This is the website of Abulsme Noibatno Itramne (also known as Sam Minter). Posts here are rare these days. For current stuff, follow me on Mastodon



April 2008

Electoral College: Many New Polls, Uncertainty Increases

SurveyUSA released 15 new state by state polls today. Of those, 4 caused status changes in my rolling averages. In order of electoral votes:

  • Ohio (20 ev) moved from weak McCain to leaning McCain
  • Virginia (13 ev) moved from weak McCain to leaning McCain
  • Missouri (11 ev) moved from leaning McCain to weak McCain
  • New Mexico (5 ev) moved from weak Obama to leaning Obama

The end result of all that is 27 more electoral votes are now in the “leaning” categories, meaning the number of states and electoral votes that really could very easily go either way is increased dramatically over yesterday. The range between McCain’s best case and Obama’s best case is widening again reversing a narrowing trend from the last few weeks.

Current Summary:

McCain Best Case – McCain 357, Obama 181
Obama Best Case – Obama 330, McCain 208

And if everybody gets their leans (and Obama gets DC) – Obama 281, McCain 257

Ohio Gives Some Late Love to McCain

Don’t know how, don’t know why, but CNN just added some delegates to their totals for McCain. 6 delegates total. All were from Ohio. 3 pledged delegates, 3 “Unpledged RNC” (which is the Republican equivalent of a superdelegate).

Obviously this changes absolutely nothing about the state of the Republican race.

But hey, six more for McCain. Woo! Go McCain!

You’re Putting a Camera WHERE??

I’m taking Friday off from work because just over 17 hours from now I’m going to be doing this. Or perhaps I should say I’ll be having it done to me. I am not looking forward to it at all. In fact, quite the opposite. And while theoretically after it is done I could come back in to work for the afternoon, I have a feeling that I will just want to go home and curl up in a ball.

I told the doctor I wanted to be more agressive about figuring out the underlying cause to the recurring kidney stones and UTIs I’ve had periodically (and with increasing frequency) since 1996 rather than just treating the symptoms when it happens.

But now I’m thinking maybe dealing with a little discomfort for a week or so once every few months isn’t actually that bad, and maybe I was a little hasty.