This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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Electoral College: Bush pulls ahead of Clinton in Florida

On Thursday I mentioned that if the current trend continued, new polls would push Bush into the lead in Florida and North Carolina before long. Well, only a couple days later, we have yet to see it in North Carolina, but we have that new poll in Florida.

chart-10

Florida is big (29 EV), so this of course makes a big difference on the national trend chart:

chart-11

Will more states start flipping in Bush’s direction? Keep your eyes out over the next few months, the campaign is slowly getting into gear!

In the meantime, Clinton vs Bush looks like this:

Screen Shot 2015-02-07 at 17.59.34881

And we have just a tint of red down in Florida…

chart-12

(Three electoral college posts from me in one week! Hopefully this isn’t the new normal quite yet…)