Abulsme.com: Sunday, October 16th, 2016

@ElectionGraphs tweets from 2016-10-15 (UTC)

16:46:42 Election talk starts 10 minutes in -> [Blog Post] Curmudgeon's Corner: Keep Digging https://t.co/pW5iW8XM0z

@ElecCollPolls tweets from 2016-10-15 (UTC)

03:11:25 Poll Added: PPP w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-12 to 2016-10-13 – Clinton 46% to Trump 42% https://t.co/kCZ7PRX5sQ
03:11:30 Full 4P results: PPP w/4P [2] in FL from 2016-10-12 to 2016-10-13 – Clinton 46% to Trump 42% to Johnson 5% to Stein 1%
03:13:46 Poll Added: PPP [2] in FL from 2016-10-12 to 2016-10-13 – Clinton 49% to Trump 44% https://t.co/FI58Jf0hRW
03:16:48 PPP also included another match up in their FL poll. Clinton 47%, Trump 42%, Bone 4%. Logged but not on site. :-)
03:38:11 Poll Added: Monmouth w/3P in IN from 2016-10-11 to 2016-10-13 – Clinton 41% to Trump 45% https://t.co/qhOGdjp8js
03:38:16 Full 3P results: Monmouth w/3P in IN from 2016-10-11 to 2016-10-13 – Clinton 41% to Trump 45% to Johnson 9%
03:42:33 Poll Added: WBUR w/4P [3] in NH from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 41% to Trump 37% https://t.co/Bi60ulRkHA
03:42:38 Full 4P results: WBUR w/4P [3] in NH from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 41% to Trump 37% to Johnson 11% to Stein 3%
03:44:04 Poll Added: WBUR w/Lean w/4P [3] in NH from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 41% to Trump 38% https://t.co/HViuCRAFm1
03:44:09 Full 4P results: WBUR w/Lean w/4P [3] in NH from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 41% to Trump 38% to Johnson 11% to Stein 3%
03:45:35 Poll Added: WBUR [3] in NH from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 46% to Trump 41% https://t.co/Wf4oDX7ZNi
05:33:10 Poll Added: Landmark w/3P in GA from 2016-10-11 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 42.3% to Trump 47.8% https://t.co/UDRPqIRZlN
05:33:15 Full 3P results: Landmark w/3P in GA from 2016-10-11 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 42.3% to Trump 47.8% to Johnson 4.3%
05:38:00 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in OH from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 44.5% to Trump 43.0% https://t.co/GBTlYFyuFt
05:38:05 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in OH from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 44.5% to Trump 43.0% to Johnson 6.7% to Stein 1.6%
05:41:03 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in VA from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 46.1% to Trump 43.4% https://t.co/LIXYFQQFNL
05:41:08 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in VA from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 46.1% to Trump 43.4% to Johnson 5.9% to Stein 0.3%
05:41:21 Clinton vs Trump state category change: VA has moved from Strong Clinton to Weak Clinton https://t.co/LIXYFQQFNL
06:02:43 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 6.5% in PA -> Clinton by 4.8% in VA https://t.co/Tot3gcjFhK
06:02:43 Trump best case vs Clinton has changed: Clinton 272 to Trump 266 -> Clinton 259 to Trump 279 https://t.co/Tot3gcjFhK
06:05:54 Poll Added: Emerson w/4P in NC from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 45.8% to Trump 41.7% https://t.co/iybyhPaXn6
06:05:59 Full 4P results: Emerson w/4P in NC from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 45.8% to Trump 41.7% to Johnson 5.2% to Stein 2.8%
06:11:34 Poll Added: UML LV w/4P [2] in NH from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 45% to Trump 39% https://t.co/u69xJZnfvN
06:11:39 Full 4P results: UML LV w/4P [2] in NH from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 45% to Trump 39% to Johnson 9% to Stein 2%
06:13:24 Poll Added: UML RV w/4P [2] in NH from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 43% to Trump 36% https://t.co/TIAJiMey2z
06:13:29 Full 4P results: UML RV w/4P [2] in NH from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 43% to Trump 36% to Johnson 11% to Stein 2%
06:20:04 Poll Added: Marist LV [4] in NC from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 48% to Trump 43% https://t.co/E2GK9jNOUZ
06:25:06 Poll Added: Marist RV [4] in NC from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 48% to Trump 41% https://t.co/x53AYR8WFk
06:28:39 Poll Added: Marist LV w/3P [4] in NC from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 45% to Trump 41% https://t.co/lM6Rtnauf6
06:28:44 Full 3P results: Marist LV w/3P [4] in NC from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 45% to Trump 41% to Johnson 9%
06:29:50 Poll Added: Marist RV w/3P [4] in NC from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 45% to Trump 39% https://t.co/VBBUoZKUtB
06:29:55 Full 3P results: Marist RV w/3P [4] in NC from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 45% to Trump 39% to Johnson 10%
06:34:12 Poll Added: Marist LV [4] in OH from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 45% to Trump 45% https://t.co/lg9Z0YPIBU
06:35:46 Poll Added: Marist RV [4] in OH from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 44% to Trump 44% https://t.co/s9UGbTowwP
06:39:00 Poll Added: Marist LV w/4P [4] in OH from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 41% to Trump 42% https://t.co/PSowXHf03z
06:39:05 Full 4P results: Marist LV w/4P [4] in OH from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 41% to Trump 42% to Johnson 9% to Stein 4%
06:40:18 Poll Added: Marist RV w/4P [4] in OH from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 40% to Trump 40% https://t.co/bPpWm9i9h0
06:40:23 Full 4P results: Marist RV w/4P [4] in OH from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 40% to Trump 40% to Johnson 10% to Stein 4%
06:43:47 Poll Added: Mitchell w/4P in MI from 2016-10-11 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 47% to Trump 37% https://t.co/27A9K9CkaY
06:43:52 Full 4P results: Mitchell w/4P in MI from 2016-10-11 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 47% to Trump 37% to Johnson 7% to Stein 4%
06:47:22 Poll Added: Suffolk w/3P in NC from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 44.80% to Trump 43.40% https://t.co/s7X3xh3Qr1
06:47:27 Full 3P results: Suffolk w/3P in NC from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 44.80% to Trump 43.40% to Johnson 5.20%
06:50:26 Poll Added: Selzer [4] in PA from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 49% to Trump 39% https://t.co/OKQhpDKBjW
06:51:48 Poll Added: Selzer w/Lean [4] in PA from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 51% to Trump 42% https://t.co/mWI8WHozFH
06:53:19 Poll Added: Selzer w/4P [4] in PA from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 47% to Trump 38% https://t.co/kCrvPTTIG9
06:53:24 Full 4P results: Selzer w/4P [4] in PA from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 47% to Trump 38% to Johnson 6% to Stein 4%
06:54:43 Poll Added: Selzer w/Lean w/4P [4] in PA from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 48% to Trump 39% https://t.co/gQL4pzRxub
06:54:48 Full 4P results: Selzer w/Lean w/4P [4] in PA from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 48% to Trump 39% to Johnson 6% to Stein 4%
07:02:17 A Roanoke result I entered on the 13th wasn’t properly weighted as 0.5 poll. Just fixed it. This moved the tipping point to C+4.4% in VA.
07:22:42 Clinton vs Trump tipping point change: Clinton by 4.8% in VA -> Clinton by 4.4% in VA https://t.co/tnLgBpLoYv
16:47:07 Retweeted @ElectionGraphs 16:46:42 Election talk starts 10 minutes in -> [Blog Post] Curmudgeon's Corner: Keep Digging https://t.co/pW5iW8XM0z
19:16:02 Poll Added: JMC w/3P in NV from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-13 – Clinton 43% to Trump 41% https://t.co/9iC8rcJLsA
19:16:06 Full 3P results: JMC w/3P in NV from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-13 – Clinton 43% to Trump 41% to Johnson 4%
19:20:19 Poll Added: SurveyUSA w/4P in OR from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 48% to Trump 38% https://t.co/kWjuWpDuQ2
19:20:24 Full 4P results: SurveyUSA w/4P in OR from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 48% to Trump 38% to Johnson 6% to Stein 4%
19:26:18 Poll Added: SurveyUSA w/4P in TX from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 43% to Trump 47% https://t.co/Hz3AKpbZtY
19:26:23 Full 4P results: SurveyUSA w/4P in TX from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 43% to Trump 47% to Johnson 3% to Stein 1%
19:26:39 Clinton vs Trump state category change: TX has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/Hz3AKpbZtY
19:40:34 Poll Added: Remington w/4P in MO from 2016-10-09 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 42% to Trump 47% https://t.co/AVd5eTzVN3
19:40:39 Full 4P results: Remington w/4P in MO from 2016-10-09 to 2016-10-11 – Clinton 42% to Trump 47% to Johnson 4% to Stein 1%
19:46:06 Poll Added: Monmouth w/4P in UT from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 28% to Trump 34% https://t.co/7kBvq5iDyW
19:46:11 Full 4P results: Monmouth w/4P in UT from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 28% to Trump 34% to Johnson 9% to Stein 1%
19:46:26 Clinton vs Trump state category change: UT has moved from Solid Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/7kBvq5iDyW
19:47:27 Note the Monmouth UT poll also included McMullin at 20%. in reply to ElecCollPolls
20:40:53 Poll Added: Mason-Dixon w/3P in MT from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 36% to Trump 46% https://t.co/0ierz7ULLD
20:40:58 Full 3P results: Mason-Dixon w/3P in MT from 2016-10-10 to 2016-10-12 – Clinton 36% to Trump 46% to Johnson 11%
20:51:41 Poll Added: Lucid w/4P in PA from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-10 – Clinton 46% to Trump 39% https://t.co/BoFe3OjIjl
20:51:46 Full 4P results: Lucid w/4P in PA from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-10 – Clinton 46% to Trump 39% to Johnson 6% to Stein 2%
21:00:36 Poll Added: Lucid w/4P in IA from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-10 – Clinton 42% to Trump 37% https://t.co/CFU8Q7L7Pm
21:00:41 Full 4P results: Lucid w/4P in IA from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-10 – Clinton 42% to Trump 37% to Johnson 10% to Stein 2%
21:03:56 Poll Added: Lucid w/4P in OH from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-10 – Clinton 44% to Trump 39% https://t.co/YAYJza9tok
21:04:01 Full 4P results: Lucid w/4P in OH from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-10 – Clinton 44% to Trump 39% to Johnson 7% to Stein 2%
21:10:22 Poll Added: Lucid w/4P in IN from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-10 – Clinton 36% to Trump 44% https://t.co/BrMAFYNmtB
21:10:27 Full 4P results: Lucid w/4P in IN from 2016-10-07 to 2016-10-10 – Clinton 36% to Trump 44% to Johnson 10% to Stein 3%
21:10:42 Clinton vs Trump state category change: IN has moved from Weak Trump to Strong Trump https://t.co/BrMAFYNmtB
21:28:04 Clinton best case vs Trump has changed: Clinton 382 to Trump 156 -> Clinton 371 to Trump 167 https://t.co/dxESwol7QR
23:44:14 Poll Added: FAU in FL from 2016-10-05 to 2016-10-09 – Clinton 49% to Trump 43% https://t.co/zzjCjG7uZl

@abulsme tweets from 2016-10-15 (UTC)

00:03:57 Retweeted @Olivianuzzi 2016-10-14 23:28:23 There are now more women accusing Donald Trump of rape or sexual assault than have accused Bill Clinton of rape or sexual assault.
01:19:55 Retweeted @Sci_Phile 01:01:02 And let it be established that burning steel wool in macro is the most beautiful thing https://t.co/8nnZIMYxdr https://t.co/8bMvIWgFPI
01:20:56 Retweeted @ppppolls 2016-10-14 20:41:16 One fact from our FL poll that helps explain why it will be so hard for Trump to come back: his favorability with undecideds is literally 0
01:22:14 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 01:03:39 This is not how polling works https://t.co/3OLzFj6FeF
01:47:40 Retweeted @xeni 01:43:50 Don't be cruel to the family members. When you're locked in a cage with a madman, you don't know you can get out. Just my own experience.
01:52:23 Retweeted @baseballcrank 2016-10-14 21:39:17 Pence would be advised to go back to pretending he has no idea who his running mate is.
01:54:38 Retweeted @jdesmondharris 01:33:48 <symbol>https://t.co/WDDrYcnazn https://t.co/qj54pfifHX
01:58:13 Retweeted @MaggieJordanACN 2016-10-14 01:54:06 Trump Brand
Trump Campaign
Trump Image

https://t.co/vvAPAqZ1oA
02:13:58 Retweeted @mviser 2016-10-14 18:45:53 Wow. This ad. https://t.co/xkiozQe5mv
02:16:46 Reading – Donald Trump is setting the stage to never concede the 2016 election (@TheFix) https://t.co/3UHaPV9V1v
02:18:43 Retweeted @joshtpm 02:15:38 There was a time abt 3 weeks ago when Dems were nervous Trump wld stick to the TelePrompTer and avoid any more blowups thru November.
02:19:52 Retweeted @Beer__Wolf 02:09:16 He's using a scientifically proven regression analysis methodology called "laying a ruler over dots arbitrarily & cвЂ¦ https://t.co/2lNf1UpXD6
02:30:59 Retweeted @kylegriffin1 01:58:02 Trump accuser Jill Harth posted this on Facebook today: "Trump did this to himself." https://t.co/vni0sYECps https://t.co/6vXAla88Om
02:35:13 Reading – No, one 19-year-old Trump supporter probably isn't distorting the polling averages all by himself (Lauter) https://t.co/eJRBZB8tuN
02:41:10 Retweeted @AndrewBloch 2016-10-14 12:44:24 Whoever designed these LEGO bags deserves a pay rise https://t.co/zScuyRYubu
02:44:03 Retweeted @williamjordann 01:59:10 Confidence that votes will be counted accurately, by presidential support https://t.co/nmGvqmfy48
02:45:39 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 02:30:15 Have received permission from @GenFlynn to publish this Trump campaign polling analysis. Enjoy. https://t.co/01jdORDhvk
02:47:15 Retweeted @NateSilver538 02:23:28 Have received permission from @GenFlynn to publish this Trump campaign polling analysis. Enjoy. https://t.co/v0w5ZBKzrU
02:48:47 Retweeted @nikhilb 02:17:57 Good lord. The Trumpkins are trying to use technical analysis from stocks to analyze polls. It's like measuring weiвЂ¦ https://t.co/ljOlPqn9gV
02:51:24 Retweeted @ElectProject 02:27:23 The million threshold has been passed. At least 1,175,620 people have voted in the 2016 election as of 10/14 https://t.co/biXWYJFTUi
02:52:53 Retweeted @tyleroakley 2016-10-14 22:08:20 remember back in 2004, when one weird scream at a rally was enough to be called unpresidential & lose an election https://t.co/VUnxMU2Ir2
02:54:48 Retweeted @dougmillsnyt 00:31:34 The view from @HillaryClinton's plane as storm clouds roll into Seattle and Hillary heads back to NY. @seattletimes https://t.co/Qo64XndXso
02:56:14 Retweeted @Bencjacobs 02:54:27 Trump campaign blasts out a statement from the first cousin of one of his accusers https://t.co/T8VCGrjkJC
02:56:47 Retweeted @swin24 00:59:18 when 'Apprentice' staff tried to reason w/ TrumpвЂ”in vainвЂ”that he couldn't call rapper Lil Jon "Uncle Tom"вЂ¦ https://t.co/vMopuwB8dy
04:45:58 Retweeted @kurteichenwald 04:35:01 I watched Trump at Dallas rally talk 4 several minutes that he never settles lawsuits. Im reading lawsuits he settled. He lies w/o purpose.
04:55:20 Reading – Actually, facts do care about your feelings (@AtticusGF) https://t.co/WfggPQCsXK
04:59:09 Retweeted @nycsouthpaw 02:45:35 They really think the issue is *bad words,* not *lack of consent.* https://t.co/RLompoDznU
05:00:35 Retweeted @AdamSerwer 2016-10-14 23:58:17 Weirdly, Trump hasn't mentioned the attempted terrorist attack on Somali immigrants tonight despite campaigning on making America safe
05:09:31 Retweeted @EricaGrieder 04:12:23 Important thread. https://t.co/WTbN7Wahjp
06:27:19 Watching – Trump Hump The Chair Song (Jonathan Mann) https://t.co/UD9QZEe2gH
08:57:52 Retweeted @gelliottmorris 2016-10-12 16:46:24 This is the most powerful campaign ad of 2016. Watch it, share it, then watch it again. https://t.co/buVeub7sJq
15:56:37 Retweeted @nickgourevitch 13:02:33 Very dangerous for our democracy: Nearly all GOP electeds silent on 1) jailing political opponents 2) undermining lвЂ¦ https://t.co/GSrWpBW8cC
16:05:29 Retweeted @gaywonk 2016-10-14 13:49:41 .@CNN has a Trump surrogate problem, and it's making the network's election coverage unwatchable.вЂ¦ https://t.co/RFTxqkQnXH
16:05:49 Retweeted @EsotericCD 12:54:56 If Trump wants to bleat about how elex is rigged, only responsible thing to do is ensure he loses in a landslide so that it's beyond doubt.
16:45:19 Retweeted @NWSSeattle 12:17:23 Here is an estimated time frame of the arrival of peak winds and expected speeds with today's storm. #wawx https://t.co/Xi6N2gjNlo
16:46:10 [Blog Post] Curmudgeon's Corner: Keep Digging https://t.co/uo5jSWZE8O
16:49:34 Retweeted @KilloughCNN 16:48:13 In NH, Trump suggests both candidates take a drug test before the next debate. "I don't know what's going on with her!"
19:08:29 Retweeted @EverettFire 19:07:54 Here in Everett winds will begin to pick up today around 4 p.m. We expect peak wind gusts of 60-70 mph. until around 10 p.m.
21:18:23 Retweeted @ForecasterEnten 21:10:29 BTW if the live interviewer polls are right, this election will feature the largest gender gap since @ least 1952… And it's not even close
21:20:29 Retweeted @LOLGOP 2016-10-14 18:56:32 Does Trump end up with more women accusing him of sexual assault or electoral votes?
21:30:02 Retweeted @BrendanNyhan 21:20:21 Where we are – contemplating Trump throwing country into chaos after a loss by not conceding. Terrifying. Every R mвЂ¦ https://t.co/jc5DkU8Txy
21:30:22 Retweeted @MileHighBrendan 21:20:10 If you want a semantic debate re: "fascist," fine, but if you deny "demagogue" or "third-world strongman" at this point, you're a blind fool in reply to MileHighBrendan