Just an update on election results. Almost everyplace in the universe has now reflected Obama’s win in Nebraska’s second district. But not CNN. And CNN is what I’m basing my charts on, so this annoys me. It looks like final results from Missouri are due around Tuesday. Hopefully CNN will reflect THOSE when they happen. If CNN still hasn’t reflected Missouri 24 hours after other people start officially calling it, then I’ll go ahead and call it. At that point if CNN still hasn’t reflected the change in Nebraska 2, I’ll put it in now. In both cases, I’ll try to go back and reflect both as of some sort of reasonable time based on when they were called by other sources.
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He should wait until January 20th at 11:59 AM Eastern Time. But no, he’s in a rush. Obama resigning Senate seat as of Sunday
Although I care about all five of these lines to some degree, I care most about the blue line. Down 46% over the last year as of the last close. I am really very ready for it to start going up again now please. Unfortunately, the amount I have in the yellow line is trivial. Oh well.
This update reflects states called by CNN in the 15 minutes before 15:30 UTC on November 7th. There was one state called. North Carolina for Obama. This was the second “surprise” of the season compared to my immediately pre-poll closing predictions. North Carolina had been in the Obama column since the end of September, but had moved to the McCain side right before the election. This makes my record at this point 48 out of 50, with one state left to call. New summary: McCain Best Case: Obama 364, McCain 174 I should note however, that although CNN called Nebraska’s 2nd District for McCain, and has not yet retracted that on their Election Results Page, many other sources have since called that district for Obama, thus taking an electoral vote away from McCain and giving it to Obama. I’ll keep sticking with CNN’s tally here though, although they have been excruciatingly slow after the point Obama reached 270. I think in 4 years I’ll have to use a different primary source. For the moment though, I presume CNN will eventually catch up on the Nebraska electoral vote, and will eventually call Missouri. Edit Nov 17 05:32 UTC: Corrected Obama numbers in the three scenarios above, which were all missing 3 electoral votes (from Vermont). The numbers above are now correct. Right around the moment I posted complaining about CNN not calling North Carolina yet, they did. I’m at work now though. I’ll update charts and such when I get home this evening. I have a modified time on the CNN Election map page of 15:29:48 UTC and will thus reflect the change accordingly in the graphs. Note: Actually, that timestamp is the moment I last loaded the page. So apperantly, when I loaded it to check the map this morning, they had already called NC, I didn’t notice, and I posted complaining about it anyway. Or some such. But I know I had checked it a few minutes prior to THAT and they had not yet… so the timeframe is just about right. Between 15:15 and 15:30 this morning. At least that is my best guess at this point. If one of my readers has a better timestamp for when CNN called NC, please let me know. Oh, and I haven’t even looked at my personal email in several days. Since election night, my time on the computer at home has been less than maybe 10 minutes a day. Essentially, I’ve been taking some time off of that as well. So if you’ve sent me email or even posted comments on my blog or such, I may well have not even looked at it yet, and I most definitely haven’t answered. Sorry about that. I’ll catch up eventually. |
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