This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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October 2016
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@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-06 (UTC)

  • 03:03:37 Poll Added: Ipsos in OR from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 48.418% to Trump 37.646% https://t.co/XuRNjE66Jy
  • 03:06:11 Poll Added: Ipsos in PA from 2016-09-23 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 45.228% to Trump 42.348% https://t.co/ud5UgeJMb2
  • 03:18:44 Poll Added: Ipsos in SC from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 44.407% to Trump 49.004% https://t.co/rPCKWRyfif
  • 03:21:26 Poll Added: Ipsos in SD from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 31.674% to Trump 46.796% https://t.co/SvkZVms92D
  • 03:21:42 Clinton vs Trump state category change: SD has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/SvkZVmayb5
  • 03:24:36 Poll Added: Ipsos in TN from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 35.104% to Trump 47.071% https://t.co/K5gzm7X8zp
  • 03:27:19 Poll Added: Ipsos in TX from 2016-09-23 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 32.900% to Trump 48.314% https://t.co/Z9SUgyS5Cp
  • 03:30:26 Poll Added: Ipsos in UT from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 34.260% to Trump 49.547% https://t.co/l50rF5owTu
  • 03:34:05 Poll Added: Ipsos in VA from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 48.256% to Trump 40.350% https://t.co/aSBRJgbKWH
  • 03:37:24 Poll Added: Ipsos in WA from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 48.940% to Trump 35.275% https://t.co/VNVaQfLiMG
  • 03:40:57 Poll Added: Ipsos in WV from 2016-09-09 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 33.119% to Trump 52.738% https://t.co/uMjoS6zany
  • 05:36:07 Poll Added: Ipsos in WI from 2016-09-16 to 2016-09-29 – Clinton 42.481% to Trump 41.998% https://t.co/js5ws575jN
  • 05:47:29 Poll Added: Google w/3P in AK from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 47.46% to Trump 36.70% https://t.co/bfCoBMupnK
  • 05:47:35 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in AK from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 47.46% to Trump 36.70% to Johnson 5.49%
  • 05:47:52 Clinton vs Trump state category change: AK has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/bfCoBMupnK
  • 05:50:12 Poll Added: Google w/3P in AL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 19.45% to Trump 56.59% https://t.co/C101QnYvog
  • 05:50:17 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in AL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 19.45% to Trump 56.59% to Johnson 4.93%
  • 05:52:51 Poll Added: Google w/3P in AR from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 29.66% to Trump 45.44% https://t.co/2WSqxH4qqE
  • 05:52:56 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in AR from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 29.66% to Trump 45.44% to Johnson 3.96%
  • 06:03:46 Poll Added: Google w/3P in AZ from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 38.76% to Trump 32.92% https://t.co/DHCJrL5A8x
  • 06:03:51 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in AZ from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 38.76% to Trump 32.92% to Johnson 6.48%
  • 06:07:17 Poll Added: Google w/3P in CA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 46.59% to Trump 28.33% https://t.co/70ueZFzhBF
  • 06:07:22 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in CA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 46.59% to Trump 28.33% to Johnson 6.95%
  • 06:09:48 Poll Added: Google w/3P in CO from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 38.58% to Trump 28.19% https://t.co/gsbWpAtPMx
  • 06:09:53 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in CO from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 38.58% to Trump 28.19% to Johnson 9.21%
  • 06:13:02 Poll Added: Google w/3P in CT from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 44.46% to Trump 26.58% https://t.co/gvFSmz7RVw
  • 06:13:07 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in CT from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 44.46% to Trump 26.58% to Johnson 3.91%
  • 06:16:33 Poll Added: Google w/3P in DC from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 62.21% to Trump 9.80% https://t.co/a5zrGy8oIT
  • 06:16:38 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in DC from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 62.21% to Trump 9.80% to Johnson 5.14%
  • 06:20:05 Poll Added: Google w/3P in DE from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 47.37% to Trump 18.20% https://t.co/0pvtaF3GV1
  • 06:20:10 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in DE from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 47.37% to Trump 18.20% to Johnson 9.39%
  • 06:24:12 Poll Added: Google w/3P in FL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 34.54% to Trump 42.36% https://t.co/NggPCzn6YT
  • 06:24:17 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in FL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 34.54% to Trump 42.36% to Johnson 5.93%
  • 06:37:03 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 2.6% in FL -> Clinton by 1.8% in PA https://t.co/VF64y1UrTF
  • 07:03:58 Poll Added: Google w/3P in GA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 28.89% to Trump 43.74% https://t.co/AvxP8arhBe
  • 07:04:02 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in GA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 28.89% to Trump 43.74% to Johnson 7.39%
  • 07:05:25 Poll Added: Google w/3P in HI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 62.08% to Trump 16.96% https://t.co/m19iBAUgKn
  • 07:05:30 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in HI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 62.08% to Trump 16.96% to Johnson 5.27%
  • 07:07:59 Poll Added: Google w/3P in IA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 38.14% to Trump 29.27% https://t.co/fiUGwBMEr2
  • 07:08:04 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in IA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 38.14% to Trump 29.27% to Johnson 6.48%
  • 07:08:18 Clinton vs Trump state category change: IA has moved from Weak Trump to Weak Clinton https://t.co/fiUGwBMEr2
  • 07:32:01 Clinton vs Trump expected case changed: Clinton 307 to Trump 231 -> Clinton 313 to Trump 225 https://t.co/JL9URpfcsx
  • 16:47:01 Poll Added: Google w/3P in ID from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 27.19% to Trump 42.68% https://t.co/X28GYPUmwx
  • 16:47:06 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in ID from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 27.19% to Trump 42.68% to Johnson 8.17%
  • 16:49:09 Poll Added: Google w/3P in IL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 42.41% to Trump 25.35% https://t.co/lbEc7mZhKD
  • 16:49:14 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in IL from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 42.41% to Trump 25.35% to Johnson 6.80%
  • 16:52:21 Poll Added: Google w/3P in IN from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 35.10% to Trump 32.52% https://t.co/3SExYyQo7o
  • 16:52:26 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in IN from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 35.10% to Trump 32.52% to Johnson 9.37%
  • 16:54:26 Poll Added: Google w/3P in KS from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 36.39% to Trump 28.62% https://t.co/2fdpshGc07
  • 16:54:31 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in KS from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 36.39% to Trump 28.62% to Johnson 8.80%
  • 16:57:13 Poll Added: Google w/3P in KY from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 36.44% to Trump 36.64% https://t.co/FruQ6uUtJH
  • 16:57:18 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in KY from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 36.44% to Trump 36.64% to Johnson 4.92%
  • 16:59:57 Poll Added: Google w/3P in LA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 31.23% to Trump 45.71% https://t.co/o29E9Xpcl3
  • 17:00:02 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in LA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 31.23% to Trump 45.71% to Johnson 5.78%
  • 17:42:12 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 50.20% to Trump 22.82% https://t.co/aVwepWU2Pz
  • 17:42:17 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MA from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 50.20% to Trump 22.82% to Johnson 7.02%
  • 17:44:18 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MD from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 48.83% to Trump 23.09% https://t.co/ssUWRxQl3R
  • 17:44:23 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MD from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 48.83% to Trump 23.09% to Johnson 6.86%
  • 17:49:23 Poll Added: Google w/3P in ME-All from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 49.93% to Trump 22.54% https://t.co/I4oP7MRTGm
  • 17:49:28 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in ME-All from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 49.93% to Trump 22.54% to Johnson 2.51%
  • 17:49:43 Clinton vs Trump state category change: ME-All has moved from Strong Clinton to Solid Clinton https://t.co/I4oP7MRTGm
  • 17:58:23 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 37.61% to Trump 30.85% https://t.co/R0ZcCnGXc2
  • 17:58:28 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MI from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 37.61% to Trump 30.85% to Johnson 7.76%
  • 18:01:14 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MN from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 37.89% to Trump 28.42% https://t.co/hxHUhlVLZi
  • 18:01:20 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MN from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 37.89% to Trump 28.42% to Johnson 8.46%
  • 18:01:34 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MN has moved from Weak Clinton to Strong Clinton https://t.co/hxHUhlVLZi
  • 18:26:54 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 209 to Trump 329 -> Clinton 219 to Trump 319 https://t.co/N7suFPPHFD
  • 22:30:56 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MO from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 38.49% to Trump 29.66% https://t.co/NxeGleLMkg
  • 22:31:01 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MO from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 38.49% to Trump 29.66% to Johnson 8.14%
  • 22:31:15 Clinton vs Trump state category change: MO has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump https://t.co/NxeGleLMkg
  • 22:32:59 Retweeted @NHLaVa 22:32:30 @ElecCollPolls Google is out of their ever loving minds. I can't even take them seriously anymore. in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 22:34:37 .@NHLaVa I don’t disagree…. their results are major outliers in many states. Gritting my teeth and sticking with including everything… in reply to NHLaVa
  • 22:37:55 Retweeted @NHLaVa 22:37:34 @ElecCollPolls probably best move for you. Once you start tracking election season data consistency is good in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 22:40:15 .@NHLaVa Yup. I may make changes for 2020, but retroactively excluding polls cause I personally doubt the results is just asking 4 trouble… in reply to NHLaVa
  • 22:42:45 .@NHLaVa At least the outliers don’t seem to all be in one direction. Google improves Clinton’s average in some states, Trump’s in others. in reply to ElecCollPolls
  • 22:46:20 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 357 to Trump 181 -> Clinton 367 to Trump 171 https://t.co/hduCk9U8OE
  • 22:49:27 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MS from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 24.30% to Trump 45.98% https://t.co/WTASwwgryG
  • 22:49:32 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MS from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 24.30% to Trump 45.98% to Johnson 4.84%
  • 22:51:29 Poll Added: Google w/3P in MT from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 31.06% to Trump 37.96% https://t.co/EzWHIccQ0L
  • 22:51:34 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in MT from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 31.06% to Trump 37.96% to Johnson 10.98%
  • 22:53:33 Poll Added: Google w/3P in NC from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 31.28% to Trump 41.89% https://t.co/BJRe86OB65
  • 22:53:38 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in NC from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 31.28% to Trump 41.89% to Johnson 7.83%
  • 22:55:37 Poll Added: Google w/3P in ND from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 22.78% to Trump 45.48% https://t.co/IojO76qsoV
  • 22:55:42 Full 3P results: Google w/3P in ND from 2016-09-27 to 2016-10-03 – Clinton 22.78% to Trump 45.48% to Johnson 12.00%
  • 23:17:35 Retweeted @wgjames 23:17:13 I can believe Google Consumer Surveys on a national poll but I'm not too sure on their state level results. Can som… https://t.co/WupaFB7r4M
  • 23:18:28 .@wgjames See discussion I had a little bit ago. Google has lots of big outliers in a variety of states. Take with big grain of salt. in reply to wgjames
  • 23:21:25 .@wgjames Look at the average, not individual polls. Even then, look at distribution of individual polls and how outliers are impacting avg! in reply to ElecCollPolls

@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-06 (UTC)