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November 2008
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Electoral College: Called – Alabama for McCain

This update covers states called before 02:00 UTC.

Alabama goes to McCain. Alabama was a Strong McCain state, so this is no surprise.

We have not yet had any surprises tonight, or any states called that are not strong.

So the summary still remains the same:

Summary:

McCain SuperBest: McCain 291, Obama 247
McCain Best Case: Obama 291, McCain 247

Current “everybody gets their leans”: Obama 349, McCain 189

Obama Best Case: Obama 406, McCain 132
Obama SuperBest: Obama 411, McCain 127

A Lot More States in Seven Minutes

Yet another wave coming soon…

Electoral College: Called – Pennsylvania and New Hampshire for Obama

This is the 01:45 Update.

Both Pennsylvania and New Hampshire called for Obama.

Both of these states were “Strong Obama” states in the final polls, so neither of these is a surprise at all, and the summary yet again remains the same. It will stay exactly the same until they start calling “Weak” or “Lean” states.

Summary:

McCain SuperBest: McCain 291, Obama 247
McCain Best Case: Obama 291, McCain 247

Current “everybody gets their leans”: Obama 349, McCain 189

Obama Best Case: Obama 406, McCain 132
Obama SuperBest: Obama 411, McCain 127

Electoral College: Called – MA, IL, CT, NJ, DE, MD, DC, OK, TN… and part of ME

This is the 01:15 UTC Update.

CNN called Massachusetts, Illinois, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland and DC for Obama.

They also called Oklahoma and Tennessee for McCain.

Maine splits its four electoral votes. CNN has called 3 of them for Obama, the other is still uncalled.

All of these changes are in “Strong” states, so the overall status remains the same:

Summary:

McCain SuperBest: McCain 291, Obama 247
McCain Best Case: Obama 291, McCain 247

Current “everybody gets their leans”: Obama 349, McCain 189

Obama Best Case: Obama 406, McCain 132
Obama SuperBest: Obama 411, McCain 127

Electoral College: Called – South Carolina (8 ev) for McCain

This is the 01:00 Update.

South Carolina Called for McCain. This was a Strong McCain state, so the summary does not change:

Summary:

McCain SuperBest: McCain 291, Obama 247
McCain Best Case: Obama 291, McCain 247

Current “everybody gets their leans”: Obama 349, McCain 189

Obama Best Case: Obama 406, McCain 132
Obama SuperBest: Obama 411, McCain 127

Next Wave in 10 Minutes

A ton of states closing shortly. Several of them are “Strong” states that it should be possible to call almost immediately.

CNN Hologram

By the way, the CNN Hologram thingy looks stupid.

People Watching

Wow. More than 40 people looking at this site right now. Most of them on the Electoral College Prediction page, but a bunch wandering around elsewhere too. This is a new record for this site.

Electoral College: Called – Kentucky (8 ev) for McCain, Vermont (3 ev) for Obama

Kentucky called for McCain, Vermont for Obama. Both were strong states, so no surprises and this does not change the summary at all:

Summary:

McCain SuperBest: McCain 291, Obama 247
McCain Best Case: Obama 291, McCain 247

Current “everybody gets their leans”: Obama 349, McCain 189

Obama Best Case: Obama 406, McCain 132
Obama SuperBest: Obama 411, McCain 127