Rh
  • 00:44:37 Poll Added: CNN RV w/4P [4] in PA from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 46% to Trump 44% https://t.co/EEfTT6t2Yu
  • 00:44:42 Full 4P results: CNN RV w/4P [4] in PA from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 46% to Trump 44% to% to%
  • 00:46:04 Poll Added: CNN LV w/4P [4] in PA from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 48% to Trump 44% https://t.co/cnVODm3rzB
  • 00:46:09 Full 4P results: CNN LV w/4P [4] in PA from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 48% to Trump 44% to% to%
  • 00:47:25 Poll Added: CNN RV [4] in PA from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 49% to Trump 46% https://t.co/kE2b6x81Uq
  • 00:48:43 Poll Added: CNN LV [4] in PA from 2016-10-27 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 51% to Trump 46% https://t.co/7i6SAT956m
  • 01:00:54 Poll Added: Marquette RV w/4P [2] in WI from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 43% to Trump 37% https://t.co/gE0GgOQKMg
  • 01:00:59 Full 4P results: Marquette RV w/4P [2] in WI from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 43% to Trump 37% to% to%
  • 01:02:33 Poll Added: Marquette LV w/4P [2] in WI from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 46% to Trump 40% https://t.co/qlDA7hXwF5
  • 01:02:38 Full 4P results: Marquette LV w/4P [2] in WI from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 46% to Trump 40% to% to%
  • 01:09:19 Poll Added: Susquehana w/4P in PA from 2016-10-31 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 45% to Trump 43% https://t.co/MURcdWNxiv
  • 01:09:24 Full 4P results: Susquehana w/4P in PA from 2016-10-31 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 45% to Trump 43% to% to%
  • 01:20:53 Poll Added: Strategic National w/4P in MI from 2016-10-29 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 45% to Trump 44% https://t.co/GCBKoJbae0
  • 01:20:58 Full 4P results: Strategic National w/4P in MI from 2016-10-29 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 45% to Trump 44% to% to%
  • 01:21:16 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MI has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton https://t.co/GCBKoJbae0
  • 01:57:11 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 235 to Trump 303 -> Clinton 219 to Trump 319 https://t.co/rVYbMlG7Rq
  • 02:04:28 Poll Added: Winthrop w/4P in VA from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 44% to Trump 39% https://t.co/ZQSJK809Fs
  • 02:04:33 Full 4P results: Winthrop w/4P in VA from 2016-10-23 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 44% to Trump 39% to% to%
  • 02:18:31 Poll Added: MSU LV [4] in MI from 2016-09-01 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 52% to Trump 32% https://t.co/pV9dSSqQIk
  • 02:19:49 Poll Added: MSU LV w/4P [4] in MI from 2016-09-01 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 47% to Trump 28% https://t.co/WnrSNzjaYq
  • 02:19:54 Full 4P results: MSU LV w/4P [4] in MI from 2016-09-01 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 47% to Trump 28% to% to%
  • 02:21:14 Poll Added: MSU CV [4] in MI from 2016-09-01 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 54% to Trump 32% https://t.co/9xZafVxNWy
  • 02:22:42 Poll Added: MSU CV w/4P [4] in MI from 2016-09-01 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 50% to Trump 28% https://t.co/KeZSft9iQf
  • 02:22:47 Full 4P results: MSU CV w/4P [4] in MI from 2016-09-01 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 50% to Trump 28% to Johnson 9% to Stein 4%
  • 02:34:20 Poll Added: SurveyUSA w/4P in KS from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 38% to Trump 49% https://t.co/FENHikEvxf
  • 02:34:25 Full 4P results: SurveyUSA w/4P in KS from 2016-10-26 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 38% to Trump 49% to Johnson 7% to Stein 1%
  • 02:55:33 Poll Added: TargetSmart w/4P in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 48% to Trump 40% https://t.co/03eudyp04L
  • 02:55:38 Full 4P results: TargetSmart w/4P in FL from 2016-10-25 to 2016-10-30 – Clinton 48% to Trump 40% to Johnson 3% to Stein 2%
  • 04:06:59 Poll Added: McLaughlin in NY from 2016-10-27 to 2016-10-29 – Clinton 49% to Trump 38% https://t.co/OvCe1BltJD
  • 04:40:12 Finished a round of poll entry. New polls in all 50 states, DC, ME CDs, and NE-CD2. Lots of changes. @ElectionGraphs blog post soon.
  • 17:29:30 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 17:29:19 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Trump Surge https://t.co/EeFTryIk2O
  • 20:17:54 Starting another round of poll updates. Shortcutting a few things I’ve done in previous rounds to speed things up in the last few days.
  • 20:21:11 Poll Added: PPP w/4P [2] in CO from 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 48% to Trump 43% https://t.co/9uTZe0oFur
  • 20:21:16 Full 4P results: PPP w/4P [2] in CO from 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 48% to Trump 43% to Johnson 4% to Stein 2%
  • 20:22:37 Poll Added: PPP [2] in CO from 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 50% to Trump 45% https://t.co/Rw4jvNC7ZF
  • 20:22:58 Clinton vs Trump state category change: CO has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton https://t.co/Rw4jvNC7ZF
  • 20:25:32 Poll Added: PPP w/4P [2] in MI from 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% https://t.co/6T2yEUCxlH
  • 20:25:37 Full 4P results: PPP w/4P [2] in MI from 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
  • 20:27:37 Poll Added: PPP [2] in MI from 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 50% to Trump 44% https://t.co/xJemtzZmI2
  • 20:31:53 Poll Added: PPP w/4P [2] in VA from 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 48% to Trump 43% https://t.co/UU1eW6TsgI
  • 20:31:58 Full 4P results: PPP w/4P [2] in VA from 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 48% to Trump 43% to Johnson 4% to Stein 1%
  • 20:35:10 Poll Added: PPP [2] in VA from 2016-11-03 to 2016-11-04 – Clinton 51% to Trump 45% https://t.co/DizSdABFf6
  • 20:43:32 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 219 to Trump 319 -> Clinton 210 to Trump 328 https://t.co/mVutacYHFb
  • 20:45:21 Poll Added: UML LV w/4P [3] in NH from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 44% to Trump 44% https://t.co/XTlMuNRVs1
  • 20:45:27 Full 4P results: UML LV w/4P [3] in NH from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 44% to Trump 44% to Johnson 5% to Stein 2%
  • 20:47:23 Poll Added: UML RV w/4P [3] in NH from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 42% to Trump 43% https://t.co/ryEFqqHKBY
  • 20:47:28 Full 4P results: UML RV w/4P [3] in NH from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 42% to Trump 43% to Johnson 7% to Stein 2%
  • 20:48:59 Poll Added: UML [3] in NH from 2016-10-28 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 44% to Trump 45% https://t.co/tdUWspHlq5
  • 20:52:11 Retweeted @foglandia 20:50:04 @ElecCollPolls come on that's absurd. in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 20:53:25 .@foglandia The "best cases" for both candidates have them winning every state where they are behind by less than 5%. The extreme scenarios. in reply to foglandia
  • 20:55:21 .@foglandia The best cases are both pretty unlikely. The actual result much more likely to be closer to the "Expected" line. Now C285, T253. in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 20:59:13 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in TX from 2016-10-31 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 34.5% to Trump 49.2% https://t.co/1VMCf4XiTV
  • 20:59:18 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in TX from 2016-10-31 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 34.5% to Trump 49.2% to Johnson 4.9% to Stein 4.0%
  • 21:02:21 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in UT from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 19.6% to Trump 39.8% https://t.co/I4aUTlNo39
  • 21:02:26 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in UT from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 19.6% to Trump 39.8% to Johnson 3.0% to Stein 2.2%
  • 21:02:56 The Emerson UT poll also included McMullin who came in 2nd at 27.6%. in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 21:23:29 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 2.2% in NH -> Clinton by 1.5% in NH https://t.co/cgyv79fI1C
  • 21:28:05 Poll Added: Marist LV [4] in TX from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 41% to Trump 49% https://t.co/Skw0I7gutM
  • 21:29:24 Poll Added: Marist RV [4] in TX from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 43% to Trump 46% https://t.co/ujLBd2q7Pu
  • 21:30:50 Poll Added: Marist LV w/4P [4] in TX from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 40% to Trump 49% https://t.co/Jf72fc7Flz
  • 21:30:56 Full 4P results: Marist LV w/4P [4] in TX from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 40% to Trump 49% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
  • 21:32:40 Poll Added: Marist RV w/4P [4] in TX from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 41% to Trump 45% https://t.co/DhZwgCM2Wv
  • 21:32:45 Full 4P results: Marist RV w/4P [4] in TX from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 41% to Trump 45% to Johnson 7% to Stein 3%
  • 21:37:07 Poll Added: Marist LV [4] in GA from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 46% to Trump 47% https://t.co/0RYdY1pw6B
  • 21:39:06 Poll Added: Marist RV [4] in GA from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 46% to Trump 46% https://t.co/H9hRf0Jd7D
  • 21:42:51 Poll Added: Marist LV w/3P [4] in GA from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 44% to Trump 45% https://t.co/oR3cmZmnTj
  • 21:42:56 Full 3P results: Marist LV w/3P [4] in GA from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 44% to Trump 45% to Johnson 8%
  • 21:44:31 Poll Added: Marist RV w/3P [4] in GA from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 43% to Trump 44% https://t.co/PscSBl6vRG
  • 21:44:36 Full 3P results: Marist RV w/3P [4] in GA from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 43% to Trump 44% to Johnson 10%
  • 21:47:26 Poll Added: Marist LV [4] in AZ from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 41% to Trump 46% https://t.co/oNsUS2zilG
  • 21:48:41 Poll Added: Marist RV [4] in AZ from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 41% to Trump 45% https://t.co/G9F2GleIbY
  • 21:50:14 Poll Added: Marist LV w/4P [4] in AZ from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 40% to Trump 45% https://t.co/exawCsbtY0
  • 21:50:19 Full 4P results: Marist LV w/4P [4] in AZ from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 40% to Trump 45% to Johnson 9% to Stein 3%
  • 21:51:37 Poll Added: Marist RV w/4P [4] in AZ from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 39% to Trump 44% https://t.co/7Fm8vjAZ9L
  • 21:51:42 Full 4P results: Marist RV w/4P [4] in AZ from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 39% to Trump 44% to Johnson 10% to Stein 4%
  • 21:54:55 Poll Added: Mitchell w/4P [2] in MI from 2016-11-02 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 47% to Trump 44% https://t.co/QoY69A4kYB
  • 21:55:00 Full 4P results: Mitchell w/4P [2] in MI from 2016-11-02 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 47% to Trump 44% to Johnson 4% to Stein 3%
  • 21:56:07 Poll Added: Mitchell [2] in MI from 2016-11-02 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 51% to Trump 46% https://t.co/ACOOxpLDqo
  • 21:56:26 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MI has moved from Weak Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/ACOOxpLDqo
  • 22:00:26 Retweeted @hacker4u2k15 21:34:42 @ElecCollPolls trump have a chance to win?
  • 22:01:08 .@hacker4u2k15 See my post from earlier today. I have added a few polls since then, but overall picture the same. https://t.co/uVqKpuJdbW in reply to hacker4u2k15
  • 22:15:07 Poll Added: Gravis [2] in PA from 2016-10-31 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 51% to Trump 49% https://t.co/1l4DYmvuNn
  • 22:16:25 Poll Added: Gravis w/4P [2] in PA from 2016-10-31 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 47% to Trump 46% https://t.co/k0RfZJyP4j
  • 22:16:30 Full 4P results: Gravis w/4P [2] in PA from 2016-10-31 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 47% to Trump 46% to Johnson 3% to Stein 2%
  • 22:19:30 Poll Added: Gravis [2] in FL from 2016-10-31 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 51% to Trump 49% https://t.co/HP011uvaF1
  • 22:20:37 Poll Added: Gravis w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-31 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 49% to Trump 46% https://t.co/KDoGeaZ3Kg
  • 22:20:42 Full 4P results: Gravis w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-31 to 2016-10-31 – Clinton 49% to Trump 46% to Johnson 2% to Stein 1%
  • 22:22:49 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 210 to Trump 328 -> Clinton 226 to Trump 312 https://t.co/MIBnCzABG9
  • 22:24:45 Poll Added: Monmouth w/4P in UT from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 31% to Trump 37% https://t.co/loY4G7mdUB
  • 22:24:50 Full 4P results: Monmouth w/4P in UT from 2016-10-30 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 31% to Trump 37% to Johnson 4% to Stein 1%
  • 22:25:16 Monmouth also included McMullin in that Utah poll. He came in 3rd at 24%. in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 22:30:19 Poll Added: Suffolk w/4P in NH from 2016-10-31 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 41.80% to Trump 42.20% https://t.co/q7BaXuAyI4
  • 22:30:24 Full 4P results: Suffolk w/4P in NH from 2016-10-31 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 41.80% to Trump 42.20% to Johnson 5.40% to Stein 2.20%
  • 22:32:55 Poll Added: ARG w/4P in NH from 2016-10-31 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 43% to Trump 48% https://t.co/mKuet37vHl
  • 22:33:00 Full 4P results: ARG w/4P in NH from 2016-10-31 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 43% to Trump 48% to Johnson 4% to Stein 1%
  • 22:37:21 Poll Added: Opinion Savvy w/4P in FL from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 49.3% to Trump 45.0% https://t.co/8yaBWZdiq1
  • 22:37:26 Full 4P results: Opinion Savvy w/4P in FL from 2016-11-01 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 49.3% to Trump 45.0% to Johnson 2.6% to Stein 1.1%
  • 22:37:44 Clinton vs Trump state category change: FL has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Clinton https://t.co/8yaBWZdiq1
  • 22:43:20 Poll Added: WBUR w/4P [3] in NH from 2016-10-29 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 38% to Trump 38% https://t.co/BHjpregxwM
  • 22:43:25 Full 4P results: WBUR w/4P [3] in NH from 2016-10-29 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 38% to Trump 38% to Johnson 9% to Stein 3%
  • 22:44:41 Poll Added: WBUR w/Lean w/4P [3] in NH from 2016-10-29 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 39% to Trump 40% https://t.co/1xKldiAB2o
  • 22:44:46 Full 4P results: WBUR w/Lean w/4P [3] in NH from 2016-10-29 to 2016-11-02 – Clinton 39% to Trump 40% to Johnson 10% to Stein 3%
  • 22:45:48 Poll Added: WBUR [3] in NH from 2016-10-29 to 2016-11-01 – Clinton 42% to Trump 44% https://t.co/2E6wdqPT5f
  • 22:46:06 Clinton vs Trump state category change: NH has moved from Weak Clinton to Weak Trump https://t.co/2E6wdqPT5f
  • 23:02:44 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 1.5% in NH -> Clinton by 1.3% in FL https://t.co/RYmWi0afI6
  • 23:02:44 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 285 to Trump 253 -> Clinton 314 to Trump 224 https://t.co/RYmWi0afI6
  • 23:13:56 Added results to the 10ths place where available for the Mitchell polls in MI. No significant change to current avg. https://t.co/ZRf2QGNITE
  • 23:22:58 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 314 to Trump 224 -> Clinton 310 to Trump 228 https://t.co/MIruX0cuUd

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.