This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon

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Electoral College: McCain up in TX, Obama down in MA

After a string of good news for Obama, time for some good news for McCain. Massachusetts drops from a “Weak Obama” into a “Leaning Obama” state, basically meaning it is up for grabs, thus improving McCain’s best case scenario.

Meanwhile, with some additional polls (older polls, but new to me) Texas moves from the leaning category into “Weak McCain”. This significantly lowers Obama’s “Best Case” prospects.

Current Summary:

McCain Best Case – McCain 343, Obama 195
Obama Best Case – Obama 308, McCain 230

And if everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) – Obama 281, McCain 257

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