This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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@abulsme tweets from 2014-02-20 (UTC)

Posted by Abulsme -- Friday 21 February 2014 00:00:00 UTC
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@abulsme tweets from 2014-02-19 (UTC)

Posted by Abulsme -- Thursday 20 February 2014 00:00:00 UTC
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@abulsme tweets from 2014-02-18 (UTC)

  • Reading – From India, Proof That a Trip to Mars Doesn’t Have to Break the Bank (Saritha Rai) http://t.co/NEPc4v33hx 00:46:55
  • Reading – Mozilla Plans to Sell Ads in Firefox Browser (John Gruber) http://t.co/OfniD7oKQH 00:55:00
  • My fitbit #Fitstats for 2/17/2014: 8,774 steps and 6.5 km traveled. http://t.co/yvGq0OoOT9 01:01:07
  • Reading – Rand Paul: We need ‘a new Republican Party’ — not small changes (Aaron Blake) http://t.co/0dGGVhR4AS 01:04:40
  • Reading – Should we fear the worst? (Macaro/Baggini) http://t.co/xWwLWYV04v 01:09:44
  • Not quite how it was presented… Reading – Lost in desert at four years old … but for how long? (OpenNewsroom) http://t.co/WfKvQUc3Dy 01:13:31
  • Reading – 5 Years Later, What Did The ARRA Achieve? (Lance Roberts) http://t.co/pkbNWBaHOB 01:17:25
  • Reading – Snowden Documents Reveal Covert Surveillance and Pressure Tactics Aimed at WikiLeaks (Greenwald/Gallagher) https://t.co/XFtrwK6E2m 08:29:34
  • More 2016 poll stuff. Just finished data entry on the 1996 elections. This means I have now switched everything to 5 poll averages. 16:40:43
  • In places where there are not enough real polls on current catalogs I backfill with actual elections. Five is my target, so here I am! :-) 16:41:51
  • I’ve used 5 poll averages in the last couple elections, and it has seemed to do fine. In the past I haven’t backfilled more than 2 elex tho. 16:42:36
  • This gives a better “background” for unpolled states though, although one could argue that 5 elex back is a very long time (20 years). 16:43:20
  • It also means 3 Dem victories and 2 Rep victories. If I wanted to be “even” I could choose 4, 8 or 10 elex. But I’ve done 5 poll avg, so… 16:47:58
  • Anyway, this gives an interesting baseline: the 5 poll avg using just last 5 elex, no new polls on 2016 candidates: http://t.co/kVzlx0sf6x 16:49:16
  • “Close” states (under 5% margin in 5 elex avg) end up as Missouri, Virginia, Colorado, Florida, Ohio and Nevada. http://t.co/kVzlx0sf6x 16:50:30
  • Dem’s have a slight advantage, with a 1.66% “tipping point” in Ohio. Range goes from 24 EV Rep win to 146 EV Dem win as close states swing. 16:52:03
  • Of course, we already do have some very limited polling on specific candidate pairings for 2016 that moves that. Ex: http://t.co/K5o22cJeW9 16:55:41
  • We are along way from having enough data to even be too meaningful as a snapshot, let alone a prediction though & I know I am missing polls. 16:56:48
  • But I am happy to slowly but surely be getting my infrastructure in place to track this stuff. I still have a long to do list though. 16:58:10
  • Getting 2 actually having enough historical data to do five poll avg in all states (inc elex) is a milestone though. I’m happy about it. :-) 16:59:13
  • Important -> Reading – Does Anyone Else Realize The Federal Debt Ceiling Was ELIMINATED? (Stan Collender) http://t.co/f3VnR1F6fc 18:11:00
  • Reading – How Much Is Hillary Clinton Like Claire Underwood? (Andrew Sullivan) http://t.co/vf2B03NCT9 19:27:59
  • Watching – Jimmy Fallon Kicks Off The Tonight Show (The Tonight Show) http://t.co/FccbyMR033 20:44:37
  • Reading – “Enhanced Interrogation” In North Korea (Andrew Sullivan) http://t.co/7jzTS8WHXo 22:00:29
  • RT @jamesgrime: The Graph of Khan http://t.co/JiPM6rELZi 22:05:43
  • Reading – Advertisers Not Thrilled With Apple’s Practice Of Protecting Its Users’ Data (Darrell Etherington) http://t.co/3GjSbFf4T3 22:41:11
Posted by Abulsme -- Wednesday 19 February 2014 00:00:00 UTC
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@abulsme tweets from 2014-02-17 (UTC)

Posted by Abulsme -- Tuesday 18 February 2014 00:00:00 UTC
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@abulsme tweets from 2014-02-16 (UTC)

Posted by Abulsme -- Monday 17 February 2014 00:00:00 UTC
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@abulsme tweets from 2014-02-15 (UTC)

Posted by Abulsme -- Sunday 16 February 2014 00:00:00 UTC
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@abulsme tweets from 2014-02-14 (UTC)

Posted by Abulsme -- Saturday 15 February 2014 00:00:00 UTC
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Curmudgeon’s Corner: Apple Juice in the Champagne Glasses

In the latest Curmudgeon’s Corner Sam and Ivan talk about:

  • Ivan Forgot / Beeps and Ladders / Debt Limit
  • Anti-Clinton Tactics
  • Flappy Bird
  • AOL’s Distressed Babies

Recorded on 14 Feb 2014

Length this week – 1:15:40

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Posted by Abulsme -- Friday 14 February 2014 21:36:37 UTC
Tags: , , , , , , , | Category: Curmudgeons Corner | One comment

@abulsme tweets from 2014-02-13 (UTC)

Posted by Abulsme -- Friday 14 February 2014 00:00:00 UTC
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@abulsme tweets from 2014-02-12 (UTC)

  • My fitbit #Fitstats for 2/11/2014: 4,248 steps and 3.1 km traveled. http://t.co/yvGq0OoOT9 01:01:13
  • Voted. :-) 02:56:09
  • Reading – How The GOP Plans To Crush The Tea Party Revolt (Daniel Strauss) http://t.co/tpOGmWvR41 03:20:16
  • Reading – Store Owner: Employee Wore Banana Suit To Look 'Less Alarming' While Carrying AK-47 (Caitlin MacNeal) http://t.co/ZuaeuyxRQX 03:28:16
  • Alex was adjusting projector screen today. He let go too fast. Screen bounced. Fell. Barely missed Alex. Our hearts stopped but he was fine. 06:34:30
  • Screen was totaled though. As was a cheap piece of Ikea furniture that was under it. Not huge losses. Just glad Alex fine. 06:36:45
  • He was actually adjusting it at my request and not doing anything wrong. But it released with a bit too much force for how it was mounted. 06:37:36
  • Anyway, taking the opportunity to upgrade to an electric screen instead of a manual. And we’ll make the mount a lot more solid. 06:38:32
  • We had originally gone with the manual because we figured Alex would probably write on it or something and we would need to replace it. 06:38:59
  • He never did though. He has always been good with it. And after the fall just now, @Scatterbrandy is more comfortable with an electric. 06:39:39
  • No cords to pull it up & down, and no rapid spring loaded retracting. Just rolls itself down when you turn on proj, & up when you turn off. 06:40:52
  • Anyway, another in a string of unexpected repairs and upgrades in the last two months. Sigh. 06:41:18
  • Oh, we also had 2 get a slightly bigger screen as the electric didn’t come in same size as our manual & we didn’t want to go down a size. :) 06:43:01
  • It will take a while for the new one to arrive, so we are without a screen for a couple weeks. Oh well. Anyway, very glad Alex not hit! 06:44:13
  • Reading – When Those in Power Invite Us to Learn the Wrong Lessons from Nelson Mandela (Kevin Gosztola) http://t.co/UooScUP18c 14:08:56
  • Reading – Mozilla Will Sell Ads In Firefox To Create A New Revenue Stream (Romain Dillet) http://t.co/nJs8McKxQl 14:16:01
  • RT @270toWin: 1,000 days until the 2016 presidential election. http://t.co/4viHqhVpRV 14:21:18
  • Hey @imbou someone else hears it! I don’t hear it any more tho. RT @BYUfan: @abulsme Please! Fix that annoying smoke alarm. #chirpchirpchirp 17:33:14
  • RT @sesamestreet: Introducing… FLAPPY BERT! Play now: http://t.co/HAuOWdORpw 18:24:38
  • Fire drill at work. So much fun! 18:47:24
Posted by Abulsme -- Thursday 13 February 2014 00:00:00 UTC
Tags: | Category: Tweet | 2 comments
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