Pollster.com added some new states with full tracking graphs and such. Only one of these resulted in any category changes for me. Minnesota, including several new polls I didn’t have… jumped from Leaning McCain to Weak Obama.
The “easily possible results” range (assuming that any state where the leader leads by less than 5% could really go either way) narrows somewhat with this change. We now have everywhere from McCain winning by 66 to Obama winning by 106 being very possible.
At the moment, if every state that is even leaning to one side or another actually went that way, McCain would win by 14 electoral votes.
Just as a clarification, when I say something like “McCain would win by 14 electoral votes” what I am actually saying is that he would be above the needed 270 electoral votes by a margin of 14. The actual difference between the electoral totals of the two candidates would of course be significantly greater in that situation…