This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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Stuff over at Election Graphs

This week I’ll finally be doing some election geek posts over at ElectionGraphs.com with some analysis of the difference between the final state poll averages I had in 2008-2016 and the actual election results.

I just posted the first one a few minutes ago.

That kind of stuff is now over there, not here, so if you want it, you either need to be checking ElectionGraphs.com itself, subscribe to it with an RSS reader (RSS link), follow @ElectionGraphs on Twitter, or follow Election Graphs on Facebook.

This is still analysis of old stuff. New stuff for 2020 will be coming soon, but not quite yet. I will probably post again here once that actually starts. But if you want my “election stuff” follow one of the above…

One preview graph from the first of this series of posts…

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Weird Things Happening

This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner Sam and Ivan talk about Election 2016 of course. But first some bits about Mike the headless chicken, the comments on Sam’s Election Graphs site, stamp prices, Hey Siri, and a movie Sam watched. When they do get to the election they cover Trump’s shutout in Colorado, Trump’s general malpractice in delegate wrangling, the odds of a contested convention, the accusations of cheating in both parties, and much more!

Click below to listen or subscribe… then let us know your own thoughts!

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Recorded 2016-04-14

Length this week – 1:20:15

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Show Details:

  • (0:00:41-0:22:29) But First
    • Ivan in his Car
    • Mike the Headless Chicken
    • Election Graphs Comments
    • Stamp Prices
    • Facebook Bots
    • Hey Siri
    • Movie: Mississippi Burning (1988)
  • (0:23:08-1:00:14) Election 2016
    • Trump shutout in Colorado
    • Delegate wrangling malpractice
    • Contested Convention Scenarios
    • Ryan saying no… Again
    • Odds of Trump getting majority
    • Trump Trends
    • Cruz wooing delegates
  • (1:00:53-1:19:55) Election 2016 Continued
    • Cheating? Stealing? Unfair? Rigged?
    • Sanders “contesting” the convention
    • Sanders attempts to woo superdelegates
    • Edit wars on Wikipedia Superdelegate list
    • Denial from Trump and Sanders people
    • What Sanders and Trump didn’t do
    • When is New York again?
    • Thoughtful Trump people wanted

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Perfectly in Character

Iowa is coming. Did everyone know the Iowa Caucuses are coming very soon? This week on Curmudgeon’s Corner, Sam and Ivan discuss the state of the presidential race in the lead up to the Iowa Caucuses. On the Republican side, they discuss attacks on Trump finally starting, while the rest of the candidates attack each other, as well as details of delegate allocation in Iowa, and some talk about Trump supporters commenting on Sam’s election site. On the Democratic side, it is delegate allocations again, and just how hard a path it would be for Sanders to catch up and win given Clinton’s superdelegate lead and other factors. Oh yeah, and at the start, Sam complains a bit about company annual reviews.

Click below to listen or subscribe… then let us know your own thoughts!

CCCover20151125bw
Recorded 2016-01-29

Length this week – 1:13:26

1-Click Subscribe in iTunes
View Podcast in iTunes
View Raw Podcast Feed
Download MP3 File
Follow the podcast on Facebook

Show Details:

  • (0:00:10-0:10:22) But First
    • Agenda
    • Annual Reviews
  • (0:11:42-0:54:20) Election 2016 – Republicans
    • Finally Iowa
    • Attacking Trump
    • Last Week Shifts
    • Circular Firing Squad
    • Conservatism vs Trumpism
    • Trump skipping debate
    • Trump shooting people
    • Trump commenters on Election Graphs
    • Republican Delegates in Iowa
    • Trump Insults
    • Iowa predictions
  • (0:55:04-1:13:06) Election 2016 – Democrats
    • Clinton will win in the end
    • Democratic Delegates in Iowa
    • ElectionGraphs.com Delegate Tracker
    • Clinton’s big superdelegate lead
    • What Sanders needs to “really” win
    • Feedback – Palin Poetry
    • Wrap Up