This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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October 2016
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@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-10-10 (UTC)

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-10 (UTC)

  • 03:39:25 Poll Added: Marist w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 45% to Trump 42% https://t.co/yQSZY9VWUy
  • 03:39:30 Full 4P results: Marist w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 45% to Trump 42% to Johnson 5% to Stein 3%
  • 03:41:08 Poll Added: Marist [2] in FL from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 46% to Trump 44% https://t.co/AKh17Z3YQX
  • 03:46:03 Poll Added: Marist w/4P [2] in PA from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 49% to Trump 37% https://t.co/vfkQF8w4xd
  • 03:46:08 Full 4P results: Marist w/4P [2] in PA from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 49% to Trump 37% to Johnson 6% to Stein 4%
  • 03:47:15 Poll Added: Marist [2] in PA from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 51% to Trump 39% https://t.co/5zU6U1Uo6A
  • 03:52:45 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in PA from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-07 – Clinton 48% to Trump 40% https://t.co/wt2sJZr1R1
  • 03:52:50 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in PA from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-07 – Clinton 48% to Trump 40% to Johnson 4% to Stein 2%
  • 03:56:38 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in WI from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-07 – Clinton 43% to Trump 39% https://t.co/cQWyYhDa5l
  • 03:56:43 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in WI from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-07 – Clinton 43% to Trump 39% to Johnson 4% to Stein 1%
  • 04:00:02 Poll Added: YouGov w/4P in OH from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-07 – Clinton 46% to Trump 42% https://t.co/4Obrm4xnW5
  • 04:00:07 Full 4P results: YouGov w/4P in OH from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-07 – Clinton 46% to Trump 42% to Johnson 5% to Stein 2%
  • 05:26:07 Poll Added: ASR w/4P in AK from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 30.6% to Trump 36.1% https://t.co/1SOtMiKQpb
  • 05:26:12 Full 4P results: ASR w/4P in AK from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 30.6% to Trump 36.1% to Johnson 17.9% to Stein 6.0%
  • 05:26:28 Clinton vs Trump state category change: AK has moved from Strong Trump to Weak Trump https://t.co/1SOtMiKQpb
  • 05:41:37 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 367 to Trump 171 -> Clinton 370 to Trump 168 https://t.co/vkhBNDt4mV
  • 05:50:01 Turns out that ASR poll had a 2-way result too. Adding it now and reweighting the 4-way from before.
  • 05:51:00 Poll Added: ASR [2] in AK from 2016-09-28 to 2016-10-02 – Clinton 42.0% to Trump 45.8% https://t.co/hukoeGLdvB
  • 07:13:13 Found an RV version of the PA Marist poll. Adding and reweighting.
  • 07:15:27 Poll Added: Marist RV w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 48% to Trump 36% https://t.co/RHqy5Wykzp
  • 07:15:32 Full 4P results: Marist RV w/4P [3] in PA from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 48% to Trump 36% to Johnson 7% to Stein 4%
  • 07:25:26 Also a 2 way RV for that PA Marist poll. Adding and reweighting.
  • 07:27:31 Poll Added: Marist RV [4] in PA from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-06 – Clinton 50% to Trump 38% https://t.co/wHDylVopLv
  • 07:29:08 Adding Marist RV results for FL too.
  • 07:31:18 Poll Added: Marist RV [4] in FL from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% https://t.co/xBS7jHf5iF
  • 07:32:56 Poll Added: Marist RV w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 45% to Trump 39% https://t.co/KfDfrf3IL6
  • 07:33:01 Full 4P results: Marist RV w/4P [4] in FL from 2016-10-03 to 2016-10-05 – Clinton 45% to Trump 39% to Johnson 6% to Stein 3%
  • 07:53:35 That’s all for now. New polls in FL/PA/WI/OH/AK. Notable change in AK, so @ElectionGraphs post a little later.
  • 17:13:01 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 17:12:41 [Blog Post] Electoral College: Alaska in play? https://t.co/BuCGcM97El

@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-10 (UTC)