This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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@abulsme Updates from 2012-09-16 (UTC)

  • RT @BuzzFeedAndrew: Sometimes you need to take a moment to just relax http://t.co/S8TTDCCw #
  • Reading – iPhone 5 Pre-Order Sells Out 20X Faster Than 4 And 4S, Highlighting Apple’s Dominance (Billy Gallagher) http://t.co/xPEeS9GW #
  • MT @ppppolls: Possible we won’t poll PA again until last week before election when we poll everything- wouldn’t have expected that year ago #
  • MT @dangillmor: Google: no to WH video takedown request http://t.co/dEBfFeGq Too bad Visa PayPal et al didn’t show same courage re Wikileaks #
  • RT @brendanbaker: This is perhaps the most exciting chart for anyone building new products, or funding them. http://t.co/DzSAmpdG #
  • RT @daveweigel: RT @PatrickRuffini: Raise your hand if you think a sequester wouldn’t be so bad. #
  • RT @noeljackson: Ugh – can we just call it for Obama now and find more productive / entertaining ways to occupy time until Nov. 6? #
  • Reading – Romney Death Spiral Beginning? (Ben Jacobs) http://t.co/WytY8dLO #
  • RT @DouthatNYT: Seems like there’s a big difference between being behind in the polls and being in a “death spiral”: http://t.co/u851cJgv #
  • MT @DouthatNYT: R’s pos is slightly better than Kerry’s at the same point in 2004: http://t.co/AWHIZSla. Was Kerry in a “death spiral”? No. #
  • RT @DouthatNYT: Like Kerry at this point in ’04, Romney is on track to lose. But like Kerry, he’s still very much in contention. #
  • RT @mattyglesias: To win in November, Romney has to do a bit better than he is currently. Or run into some good luck. #boring #accurate #
  • Reading – A solar eclipse… FROM MARS! (Phil Plait) http://t.co/m1Ir6sUQ #
  • RT @owillis: i keep seeing cons says they expect undecideds to break for the challenger. im sure president kerry agrees. cmon, guys. #
  • Reading – The Foreign Relations Fumbler (Nicholas D. Kristof) http://t.co/GPS64pLr #
  • RT @dandrezner: Ouch, @NickKristof: “Mhe essential problem is that every time Romney touches FP, he breaks things.” http://t.co/GPS64pLr #
  • MT @philipsturner: @jricole: ‘Obama Plays Hardball&Morsi Folds’ I had same thought, the ‘ally’ stiff arm was no gaffe. http://t.co/JCx0xcZQ #
  • Reading – Obama Plays Hardball and Egypt’s Morsi Folds (Juan Cole) http://t.co/JCx0xcZQ #
  • Reading – Drone Flying Over Washington, D.C., Neighborhood Goes Missing (Ritika Singh) http://t.co/EN71bGUw #
  • Reading – In-Person Voter Fraud: Not Really a Matter of Opinion (Kevin Drum) http://t.co/cuiNZZNr #
  • Reading – The Obama Turnaround (Drew, Votamatic) http://t.co/vWOOORCD #
  • Reading – The Obama campaign takes on the `are you better off’ question (Greg Sargent) http://t.co/lUirZN8t #
  • RT @AntDeRosa: “You guys know YouTube has a comment section right?” – Seth Meyers on Muslim protests #snl #
  • Reading – My Problem With Rasmussen (Andrew Sullivan) http://t.co/whsM9tTf #
  • Reading – Twitter Might Be Looking To Kill Off Third Party Image Hosts (Eric Limer) http://t.co/4xWZCrej #
  • Reading – Party polarization as seen through two Romney gaffes (Seth Masket) http://t.co/QWMbxeoV #
  • Reading – They have to go all in on every front—class warfare, culture, and foreign policy. (Michael Tomasky) http://t.co/CRKr1sOr #
  • Reading – If Bush Had Said That About Egypt (Michael Tomasky) http://t.co/XbYrSfha #
  • Finished recording CC for this week. I will get it out later in the week as time allows. #
  • RT @ZekeJMiller: RT @AlexNBCNews: Ambassador Rice on #MTP calls Romney’s reaction to attacks in Libya/Egypt a “vacuous charge of weakness” #
  • Watching – Obama vs Romney Cold Open (SNL) http://t.co/b6DC9boW #
  • EC Update for Sun Sep 16 Done. New poll added for MI. Also added older NV poll I’d missed. MI changes status. Blog post soon. #
  • RT @mattyglesias: A fifty-something couple with a $200,000 household income and a single 29 year-old with the same income aren’t the same. #
  • RT @mattyglesias: A friend went from a top-tier Philosophy PhD program to a hedge fund: Overnight transformation from lower to upper class? #
  • RT @morganwarstler: @abulsme we treat them the same, because @mattyglesias will fuck up deciding what to value. @mattyglesias is the reason #
  • MT @ggreenwald: Often out of the same mouth: 1-Free speech doesn’t extend to advocating violence; 2-I want my country to attack & bomb them #
Posted by Abulsme -- Sunday 16 September 2012 23:45:00 UTC
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@abulsme Updates from 2012-09-15 (UTC)

  • MT @joshtpm: @ some pt Romney gets moment of clarity when realizes Obama has Voodoo'd him into talking abt everything under sun besides econ #
  • Reading – Note to AP: Don’t Be Dupes (Josh Marshall) http://t.co/PaHhCJoj #
  • Reading – Thoughts and Observations Regarding Yesterday’s iPhone 5 and Music Event (John Gruber) http://t.co/BVft280Q #
  • Reading – Mitt Romney Drops His 3 a.m. Phone Call (James Fallows) http://t.co/hKjv9W18 #
  • MT @mattyglesias: I blame Obama's weak-kneed strategy of appeasement and apology. RT @majidyar: Unconfirmed reports Mullah Omar killed. #
  • MT @ThoughtnDesign Can't Wait! MT @upwithchris: Good morning #uppers Today we're examining the Mid East, Romney FP & tensions with Israel. #
  • @ThoughtnDesign @upwithchris My cousin @natsecHeather will be one of the guests. Enjoy the show! I'm grabbing it on my @Tivo for later. #
  • RT @ThoughtnDesign @abulsme This line of attack on Obama is so absurd. Obviously this man luvs killing terrorists. #
  • @ThoughtnDesign Reality is so constraining though. Why be bound? #
  • RT @ThoughtnDesign: Hope u r up early editing the next episode of Curmudgeon's Corner. @abulsme #JustSayin #
  • @ThoughtnDesign Last CC out Wednesday. Next not rec until tommorrow . Was actually still up from Fri. Cleaning. #NotFunStuff #UpAgainAlready #
  • @ThoughtnDesign Alex says sun is up so it is wake wake time. Doesn't care it is less than four hours since mommy and daddy went to bed. #
  • EC Update for Sat Sep 15 done. Polls added for CO VA WA NJ NC IL PA. No category changes. #
  • RT @ThoughtnDesign I remember those days. #
  • @ThoughtnDesign Sleepy days. :-) #
  • RT @texasinafrica: Dear @CNN, rage against that film has not "spread" to Africa – Egypt & Libya are IN Africa: http://t.co/ZSt19g3s #
  • Reading – Sept. 13: After Convention Bounce, Holding Obama’s Polls to a Higher Standard (Nate Silver) http://t.co/GfJjHOeC #
  • MT @jamisonfoser: Romney didn’t say middle income is $200k-$250k. He said that’s upper bound of middle income. Which is still dumb. #
  • For reference, middle 60% for US Household Income = $18.5k to $92k per year (2005 numbers). http://t.co/ithsUEJf #
  • RT @Glinner: Just saw a bit of that film. It's THAT easy to cause a global shitstorm? #
  • Amy's breakfast set off the smoke alarms. My ears hurt. #
  • MT @aburnspolitico: RT @MarkLeibovich: If elect were held today, a lot of people would be surprised. Cause its s'posed to be in Nov, y'know? #
  • Reading – State Department: Stop asking us about the Benghazi attack (Josh Rogin) http://t.co/mUmdRveB #
  • RT @SimonJackman: @jbplainblog looks like the convention effects have peaked (thanks Rasmussen) #
  • RT @ThoughtnDesign @abulsme Any chance they'll charge that guy for exciting a riot? #
  • @ThoughtnDesign I have heard some talk of something like that, but I think it would be extremely misguided and wrong. Hope they don't. #
  • Reading – Rick Santorum: "Smart People Will Never Be on Our Side" (Charles Johnson) http://t.co/AqzW95qp #
  • Reading – Mars Curiosity Rover’s Landing Video Now In Ultra HD (Carl Franzen) http://t.co/SJcmEzwn #
  • Reading – Why Romney Will Win (Dick Morris) http://t.co/emEPZBr8 #
  • MT @owillis: pet peeve & i see libs doing it now but everyone does it. potus is commander-in-chief of us military NOT the american people. #
  • Reading – FAA: passenger flights OK at Paine Field (AP) http://t.co/5SgSlVeU #
  • Reading – Obama Bump Translates to Electoral College Lead (Mark Blumenthal) http://t.co/kpuqlJz9 #
  • Reading – We Don’t Need No Education (Paul Krugman) http://t.co/mJe1o1W4 #
  • Reading – Model-Based Poll Averaging: How Do We Do It? (Simon Jackman) http://t.co/kxzvD4T2 #
  • Reading – 'EVE Online' players were first to learn of US official's death in Libya (Andrew Webster) http://t.co/FGj1JjGF #
  • Reading – Dinesh D'Souza and Gondorian Exceptionalism (Doctor Science, Obsidian Wings) http://t.co/97ytm1EB #
Posted by Abulsme -- Saturday 15 September 2012 23:45:00 UTC
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@abulsme Updates from 2012-09-14 (UTC)

  • MT @parislemon: Racing against my inbox. Losing. #
  • Reading – Mystery Man Behind The Anti-Muslim Film Blamed For Attacks (Eric Lach) http://t.co/O2kZiIuJ #
  • Reading – Verizon iPhone 5 Will Not Offer Simultaneous Voice and Data (Jordan Golson) http://t.co/gEdPc5OR #
  • Reading – In Fact It’s Cold As Hell: Mars Isn’t As Earthlike As It Might Look (Jason Major) http://t.co/rU02enEj #
  • Reading – Conservatives bash media for being mean to Mitt Romney (Greg Sargent) http://t.co/qIe9rN4V #
  • Reading – Apple Promises iPhone 5-Compatible HDMI and VGA Cables Coming Soon (Jordan Golson) http://t.co/sH4VHj1T #
  • Reading – Poll Analysis: The post-convention story (Darryl, HorsesAss) http://t.co/uFLBB86U #
  • Reading – How will Republicans respond to Fed action? (Greg Sargent) http://t.co/mvgUsCXR #
  • Reading – To Be Presidential, Romney Must First Be Truthful (Jonathan Alter) http://t.co/zNMWzeOv #
  • EC Update for Fri Sep 14 Done. Polls added in MN VA OH FL MO NH CO. VA changes categories again. Blog post soon. #
Posted by Abulsme -- Friday 14 September 2012 23:45:00 UTC
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@abulsme Updates from 2012-09-13 (UTC)

  • Reading – When You Learn They’re Not Ready (Josh Marshall) http://t.co/es6fwbpz #
  • MT @electionate: According 2 SurveyUSA, ballot issues on gay marriage and marijuana legalization lead by more than Obama in Washington State #
  • MT @DrewHampshire: It’s inappropriate to criticize POTUS during a foreign policy crisis – Everyone who ever criticized W’s Iraq/Afg policies #
  • Reading – GOP to Mitt Romney: You’re so vague (Jim Vandehei and Alexander Burns) http://t.co/MUFROCaI #
  • RT @markos: I don’t sense GOP panic anymore. Rather, it’s resignation that they’ve lost: http://t.co/MUFROCaI #
  • Reading – Mitt’s smirking disaster (Jed Lewison) http://t.co/eGf6AFPx #
  • EC Poll Update done for Thu Sep 13. Polls added in NM TX MT NY CA MI WA. Michigan moves. Blog post later today. http://t.co/kF2iz3uE #
  • MT @twitntwirp2012: @abulsme I can’t remember a campaign that looked so pathetic this early. Maybe they can turn it around but I doubt it. #
  • MT @twitntwirp2012: @abulsme Looks like Mitt’s Waterloo. He apparently was clueless. Think he starts to walk it back? I’d say 70/30 yes. #
  • @twitntwirp2012 I’m on record saying I think Romney has peaked, but not sure this latest thing will be one decisive thing. Lots of factors. #
  • @twitntwirp2012 I’d give more like 50/50 on walk back. Sometimes doing that is worse for you than just shutting up and hoping people forget. #
  • RT @ayeletw: Mitt Romney’s Slogan: “Vote for me. Because I really want to be president.” #
  • RT @jeffemanuel: Looks like those awful pictures of Stevens’ body being “dragged” may actually be images of people taking him to hospital. #
  • Time to read Google Reader & Twitter over lunch again. Cause the book I am reading now is an actual physical book (bleh!) & boring to boot. #
  • RT @CenteredPols: White House: Obama not skipping intel briefings http://t.co/aiaXN0K0 via @natlsecuritycnn #
  • Reading – White House threatens to veto GOP bill aimed at stopping defense cuts (Erik Wasson) http://t.co/H6aWRyWe #
  • MT @robertniles: Wish fundamentalist Christians, Muslims & Jews would find a way to have it out so they could leave the rest of us alone. #
  • Reading – Cameron wants 2 help Mythbusters prove Jack & Rose could not have both occupied that doorraft (Jamie Frevele) http://t.co/GSDkw7So #
  • Reading – So, What Do the Political Odds Markets Say About the Election? (Edward Tenner) http://t.co/xCs9O5tT #
  • Reading – QE3: Reactions to the Fed’s big stimulus move (Brad Plumer) http://t.co/lMYS2IFg #
  • Reading – The Next Industrial Revolution Starts in this 20-foot Shipping Container (Brent Rose) http://t.co/PlGP4gvu #
  • RT @FHQ: .@Jackabp Polls at this point in the race tend to overstate the support 3rd party candidates will actually receive on election day. #
  • RT @drgrist: Today’s lesson: there is nothing one can say about domestic policy so insane that elites will turn on you, but FP is different. #
  • Reading – Exploding the Reagan 1980 Comeback Myth (Nate Cohn) http://t.co/zLk8TxS3 #
  • RT @electionate: A startling number of people are struggling with the difference between unprecedented and impossible #
  • MT @natsecHeather why FP wonks so sad @abulsme MT @drgrist Nothing one can say abt Dom pol so insane elite will turn on u.FP=different #
  • @natsecHeather @drgrist Would it be better if there was also nothing so insane you could say on FP that elites would turn on you? :-) #
  • @natsecHeather @drgrist Or is it sad because you can still say pretty insane things about FP. :-) #
  • Lunch over. Back to work. Already in a work conversation. Woo! #
  • RT @natsecHeather We rarely have foreign policy conversations in politics except when someone sez something insane. @abulsme @drgrist #
  • @natsecHeather @drgrist Ah yes. Definitely. I can see that. #
  • MT @natsecHeather: @abulsme @drgrist viz. I am on @TheEdShow tonight about Romney FP. QED. Be nice 2 be on TV not because bad stuff happens. #
  • @natsecHeather @drgrist @theedshow I’ll try to @Tivo it. :-) #
Posted by Abulsme -- Thursday 13 September 2012 23:45:00 UTC
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@abulsme Updates from 2012-09-12 (UTC)

  • RT @Lebeaucarnews: Map of the Morning: See what the #1 selling vehicle is in your state. http://t.co/HaWW1dnY #
  • EC Update for Wed Sep 12 done. Added polls in AZ MN VA FL. VA changes categories. Blog post soon. http://t.co/kF2iz3uE #
  • RT @electionate: Let's figure out where the race is at after the conventions before we move onto the debates, okay? #
  • Reading – Romney’s Insensitivity To LGBT People: ‘I Didn’t Know You Had Families’ (Zack Ford) http://t.co/CNSc8WD1 #
  • Lots of news going on today that I'd love to be following minute by minute. But there is this "work" thing. So, catch up tonight I guess. #
  • Perhaps I'll be able to look at a few things now over lunch… #
  • MT @feliciaday: Ikea Amnesia: Length of time it takes to forget how awful it was 2 assemble the last thing you got there and return to Ikea. #
  • Reading – High Stakes Poker (Josh Marshall) http://t.co/lOMavrqb #
  • MT @DanielLarison: Memo to Romney: This isn't hard. When US missions are attacked express your condemnation, voice support for mission staff #
  • NT @BenjySarlin: Nothing more constructive than issuing pre-election inaccurate attack on State Dep during a deadly international crisis #
  • RT @BuzzFeedAndrew: .@USEmbassyCairo has now deleted their tweet standing by their original statement. #
  • Reading – Will Morsi Apologize? Ctd (Andrew Sullivan) http://t.co/o04UrVpg #
  • Reading – Mitt Romney's Lethargic Foreign Policy (Ta-Nehisi Coates) http://t.co/fw56OzWl #
  • Reading – A Timeline Of The Attacks In Libya And Egypt — And The Responses
    (Brian Beutler) http://t.co/JxmaOsXh #
  • Reading – President Obama Accuses Romney of Shooting First, Aiming Later (Paul Constant) http://t.co/vVMrPngL #
  • Reading – AT&T's Grandfathered Unlimited Data Plan Customers Get 5GB on LTE Before Being Throttled (Jordan Golson) http://t.co/neaXkPfK #
  • Reading – Apple's iPhone 5 Announcement: Just the Facts (Rebecca J. Rosen) http://t.co/xoxR43wM #
  • Reading – Was The Libyan Attack Planned? (Andrew Sullivan) http://t.co/67XYJmfq #
  • Reading – Former Romney Adviser on Libya: “They Stepped in It” (Noam Scheiber) http://t.co/AIfY0gaW #
  • And now lunch is over. Back to work! #
Posted by Abulsme -- Wednesday 12 September 2012 23:45:00 UTC
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@abulsme Updates from 2012-09-11 (UTC)

Posted by Abulsme -- Tuesday 11 September 2012 23:45:00 UTC
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@abulsme Updates from 2012-09-10 (UTC)

  • RT @wilw: FOR AUCTION: A CRAPPY DENTED PING PONG BALL I FOUND IN MY GARAGE AND MADE POPULAR ON TWITTER http://t.co/WDRfZ3HD #
  • MT @kdrum: Geoengineering starting to look like only hope. RT @drgrist: If this works out, game over for climate: http://t.co/p3pKBwyi #
  • Reading – Gamechanging Natural Gas Tech Gets Green Light (William Pentland) http://t.co/2gHFWUfw #
  • RT @ppppolls: Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney 50-45 on our post-convention survey of Ohio #
  • RT @mattyglesias: Romney is promising consumer protections for health insurance that were enacted in 1996 and pretending it's something new. #
  • RT @TheFix: On Tuesday, we will be exactly 8 weeks from election day. Wow. #
  • RT @mckaycoppins: .@askmormongirl @cdc444 General rule: Anyone who declares a race "done" on September 9 is seriously jumping the gun. #
  • Reading – If the Mars rover finds water, it could be H2 … uh oh! (Louis Sahagun) http://t.co/yIMmI4xN #
  • RT @ppppolls: North Carolinians are pretty intractable- Obama leads 49-48, about identical to 48-48 last week #
  • RT @electionate: The odd thing about tonight's PPP bashing is that their polls point toward the smallest bounce of anyone #
  • Reading – The Electoral College Map (9/9/12) [Josh Putnam] http://t.co/Q16drudW #
  • EC Update for Mon Sep 10. Added polls in NC NM OH. No category changes. http://t.co/kF2iz3uE #
  • Reading – Did Dirty Harry kill Romney's bounce? (Seth Masket) http://t.co/rTVERNmn #
  • Reading – Better Off than Four Years Ago? (Steve Clemons) http://t.co/4GNarnVE #
  • Reading – Romney’s Root Problem (Josh Marshall) http://t.co/MqB9dH2H #
  • Reading – What Really Made Steve Jobs So Angry at Google? (Scott Cleland) http://t.co/vCwlv681 #
  • RT @FHQ: RT @surveyusa: FL, MN, WA, CA, CO, OR, KY — busy week. Stay tuned. #
  • MT @FHQ: I'm more excited about that @surveyusa poll of KY than any of others on the list:1st bits of polling data there #
  • .@FHQ @surveyusa Really old, but there WAS a Romney/Obama PPP poll in KY about a year ago: Romney 48 Obama 40 http://t.co/QharkRyg (PDF) #
  • .@FHQ @surveyusa Only states where I can't find ANY Romney/Obama polls since 2008 elec are AK, DE, ID & WY. Others with very few of course. #
  • Reading – Sept. 9: Call It as You See It (Nate Silver) http://t.co/ptKYBrU4 #
  • Reading – The Record-Setting Ex-Presidency of Jimmy Carter (John Dillon) http://t.co/P9KHzaez #
  • MT @FHQ: The Romney campaign polling memo feels a lot like some of those March/April memos from Santorum regarding delegate math. 1/2 #
  • RT @FHQ: Don't know that it is nearly so bad for team Romney, but it is in the same ballpark. 2/2 #
  • Reading – Here's a drawing of a torture box the US used to interrogate Gaddafi's enemies in Libya (Xeni Jardin) http://t.co/P3gHvjGm #
  • Reading – NFL players back gay marriage, America (Neil Steinberg) http://t.co/MNhB8vdC #
  • Reading – How Predictive are the Polls (Drew, Votamatic) http://t.co/hiRIkCj3 #
  • RT @BrendanNyhan: Not highly accurate in '08 until October RT @DrewLinzer How Predictive are the Polls? http://t.co/hiRIkCj3 #
  • My blog appears to be down. Has been for over two hours. Hopefully it will self resolve, otherwise I will look into it after work. #
  • Blog back. Without me doing anything. Woo! http://t.co/rIBVe6jy #
  • And this is why I was down: http://t.co/o9wjjSgG Don't like GD anyway, mistake going there, but haven't had time 2 do the work 2 move off. #
  • Oh. It is down again. Poo. #
  • And back. I guess it is just going to ping pong all day. I may just stop checking. #
  • To quote myself from elsewhere: A few years ago I moved some of my stuff to GD because it was cheap. Mistake.They suck in very many ways… #
  • … I've wanted to move off again since even before the SOPA/PIPA stuff last year, but I just haven't had the free time… #
  • ..to do the work to actually move my crap elsewhere. Bleh. Problem isn't price… #
  • …I'm actually already paying a bunch at a second place where my wiki is hosted. It is more that it is a pain in the ass to move… #
  • …I know to do it I need to clear a weekend, or at least a Saturday… I just never get that kind of free time these days. #
Posted by Abulsme -- Monday 10 September 2012 23:45:00 UTC
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@abulsme Updates from 2012-09-09 (UTC)

  • Reading – Mow Yard. Drop Off Kids. Take a Drive on Mars. (Brooks Barnes) http://t.co/vqgf7c7F #
  • Reading – Amazon Decides To Let Users Opt-Out of Ads on the New Kindle Fires After All (Eric Limer) http://t.co/bEjjEuqz #
  • Reading – Could foreign policy actually affect the 2012 presidential election? (Daniel W. Drezner) http://t.co/LxsNrgtA #
  • Reading – Curiosity snaps a self-portrait from the surface of Mars (Chris Welch) http://t.co/2Ls6x9nn #
  • Reading – Twitter’s Mac client is probably over (Marco Arment) http://t.co/3oyCYPrm #
  • Reading – Obama is Apparently a Tougher Negotiator Than You Think (Kevin Drum) http://t.co/t4ReACUZ #
  • Reading – Is It a Bounce? (Josh Marshall) http://t.co/IOIKlqjB #
  • RT @ppppolls: We started 5 state polls- some public, some private- and a national poll last night. What they’re looking like: 2008 #
  • RT @LarrySabato: Now Gallup, Ipsos/Reuters, Rasmussen have shown small Obama convo bounce. It’s “real”–except bounces usually fade. #
  • RT @LarrySabato: Romney got no bounce–just like Kerry in ’04. Dems have been hoping ’12 is like ’04 in reverse (Obama=Bush). #
  • RT @fivethirtyeight: It looks to me like O has been running ~7-9 points ahead of R since the Clinton speech to have gained ground so quickly #
  • RT @BenjySarlin: So Romney now running against Ryan’s own Medicare cuts, own debt ceiling deal — why did he pick him again? #
  • MT @mattyglesias: All our probs solved RT @brianbeutler: Compromise emblazon “In God We Trust, I Swear!” on a trillion dollar platinum coin. #
  • RT @BenjySarlin: Seeing a lot of similar sentiment, but can’t shake feeling this month is going to be extraordinarily ugly for the campaign #
  • RT @BenjySarlin: Not hard to see Paul Ryan in 3 years running on how Romney wouldn’t let GOP truly campaign on his ideas #
  • MT @7im: Romney could have chosen a gov & run against dc dysfunction instead he tapped paul ryan and is now running against his running mate #
  • RT @fivethirtyeight: 90% of the time, people overinterpret the movement in polls but I think the opposite is happening now. #
  • RT @fivethirtyeight: Sometimes the election is won or lost at the conventions and this looks like it could be one of those years. #
  • Reading – Sept. 8: Conventions May Put Obama in Front-Runner’s Position (Nate Silver) http://t.co/aMDfR4z3 #
  • Reading – State of the race: Advantage, Obama (Jim VanDehei & Mike Allen) http://t.co/7yEV5OMj #
  • RT @wyethwire: 4 years ago this week, Lehman Brothers collapsed, kicking off the Great Recession #uppers #
  • RT @BenjySarlin: This Romney Meet the Press interview is all over the place. Sound like campaign is still rebooting. #
  • MT @samsteinhp: “if the Rep Party cannot win in this environment it has to get out of politics and find another line of work” — George Will #
  • RT @ppppolls: Plan is to have Ohio results between 9 and 10 tonight- looks like Obama leads there by more than 2008 margin of victory #
  • Reading – An 8-Point Convention Bounce for Obama? (Robert Wright) http://t.co/QttpeN8B #
  • Reading – The Algorithmic Copyright Cops: Streaming Video’s Robotic Overlords (Geeta Dayal) http://t.co/tynxMMeN #
  • Reading – Mitt Romney Unveils Yet Another Secret Plan (Kevin Drum) http://t.co/f3Jm2wAW #
  • Reading – Copyright’s Robot Wars Heat Up as Algorithms Block Live-Streams (Kurt Opsahl & Parker Higgens) https://t.co/vHgdO2h6 #
  • Reading – The GOP convention negative bounce: a final look (Sam Wang) http://t.co/4aCcJbSK #
  • Finished recording this week’s CC with Ivan a few minutes ago. Will try to get it out sooner than Friday, but Alex just woke up, so… #
  • MT @FHQ: .@DrewLinzer Hoping for race to tighten if only see how robust these models are. As is not different from avgs http://t.co/GxmXSgMN #
  • MT @BuzzFeedAndrew: Obama camp: “The president believes as much that god should be taken off a coin as he does that aliens will attack FL.” #
  • MT @BuzzFeedAndrew: Gallup also had Carter up by 8 in late October… RT @DRUDGE_REPORT GALLUP HAD CARTER UP 4 PTS OVER REAGAN IN SEPT 1980… #
  • Reading – Saving YouTube From the Choking Web of Rights (Lauren Weinstein) http://t.co/iyJ0QQBn #
  • RT @ppppolls: My question for #tcot Do you think Soros is funding the Rasmussen and Gallup bounces or just the PPP one? #
  • Reading – The Bounce Has Arrived (Nate Cohn) http://t.co/mHnKeDs2 #
  • MT @Taniel: Politico reports GOP internals have O up high singledigits in Ohio. Confirms @DavidShuster report that O internals had him up 9% #
  • Reading – Obama Asks 7-Year-Old for his Birth Certificate (Connor Simpson) http://t.co/VJxzmCwa #
  • RT @BuzzFeedAndrew: This is amazing. Pizza shop owner gives president a big hug. http://t.co/Y6Xs7NNi #
  • RT @elisefoley: What on earth are Biden (http://t.co/ypUGo3Fq) and Obama (http://t.co/vLwCqD4i) doing today? #
  • Watching – This Will Make You Cry of the Day (Cheezburger) http://t.co/i9vN2Ql3 #
  • EC Update for Sun Sep 9 done. No polls added. No changes. #
  • Reading – Will Defecting From the GOP Help Ron Paul’s Supporters Take It Over? (Robin Koerner) http://t.co/YaVJfDCp #
  • MT @jbplainblog: RT @taniel: Election has begun: Already 2 voters have returned absentee ballots in North Carolina! http://t.co/YtrIIcgi #
  • Reading – 2012 Early Voting Statistics (Michael McDonald) http://t.co/YtrIIcgi #
  • Reading – Obama’s Biggest Lead Over Romney Since March (Simon Jackman) http://t.co/12DEJzsZ #
  • Reading – The Bounce Matters (Nate Cohn) http://t.co/UWcYSUlf #
Posted by Abulsme -- Sunday 9 September 2012 23:45:00 UTC
Tags: | Category: Tweet | Leave a comment

@abulsme Updates from 2012-09-08 (UTC)

  • RT @electionate: Romney releasing 15 ads in eight states, but not Wisconsin. #
  • RT @StevenLevy: Obama speech good, but no new tablet or phone. #
  • MT @drgrist: Dem convention worked because MO, BC, and B. Obama speeches worked together to tell a coherent story. A single, long speech. #
  • RT @CenteredPols: RT @JohnJHarwood: Convention bounce? Team Obama expecting 1 or 2 percentage pts, hoping for 3 or 4 #
  • RT @jamisonfoser: Palin on Kerry: “How does he even know my name?” By not being breathtakingly ignorant about everything. Look into it. #
  • MT @freddoso: CNBC: If you gave your money to Bernie Madoff in 2008, you’d have lost less than an equivalent investment in Goldman Sachs. #
  • MT @BigJoeBastardi: Left Isaac pic this am.. top right Isaac track so far, ECMWF next 10 days. Bottom right Ginger 71. http://t.co/V9aBYJXG #
  • BINGO! 100% Agree. Reading – Democrats parade Osama bin Laden’s corpse as their proudest achievement (Glenn Greenwald) http://t.co/hrYLh1JF #
  • RT @igorbobic: Romney on RNC speech: “I didn’t use the word troops. I used the word military. I think they refer to the same thing.” #
  • RT @owillis: hey reporters, when romney says “i will create jobs” its not bias to ask “how?” sure, rush will say mean things, but come on. #
  • MT @BuzzFeedAndrew: RT @Politicker: I Fought the AP and the AP Won: Hope Poster Artist Sentenced to Two Years Probation http://t.co/wz2ePCY0 #
  • RT @FHQ: RT @pollster: Michael P. McDonald: Early Voting Has Started in NC http://t.co/lQu6p8rw #
  • RT @fivethirtyeight: All three trackers today (Ipsos/Rasmussen/Gallup) show a bounce for Obama. Looks like Clinton moved the needle a bit. #
  • Reading – Dear Democrats: If you do That you have to do This (Juan Cole) http://t.co/AHvGhmFW #
  • Reading – Jimmy Wales threatens to encrypt Wikipedia if UK passes snooping bill (Timothy B. Lee) http://t.co/QLCglSvZ #
  • Reading – Wikipedia told Philip Roth he’s not “credible source” on book he wrote (Jon Brodkin) http://t.co/XI3Php7e #
  • EC update for Sep 8 done. Poll added in AL. No status change. #
  • Reading – Reality Rebranding: Corporate Logos Get Brutally Honest (Delana, WebUrbanist) http://t.co/Q23GHTZZ #
  • Reading – Are you better off without dumb campaign questions? (Ezra Klein) http://t.co/Qpld390O #
  • Reading – How One Hard-to-Spot Visual Detail Could Help Shape Voter Perceptions (Emily Chertoff) http://t.co/cIEw5ZaL #
  • Reading – On Self-Publishing and Amazon (John Green) http://t.co/2g18Yn9G #
  • Reading – Have The Conventions Changed The Race? (Andrew Sullivan) http://t.co/QMhAWfRT #
  • Reading – Twitter Reportedly Discontinuing Development of Its Mac Client (John Gruber) http://t.co/1cbhJwkn #
  • RT @joshtpm: Just hints & smatterings of data so far. but looks like we may see a real bump out of Dem convention. #
Posted by Abulsme -- Saturday 8 September 2012 23:45:00 UTC
Tags: | Category: Tweet | Leave a comment

@abulsme Updates from 2012-09-07 (UTC)

  • Giffords! #
  • Aw, I actually missed it. Just closing up at work and saw her on the stage. Just after she finished. Oh well, will see the repeat later. #
  • Just got home. I know Biden is about to start, but Alex really wants to show me his new pants right now. #
  • Oh, sorry, new PLANTS! For his room. He is very proud of them. #
  • Here’s Biden! #
  • It was Tuesday night. Not last night or Monday. #Joementum #
  • Everybody saying Biden ad-libbing too. Pulling it off so far. #
  • I remember liking Biden when he was running, what, decades ago? :-) #
  • I was thinking about 1988. Long time ago. #
  • Would have been better than Dukakis. #
  • Once again hard to listen. Toddler desperately trying to get my attention instead. #
  • Went outside to escape. Will try to watch the rest now. Love my son, but kinda upset I’ve missed so much of Biden. :-( #
  • Watching non-live later just isn’t the same. :-) #
  • I am always uncomfortable with the glorification of killing OBL. #
  • MT @natsecHeather yo @attackerman I think you just got the end of your GWOT there with the closing a wound language about why OBL mattered. #
  • Lots of people tonight talking about how hawkish the Dems are this time, while the R’s… not so much. Way different than previous cycles. #
  • RT @joshrogin Is Biden gonna mention he advised Obama not to go through with the raid on OBL? #
  • RT @ZekeJMiller Biden: ” But in case you didn’t notice, they didn’t have the courage to tell you what calls they would make. ” #
  • RT @mattyglesias Surprised they don’t cover OBL’a head in tar and stick it on a spike in Lafayette Park. #
  • RT @dandrezner Biden blasting the creation of jobs overseas Yeah!! F**k the rest of the world!! #headdesk #
  • They followed me outside. :-/ #
  • Alex on my lap again. #
  • Missed the last five minutes. #
  • Alex upset and crying. Me upset and distracted. Now in quiet place to watch. I think. Missed most of it. #
  • Basically missed the whole thing other than a couple minutes in the middle. Sigh. #
  • Trying to get myself back to a nice calm level state before Obama comes out. Still in a stressed mode right now. Sigh! #
  • Here we go. Obama movie. #
  • Saw some comments earlier based on the released prepared remarks. #
  • Really wish they wouldn’t release/leak such things in advance. #Spoilers #
  • What I did see (just glanced at stuff in breaks at work, didn’t read much) sounded more like a State of the Union. I hope it really isn’t. #
  • Here comes Michelle. #
  • And here we go… #
  • Watching by Slingbox means I’m like 30 seconds to a minute behind everybody on Twitter. Oops. #
  • Obama kids cute. #
  • He accepts! Shocker! I guess that makes it official. (Although the chair said he accepted last night.) #
  • RT @mattyglesias In retrospect, pre-Inauguration Obama really was selling a lot of wishful thinking. #
  • RT @Atrios RT @chucktodd: BTW, the Hillary for Biden rumors can now officially be put to rest. It is now too late //eye on the ball #
  • Everybody is jumping up. The joke wasn’t that funny. #
  • He is playing the adult grown up. #
  • RT @chucktodd The “I need more time” portion of the speech. The “don’t change horses in midstream” argument every incumbent prez makes #
  • Rally around a set of goals? Really? #
  • They usually get better toward the end. RT @ericspiegelman So far this is the fourth or fifth best speech of the DNC. #
  • But yeah -> RT @nickconfessore For all Obamas rep as a killer speechmaker this feels underwhelming compared to Michelle Obama Biden Clinton. #
  • RT @owillis this guy seems to love america and is nothing like the scary black dude on fox. #
  • RT @jeffjarvis “I fixed their fuckups.” I wish that were his message. That was Clinton’s message about him. #
  • This *is* getting SotUish. List of policy initiatives that are pie in the sky. Isn’t exciting or inspiring. Guess we needed Bill for that. #
  • RT @anamariecox I think Michelle wears the inspiring pants in the family these days. #pantsstatus #
  • My twitter feed moving much more slowly during this than Michelle or Bill. #
  • Most will only see Obama though. RT @AriMelber Obama is all about the future here – Biden handled the history brief. #
  • Obama needed to handle both past and future. Ah, some of that now… #
  • RT @davidfrum Clinton talked to moderates, Biden to independents, Obama to the Democratic base. #
  • Literally. RT @natsecHeather It appears that Biden speech fried my laptop. Literally. #
  • RT @mattyglesias This cautious speech makes me think tomorrow’s jobs number is pretty good. Remember Obama’s seen it. #
  • Of course he is. RT @mattyglesias This is the speech you give when you think you’re winning and just want to avoid screwing up. #
  • Alex just joined me. Quiet so far. #
  • Got a few Romney hits in over the last couple minutes. Nothing super memorable. #
  • Call out to arithmetic line just reminds how much better Clinton did it. #
  • Yup! RT @rebliv @abulsme you’re bitchy #
  • Alex back with mom after started getting more distracting. #
  • I miss 2008 Obama. #
  • I miss 2004 Obama even more. #
  • MT @drskyskull Hope that by 2016 campaign focus on algebra and maybe, in 2020 we can have a calculus Presidential campaign. #DNC2012 #
  • MT @JudgeJimGrayVP Obama didn’t keep the promises he made in 2008. Who’s to say he’ll keep the promises he’s making in 2012? #DNC2012 #
  • MT @natsecHeather Rec foam bricks 4 throwing at tv. They help kid dad RT @abulsme Alex back with mom after started getting more distracting. #
  • @natsecHeather I will try that for the debates. :-) #
  • .@natsecHeather I will try that for the debates. :-) #
  • RT @anamariecox YOU DID THAT = “Oh, hai. We’ll take that ‘You didn’t build that” joke from you now. See you in November.” #dnc12 #
  • Now starting to come together. Time to bring it home? #
  • Hitting 11 Eastern. #
  • False alarm. Not getting exciting yet. #
  • I understand trying to do the sober, “Now I’m President, I am serious” thing, but… pump it up just a little more? #
  • Alex just ran into the office and is holding the door to keep Mommy from taking him back out again. #
  • Here is the crescendo. #
  • And that’s a wrap. #
  • Stronger close, but this was not his best work by a long shot. But it didn’t need to be. #
  • Here comes the family. Bidens next. #
  • MT @DouthatNYT Thought people who talked about Clinton overshadowing Obama were just looking for Clinton drama. But they were so, so right. #
  • Miss the balloons. #
  • Everybody saying this was safe speech you give when you are winning. They are right. And he is in a very strong position. #
  • But it would have been nice to see him try to hit a home run anyway. #
  • RT @ericspiegelman I mean, I guess if you go up 15 runs by the 6th inning, you can rely on the bench for the rest of the game. #
  • And all off the stage. Time for the closing stuff. #
  • Some random delegate crying. Uh, OK. #
  • MT @zidaya @abulsme @JudgeJimGrayVP Srsly? He just ran through the list…healthcare, Iraq, car industry, DADT, Lilly Ledbetter, etc… #
  • .@zidaya Indeed. Has gotten quite a lot done. Missed on some other things. IE: Civil Liberties. Depends which are most important to you. #
  • No Obama promise to fix that! MT @BuzzFeedAndrew Seriously, AP, you’re going to put a copyright claim on my YouTube video I got from C-SPAN? #
  • RT @gov A new record political moment on Twitter: @barackobama drives 52,757 Tweets per minute. Over 9 million Tweets sent about #DNC2012 #
  • Odd overall tweet rate higher, but tweets of those I follow slower tonight. #
  • Bring back the purple! RT @jimacostacnn Both conventions are over and one thing clear… We are back to being red states and blue states. #
  • Benediction over. TIme for the gavel. #
  • RT @BDayspring Was there a single new reason to vote for President Obama in tonight’s speech if you weren’t already? #
  • Gavel time! #
  • Time to go lavish attention on my son. :-) #
  • MT @zidaya: @abulsme I’ve been having this conv w/oth who are disappointed: U can say he hasn’t done enuf, but don’t say he has done nothing #
  • .@zidaya Never have said he did nothing. Never will. Lots done. Some I like, some I don’t. About what I expected when I voted 4 him though. #
  • @zidaya thanks, I will. :-) #
  • RT @BDayspring: SAVING AMERICA?!!?!? hahahaha. RT @zidaya: .@abulsme g Hope, not fear; details, not lies, saving America, #
  • RT @zidaya .@abulsme @BDayspring Hope, not fear; details, not lies, saving America, not saving taxes for rich. #
  • Wish I’d managed to actually not be distracted through most of Biden’s speech. Consensus seems to be it was better than Obama’s. #
  • RT @zidaya: .@abulsme @BDayspring What do you remember was happening in fall 2008-2009? Anything at all? Those who ignore history… #
  • .@zidaya @bdayspring In case confusion of my retweets for advocacy, personally: http://t.co/oNFAG9VD and my analysis: http://t.co/1YFE4lIJ #
  • RT @zidaya @abulsme I think I was speaking to @judgejimgrayvp ‘s comment that Obama didn’t keep his promises; that annoys the h* out of me. #
  • .@zidaya Record is mixed on promises too. He tried on most though. Often where he failed it was straight out R obstruction that stopped him. #
  • @zidaya @hominidviews Cool. Glad you like it! Takes a bunch of work. Good to know when people actually read it. :-) #
  • @zidaya Don’t know that I will. For me it is Obama vs Johnson and I am not fully decided yet. This week moves me toward Obama though. #
  • @zidaya The Libs are often kind of out there and detached from reality. Johnson is a bit more moderate I think, which is important to me. #
  • @zidaya I need to spend some more time researching him though. Know a lot less about him and his position than Obama or Romney. #
  • @zidaya If I find too much of the absolutist Libertarian dogma, I’ll be done with him. What I would like best is a Lib leaning moderate. #
  • @zidaya It absolutely should be. Very sad that it isnt. Should be uncontroversial pos in all parties for that matter. Seems fundamental. #
  • @zidaya @gerrycanavan Heh. Indeed. 1 can hope O will be more free in a 2nd term & be better. But suspect often he already is where he wants. #
  • MT @zidaya @abulsme @gerrycanavan My hope is withdrawal from Afg leads better results+no reelect means can think about legacy #hope change #
  • .@zidaya @gerrycanavan That would be nice. :-) Will still have obstructionist R’s in congress though. (Probably) #
  • MT @zidaya: @abulsme @gerrycanavan But on FP + civil rights, that’s all on Obama. Real hope is Supreme Court (Ginsburg + Breyer + Kennedy) #
  • .@zidaya @gerrycanavan Not much disagreement there. :-) #
  • RT @zidaya .@abulsme @gerrycanavan +if O is reelected, O’care goes into full effect+he will have leverage in ‘fiscal cliff’ negotiations. #
  • .@zidaya @gerrycanavan Not sure how well leverage will work. We’ll see. Of course, falling off cliff might actually be good in some ways. #
  • .@zidaya @gerrycanavan Sets new baseline. Both sides could then “lower taxes” to get where they really want to be, etc. #
  • Oh, I complained earlier about missing Biden. Did listen to Kerry in car on way home though. Better than I remember from 2004. #
  • Watching second half of Biden on repeat. Liking it. #
  • MT @wilw: @ggreenwald I loved Kerry’s passion, wish he’d had that in 2004, but wish wasn’t so focused on how TOTALLY AWESOME wars are. Sigh. #
  • Reading – Obama’s Speech: Blog Reax II (Andrew Sullivan) http://t.co/thAiVtiJ #
  • Reading – Simply Put (Andrew Sullivan) http://t.co/drFUr5cC #
  • Reading – Stat-urday: Lombardo’s Quadratic Molasses (Sam Wang) http://t.co/F0595Bwq #
  • Reading – E-Book Prices Should Start Dropping Soon (Leslie Horn) http://t.co/jNJU29Mj #
  • Reading – NASA Satellite Captures First Glimpse of Curiosity’s Tracks From Martian Orbit (Rebecca J. Rosen) http://t.co/ay3wQpPK #
  • Reading – Quote of the Day: How Does John Kerry Even Know Sarah Palin’s Name? (Kevin Drum) http://t.co/FIhyjPx5 #
  • Reading – Amazon confirms: yes, you can opt out of ads on new Kindle Fire models (Jon Fingas) http://t.co/X8d7xAP2 #
  • Reading – Chart of the Day: Net New Jobs in August (Kevin Drum) http://t.co/AVZBGVE7 #
  • BTW, Polls in my models updated for today. New poll in NJ. No change in status. #
  • Reading – The Electoral College Map (9/7/12) [Josh Putnam] http://t.co/3N2OPz2A #
  • MT @LOLGOP: Fun Fact: Joe Biden is the only American Vice President in the last eleven years who hasn’t shot a friend in a face. #
Posted by Abulsme -- Friday 7 September 2012 23:45:00 UTC
Tags: | Category: Tweet | 2 comments
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