This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Comments here or emails to me at abulsme@abulsme.com are encouraged... or follow me on Twitter as @abulsme.

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@abulsme Updates from 2012-10-04 (UTC)

  • Actually made it to the office for the first time in a few days, but left a little early to be home for the debates! #
  • Is there a hashtag I should be using for the debate live tweeting? :-) #
  • It is just me at home, with the debate on the projector covering a wall of our living room. Amy, Brandy, Alex giving me some space. :-) #
  • The Tivo picked CNBC for the debate. I’ll stick with them for the moment. Actual debate will be the same of course, just diff talking heads. #
  • And yes, I will be live tweeting under influence of hydrocodone (for the kidney stone). #
  • I’ve always thought it would be neat to produce a debate transcript with everything other than direct answers to the questions blacked out. #
  • Of course almost everything would be blacked out. #
  • CNBC has Ron Paul on. That’s nice. But who has Johnson or even Stein on? I’d switch to hear them. #
  • Debate would be better with Johnson and Stein in it. The three way with Perot in 92 was great. #
  • As mentioned in my electoral college updates & on Curmudgeon’s Corner, only way these debates make a difference is if someone screws up bad. #
  • Generally competent performance from both candidates = status quo = Obama wins the election. (Even if Romney “wins” the debate.) #
  • My blog is acting up. Annoying. #
  • Just followed @romneyresponse and @truthteam2012 to make sure I see the “rapid response” from both sides. #
  • Reading – The Digital Debate Stage (Andrew Sullivan) http://t.co/w2u5HeQl #
  • My twitter stream is accelerating. #
  • Shoulda ordered a pizza or something. Brandy is taking Alex to dinner and a movie. Amy is out doing teenage things. #
  • Reading – The real reasons the debates do matter (Jonathan Bernstein) http://t.co/kuZZzes3 #
  • Reading – Why the debates probably won’t matter (Jonathan Bernstein) http://t.co/hLUPIrTj #
  • Will Obama have a secret radio on his back like W did eight years ago? Wasn’t that the rumor? #ConspiracyTheories #
  • RT @rebliv @abulsme Not too late to make popcorn! #
  • .@rebliv Hmmm… that sounds good. I wonder if I can find our popper, or if it is still packed in a box in the garage. #
  • .@rebliv So far just eating a bagel and York peppermint patties. #HealthFood #
  • RT @rebliv @abulsme FLOTUS would not be impressed. #
  • Ten minutes. Woo! #
  • I’m watching via a Slingbox because, well, because… so I’m going to be like 30 seconds behind everyone else, which will be annoying. #
  • RT @indecision Debate rules: No clapping, no yelling, no meaningful discussion. #
  • Thought about taking some time to work on cleaning the living room. Then decided 6 minutes wasn’t enough time, so why bother. #
  • This is pretty much 100% politics as sport rather than anything about actual policy preferences or anything. #
  • Just looking for the excitement of someone taking a big spill and screwing up something big. Will probably be disappointed. #
  • So is #debates what we are supposed to use? :-) #
  • Here we go. So exciting. Woo! #
  • Tick Tock. #
  • RT @BenjySarlin omgomgomgomgomg #
  • Zingers! #
  • Here comes Jim. #
  • LoWV was better than CPD. #
  • LoWV was more independent. #
  • And they are in. Is this the first time they have met? #
  • RT @electionate Base election: Obama in blue tie, Romney red tie #
  • Oh do we have to do the thank you at the beginning? #
  • And the happy anniversary? #
  • I hate the off topic stuff. #
  • Obama is on script. I hope there are at least some questions that force them to think on their feet instead of reciting known answers. #
  • @ThoughtnDesign @abulsme Have a heart! #
  • Romney does the stupid stuff at the start of his answer too. #
  • Romney actually sounding more relaxed and natural on the first question. #
  • From what I’ve been reading and hearing about the debate prep, both these guys have probably been over-prepped. #
  • RT @DavidCornDC Okay, this is obviously a draw. Can we now move on to talking about what Romney must do in the next #debate #
  • Romney trying to claim the mantle of middle class defender despite what analysis says about his plans. #
  • Must say, Romney looking good so far. #
  • Romney just beat down Lehrer. #
  • RT @owillis mitt: my sons are liars. #
  • RT @ThoughtnDesign @abulsme #MittRomney “47%, Oh and you’re stupid too.” #
  • It’s Math. #
  • Romney is actually coming out better on this exchange though. Can’t put my finger on it, but Obama is not being convincing. #
  • Even if after the debate fact-checks may support him. #
  • Trump joke? Really? #
  • Romney just more relaxed and confident here. Coming across much better than Obama so far. #
  • RT @PeterBeinart Why is obama the nervous one? #
  • RT @sullydish Notice how Romney is talking about actual individuals, while Obama is talking abstract ideas. http://t.co/lgzfvXJY #
  • Obama’s “OK” when Romney told him to stop saying “5 billion dollar tax cut”. Ouch. #
  • 26 minutes in, Romney clearly doing better so far. #
  • This is the best Romney I’ve seen all year. #
  • MT @ThoughtnDesign That shit was week, unPresidential @abulsme: Obama’s “OK” when Romney told him to stop saying “5 billion dollar tax cut”. #
  • RT @HuffPostHill MT @BigBird: Screw you, guy. #
  • RT @RQDammit @abulsme may be da best of him….but is he really any good though? #
  • @RQDammit If this was the first anybody was seeing of Romney, he might be winning. Of course it is not. #
  • RT @GQPolitics SHORTER TWITTER: ROMNEY WON THE #DEBATE AFTER 30 MINUTES BECAUSE OTHERWISE WE’D BE SUPER-BORED WITH THIS ELECTION. / ML #
  • Obama apologized to Lehrer. Sigh. #
  • Romney attacking now. Will Obama defend? Or say “OK.” #
  • RT @ThoughtnDesign That one was gratuitous. @abulsme #
  • Romney may be full of shit, but he is controlling the stage. #
  • RT @billmaher Barry, stop nodding at Mitt when he’s lecturing you, it looks like he’s right and you’re chastened! #
  • RT @RQDammit @abulsme Im not soooooo sure….hmmmm! #
  • .@RQDammit It would at least be closer. :-) #
  • RT @RQDammit @abulsme @sullydish Mitt’s whole “small biz” will suffer under Obama’s plan is just wrong! #
  • .@RQDammit @sullydish A lots of what Romney is saying is wrong. But he is saying it convincingly and with confidence. #
  • RT @RQDammit @abulsme @PeterBeinart hmmmm, I hate 2 admit it, he does seem a lil off….. #
  • Obama seems distracted and not fully with it. Not good for him. #
  • MT @OKnox RT @BDayspring Now I know why Team O was setting expectations so low. Falling off stage at this point isn’t that big of a reach #
  • RT @jonsevern @abulsme no kidding…O needs new coaches #
  • .@jonsevern Don’t know what is up here. Debates were never O’s biggest strength, but I don’t remember him being this bad. #
  • .@jonsevern Meanwhile, Romney is on fire. #
  • RT @RQDammit @abulsme Mitt just lied about tax breaks to companies who shipped jobs overseas…. #
  • Oh yeah… RT @LarrySabato Fact-checkers are going nuts on both sides. Hope they took their blood pressure meds. #
  • RT @robertwrighter when the subject turns to social security, obama should attack romney/ryan, not just defend his own policies #
  • RT @RQDammit @abulsme @jonsevern yeah, a lot of hmmm & huh’s, not srong at all… #
  • RT @zidaya @abulsme @RQDammit Yeah, when all he does is lie, everything seems easy. #
  • .@zidaya @rqdammit A confident lie can come across better than a hesitant truth. Unfortunately. #
  • Fact checkers can have fun looking at what both people said. Probably a lot wrong on both sides. Won’t matter. #
  • As this goes on, Obama is getting more flustered and Romney is getting even more confident. #
  • RT @zidaya @abulsme @RQDammit Which is why the headline will be that all he does is lie. #
  • .@zidaya @rqdammit Doubt it. Press very reluctant to call out truth/lies. Presents “both sides”. #
  • MT @DouthatNYT This is actually amazingly wonky debate. Filled with nonsense of course, but by the standards of pres. debates remarkable. #
  • RT @NickKristof Romney’s use of the $716 billion attack line is utterly disingenuous–but Obama is letting him get away with it. #debates #
  • RT @RQDammit @abulsme damn, yes he is! #
  • RT @RalstonReports Doesn’t Lehrer understand Romney is running this debate? #
  • MT @HotlineReid This is the 1st time I feel like Romney is actively trying to reach out to voters beyond the conservative base. #
  • Cristie was right about tonight as a reboot. #
  • RT @PeteDominick Too bad Obama doesn’t have Bill Clinton to save him this time. #
  • MT @DouthatNYT Right, I feel like Romney’s entire summer of flailing was just rope-a-dope to make O think he couldn’t pivot to the center. #
  • MT @sullydish I notice that as soon as O starts to speak, the green line of male approval goes down. It’s the gender gap illustrated live. #
  • RT @sullydish How Obama has managed to give Romney the advantage on Medicare in this exchange is political malpractice. http://t.co/lgzfvXJY #
  • RT @NickKristof I hope Obama is looking distracted because a team of Navy Seals is taking out Zawahiri right now. #Debates #
  • RT @smotus Romney’s picking on Lehrer because he wants to look strong and Lehrer has constituency of zero. #deb #
  • RT @WillMcAvoyACN If you had “not answering the fucking question” in the debate drinking game, please get yourself to a hospital. #
  • Romney owning MA Healthcare Plan. #
  • RT @jeffjarvis Fuck me, Obamacare has not “killed jobs.” Not having Obamacare has killed people, Romney. What Obama should say. #debate #
  • RT @dandrezner RT @drjoyner Finally, Obama lets loose with one of Al Gore’s winning sighs. The debate is now his to lose. #
  • RT @ThoughtnDesign Okay, get into yer stride @BarackObama #
  • RT @ChuckLane1 OMG why is Obama not just saying that Romney himself invented Obamacare? #
  • RT @DavidCornDC Romney looks like he’s having a good time. Obama does not. #debate #
  • RT @davidfrum Romney defending Romneycare on national stage. Denying tax cuts for rich. Wonder what they are thinking at WSJ tonight? #
  • .@davidfrum The Etch a Sketch finally arrives. #
  • MT @guypbenson Romney pointing out key diff between OCare & Romneycare. I’m a fan of neither program, but very good response. #Debate #
  • MT @dandrezner I think political scientists are about 2 get interesting test on whether debates matter — because Romney is crushing Obama. #
  • RT @PeterBeinart Romney’s sounding like the moderate dems always feared he’d be #
  • RT @sullydish And Obama is still looking down. Did no one tell him there is a split screen? Just political malpractice. http://t.co/lgzfvXJY #
  • MT @terrygoldman Obama is not fighting tonight. Speaking in circles. Make case. Call his bullshit, flip flops and lies! 47% remember?! Go! #
  • MT @monkeycageblog .@dandrezner If so, then precedent is 2004. First debate narrowed margin by a couple points, didn’t change outcome. #
  • RT @davidgregory Seems Obama team made decision to stay low key and avoid feisty exchanges. Stay above the fray. #
  • RT @politicalmath Obama: “Your plan, Mitt, duplicates what is in my law. That’s why I oppose it.” Me: What? #
  • RT @KattyKayBBC Press eager for Romney comeback story and now has something to work with. So far, at least. #
  • MT @sullydish Romney has managed 2 turn healthcare into a fantasy decision between grim rationing bureaucrats versus patients and hospitals. #
  • Romney positioning himself as more able to be bipartisan than O. Scary part, he is probably right. Dems would work with him, not obstruct. #
  • MT @sullydish Bored silly by O. If I am bored silly by this wonkish lecture, and his refusal to rebut specifics, i.e. lies, he’s in trouble. #
  • Role of Government now. Questions on 4th amendment? Indefinite detention? Etc? I can dream, right? #
  • Am I back from Twitter Jail yet? #
  • Woo! Out of jail! Can’t say how frustrating it was to hit tweet limit & thus be locked out of twitter for the last third of the debate. :-( #
  • Blog post coming shortly to summarize my thoughts. #
  • RT @ThoughtnDesign @abulsme U wanna be tweeting from Gitmo? #
  • RT @ThoughtnDesign @abulsme I should hope so!!!! #
  • .@ThoughtnDesign I was in Twitter jail for like an hour or something! Maybe more. I lost track of time. It was horrible! :-) #
  • RT @ThoughtnDesign @abulsme Be kind. #
  • .@ThoughtnDesign Was not kind. :-) #
  • RT @jimcramer Ultimate takeaway–under no circumstances, regardless of who wins, should you buy $HPQ #
  • RT @Heminator That wasn’t a debate so much as Mitt Romney just took Obama for a cross country drive strapped to the roof of his car. #
  • RT @CrowleyTIME Sensing weakness, Sasha and Malia just hounded dad into doubling their allowances. #
  • RT @BYUfan @abulsme Twitter has limits? I had no idea. #
  • .@BYUfan I’d heard of these limits before, but never encountered them. Most frustrating! #
  • RT @twitntwirp2012 @abulsme @ThoughtnDesign Me too! LilyAnn had the computer. #
  • .@twitntwirp2012 @thoughtndesign Heh. Different kind of jail. I made sure my kids were out of the house. :-) #
  • Watching – Chris Matthews Freaks Out At Obama After Debate: Romney Was “Winning” (RealClearPolitics) http://t.co/Ljw595S8 #
  • MT @wilw: Ok, I’m spitballing here, but maybe we could spice up the next episode by having each guy slimed Nickelodeon-style when he lies. #
  • Half-true -> Reading – Barack Obama: Says Mitt Romney’s plan “calls for a $5 trillion tax cut,” (Politifact) http://t.co/lbr9Rpk8 #
  • MT @JonahNRO: This is the first time since Ryan pick (& maybe only the 2nd time) Romney is getting majority of conservatives really excited #
  • Reading – The Denver Debate Ignored Hugely Important Domestic Issues (Conor Friedersdorf) http://t.co/AiSl7pNJ #
  • RT @twitntwirp2012: @abulsme The fact checkers are going berserk about now. Romney won but at what cost? #
  • .@twitntwirp2012 I doubt much cost. Most folks don’t look at fact checks. MSM will present “2 sides”, people will believe the guy they like. #
  • MT @twitntwirp2012: @abulsme Trust me, Chicago is already making ads comparing debate statements w/ prev ones. 2 wks worth of fun at least. #
  • .@twitntwirp2012 No question. There is lots of new flip flop etch a sketch material. Not sure it hits the same people though. #
  • .@twitntwirp2012 Flip flop pisses off far right cause reenforces Rom is really not one of them. But they will vote for him anyway. #
  • .@twitntwirp2012 Flip flop encourages center, maybe the Mod Romney is back. Maybe not so bad after all. These are who Romney needs. #
  • RT @twitntwirp2012: @abulsme Even with 2 debates left, historically Pres debates haven’t moved the needle much though. #
  • .@twitntwirp2012 Agreed. See my blog. Unless Obama continues to fail, best Rom gets is return to early Sep nums. Still losing,just by less. #
  • MT @twitntwirp2012: @abulsme Junkies like u and me really tuned in tonite. May hav more effect in few days on indies than u think.#debate #
  • .@twitntwirp2012 Effect on undecideds based on media narrative. Media wants closer race. More fun. So will all be about O fail, R comeback. #
  • RT @twitntwirp2012: @abulsme I’m good with that! #
  • MT @twitntwirp2012: @abulsme Damn it! You’re proby right about that. I’ll be watching BBC and reading AP & Reuters for next 2 wks for sure. #
  • RT @twitntwirp2012: @abulsme Media bias on both sides just insults me to no end. #
  • .@twitntwirp2012 Only media bias you can 100% count on is bias for stuff that will get more readers/viewers/listeners that help sell ads. #
  • RT @twitntwirp2012: @abulsme Are you just trying to depress me further? #
  • .@twitntwirp2012 Heh. #
  • RT @DouthatNYT: Chris Christie is looking pretty smart right about now. #
  • MT @twitntwirp2012: @abulsme Nite. 2 hr later here. Lastly, I’ll say beating up little old Jim Lehrer was prolly not a wise choice for Mitt. #
  • .@twitntwirp2012 Lehrer is liberal media. Beating up on media is good for R base, and helped show moderates he was in control. Not a neg. #
  • Reading – Laser Pointer (Randall Monroe) http://t.co/ZwzOIgIs #
  • Reading – Debates don’t move polls. Debate winners do. (David Rothschild) http://t.co/yebHWHqx #
  • Reading – Obama Outclassed by GOP Nonentity (Clive Crook) http://t.co/9fHthSK4 #
  • Reading – The Strategic Flaw In Obama’s Debate Performance (Noam Scheiber) http://t.co/5VZcZbw4 #
  • Reading – Romney Won The Debate. But Will It Be Enough? (Nate Cohn) http://t.co/jbrCtNL4 #
  • Reading – Poll Analysis: Romney takes back a couple more (Darryl, HorsesAss) http://t.co/cau4cnry #
  • EC update for Thu Oct 4 done. Polls added for 13 states. NC changes category. Blog post soon. http://t.co/kF2iz3uE #

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