Abulsme.com: August 2015

Curmudgeon’s Corner: Sickness and Politics

This week on the Curmudgeon’s Corner podcast Sam discusses his fever addled trip home from last week’s vacation, then Sam and Ivan settle in to discuss Election 2016, first the Democrats, then the Republicans. We cover everything from Larry Lessig and Al Gore, to Clinton emails, Bush on Iraq, birthright citizenship and what happens if Trump actually wins.

Recorded 2015-08-21

Length this week – 1:30:58

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Show Details:

0:00:10 – 0:24:53: But First
- Some Walking
- Positive Buzz
- Sick Traveler
0:25:55 – 0:54:40: Election 2016 – Democrats
- Larry Lessig PR Stunt
- Al Gore trial balloon
- Clinton drops below 50%!
- Will Joe Biden run?
- Clinton email again
0:55:25 – 1:30:39: Election 2016- Republicans
- Paul Staffer Legal Trouble
- Bush Foreign Policy Speech
- Birthright citizenship / Immigration
- Trump driving away potential Republican voters?
- Trump vs Klum
- Other Republicans sucking up to Trump?
- Trump Base Expanding?
- Scenarios where Trump wins the nomination
- Bush money drying up?

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2015-08-20 (UTC)

00:44:44 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-12 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 42% to Bush 42% http://t.co/uY7Jw5SMGc
00:47:41 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-12 to 2015-08-16 – Sanders 40% to Bush 43% http://t.co/HPOTtD6FdQ
00:51:34 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-12 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 40% to Carson 47% http://t.co/i4ZM27UekT
00:55:02 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-12 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 40% to Christie 39% http://t.co/jO0tyTvXVf
00:57:48 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-12 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 43% to Cruz 45% http://t.co/sKD3BaVcWV
01:00:45 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-12 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 41% to Fiorina 42% http://t.co/nAbBlQVutt
01:01:13 Clinton vs Fiorina state category change: NC has moved from Weak Fiorina to Weak Clinton http://t.co/nAbBlQDTBV
01:04:17 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-12 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 44% to Huckabee 46% http://t.co/byV3wwdAhx
01:07:43 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-12 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 40% to Kasich 41% http://t.co/BA4vkOk64Q
01:09:50 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-12 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 44% to Paul 40% http://t.co/7UvWBvHvfD
01:12:02 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-12 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 41% to Rubio 45% http://t.co/4yQBXJxI3g
01:14:40 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-12 to 2015-08-16 – Sanders 36% to Rubio 42% http://t.co/wgOUwMzf82
01:15:49 Clinton vs Fiorina expected case changed: Clinton 323 to Fiorina 215 -> Clinton 338 to Fiorina 200 http://t.co/OjF9clOfNo
02:17:24 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-12 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 42% to Trump 45% http://t.co/OHPHc7694d
02:20:18 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-12 to 2015-08-16 – Sanders 40% to Trump 43% http://t.co/pQO1mUWIhg
02:22:48 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-12 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 41% to Walker 44% http://t.co/jkBC1tBecj
02:25:05 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-12 to 2015-08-16 – Sanders 37% to Walker 41% http://t.co/tLx3ZtQD18
02:25:21 Sanders vs Walker state category change: NC has moved from Strong Walker to Weak Walker http://t.co/tLx3ZtQD18
02:29:47 Sanders best case vs Walker has changed: Sanders 332 to Walker 206 -> Sanders 347 to Walker 191 http://t.co/NxdGOrMyqE
02:59:38 That’s it for today’s poll updates. A couple category changes, but none from the five best polled candidate combos, so no blog post.
17:52:39 Realized I neglected the two three way results from that NC @ppppolls data. Upcoming for those interested.
17:54:37 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-23 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 38% to Bush 28% to Trump 27% (Logged but not on site)
17:55:12 Poll Added: PPP in NC from 2015-08-23 to 2015-08-16 – Clinton 38% to Trump 40% to Nuts 9% (Logged but not on site)
17:57:02 Ok. NOW that’s it for that round of polls. We have a new @QuinnipiacPoll swing state poll out today though. I’ll try to add those tonight.

@abulsme tweets from 2015-08-20 (UTC)

02:49:43 Retweeted @PollsAndVotes 2015-08-18 17:48:47 The big picture of GOP16 race.
Five months before people start voting. http://t.co/5QuM9rOZWc
03:01:36 New @ppppolls results in NC added. As usual see http://t.co/DURWAhb7mq and @ElecCollPolls for details. No notable changes, so no blog post.
14:23:13 Reading – Democrats 2016: Biden His Time (@kkondik) http://t.co/tnxVWd039w
14:43:33 Reading – Marco Rubio Once Benefitted From Birthright Citizenship, Now He's Open to Restricting It (S.V. DГЎte) http://t.co/dYdBxNdDcR
22:39:41 Retweeted @RalstonReports 22:35:27 Hillary: "Donald, can you drive up Hispanic turnout?"
Trump: "Done."
Hillary: "Blacks, too?"
Trump: 'Watch this." https://t.co/hyOQQT3fFi

@abulsme tweets from 2015-08-19 (UTC)

07:55:58 Still awake even though I need to be up in five hours. No more fever but still achy and sore. Headache too. Fun stuff. Recommend. Thumbs up!
22:20:40 Now I’m coughing. I swear if I get a <expletive deleted> cold or flu on top of everything else it will be time to just give up.

@abulsme tweets from 2015-08-18 (UTC)

14:16:41 Got up this morning and sat at my desk for a few minutes. Realized it was a mistake. Back in bed now. Going back to sleep for a bit. Bleh.
18:36:03 Retweeted @bonncaruso 15:44:02 @abulsme Gute Besserung, Sam! in reply to abulsme
18:37:26 .@bonncaruso Thanks! I’m trying! :-) in reply to bonncaruso
18:37:37 Retweeted @jennsteele 15:51:45 @abulsme REST AND FEEL BETTER, DAMMIT! in reply to abulsme
18:39:06 .@jennsteele A few hours later now. Managed to get Alex to school. Going to try actually working from home for the afternoon. We’ll seeвЂ¦ :-) in reply to jennsteele
18:47:52 Retweeted @jennsteele 18:40:24 @abulsme You seem to be a bit unclear as to the meaning of "rest". Let me enlighten you: http://t.co/K5UGOK7c4j in reply to abulsme
18:49:27 .@jennsteele I admit going back to bed again now would be really really niceвЂ¦ But I was already gone a weekвЂ¦ Feel so guilty! And so behind! in reply to jennsteele
18:51:39 Retweeted @jennsteele 18:50:43 @abulsme Another half day is a small price to pay to avoid complications on top of your current infection insanity. in reply to abulsme
18:53:45 .@jennsteele I hear ya. Stamina still low. Probably won’t be super productive or do a long stretch of hours. But will at least lookвЂ¦ in reply to jennsteele
18:55:30 Retweeted @jennsteele 18:53:44 @abulsme Although please note that I do not practice what I preach: http://t.co/K473CIzJ2q in reply to abulsme
18:56:01 Reading – On Illness (@jennsteele) http://t.co/TcKp8IIiXe
18:56:32 .@jennsteele Welk, at least I know I am not currently contagious. :-) in reply to jennsteele
18:56:37 Retweeted @jennsteele 18:54:11 @abulsme I reserve the right to say, "I told you so." in reply to abulsme
18:56:50 .@jennsteele Noted. :-) in reply to jennsteele

@abulsme tweets from 2015-08-17 (UTC)

02:49:33 Retweeted @PollsAndVotes 01:12:35 The consistency of those below 2% is impressive. Would an Iowa straw poll have shaken anyone out? http://t.co/Lh49IIzxXp
03:00:54 Fever just broke 103.2. Despite fever meds & antibiotics. I thought I would work from home tomorrow now thinking I won’t even manage that.
03:01:52 Can currently barely manage holding a coherent thought in my head for more than a few seconds, and moving even a few feet wipes me out. :-/
03:23:04 Retweeted @RQDammit 03:21:32 @abulsme Whoa dude! Chill out, shut it down! Work can wait dammit! in reply to abulsme
03:23:56 .@RQDammit Thinking I won’t have a choice about it. I couldn’t work right now if I wanted to. in reply to RQDammit
03:48:13 Retweeted @iscoff 2015-08-10 14:58:38 The reason Latin is a dead language is because they kept accidentally summoning demons during regular conversations
04:07:56 Retweeted @faktoids 03:49:19 The "Indian map" making the rounds is contrafactual: How it *could* have been, had not the white man intervened. http://t.co/xYggkiGkvi
20:20:45 Fever broke late last night with help of meds. Still not feeling great, no stamina at all, but creeping slowly toward being functional.
23:47:54 Actually left house with my mom and Alex for a little bit. Proved to myself that I’m not really ready to be quite that active yet. :-/

@abulsme tweets from 2015-08-16 (UTC)

01:05:18 Seattle now. Still feverish and hurt. Yummy!
01:09:11 First text. Brandy in fender bender getting to airport. Everybody fine, but someone changed lanes into them I think. StillвЂ¦
01:43:38 Fever is 102.3. Woo!
03:28:53 Retweeted @RTMannJr 2015-08-15 23:30:23 Scares me when I find myself agreeing with Donald Trump, but what he said about Jeb and Iraq is spot on. http://t.co/nXYYNDw9kw
17:01:52 Retweeted @jennsteele 16:54:17 @abulsme Wow. You're having a lovely weekend, eh? in reply to abulsme
17:03:06 .@jennsteele Yeah. Got some nice rashes on my arm and back too. And tingly arm. Looks like a trip to weekend urgent care is in my future. in reply to jennsteele
18:56:40 Retweeted @jennsteele 18:54:55 @abulsme Holy crap. Hope you get through it ok. Sounds miserable. in reply to abulsme
18:57:09 .@jennsteele Urgent care waiting rooms are fun! in reply to jennsteele
20:10:32 Bladder and kidney infections & also shingles! About to get some intramuscular antibiotics. Too late 4 antiviral for the shingles. Oh well.
20:16:57 Retweeted @jennsteele 19:08:38 @abulsme You're not wrong: http://t.co/IW1d9tAZVK in reply to abulsme
20:18:29 Reading – On Triage (@jennsteele) http://t.co/Us6EAPVLT2
20:18:35 Retweeted @jennsteele 19:12:02 @abulsme I figured you could use some distraction. Apparently by reading something else about waiting for urgent care. Logic! in reply to jennsteele
20:20:35 .@jennsteele So the lesson is when going for medical care always be inarticulate and have someone carry you in? in reply to jennsteele
20:29:22 Retweeted @jennsteele 20:25:35 @abulsme um… Sort of. in reply to abulsme
20:30:52 Retweeted @jennsteele 20:29:55 @abulsme Dude. That all sucks beyond imagining. in reply to abulsme
20:31:43 .@jennsteele I must admit the last day hasn’t been particularly pleasant. in reply to jennsteele
22:27:00 Retweeted @danpfeiffer 2015-08-14 12:32:36 Every time we think the Trump thing is insane it's worth remembering that two cast members of Predator became Governors of American states

@abulsme tweets from 2015-08-15 (UTC)

02:05:35 Reading – Is Hillary Clinton Really in Danger of Losing the Primary? (@Nate_Cohn) http://t.co/uPsEpMqkPJ
02:48:22 Retweeted @AmyNotAmy 02:45:28 @abulsme dad I wanna read this but I am v lazy, what does it say in reply to abulsme
02:50:36 .@AmyNotAmy The TL;DR is "No". Despite being weaker than she might like, she is in a better position that any non-incumbent in modern times. in reply to AmyNotAmy
02:51:54 .@AmyNotAmy Now, that doesn't mean something might not happen to change that. But for now, the talk of her being in danger is overblown. in reply to AmyNotAmy
02:58:29 Retweeted @ComfortablySmug 02:58:13 If you want to know where your heart lies, look where your mind wanders
03:10:54 Reading – The jaw-dropping promise вЂ” and brain-twisting challenge вЂ” of quantum computing (Karen Eng) http://t.co/1pi8zbKo93
03:17:17 Reading – FBI Said to Examine Whether Hillary Clinton E-Mail Was Backed Up (Chris Strohm) http://t.co/B4oRnjGMko
03:27:55 Reading – Clinton’s team went from nonchalant to nervous over e-mail controversy (Carol D. Leonnig) http://t.co/xXxL8cLTOo
06:44:02 Watching – Top 5 Android M Features! (Marques Brownlee) https://t.co/eiCpvi7hVf
07:52:33 Why am I awake? I shouldn’t be awake. :-(
10:59:22 Retweeted @Gregtucson 2015-08-09 07:11:57 This evening just before sunset, I finally got the shot I've been trying to get for years. http://t.co/JFJG4vlAb3
11:40:20 Reading – Is It Time for Researchers to Rethink Sexting? (Jesse Singal) http://t.co/5EHeR3ThzH
11:42:44 Reading – Why News? (Robin Hanson) http://t.co/BbNjTCp36P
11:45:57 Reading – A Republican Primary Process Run by Voters, Not the Establishment (@matthewjdowd) http://t.co/jTIA3dCvNn
12:01:49 Reading – Joe Biden and the long history of the one-term-pledge gimmick (@pbump) http://t.co/FkJkrK05Ro
12:11:08 Reading – Chinese companies face culture shock in countries that aren’t like China (Simon Denyer) http://t.co/48ipjUTguy
12:12:02 Feel like I am getting sick. This is going to be a fun flight home today. :-(
12:16:04 Reading – Japan’s emperor appears to part ways with Abe on pacifism debate (Anna Fifield) http://t.co/w5IMee7A6w
12:20:22 Reading – Apes may be closer to speaking than many scientists think (Chris Barncard) http://t.co/OmxPWl91R1
12:31:10 Reading – Documents confirm Apple is building self-driving car (Mark Harris) http://t.co/mh25vT0jEk
15:17:09 Running a fever from a UTI. No flights leaving until they resolve an air traffic control issue. Took a bunch of meds. I love travel!
15:46:43 Retweeted @breakingtravel 15:42:09 Apparent power outage in DC air control towers causing delays to flights in NE US – @RachelKatz91, @johnvanbuiten http://t.co/taA3kyby1g
15:47:32 .@breakingtravel @RachelKatz91 @johnvanbuiten @BreakingNews Looks like things have started to move again now. in reply to breakingtravel
16:00:07 .@breakingtravel @RachelKatz91 @johnvanbuiten @BreakingNews OrвЂ¦ They just started boarding planes again, but still nobody taking off. Bleh. in reply to abulsme
16:21:04 Retweeted @AirlineFlyer 16:01:12 .@flightradar24 showing a large gap with no aircraft between Washington, D.C., and North Carolina due to ZDC outage. http://t.co/zMwPUKZDVu
16:28:36 Retweeted @AirlineFlyer 16:05:58 ZDC is offline, so flights are being routed around the airspace, rather than through it like normal. http://t.co/hF7xAauPZI
16:32:21 Retweeted @natsecHeather 16:09:31 Most midday flights out of BWI now cancelled.
16:42:45 They gave people the option to get off plane. About half the plane got off. Including me. With a UTI easy access to bathroom trumps staying.
16:42:52 Retweeted @imbou 16:34:10 @abulsme you feeling better? in reply to abulsme
16:44:38 .@imbou No not better. But I just took my 2nd Rx pain pill so I’m starting to care less. But feel awful. Will take more fever meds soon too. in reply to imbou
16:52:43 They called us back to the plane. Theoretically we will be leaving soon.
17:21:16 Finally leaving. Turning on airplane mode!
19:56:22 Retweeted @rebliv 17:21:41 @abulsme oh no, hope you feel better soon! in reply to abulsme
19:56:59 .@rebliv Not better yet. But vet nicely drugged up. And in Minneapolis. Woo! in reply to rebliv

@abulsme tweets from 2015-08-14 (UTC)

00:37:10 Reading – Rose McGowan Is Starting A Revolution (Kate Aurthur) http://t.co/9MxkQCc2tU
01:02:15 Retweeted @fmbutt 2015-08-13 23:07:01 What people thought netbooks were, tablets turned out to be.
What people thought tablets were, smartphones turned out to be.
01:12:18 I’m returning from dinner & Twitter is full of people talking about Gore thinking of jumping in the 2016 race. & Biden? Please! So much fun!
04:21:14 Reading – What non-Californians don't know about Carly Fiorina — but should (Michael Hiltzik) http://t.co/Qbs6qvGYn8
15:26:55 This is infuriating -> The Bail Trap (Nick Pinto) http://t.co/9P6nXZcddm
15:40:30 Reading – Joe Biden Wades Further Into ’16 Bid (Martin/Chozick) http://t.co/TW9Ac8N77n
15:46:37 Reading – Performance update #2: Electric Boogaloo (Dan Chilton) http://t.co/uYNdmIUlao
20:55:37 Reading – The 199 Most Donald Trump Things Donald Trump Has Ever Said (Diana D'Abruzzo) http://t.co/VL9i5koVQZ
21:07:01 Reading – Suburban Secrets: How We Hide Our Achievement Gaps in Montgomery County (@natsecHeather) http://t.co/sO0ehLzUfH
21:08:32 .@abulsme @natsecHeather For some reason that article reminded me of themes in a recent conversation I had in a car… Hmmm… :-) in reply to abulsme
21:13:43 Reading – Ice Freaks Love GE's Weird New Ice Machine (Adam K. Raymond) http://t.co/9X1jIjiEV7
21:27:49 Retweeted @micahcohen 2015-08-12 20:01:34 A good chart from Pollster. This should run with every 2016 story published this year. http://t.co/JD1nLtjJ1b http://t.co/OcTS2Rtn5K
22:02:07 Reading – Here's Where 2016 Candidates Stand On Vaccinations (Bobic/Edwards-Levy) http://t.co/VHSiWgkFVN
22:05:04 Reading – The real reason Sesame Street is going to HBO (Brian Fung) http://t.co/WRrMEBMxfX
22:08:34 Reading – Will Smith Producing Fresh Prince of Bel-Air Reboot (Alex Osborn) http://t.co/scXTHUS4Cc
22:11:31 Reading – Al Gore Insiders вЂњFiguring Out If There’s A PathвЂќ For Him To Run (Andrew Kaczynski) http://t.co/UUHAvrMW5u
22:12:34 Retweeted @frankthorpNBC 00:48:36 Asked for his reaction to report Al Gore is considering a run in 2016, @JebBush responds, "Really?"
22:12:40 Retweeted @Nate_Cohn 00:58:25 I'll be interested when someone reports that a Democrat is finding support for their candidacy, not that they're merely looking at running.
22:18:57 Reading – Classified data found on emails in May; Clinton camp slow to protect secrets (Greg Gordon) http://t.co/C5RDWayfSc
22:27:34 Reading – Seattle to crack down on its jammed-up intersections (Mike Lindblom) http://t.co/rtuBL0W7AI

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2015-08-13 (UTC)

06:25:01 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Rubio takes lead in Iowa, Missouri slips out of Clinton’s reach http://t.co/KP37u1JTCM
11:33:35 [Blog Post] "Curmudgeon’s Corner: Hit the Green Button!!" http://t.co/gDGg5T4pgt

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