This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Comments here or emails to me at abulsme@abulsme.com are encouraged... or follow me on Twitter as @abulsme.

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@abulsme Updates from 2012-02-09 (UTC)

  • Reading – Rick Santorum Wins Confirm Mitt Romney Weakness: Read The Polls (Mark Blumenthal) http://t.co/sXMucKJp #
  • MT @FHQ: @mysterypollster Not nearly enough people asking this today. Finding roadblocks to Romney is easy but who else gets to 1144 & how? #
  • Reading – How Romney could fail to get enough delegates (Philip Klein) http://t.co/nS1xT8TW #
  • MT @pourmecoffee: Fox is ending House after this season. To watch an arrogant jerk spout wild theories, you'll have to settle for Gingrich. #
  • MT @fivethirtyeight: Personally I think the odds of winning the nom are about: Romney 75%, Santorum 20%, Newt/other 5% #
  • RT @donttrythis: Nice! Travel through the body one slice at a time. Best. Gif. Ever. http://t.co/qPGVbN2A (from Reddit) #
  • RT @FHQ: Republican winner-take-all states: FL, AZ, PR, DC, DE, NJ & UT (228 total delegates) http://t.co/PwD3yH50 #
  • Reading – Delegates, real and projected (Matt, DCW) http://t.co/akQCO8KF #
  • Reading – This is what foreign-policy success looks like (The Economist) http://t.co/Hqsd0jId #
  • RT @DemConWatch: Romney gets new superdelegate for 3rd straight day: 0 for 3 on Tuesday night? No problem… http://t.co/OhlXxkZZ #p2 #
  • Reading – Senate sneaks in SOPA under a new name (RT) http://t.co/tsISptpo #

2012 Republican Delegate Count: Romney Super #18

Chart from the Abulsme.com 2012 Republican Delegate Count Graphs page.  When a candidate gets down to 0%, they have cinched the nomination.  If they get up past 100%, they have been mathematically eliminated.

Romney picks up another superdelegate.  This of course slightly improves his sitaution and slightly degrades everybody else’s.

Currently Romney needs 49.9% of the remaining delegates to win.  His closest competition, Gingrich, needs 53.5% of the remaining delegates to be able to catch up and win.  Santorum needs 53.7%.  And finally Paul is furthest behind of the candidates still in the race, needing 54.3% of the remaining delegates to catch up and win.