This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Comments here or emails to me at abulsme@abulsme.com are encouraged... or follow me on Twitter as @abulsme.

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Curmudgeon’s Corner: There Will Be Pain

On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan of course talk about Impeachment and the race for the Democratic Nomination. But they also hit a few other things. The UPS truck shootout in Florida, Trump’s reception in Europe, Trump and toilets, and Trump’s phone security. Oh. Most of those were Trump-related too. Oops.

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Show Details:

Recorded 2019-12-07
Length this week – 2:08:21

  • ((0:00:20-0:55:57) Six Smaller Things
  • (0:56:42-1:27:25) Impeachment
  • (1:28:03-2:07:57) Democrats 2020

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Three Brown Sheep

This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner, Brandy joins Sam, and they get a bit carried away with an almost three-hour show. Oops. Maybe consider it three separate shows and take it in bits. First, they talk about the latest Turkey/Syria developments. Second, a review of this week’s Trump scandal news. And finally, a review of the Democratic primary race in the wake of the fourth debate.

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Show Details:

Recorded 2019-10-19
Length this week – 2:48:43

  • (0:01:32-0:36:16) Turkey and Syria
  • (0:38:51-1:32:17) Trump Scandals
  • (1:33:26-2:48:13) Democratic Primary

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Wrestling Pigs

On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner, Ed joins Sam to talk about new iPhones, the ethics of donations from bad people, Brexit, Trump’s aborted meeting with the Taliban at Camp David, and then, of course, the 3rd Democratic debate. Fun stuff!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2019-09-14
Length this week – 2:06:48

  • (0:00:20-0:30:54) Random Stuff
    • New iPhones
    • Donations from bad people
  • (0:34:28-1:02:29) International Stuff
    • Brexit again
    • Trump’s Taliban initiative
  • (1:03:05-2:06:27) Presidential Stuff
    • VPs of popular presidents running for president
    • Yang’s $1000 a month contest
    • The 3rd Democratic debate

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

Curmudgeon’s Corner: The Mere Fact

On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner, Ed joins Sam to discuss racism in America. Then, of course, Sam wants to talk about the Democratic debates and the Presidential race.

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Show Details:

Recorded 2019-08-03
Length this week – 1:55:44

  • (0:00:20-0:45:59) Ed: Racism in America
  • (0:37:56-1:28:30) Sam: Democratic Debate

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Live from Seattle

On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner Sam, Ivan, Jenn, and Brandy meet in person after the Seattle meetup to discuss how people suck, including the people in the college admissions scandal, and the people running for President, and many others. Basically, people suck. Plus a little on travel, and the Seattle meetup itself. And a movie review. Even a bit on circumcision​. A packed show. If you missed the meetup, listening to the show is the next best thing.

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Show Details:

Recorded 2019-03-21
Length this week – 2:06:01

  • (0:01:12-0:27:39) But First
    • Agenda
    • Seattle Meetup
    • Space Needle
    • Ivan’s Flight
    • Ivan on Seattle
    • Sam Movie: How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
  • (0:28:18-1:02:52) People Who Suck
    • Plant Killers
    • Tucker Carlson
    • Rep Omar Poster Maker
    • Christchurch Terrorist
    • Chelsea Clinton Accoster
    • Donald Trump
  • (1:03:32-1:29:23) College Admissions Scandal
    • What was done
    • Income inequality
    • The social status of schools
    • Grade inflation
    • Gifted children crashing
    • Helicopter parents
  • (1:30:43-2:05:41) Election 2020
    • 20/20
    • Andrew Yang
    • Biden and Sanders
    • Beto O’Rourke
    • Kirsten Gillibrand
    • Donald Trump

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Lots of Hats

On this week’s Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan talk about a phishing link Sam clicked on, the Bezos blackmail attempt, the Virginia mess, and the latest Trump stuff. They also do a run down of the Democratic field for the 2020 Presidential race. Oh, and they have news about a Seattle meetup, and more!

Click below to listen and subscribe!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2019-02-08
Length this week – 2:32:23

  • (0:00:20-0:08:56) But First
    • Agenda
    • Bruce predictions
    • Seattle Meetup being planned
  • (0:11:09-1:21:12) Potpourri
    • Sam Clicked a phishing link
    • Bezos Blackmail
    • Virginia Mess
  • (1:21:53-1:49:09) Trump
    • Executive time
    • SOTU
    • SDNY Investigating Trump inaugural
    • New House investigations
  • (1:50:29-2:32:03) Democratic candidate roundup
    • The whole field
    • Joe Biden
    • Bernie Sanders
    • Beto O’Rourke
    • Kamala Harris
    • Elizabeth Warren
    • Cory Booker
    • The others

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Shuck and Jive

On Curmudgeon’s Corner this week, Sam and Ivan review the impacts of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma, and compare to what Katrina looked like 12 years ago. Then they dive into politics, looking at Trumps latests dalliances with the Democrats and what should or should not be read into that, followed by a discussion on the latest efforts on healthcare from both the Republican and Democratic side. Then at the end, a discussion of this week’s Apple announcements.

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Show Details:

Recorded 2017-09-16
Length this week – 2:15:01

  • (0:01:00-0:10:09) But First
    • Turning 46
    • Agenda
    • Concorde
  • (0:10:47-0:39:38) Hurricanes
    • Irma in Florida
    • Irma in the Islands
    • Harvey and Irma vs Katrina
    • Weathering the storm
    • Nursing Home deaths
  • (0:40:24-1:14:20) Independant Trump
    • Making Deals
    • Schadenfreude
    • Transactional Trump
    • Is Trump Republican?
    • Democrats too happy?
    • Will this turn the R’s?
    • He told you!
    • Equifax Tidbit
  • (1:15:00-1:34:35) Healthcare
    • Bernie Plan
    • Graham-Cassidy
    • Fixing ACA?
    • Give Trump a win?
  • (1:35:15-2:14:40) Apple Stuff
    • Apple Watch
    • AppleTV
    • iPhone 8
    • iPhone X
    • Work Phone

 

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Nothingburger

This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan focus on the “nothingburger” of the Donald Trump Jr meeting everybody has been talking about. Nothing to see there, right? But before that, they do manage to get in some conversation on Trump’s performance at the G20, and on completely non-Trump matters, they talk about unlimited data plans, kids and YouTube, and revisit the minimum wage. Lots of meat in that nothingburger!

Click below to listen and subscribe!

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 1-Click Subscribe in iTunes
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Show Details:

Recorded 2017-07-14
Length this week – 2:08:38

  • (0:01:30-0:38:35) But First
    • Andy Pandy
    • Agenda
    • Unlimited Followup
    • Kids and YouTube
    • Christmas Drone
    • Feedback
    • Minimum Wage/Income
  • (0:39:55-1:01:24) Trump at the G20
    • Godfather
    • Trump Isolation
    • Micromanager or Disengaged?
    • Cooperating with the world?
    • Ivanka’s participation
    • Nobody resigning
  • (1:04:53-2:08:18) Donald Trump Jr
    • Background
    • Back to the dossier
    • The dangle
    • Digital operations
    • Conspiracy theories
    • Crimes this week
    • Treason?
    • State vs Federal
    • What about DNC/Ukraine?
    • All the crimes
    • Do Republicans ever bail?
    • Peter Smith suicide
    • Back to the primaries?
    • How much more is there?
    • Bernie Bros
    • Bring on Gen X
    • McMullin 2020

 

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.

Electoral College: The Actual Presidential Vote

The Electoral College voted on Monday December 19th. There were faithless electors this year, so the final results differed from the “earned” results reported in my “Final Forecast and Election Night Updates” post.

Despite the hopes of groups like the Hamilton Electors, the number of Republican faithless electors was nowhere near the 37 that would have been needed to send the election to the House. Only 2 Republican electors actually abandoned Trump. In fact, not only was the goal of stopping Trump not achieved, but the efforts backfired completely. In the end there were more Democratic defectors than Republican defectors, so Trump’s margin actually increased from a 74 electoral vote win to a 77 electoral vote win. Not quite what those campaigning for electors to vote independently were hoping for.

Lets look at the details of the final counts.

The last state called was Michigan on November 28th. The “earned” electoral vote based on the states won and lost at that point was:

  • Donald Trump 306
  • Hillary Clinton 232

When the electoral college voted, there were 7 faithless electors. 5 of these were Democratic and 2 were Republican. This was the largest number of faithless electors since 1872 when 63 electors pledged to Horace Greeley did not vote for him… because he had died between the November election and the December electoral college vote. Not counting 1872, since perhaps one shouldn’t count not voting for a dead candidate, this was the largest number of faithless electors ever.

The 7 faithless electors voted for a variety of different candidates, making the official totals:

  • Donald Trump 304
  • Hillary Clinton 227
  • Colin Powell 3
  • John Kasich 1
  • Ron Paul 1
  • Bernie Sanders 1
  • Faith Spotted Eagle 1

An additional 3 Democratic electors attempted to be faithless, but were thwarted by state laws and procedures in Maine, Minnesota, and Colorado. It is possible some or all 3 of these electors may end up filing lawsuits over this. If lawsuits actually happen and are all successful (which we obviously can not say at this point), Clinton would lose 3 additional electoral votes, Sanders would gain 2, and Kasich would gain 1. If this were to happen, Trump’s winning margin would increase further to 80 electoral votes.

Normally, we think of the Vice Presidential race as locked with the Presidential race as part of “tickets”, but in fact as far as the electoral college is concerned, these are actually two separate votes, and the faithless electors also split their choices for Vice President. The Vice Presidential results were:

  • Mike Pence 305
  • Tim Kaine 227
  • Elizabeth Warren 2
  • Maria Cantwell 1
  • Susan Collins 1
  • Carly Fiorina 1
  • Winona LaDuke 1

And with that, absent any minor adjustments from potential lawsuits by the three foiled Democratic faithless electors, or Congress doing something unexpected on January 6th, the 2016 electoral results are set.

Donald Trump wins.

Donald Trump August 19, 2015

Photo by Michael Vadon [CC BY-SA 2.0], via Wikimedia Commons

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Under the Thumb

Election 2016 is done! Trump won! Everybody is surprised! So of course we have a super-long election wrap up! Darryl joins Sam and Ivan to discuss the Election Graphs and Horsesass electoral college models, what went right, what went wrong, and what we can learn for next time. Then all three discuss the reaction to and ramifications of Trump’s victory. For maybe the last time for a few years, it is an all election, all politics show!

Click below to listen or subscribe… then let us know your own thoughts!

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Show Details:

Recorded 2016-11-11
Length this week – 2:24:32

  • (0:00:10-1:05:00) Polling Post Mortem
    • Surprise!
    • Darryl’s Final Projections
    • Suspicious Polls
    • Where polls went wrong
    • Sources of poll uncertainty
    • Last minute Trump surge?
    • Actually very very close
    • National polls
    • Sam’s post mortem
    • Problems with the odds
    • Turnout
  • (1:06:10-2:24:12) The Aftermath
    • Our reactions
    • Reactions from the right
    • Trump’s appeal to the white working class
    • Clinton’s weaknesses
    • Republican Obstruction strategy
    • Would Sanders have won?
    • Should Democrats obstruct?
    • The Republican agenda
    • Anti-Trump protests
    • Which Trump do we get?
    • Future of the parties
    • Bold Predictions
    • Calling Trump voters racist
    • Radicalization

 

The Curmudgeon’s Corner theme music is generously provided by Ray Lynch.

Our intro is “The Oh of Pleasure” (Amazon MP3 link)

Our outro is “Celestial Soda Pop” (Amazon MP3 link)

Both are from the album “Deep Breakfast” (iTunes link)

Please buy his music and support his GoFundMe.